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Using Macroeconomic Variables To Preserve The Predictive Power Of Bankruptcy Prediction Models Across Time, Edward Golas 2020 Bryant University

Using Macroeconomic Variables To Preserve The Predictive Power Of Bankruptcy Prediction Models Across Time, Edward Golas

Honors Projects in Finance

At its core, bankruptcy prediction is a binary classification problem where a researcher attempts to model a company’s financial status, defined as either bankrupt or non-bankrupt, based upon a slew of financial ratios, market indicators and even macroeconomic variables. Several studies (Altman and McGrough, 1974; Moyer, 1977 and Mensah, 1984) have noted that such models tend to suffer reduced accuracy when predicting bankruptcy for time periods other than the one in which they were trained. A possible solution to this problem is to include macroeconomic variables in the model, since such variables fluctuate over time and are suspected of impacting …


Innovation Dynamics And Financial Stability: A European Union Perspective, Francisco Javier Santos-Arteaga, Madjid Tavana, Celia Torrecillas, Debora Di Caprio 2020 Free University of Bolzano

Innovation Dynamics And Financial Stability: A European Union Perspective, Francisco Javier Santos-Arteaga, Madjid Tavana, Celia Torrecillas, Debora Di Caprio

Business Systems and Analytics Faculty Work

We present a formal and empirical framework that links the technological capacity of a country, reflected in its National System of Innovation, with the financial constraints it faces. The paper is divided into two sections. The first one introduces a stochastic growth model based on the relative level of technological development of countries, which determines their productivity and capacity to finance innovation activities. The second section describes the empirical conditioning observed in the innovation outputs of countries determined by their financial constraints and time period relative to the economic crisis of 2008. We classify a panel sample of European Union …


Implementing The Flipped Classroom In An Undergraduate Corporate Finance Course, Jayendra S. Gokhale 2020 Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University

Implementing The Flipped Classroom In An Undergraduate Corporate Finance Course, Jayendra S. Gokhale

Publications

This study analyzes flipped mode of instruction in Corporate Finance. In the current environment, with many students in quarantine and greater emphasis on self-study, it is even more relevant to understand how students understand and retain concepts derived from online environment. In this study, performance of students in flipped mode is compared with the performance in traditional lecture-style. In flipped class, students watched a brief video-lecture, took an online assessment quiz prior to attending an interactive discussion-based class session, unlike the traditional lecture style. The results of this study suggest that with flipped mode, most students take greater responsibility of …


Methodologies And Techniques For Determining The Value Of An Aircraft, Bijan Vasigh, Farshid Azadian, Kamran Moghaddam 2020 Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University

Methodologies And Techniques For Determining The Value Of An Aircraft, Bijan Vasigh, Farshid Azadian, Kamran Moghaddam

Publications

Aircraft valuation and the estimation of an accurate aircraft price is undoubtedly a challenging task that has significant consequences for airlines. This paper presents an asset valuation model to show how a series of endogenous as well as exogenous factors can influence the value of an aircraft. Specifically, a discounted cash flow methodology is used to forecast the valuation of an old or new generation aircraft. Both total operating revenue and aircraft operating costs are taken into account to devise a reliable pre-tax profit measurement that is used as the basis of the discounted cash flow analysis. A sensitivity analysis …


Do User-Generated Ratings Affect Hotel Valuations? – An Analysis Of The Chicago Hotel Market, Shailesh Patel 2020 University of Missouri-St. Louis

Do User-Generated Ratings Affect Hotel Valuations? – An Analysis Of The Chicago Hotel Market, Shailesh Patel

Dissertations

Today’s travelers are increasingly relying on aggregated online opinions to make purchase decisions. One of the sectors most impacted by these online reviews is the hospitality industry, where consumer review websites such as TripAdvisor, Expedia, and Bookings.com play a critical role in influencing consumer's choice of hotel and the price they will pay for the room. Recently, there have been studies investigating the various aspects of user-generated online reviews and ratings. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of user-generated ratings on hotel valuations. Our paper does this using regression analysis to study the impact of TripAdvisor …


The Reality And Ambition Of The Training Process In The Banking Sector In Palestine, Sharif Abukarsh 2020 Arab American University

The Reality And Ambition Of The Training Process In The Banking Sector In Palestine, Sharif Abukarsh

Journal of the Arab American University مجلة الجامعة العربية الامريكية للبحوث

The aim of this study was twofold: investigating the reality and ambition of the training process in the Palestinian Banking Sector–with its various dimensions, and accordingly making appropriate recommendations for the development of the training process to help those who received training at the Palestine Institute for Banking and Finance Studies. Hopefully, the recommendations will help foster the design, implementation and evaluation of programs and training in the future. A sample of 6% was taken from the 4684 employees of the banking sector, and 75% of the heads of the HR departments. A questionnaire was designed and then results were …


The Extent Of The Customers Satisfaction On The Elements Of The Marketing Mix Applied In The Algerian Public Commercial Banks : An Empirical Study, Aboubaker Khoualed 2020 Badji Mokhtar University

The Extent Of The Customers Satisfaction On The Elements Of The Marketing Mix Applied In The Algerian Public Commercial Banks : An Empirical Study, Aboubaker Khoualed

Journal of the Arab American University مجلة الجامعة العربية الامريكية للبحوث

This study aims; in general, to know the extent of the customer’s satisfaction on the various elements of the marketing mix: Product, Pricing, Promotion, Place, Physical evidence, People, and Processes applied in the Algerian public commercial banks. To achieve the above-mentioned method, the researcher used a descriptive and an analytical field survey which is designed according to Likert Quintet scale. This survey was distributed randomly to a sample consisting of (150) customers of the Algerian commercial public banks which are six, namely: The National Fund for Savings and Reserve (CNEP), the National Bank of Algeria (BNA), the Popular Credit of …


The Intellectual Capital Development In The Palestinian Universities In Gaza Strip As Perceived By The Employees With Supervising Positions, Ashraf Meshmesh 2020 Al-Aqsa University – Gaza

The Intellectual Capital Development In The Palestinian Universities In Gaza Strip As Perceived By The Employees With Supervising Positions, Ashraf Meshmesh

Journal of the Arab American University مجلة الجامعة العربية الامريكية للبحوث

The study aimed to identify the actual role being played by the top management of the Palestinian universities in Gaza Strip in developing the intellectual capital together with its various dimensions. To achieve this purpose, an exclusive questionnaire was randomly distributed to (344) supervisors, out of which (289) questionnaires were brought back, with a response rate of (84.01). The study used the descriptive analytical method and the appropriate statistical methods for analyzing the data using the SPSS. The study concluded that (77.80%) of the respondents stated that the top management in the Palestinian universities in Gaza contributes to the development …


The Relationship Between Government Expenditure And Gdp In Nonoil Iraqi Economy, Hasan Radhi 2020 Dijlah University College, Baghdad

The Relationship Between Government Expenditure And Gdp In Nonoil Iraqi Economy, Hasan Radhi

Journal of the Arab American University مجلة الجامعة العربية الامريكية للبحوث

In this paper, the relationship between government ependiture and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in non-oil Iraqi economy has been examined. This study analyzed the evolution of the government expenditure (consumption and investment) in the Iraqi economy for the period of (1990-2014).It is assumed that non-oil GDP is the indicator that reflects the performance of macroeconomic activity and any decline in GDP is attributed to the increase in the consumer behavior in the government expenditure policy , the proportion of the consumer expenditure,which is financed by oil revenues, and the transformation of state institutions into social security institutions at the expense …


The Impact Of The Shareholders' Rights On The Revenues Of The Banking Services: A Case Study From The Iraqi Private Commercial Banks, Ali Bni lam 2020 Dijlah University College, Baghdad

The Impact Of The Shareholders' Rights On The Revenues Of The Banking Services: A Case Study From The Iraqi Private Commercial Banks, Ali Bni Lam

Journal of the Arab American University مجلة الجامعة العربية الامريكية للبحوث

The research aimed to measure the type and direction of the relationship between the shareholders ' rights and the revenues of the banking services for a sample of Iraqi private commercial banks, which were selected in the style of the cluster sample. The two selected banks were: the Iraqi Islamic Bank for Investment and Development, and the Kurdistan International Bank for Investment and Development. After accomplishing the process of the quantitative analysis for the data of the two banks, the null hypothesis was accepted. This shows the absence of the relationship between the total shareholders' rights and revenues of banking …


Regulation Of Securities Offerings In California: Is It Time For A Change After A Century Of Merit Regulation?, Neal H. Brockmeyer 2020 Loyola Marymount University and Loyola Law School

Regulation Of Securities Offerings In California: Is It Time For A Change After A Century Of Merit Regulation?, Neal H. Brockmeyer

Loyola of Los Angeles Law Review

The California securities law originated in 1913 from a populist movement that embodied a paternalistic attitude toward the protection of investors. It was characterized by the registration of offerings of securities with few exemptions and exclusions, a qualitative review of the merits of those offerings and an administrator with broad authority to implement and enforce the law. While the California securities law is still based on merit review, exclusions and exemptions have been added and expanded over the years by the California legislature and securities regulators. More recently, Congress has preempted state registration and merit review of various securities and …


How Does The Capability Of Top Management Influence Financial Reporting Fraud?, Michael Wojcikiewicz 2020 Bryant University

How Does The Capability Of Top Management Influence Financial Reporting Fraud?, Michael Wojcikiewicz

Honors Projects in Finance

This study examines the attributes which capture the capability of a perpetrator to engage in financial reporting fraud. Fraudulent financial reporting can be devastating for a company and its employees. Capability includes such measures as the person’s position and the function in which they work. The study reveals how capability influences the occurrence of fraud, the amount of the fraud, and whether capability interacts with concealing the fraud from an audit. The results of the thesis should assist fraud professionals, investors, and regulators as well as stakeholders of corporations by examining publicly available data and highlighting characteristics that can contribute …


Data Driven Value-At-Risk Forecasting Using A Svr-Garch-Kde Hybrid, Marius LUX, Wolfgang Karl HARDLE, Stefan LESSMANN 2020 Humboldt-University Berlin

Data Driven Value-At-Risk Forecasting Using A Svr-Garch-Kde Hybrid, Marius Lux, Wolfgang Karl Hardle, Stefan Lessmann

Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics

Appropriate risk management is crucial to ensure the competitiveness of financial institutions and the stability of the economy. One widely used financial risk measure is value-at-risk (VaR). VaR estimates based on linear and parametric models can lead to biased results or even underestimation of risk due to time varying volatility, skewness and leptokurtosis of financial return series. The paper proposes a nonlinear and nonparametric framework to forecast VaR that is motivated by overcoming the disadvantages of parametric models with a purely data driven approach. Mean and volatility are modeled via support vector regression (SVR) where the volatility model is motivated …


Empowering Singapore’S Smes: Fintech P2p Lending — A Lifeline For Smes’ Survival?, Grace LEE, Alan MEGARGEL 2020 Singapore Management University

Empowering Singapore’S Smes: Fintech P2p Lending — A Lifeline For Smes’ Survival?, Grace Lee, Alan Megargel

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

The COVID-19 pandemic has sent shock waves throughout the world, pushed countries into lockdown, and wreaked havoc on the world’s people and the global economy. The damage to economies around the world caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has far exceeded that of the global financial crisis. While all businesses suffered hugely, it would be of grave consequence if the small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), an important segment of every country’s economy, are unable to withstand the shock wave and sustain themselves beyond this pandemic. The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of cash flow or working capital for the viability …


The Hedge Fund Evolution, Suhaimi ZAINUL-ABIDIN 2020 Singapore Management University

The Hedge Fund Evolution, Suhaimi Zainul-Abidin

Asian Management Insights

Hedge funds offer numerous possible outcomes for investors and fund managers, but there is just no way the future can be predicted consistently during these uncertain times.


A Matter Of Life In Debt, Deepika DESHPANDE 2020 Singapore Management University

A Matter Of Life In Debt, Deepika Deshpande

Asian Management Insights

Moving away from using debt to tackle economic downturns.


Health Have, Health Have Nots In A Time Of Covid-19, Sandro Galea 2020 Boston University

Health Have, Health Have Nots In A Time Of Covid-19, Sandro Galea

Center for Policy Research

In this brief, my goal is to talk about something which has animated a lot of my thinking and writing in the past decade. It is how our health is fundamentally socially patterned and reflects the world around us. This has been true for decades in this country, and one could also argue, globally, however this brief will focus on this topic at the national level. As you will see, I will talk mostly of health haves and health have nots in general, but as we progress, show how COVID-19 has made this evermore apparent.


Investor Behavior In The Midst Of A Global Pandemic, Abigail N. Bates 2020 Grand Valley State University

Investor Behavior In The Midst Of A Global Pandemic, Abigail N. Bates

Honors Projects

Investors partaking in portfolio and asset management through the stock market and other avenues do so with certain reasoning and methods in hand. Each investor may have different interests and risk tolerances that guide their choices for investment. Behavioral finance allows for an in-depth look at an investor’s actions and the influencing psychology behind it. Before this approach was popularized, early studies of finance assumed that investors were always rational in their decision making and put resources only into opportunities that would increase their utility or happiness. The behavioral finance approach takes a more comprehensive look at these behaviors and …


The Dorian Gray Phenomenon In Financial Markets, Ajay MAKHIJA 2020 Singapore Management University

The Dorian Gray Phenomenon In Financial Markets, Ajay Makhija

Asian Management Insights

Looking at the current state of the global economy and the extent of financial market hedonism through the lens of Oscar Wilde’s “The Picture of Dorian Gray”.


The Effect Of The Affordable Care Act On Medicaid Payments In Long-Term Care Facilities, Victoria Walker, Morgan Ruley, Laikyn Nelson, Whitney Layton, Alberto Coustasse 2020 Marshall University

The Effect Of The Affordable Care Act On Medicaid Payments In Long-Term Care Facilities, Victoria Walker, Morgan Ruley, Laikyn Nelson, Whitney Layton, Alberto Coustasse

Management Faculty Research

Long-term care has been defined as a continuation of medical services, social services, and housing for patients with chronic health conditions, limiting their abilities to partake in everyday activities. In the United States, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) was enacted to expand coverage for Medicaid and improve healthcare quality and cost. This qualitative research study aimed to evaluate the impact of the (ACA) on long-term care to determine if it has increased Medicaid payments. The methodology for this study utilized a systematic review complemented by a semi-structured interview. It was found that the ACA has increased Medicaid payments, and the …


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