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Articles 16471 - 16500 of 30252

Full-Text Articles in Mechanical Engineering

Aspects Of Intuitive Control Framework: Stabilize, Optimize, And Identify, Pavan Kumar Nuthi Jan 2015

Aspects Of Intuitive Control Framework: Stabilize, Optimize, And Identify, Pavan Kumar Nuthi

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Dissertations - Archive

The duality of estimation and control problems is a well known fact in control theory literature. Parameter convergence and closed loop stability are usually competing interests for a given control scheme. This motivates identification routines to be performed only in offline experiments. On the other hand stable controllers do not guarantee parameter convergence to true parameters. Thus there is a need for a higher level abstraction for a control scheme which acts in stages and prioritizes various aspects at different stages. The stage abstraction for controller is inspired by human intuition towards dealing with control and identification simultaneously and hence …


A Numerical Study Of Microfluidic Droplet Motions In Parallel-Plate Electrowetting-On-Dielectric (Ewod) Devices, Yin Guan Jan 2015

A Numerical Study Of Microfluidic Droplet Motions In Parallel-Plate Electrowetting-On-Dielectric (Ewod) Devices, Yin Guan

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Dissertations - Archive

Microscale water droplet motions in parallel-plate electrowetting-on-dielectric (EWOD) devices including transport, splitting, merging and dispensing have been numerically studied. The transient governing equations for the microfluidic flow are solved by a finite volume scheme with a two-step projection method on a fixed computational domain. The interface between liquid and gas is tracked by a coupled level set and volume-of-fluid (CLSVOF) method. A continuum surface force (CSF) model is employed to model the surface tension at the interface. Contact angle hysteresis which is an essential component in EWOD modeling is implemented together with a simplified model for the viscous stresses exerted …


Improving Fracture Toughness Of Silicon Carbide Based Ceramics By Microstructure Tailoring, Sheikh Fahad Ferdous Jan 2015

Improving Fracture Toughness Of Silicon Carbide Based Ceramics By Microstructure Tailoring, Sheikh Fahad Ferdous

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Dissertations - Archive

Ceramic materials are one of the most promising materials for wide variety of technical applications such as automotive, aerospace, medical, and other applications. They have very high strengths and high melting points relative to metals. However, low fracture toughness is one of the main barriers of ceramics prohibiting their wide-spread applications. This is because ceramics are mainly bonded with directional bonds which don’t allow dislocations based deformation. Several attempts have been made to increase the toughness of ceramic materials without sacrificing significantly the other mechanical properties. Here three different types of SiC based ceramics have been computationally (atomistic and up-scaled …


Novel Device And Methods For Composite Material Characterization, Michael M. Tadros Jan 2015

Novel Device And Methods For Composite Material Characterization, Michael M. Tadros

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Dissertations - Archive

Composite materials have several advantages over metallic materials, with their high specific strength and ability to be elastically tailored to create advantageous structural responses. However, the widespread implementation of composite materials in primary structures is limited by our knowledge of how damage mechanisms interact and spread inside composite parts. To date, characterization has been conducted using one of two methods, surface measurements and subsurface measurements. Surface measurements cannot in general capture the failure of multidirectional composite laminates. Subsurface measurements allow for observations of the internal material structure and damage mechanisms inside the composite which might facilitate greater understanding of the …


Computational Analysis Of I.T. Rack Under Vibration Load, Framroz Meheryar Bharucha Jan 2015

Computational Analysis Of I.T. Rack Under Vibration Load, Framroz Meheryar Bharucha

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Theses - Archive

Structural failure of a rack due to vibration could result in injury to people, damage to IT equipment, or interruption of services that depend on proper functioning of the IT and networking equipment in the rack. In this topic, a computational study of an IT rack and a group of racks placed adjacent to each other under three vibration load scenarios: transportation, office and earthquake vibration is presented.Each rack can weigh as much as 1600 kg (3500 lb.) when fully populated with IT equipment. Two standards commonly used for testing racks with synthetic seismic loads are the GR-63-CORE Network Equipment …


Performance Analysis Of A Helium Cooled Vhtr Powered Brayton Cycle Topping Unit On An Existing Steam Cycle Using Numerical Propulsion System Simulation, Warren Romao Caetano Freitas Jan 2015

Performance Analysis Of A Helium Cooled Vhtr Powered Brayton Cycle Topping Unit On An Existing Steam Cycle Using Numerical Propulsion System Simulation, Warren Romao Caetano Freitas

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Theses - Archive

With the decommissioning of ageing coal power plants due to outdated technology and high levels of air pollution, the advantages of overhauling existing infrastructure is twofold. First, by providing an alternate, sustainable fuel source, like nuclear power, the problem of air pollution can be brought to check. Second, utilizing existing steam plant infrastructure reduces initial investment costs and allows investors to keep the existing steam plant running until the new infrastructure is ready to go online.The focus of this research is to design and analyze the topping cycle required to support an existing 300 MW power plant based on the …


Quantifying Air Flow Rate Through A Server In An Operational Data Center And Assessing The Impact Of Using Theoretical Fan Curve, Neha Shigrekar Jan 2015

Quantifying Air Flow Rate Through A Server In An Operational Data Center And Assessing The Impact Of Using Theoretical Fan Curve, Neha Shigrekar

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Theses - Archive

Cooling is one of the major cost factors in data centres that accounts for 37% of the total data centre electricity consumption. Demands on cooling systems have increased substantially in recent years, due to increasing server densities. To avoid the overheating of servers, cooling aisles are over provisioned, but little attention is paid to the actual scenario at the server level. Cooling requirements of the servers is calculated on the basis of fan manufacturer’s published data for the air flow capacity of the server fan and system impedance data obtained from the server designer put together. Thus, the air flow …


Performance Characteristics Of Single Effect Lithium Bromide/ Water Absorption Chiller For Small Data Centers, Abhishek Arun Babu Mysore Jan 2015

Performance Characteristics Of Single Effect Lithium Bromide/ Water Absorption Chiller For Small Data Centers, Abhishek Arun Babu Mysore

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Theses - Archive

A medium data center consists of servers performing operations such as file sharing, collaboration and email. There are a large number of small and medium data centers across the world which consume more energy and are less efficient when compared to large data center facilities of companies such as GOOGLE, APPLE and FACEBOOK. Such companies are making their data center facilities more environmental friendly by employing renewable energy solutions such as wind and solar to power the data center or in data center cooling. This not only reduces the carbon footprint significantly but also decreases the costs incurred over a …


Chip Package Interaction Study To Analyze The Mechanical Integrity Of A 3-D Tsv Package, Pavan Rajmane Jan 2015

Chip Package Interaction Study To Analyze The Mechanical Integrity Of A 3-D Tsv Package, Pavan Rajmane

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Theses - Archive

The convergence and miniaturization of computing and communications dictates building up rather than out. As planar device miniaturization continues to its ultimate limits, the complexity of circuit interconnections for 2-D devices becomes a limitation for performance and drives up power dissipation [1]. As the consumers demand more functions on their hand-held electronic devices, the need for more devices such as memory, CPU and GPU in hand-held type footprints is increasing. Chip-stacking (3-D) is emerging as a powerful tool that satiates such IC package requirements. A 3-D FPGA would overcome the interconnect limitations, resulting in greater silicon efficiency per function (number …


Experimental Study Of Quaternary Nitrate/Nitrite Molten Salt As Advanced Heat Transfer Fluid And Energy Storage Material In Concentrated Solar Power Plant, Sumeet Changla Jan 2015

Experimental Study Of Quaternary Nitrate/Nitrite Molten Salt As Advanced Heat Transfer Fluid And Energy Storage Material In Concentrated Solar Power Plant, Sumeet Changla

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Theses - Archive

Solar energy is used to produce electricity by two methods namely photovoltaic and concentrated solar power plant systems. Concentrated Solar power plants hold a distinct advantage over photovoltaic, which is that of energy storage. Energy can be stored in thermal energy storage system during day time and can be used to dispatch energy during peak demand and during raining or cloudy days to produce electricity. All concentrated solar power plants in operation use sensible heat storage method to store energy. Sensible heat storage system have been used in industry owing to ease of dispatch ability. Currently a binary mixture of …


Impact Of Viscoelastic Material Characterization Of Pcb's On Thermomechanical Properties Of Qfn Thick Package Under Thermal Cycling, Karthik Rajashekar Jan 2015

Impact Of Viscoelastic Material Characterization Of Pcb's On Thermomechanical Properties Of Qfn Thick Package Under Thermal Cycling, Karthik Rajashekar

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Theses - Archive

The QFN component package is a quad flat pack (QFP) with “no-leads”, where the electrical contact to the printed circuit board (PCB) is made through soldering of the lands underneath the package body rather than the traditional leads formed along the perimeter. The popularity of this device package style is primarily due to the superior electrical and thermal performance demonstrated. It is one of the most cutting-edge technologies emerged in the market, exhibiting high performance with unparalleled cost effectiveness. But using thick PCBs (>3mm) is detrimental to the package reliability. The motivation of this work is to understand and …


Liquid Cooling Of A High-Power Multi-Chip Module Using A Sectioned Cold Plate, Ananthavijayan Sridhar Jan 2015

Liquid Cooling Of A High-Power Multi-Chip Module Using A Sectioned Cold Plate, Ananthavijayan Sridhar

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Theses - Archive

With the advancement in micro-fabrication techniques and high performance chips, the heat flux generated through these electronics is reaching a point where air-cooling of these devices is not efficient enough. By definition, Multi-Chip Modules (MCMs) are specialized electronic packages where multiple Integrated-Circuits (ICs) and semiconductor dies are unified onto a single substrate. Increasing advancements in ICs enable MCMs as alternate packaging finding its application in high power electronics like power generation and cooling, medical devices, lasers and, military electronics etc. Hence, liquid cooling techniques are explored as possible solutions. In this study, a high power MCM is considered and, its …


Analysis Of Steady State Micro-Droplet Evaporation To Enhance Heat Dissipation From Tiny Surfaces., Harish Voota Jan 2015

Analysis Of Steady State Micro-Droplet Evaporation To Enhance Heat Dissipation From Tiny Surfaces., Harish Voota

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Experimental investigations and numerical predictions of steady state microdroplet evaporation experiments are presented. Steady state droplet evaporation experiments are conducted to understand (1) Droplet contact line influence on evaporation rate efficiency, (2) Droplet contact angle correlation to evaporation rate and (3) Substrate cooling. Experiments are performed on a polymer substrate with a moat like trench (laser patterned) to control droplet contact line dynamics. A bottom-up methodology is implemented for droplet formation on the patterned substrate. Droplet evaporation rates on substrate temperatures 22°C≤ ∆TSubstrate ≤75°C and contact angles 80°≤ Θ ≤110° are measured. For a pinned microdroplet (CCR), volumetric infuse rate …


Comparison Of Modeling Methods For Power Cycle Components Using Supercritical Carbon Dioxide As The Operating Fluid, Joshua Schmitt Jan 2015

Comparison Of Modeling Methods For Power Cycle Components Using Supercritical Carbon Dioxide As The Operating Fluid, Joshua Schmitt

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Supercritical carbon dioxide as a working fluid in a Brayton power cycle has benefits but also faces unique challenges in implementation. With carbon dioxide, turbomachinery is much more compact and potentially more cost effective. The primary impediments to cycle component performance are the high pressures required to bring the fluid to a supercritical state and the wildly varying fluid properties near the critical point. Simple design models are often used as a quick starting point for modern turbomachinery and heat exchanger design. These models are reasonably accurate for design estimate, but often assume constant properties. Since supercritical carbon dioxide varies …


Coordinated Optimal Power Planning Of Wind Turbines In A Wind Farm, Puneet Vishwakarma Jan 2015

Coordinated Optimal Power Planning Of Wind Turbines In A Wind Farm, Puneet Vishwakarma

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Wind energy is on an upswing due to climate concerns and increasing energy demands on conventional sources. Wind energy is attractive and has the potential to dramatically reduce the dependency on non-renewable energy resources. With the increase in wind farms there is a need to improve the efficiency in power allocation and power generation among wind turbines. Wake interferences among wind turbines can lower the overall efficiency considerably, while offshore conditions pose increased loading on wind turbines. In wind farms, wind turbines* wake affects each other depending on their positions and operation modes. Therefore it becomes essential to optimize the …


A Full Coverage Film Cooling Study: The Effect Of An Alternating Compound Angle, Justin Hodges Jan 2015

A Full Coverage Film Cooling Study: The Effect Of An Alternating Compound Angle, Justin Hodges

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

This thesis is an experimental and numerical full-coverage film cooling study. The objective of this work is the quantification of local heat transfer augmentation and adiabatic film cooling effectiveness for two full-coverage film cooling geometries. Experimental data was acquired with a scientific grade CCD camera, where images are taken over the heat transfer surface, which is painted with a temperature sensitive paint. The CFD component of this study served to evaluate how well the v2-f turbulence model predicted film cooling effectiveness throughout the array, as compared with experimental data. The two staggered arrays tested are different from one another through …


Combustion Kinetics Of Advanced Biofuels, Ghazal Barari Jan 2015

Combustion Kinetics Of Advanced Biofuels, Ghazal Barari

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Use of biofuels, especially in automotive applications, is a growing trend due to their potential to lower greenhouse gas emissions from combustion. Ketones are a class of biofuel candidates which are produced from cellulose. However, ketones received rather scarce attention from the combustion community compared to other classes such as, alcohols, esters, and ethers. There is little knowledge on their combustion performance and pollutant generation. Hence their combustion chemistry needs to be investigated in detail. Diisopropyl ketone (DIPK) is a promising biofuel candidate, which is produced using endophytic fungal conversion. A detailed understanding of the combustion kinetics of the oxidation …


Modeling Phase Change Heat Transfer Of Liquid/Vapor Systems In Free/Porous Media, James Wilson Jan 2015

Modeling Phase Change Heat Transfer Of Liquid/Vapor Systems In Free/Porous Media, James Wilson

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Effective solvent extraction incorporating electromagnetic heating is a relatively new concept that relies on Radio Frequency heating and solvents to replace steam in current thermal processes for the purpose of extracting bitumen from oil rich sands. The work presented here will further the understanding of the near wellbore flow of this two phase system in order to better predict solvent vaporization dynamics and heat rates delivered to the pay zone. This numerical study details the aspects of phase change of immiscible, two component, liquid/vapor systems confined in porous media heated by electromagnetic radiation, approximated by a spatially dependent volumetric heat …


Large Eddy Simulations With A Tabulated Conditional Moment Closure Moment Closure Model For Turbulent Premixed Combustion With Heat Loss, Carlos Velez Jan 2015

Large Eddy Simulations With A Tabulated Conditional Moment Closure Moment Closure Model For Turbulent Premixed Combustion With Heat Loss, Carlos Velez

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

The Tabulated Premixed Conditional Moment Closure (T-PCMC) method has been shown to provide the capability to predict turbulent, premixed methane flames with detailed chemistry and reasonable run times in a RANS/URANS adiabatic environment. Here the premixed T-PCMC method is extended in a Large Eddy Simulation (LES) framework for non-adiabatic premixed flames, allowing heat loss to occur in the mixture before, during and after combustion. It is proposed that the LES framework is a more suitable representation for both chemical and turbulent scales in premixed combustion. By resolving the high energy turbulent scales and modeling the small scale turbulence, it is …


Multi-Row Film Cooling Boundary Layers, Greg Natsui Jan 2015

Multi-Row Film Cooling Boundary Layers, Greg Natsui

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

High fidelity measurements are necessary to validate existing and future turbulence models for the purpose of producing the next generation of more efficient gas turbines. The objective of the present study is to conduct several different measurements of multi-row film cooling arrays in order to better understand the physics involved with injection of coolant through multiple rows of discrete holes into a flat plate turbulent boundary layer. Adiabatic effectiveness distributions are measured for several multi-row film cooling geometries. The geometries are designed with two different hole spacings and two different hole types to yield four total geometries. One of the …


Coalescence-Induced Jumping Of Droplet: Inertia And Viscosity Effects, Samaneh Farokhirad, Jeffrey F. Morris, Taehun Lee Jan 2015

Coalescence-Induced Jumping Of Droplet: Inertia And Viscosity Effects, Samaneh Farokhirad, Jeffrey F. Morris, Taehun Lee

Publications and Research

The problem of coalescence-induced self-propelled jumping of droplet is studied using three-dimensional numerical simulation. The focus is on the effect of inertia and in particular the effect of air density on the behavior of the merged droplet during jumping. A lattice Boltzmann method is used for two identical, static micro-droplets coalescing on a homogeneous substrate with contact angle ranging from 0◦ to 180◦. The results reveal that the effect of air density is significant on detachment of the merged droplet from the substrate at the later stage of the jumping process; the larger the air density, the larger the jumping …


Vibration Of Steel-Framed Floors Supporting Sensitive Equipment In Hospitals, Research Facilities, And Manufacturing Facilities, Di Liu Jan 2015

Vibration Of Steel-Framed Floors Supporting Sensitive Equipment In Hospitals, Research Facilities, And Manufacturing Facilities, Di Liu

Theses and Dissertations--Civil Engineering

Floors have traditionally been designed only for strength and deflection serviceability. As technological advances have been made in medical, scientific and micro-electronics manufacturing, many types of equipment have become sensitive to vibration of the supporting floor. Thus, vibration serviceability has become a routinely evaluated limit state for floors supporting sensitive equipment. Equipment vibration tolerance limits are sometimes expressed as waveform peak acceleration, and are more often expressed as narrowband spectral acceleration, or one-third octave spectral velocity.

Current floor vibration prediction methods, such as those found in the American Institute of Steel Construction Design Guide 11, Floor Vibrations Due to Human …


Cacti- And Shorebirds-Inspired Transports Of Liquid Drops And Two Related Fog Collectors, Xin Heng Jan 2015

Cacti- And Shorebirds-Inspired Transports Of Liquid Drops And Two Related Fog Collectors, Xin Heng

Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Dissertations - Archive

Motivated by what has been used in cacti and shorebirds to directionally manipulate water drops, we have explored two approaches to guide the movement of liquid drops. Based on these approaches, in addition to separating oil from its mixture with water, we have further developed two fog collectors. The first fog collector has a configuration similar to its counterpart in a cactus. This collector includes a large ZnO wire and an array of small ZnO wires that are branched on the large wire. All these wires have conical shapes, whose diameters gradually increase from the tip to the root of …


Compact Deployable Antenna For Cubesat Units, Sarah Bolton, Dominic Doty, Peter Rivera Jan 2015

Compact Deployable Antenna For Cubesat Units, Sarah Bolton, Dominic Doty, Peter Rivera

Mechanical Engineering

CubeSats are an appealing platform for space exploration due to their low build and launch costs. Due to their small size, communication rates are often severely limited, preventing missions beyond low earth orbit. A low cost, high gain, high frequency antenna is needed to extend the capabilities of CubeSats.

The goal of the project was to design and build an axisymmetric parabolic antenna that could be deployed from a 10cm x 10cm x 15cm (1.5U) volume and operate at Ka band frequencies. The design selected consisted of an expanding perimeter truss supporting a tensioned mesh reflector. The perimeter truss was …


Finite Element Analysis Of System-Level Electronic Packages For Space Applications, Adrien Lambert, Ahsan Mian, Justin Hogan, Todd Kaiser, Brock Lameres Jan 2015

Finite Element Analysis Of System-Level Electronic Packages For Space Applications, Adrien Lambert, Ahsan Mian, Justin Hogan, Todd Kaiser, Brock Lameres

Mechanical and Materials Engineering Faculty Publications

Thermal analysis was required in order to aid in the design and testing of a radiation tolerant computing (RTC) system using a radiation sensor. During development of the system, different test beds were employed in order to characterize the radiation sensor and its supporting electronic systems. The most common preliminary tests are high altitude balloon tests which allow the sensor to experience cosmic radiation at high altitudes, consistent with space flight operations. In this study, finite element analysis (FEA) was used to evaluate primary system architecture, system support structures, and the flight payload in order to determine if the system …


Simulation Of Infiltrating Rate Driven By Surface Tension-Viscosity Of Liquid Elements From The Titanium Group Into A Packed Bed, Arturo Medina Jan 2015

Simulation Of Infiltrating Rate Driven By Surface Tension-Viscosity Of Liquid Elements From The Titanium Group Into A Packed Bed, Arturo Medina

Open Access Theses & Dissertations

The simulation of infusion of molten reactive metals (e.g., yttrium) into a porous, carbide packed bed to create carbide and boride composites was studied at ultrahigh temperatures (>1700°C). The infusion was investigated through a computational fluid dynamic (CFD) system of capillary pores and compared to a predicted analytical calculation formulated by Selmak and Rhines. Simulations of two-phase flow penetration of yttrium into a packed bed of B4C were investigated and compared with titanium, zirconium, hafnium, and samarium liquids. The non-reactive, liquid metal infusion was primarily driven by the surface tension and viscosity. The liquid metal depth and rate of …


Design And Analysis Of A Novel Latch System Implementing Fiber-Reinforced Composite Materials, Francisco Guevara Jan 2015

Design And Analysis Of A Novel Latch System Implementing Fiber-Reinforced Composite Materials, Francisco Guevara

Open Access Theses & Dissertations

The use of fiber-reinforced composite materials have increased in the last four decades in high technology applications due to their exceptional mechanical properties and low weight. In the automotive industry carbon fiber have become popular exclusively in luxury cars because of its high cost. However, Carbon-glass hybrid composites offer an effective alternative to designers to implement fiber-reinforced composites into several conventional applications without a considerable price increase maintaining most of their mechanical properties. A door latch system is a complex mechanism that is under high loading conditions during car accidents such as side impacts and rollovers. Therefore, the Department of …


Relevance Of Blood Vessel Networks In Blast-Induced Traumatic Brain Injury, Yi Hua, Shengmao Lin, Linxia Gu Jan 2015

Relevance Of Blood Vessel Networks In Blast-Induced Traumatic Brain Injury, Yi Hua, Shengmao Lin, Linxia Gu

Department of Mechanical and Materials Engineering: Faculty Publications

Cerebral vasculature is a complex network that circulates blood through the brain. However, the role of this networking effect in brain dynamics has seldom been inspected. This work is to study the effects of blood vessel networks on dynamic responses of the brain under blast loading. Voronoi tessellations were implemented to represent the network of blood vessels in the brain. The brain dynamics in terms of maximumprincipal strain (MPS), shear strain (SS), and intracranial pressure (ICP) weremonitored and compared. Results show that blood vessel networks significantly affected brain responses.The increased MPS and SS were observed within the brain embedded with …


In Situ Longitudinal Pre-Stretch In The Human Femoropopliteal Artery, Alexey Kamenskiy, Andreas Seas, Grant Bowen, Paul Deegan, Anastasia Desyatova, Nick Bohlim, William Poulson, Jason N. Mactaggart Jan 2015

In Situ Longitudinal Pre-Stretch In The Human Femoropopliteal Artery, Alexey Kamenskiy, Andreas Seas, Grant Bowen, Paul Deegan, Anastasia Desyatova, Nick Bohlim, William Poulson, Jason N. Mactaggart

Department of Mechanical and Materials Engineering: Faculty Publications

In situ longitudinal (axial) pre-stretch (LPS) plays a fundamental role in the mechanics of the femoropopliteal artery (FPA). It conserves energy during pulsation and prevents buckling of the artery during limb movement. We investigated how LPS is affected by demographics and risk factors, and how these patient characteristics associate with the structural and physiologic features of the FPA. LPS was measured in n=148 fresh human FPAs (14–80 years old). Mechanical properties were characterized with biaxial extension and histopathological characteristics were quantified with Verhoeff-Van Gieson Staining. Constitutive modeling was used to calculate physiological stresses and stretches which were then analyzed …


Asphalt Composition, David Allen, Flavio Souza, Yong-Rak Kim, Roberto Soares Jan 2015

Asphalt Composition, David Allen, Flavio Souza, Yong-Rak Kim, Roberto Soares

Department of Mechanical and Materials Engineering: Faculty Publications

A computational method is provided for predicting roadway failure due to degradation of the roadway over time as a function of the input loads, the roadway geometry, the material properties of the constituents in the asphaltic pavement, the shape, distribution, orientation and volume fractions of the constituents, and environmental conditions. The unique and new feature of the method is that it employs several physically based predictive methodologies simultaneously.