Finance and Financial Management Commons^™

The Role Of Fiscal Policy In A Natural Disaster-Prone Economy, Dickson Lim

DLSU Business & Economics Review

Theoretical work done on the macroeconomic impact of natural disasters has neglected the role of fiscal policy in stabilizing other sectors of the economy. Although inclusion of a public sector with a fiscal authority in macroeconomic models is common in the literature, most of these models assume that government expenditures are unproductive in that they do not accrue to anyone but the government. In reality, for a model that incorporates natural disaster and foreign aid, having a productive fiscal authority that produces public goods and services, as well as infrastructure, is necessary to capture the real effects of foreign aid …

Deep Habits And Taxes: A Simulation Study, Lawrence B. Dacuycuy

DLSU Business & Economics Review

Using a calibrated dynamic model that embeds endogenous fiscal policy tools, this note provides simulation evidence on the effectiveness of tax and fiscal spending policies in determining key macroeconomic outcomes. The model was chosen because newly imposed taxes in the Philippines have affected the prices of consumption varieties and plausibly because of deep habits, the pricing policies of firms have become dynamic. Building upon the seminal model of Ravn, Schmitt-Grohe, and Uribe (2006), this note shows that preference structures do have a key role to play in determining the response of private consumption to endogenous fiscal policy. Results show that …

Can Government Bond Replace Rational Bubbles? The Empirical Investigation On Singapore And Thailand, Athakrit Thepmongkol, Pichet Kaytanyaluk

DLSU Business & Economics Review

This paper aims to test the theoretical policy implication on rational bubbles. Many works, including Caballero and Krishnamurthy (2006), Kocherlakota (2009), and Martin and Ventura (2011), suggested that government bonds can rule out rational bubbles. We constructed our own bubble index using the Fourier transformation technique and, as a result, found the empirical support of the theory in the case of Singapore, but not in the case of Thailand. For the case of Singapore, the credibility in an ability to collect tax and the appropriate yield of government bonds are keys to the effectiveness of such the anti-bubble policy. Moreover, …

How Does Value Relevance Of Accounting Information React To Financial Crisis?, Karl Louis Eugenio, Rhobe Mitch Ailarie Parel, Katrina Marie Reyes, Keith Brian Yu, Cynthia Cudia

DLSU Business & Economics Review

The relevance of financial reports rests on the value relevance of accounting information. Since accounting information is value relevant only when used by investors to reflect stock valuations, it takes trust from the users of financial information over the financial statements. The heightened volatility of markets during periods of financial distress or crisis raises the imperative to determine the value of financial information during these periods. The great recession of 2008 also victimized East Asia, and firm strategies were influenced by resulting economic shocks. In this study, we aim to determine how value relevance of accounting information differ before, during, …

Impact Of Cash Holding On Foreign Institutional Holding In Large Manufacturing Companies In India: An Empirical Study, Souvik Banerjee

DLSU Business & Economics Review

Foreign institutions are playing a major role in a number of emerging market economies these days. In India, their investment acts as one of the cornerstones of market movement. In this research paper, it is explored whether cash holding levels have a bearing on the foreign institutional holding in large manufacturing companies in India. Various factors like size, profitability, growth opportunity, lifecycle, prior dividend payout, leverage,and so forth are controlled. Data is analyzed for a period of 16 years starting from the financial year 2000–01. The analysis is done in the form of panel data. The findings of the empirical …

Anticipating Aging And Prospecting Pension For Retirement Well-Being, Roberto E. Javier Jr., Mitzie Irene Conchada, Melvin Jabar

DLSU Business & Economics Review

Filipino young and middle-aged adults anticipate old age positively as it is a mark of achievement in human life but negatively apprehend living through their old age, given the high incidence of poverty among the elderly in the Philippines. The issues surrounding the insurance system, income security, and social pension in old age were all related to unfavorable views about living through the aging years. In-depth group interviews (IGIs) conducted across cities and municipalities in the countryside generated conceptions about aging and concerns about becoming old in a society with no strong social protection for its graying population. A qualitative …

Assessing The Poverty And Distributional Impact Of Alternative Rice Policies In The Philippines, Caesar B. Cororaton, Krista Danielle S. Yu

DLSU Business & Economics Review

Philippine domestic prices of rice are significantly higher than world prices for similar rice quality. The WTO- approved Philippine rice waiver, which allows the government to continue its quantitative restrictions on rice imports, sustains

the price gap in rice and prolongs the heavy burden on poor consumers who spend a significant amount of their income on rice. The results of rice policy simulations using a CGE model with poverty microsimulation indicate that a tariffication of the quantitative restrictions on rice imports, which maintains the level of protection to the local paddy farmers and the utilization of the generated revenue as …

The Impacts Of Us Macroeconomic Announcements On Thai Bond Markets, Jaturapat Thanaboot

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study investigates the impact of US macroeconomic announcements both in terms of announcement day and surprise on Thai bond markets. More specifically, this paper analyses the different impacts of 16 US macroeconomic announcements on Thai bond markets. Using daily total returns on short- and long-term government bonds including investment-grade bond, I find that the overall US macroeconomic announcement days lower subsequent volatility in Thai bond markets while US macroeconomic announcement surprises raise volatility. Furthermore, after separating between types of US macroeconomic announcements, US inflation announcement days seem raise Thai bond market volatility while most of the negative US macroeconomic …

How Does Loan Portfolio Diversification Affect Bank Profitability?, Kornkanok Sittichobtham

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

No abstract provided.

The Impact Of Single Stock Futures Block Trade Transactions On Underlying’S Volatility And Return : Evidence From Stock Exchange Of Thailand, Chotiwit Jiratananuwong

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

After the introduction of Single Stock Futures Block trade into the market, the concern of futures trading which is a high leverage product has been being in attention among investors. This paper examines the impact of Block trade trading volume on underlying’s volatility and return by using linear regression model covering 86 stocks from year 2017-2019. For the impact on volatility, this paper use 2 different measurements of volatility to investigate the impact which is Parkinson variance estimator and 30 minutes price historical volatility. The results found a positive relation between Parkinson variance estimator and Block trade trading volume, and …

Equity Term Structure Of Property Funds And Reits In Thailand, Chenchai Chotchuangnava

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

The equity term structure of property funds and REITs in Thailand is upward-sloping. This result contradicts with various studies suggesting that the term structure of risk premia is decreasing. A tenet of those studies is that, by holding long-term equity, investors are willing to forego a part of the compensation to avoid immediate risks which seems to be reverse for property funds and REITs in Thailand. There is evidence that the correlation between size and return is positive. Unlike U.S. REIT, the momentum factor has no application to explain the difference in excess returns. High turnover property funds and REITs …

The Relation Between Portfolio Turnover And Mutual Fund Performance: Evidence From Thailand, Pailin Yapiangplook

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper examines whether the active management strategy can outperform the market by using turnover ratio as the proxy. Turnover ratio is the percentage of changing fund’s holding in a given year. Therefore, a high turnover ratio can indicate an active management. This paper will focus on an active equity fund in Thailand from 2010 to 2019. The first objective is to examine the effect of the different levels of turnover ratio on fund performance. This objective sorts mutual funds based on their turnover ratio. The findings are the performance of the high-turnover funds are indifferent from the low-turnover funds …

The Effect Of Petroleum And Petrochemical Prices On Abnormal Return And Firm Profitability, Chansiri Pruksaphong

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper extends the understanding of an impact of oil prices on stock market and financial performance of oil and gas firms over the past decade. Firstly, this paper investigates the impact of crude oil, petroleum and petrochemical prices on accounting measures of firm performance using a sample of refinery and petrochemical firms in Thailand. Secondly, it examines whether these commodity prices are an essential factors in explaining abnormal returns. The findings show that the price of crude oil and petrochemicals positively and significantly affect firm profitability performance as represented by Gross Integrated Margin (GIM), return on equity (ROE), and …

Bank Of Japan Intervention And Its Impact On Price Efficiency Of Underlying Stocks In Etfs, Kunyarat Ngamboriruk

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Price efficiency of stock market is one of classic stories in financial and economics world. This paper aims at quantitatively identify the impact of government intervention in stock market on price efficiency of the stocks rather than testing whether stock market is efficient or not. The government intervention in this paper is the intervention from the Bank of Japan to stimulate Japan’s economy through the purchase of ETFs. First, we test whether price efficiency of the underlying stocks in ETFs are improved or deteriorated as a result of the intervention. The results suggest that in aggregate stocks with high exposure …

Shareholder Involvement And M&A Announcement Returns : Evidence From Thailand, Chanon Thanaphumphong

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

How corporate governance mechanism helps prevent underperformance of acquiring firms is controversial, especially with little evidence in Asia-Pacific literature. I examined how shareholder involvement by means of mandatory shareholder voting (class 1) and required information disclosure (class 2) under the SET’s Acquisition and Disposition Rule affected the market reaction on mergers and acquisitions. I did not find significant differences in the CARs among transaction classes with different degree of shareholder involvement. The results were consistent both in univariate and multivariate analysis which deal- and firm-level factors are controlled. I investigated further and found that concentrated ownership in Thai firms did …

The Flow-Performance Relationship Of Etfs In International Market, Thaweeporn Krailaksanawarapar

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper uses sample from 15 countries from different regions around the world to examine how past performance of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) impact on their fund flow in the following period. Piecewise-linear regression following (Sirri & Tufano, 1998) which allow past performance to be non-linear are employed in the model to examine the different sensitivity of past performance ranking to flow. The evidence confirms that past bad-performing ETFs associate with outflow and past good-performing ETFs associate with inflow in the following period. Furthermore, I also find that investors are more sensitive to bad performers than good performers suggesting that there …

Characteristic Approach To High Risk Low Return Puzzle In Set, Putchara Poomgumarn

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Theoretically investing in high risk asset generates high return. However, actual payoff in market is in the opposite side. In several empirical studies documented high risk stocks paid low return even lower than the portfolio of the lowest volatile stocks. I examine whether the cause of this anomaly is the lottery stocks. Lottery stocks which are low price, high skewness and high kurtosis might be desired by many investors even institutional investors. The assumption is that this high demand of lottery stocks might push the price up and cause low average return finally. Therefore, I set up the hypothesis these …

Costly Signal In Open Market Repurchase: Evidence In Thailand, Thanawat Anavachapongpan

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Several studies argue that open market share repurchase has the lowest power to signal the inside information to the market. In this study I explore the market reaction to the announcement of stock repurchase plan with the firm’s characters argued in prior literature that they can increase the market confident. Referred from prior literatures, the stated motivation in the press release, insider “BUY” prior announcement, percentage of majority shareholder, and the amount of repurchasing plan are introduced to reflect the level of information signal sent by management. I find that investors have skepticism with an information sent via open market …

Do Thai Property Fund And Reit Investors Herd?, Palat Lertphitchaphong

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper is the first to examine herding behavior in Thai Property Fund and Real Estate Investment Trusts or REIT market for the period of 2015-2019. The empirical results suggest that those market is exhibit herding behavior significantly. The herding is present in both up and down market and also present in medium to high volume days. Besides, the herding is motivated by cross-sectional premium to NAV, however, on high dividend yield days as well. Herding on high dividend yield days also robust when controlled the dividend yield by the Government bond yield. These results are sensational as herding might …

Is There Risk Reduction In Conglomerate Acquisition?, Paskamon Luntavanich

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study examines risk effect in conglomerate acquisitions through portfolio diversification framework. We find that based on asset diversification potential, acquirers’ risks are expected to decline when they engage in diversifying acquisitions. Interestingly, our result suggests that focus acquisitions are also associated with firms’ risk decrease. With this finding, it indicates that asset diversification potential is also pronounced even when the two assets, i.e., firms from similar industry are combined together. In addition, our results suggest that risks are expected to decline more when diversified firms make further diversifying acquisitions than focus acquisitions but this evidence could not be observed …