Applied Statistics Commons^™

General Piecewise Growth Mixture Model: Word Recognition Development For Different Learners In Different Phases, Amery D. Wu, Bruno D. Zumbo, Linda S. Siegel

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The General Piecewise Growth Mixture Model (GPGMM), without losing generality to other fields of study, can answer six crucial research questions regarding children’s word recognition development. Using child word recognition data as an example, this study demonstrates the flexibility and versatility of the GPGMM in investigating growth trajectories that are potentially phasic and heterogeneous. The strengths and limitations of the GPGMM and lessons learned from this hands-on experience are discussed.

Bayesian Threshold Moving Average Models, Mahmoud M. Smadi, M. T. Alodat

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A Bayesian approach in threshold moving average model for time series with two regimes is provided. The posterior distribution of the delay and threshold parameters are used to examine and investigate the intrinsic characteristics of this nonlinear time series model. The proposed approach is applied to both simulated data and a real data set obtained from a chemical system. Key words: Threshold time series, moving average model, Bayesian

Bayesian Regression Analysis With Examples In S-Plus And R, Sheikh P. Ahmad, A. A. Khan, A. Ahmed

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

An extended version of normal theory Bayesian regression models, including extreme-value, logistic and normal regression models is examined. Methods proposed are illustrated numerically; the regression coefficient of pH on electrical conductivity (EC) of soil data is analyzed using both S-PLUS and R software.

Estimating Internal Consistency Using Bayesian Methods, Miguel A. Padilla, Guili Zhang

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Bayesian internal consistency and its Bayesian credible interval (BCI) are developed and Bayesian internal consistency and its percentile and normal theory based BCIs were investigated in a simulation study. Results indicate that the Bayesian internal consistency is relatively unbiased under all investigated conditions and the percentile based BCIs yielded better coverage performance.

A Simulation Study Of The Relative Efficiency Of The Minimized Integrated Square Error Estimator (L2e) For Phase I Control Charting, John N. Dyer

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Parameter estimates used in control charting, the sample mean and variance, are based on maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). Unfortunately, MLEs are not robust to contaminated data and can lead to improper conclusions regarding parameter values. This article proposes a more robust estimation technique; the minimized integrated square error estimator (L2E).

A Robust One-Sided Variability Control Chart, P. Borysov, Ping Sa

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A new control charting technique to monitor the variability of any distribution is proposed. The simulation study shows that the new method outperforms all the existing methods in controlling the Type I error rates and it also has good power performance for all distributions considered in the study.

A Statistical Model For Long-Term Forecasting Of Strong Sand Dust Storms, Siqi Tan

UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones

Dust elevated into the atmosphere by dust storms has numerous environmental consequences. These include contributing to climate change; modifying local weather conditions; producing chemical and biological changes in the oceans; and affecting soil formation, surface water, groundwater quality, crop growth, and survival (Goudie and Middleton, 1992). Societal impacts include disruptions to air, road and rail traffic; interruption of radio services; the myriad effects of static-electricity generation; property damage; and health effects on humans and animals (Warner, 2004).

In this thesis, we extend the idea of empirical recurrence rate (ERR), developed by Ho (2008), to model the temporal trend of the …

Empirical Methods For Predicting Student Retention- A Summary From The Literature, Matt Bogard

Economics Faculty Publications

The vast majority of the literature related to the empirical estimation of retention models includes a discussion of the theoretical retention framework established by Bean, Braxton, Tinto, Pascarella, Terenzini and others (see Bean, 1980; Bean, 2000; Braxton, 2000; Braxton et al, 2004; Chapman and Pascarella, 1983; Pascarell and Ternzini, 1978; St. John and Cabrera, 2000; Tinto, 1975) This body of research provides a starting point for the consideration of which explanatory variables to include in any model specification, as well as identifying possible data sources. The literature separates itself into two major camps including research related to the hypothesis testing …

Empirical Methods-A Review: With An Introduction To Data Mining And Machine Learning, Matt Bogard

Economics Faculty Publications

This presentation was part of a staff workshop focused on empirical methods and applied research. This includes a basic overview of regression with matrix algebra, maximum likelihood, inference, and model assumptions. Distinctions are made between paradigms related to classical statistical methods and algorithmic approaches. The presentation concludes with a brief discussion of generalization error, data partitioning, decision trees, and neural networks.

Collecting, Analyzing And Interpreting Bivariate Data From Leaky Buckets: A Project-Based Learning Unit, Florence Funmilayo Obielodan

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

Despite the significance and the emphasis placed on mathematics as a subject and field of study, achieving the right attitude to improve students‟ understanding and performance is still a challenge. Previous studies have shown that the problem cuts across nations around the world, both developing countries and developed alike. Teachers and educators of the subject have responsibilities to continuously develop innovative pedagogical approaches that will enhance students‟ interests and performance. Teaching approaches that emphasize real life applications of the subject have become imperative. It is believed that this will stimulate learners‟ interest in the subject as they will be able …

Comparing The Strength Of Association Of Two Predictors Via Smoothers Or Robust Regression Estimators, Rand R. Wilcox

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Consider three random variables, Y , X₁ and X₂, having some unknown trivariate distribution and let n²_j (j = 1, 2) be some measure of the strength of association between Y and X_j. When n²_j is taken to be Pearson’s correlation numerous methods for testing H_o : n²₁ = n²₂ have been proposed. However, Pearson’s correlation is not robust and the methods for testing H₀ are not level robust in general. This article examines methods for testing H₀ based on a robust fit. The …

Bias In Monte Carlo Simulations Due To Pseudo-Random Number Generator Initial Seed Selection, Jack C. Hill, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Pseudo-random number generators can bias Monte Carlo simulations of the standard normal probability distribution function with initial seeds selection. Five generator designs were initial-seeded with values from 10000_HEX to 1FFFF_HEX, estimates of the mean were calculated for each seed, the distribution of mean estimates was determined for each generator and simulation histories were graphed for selected seeds.

Matched-Pair Studies With Misclassified Ordinal Data, Tze-San Lee

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The problem of matched-pair studies with misclassified ordinal data is considered. Misclassification is assumed to occur only between the adjacent columns/rows. Bias-adjusted generalized odds ratio and a test for marginal homogeneity are presented to account for misclassification bias. Data from lambing records of 227 Merino ewes are used to illustrate how to calculate these bias-adjusted estimators and – because validation data are not available – a sensitivity analysis is conducted.

Weighting Large Datasets With Complex Sampling Designs: Choosing The Appropriate Variance Estimation Method, Sara Mann, James Chowhan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Using the Canadian Workplace and Employee Survey (WES), three variance estimation methods for weighting large datasets with complex sampling designs are compared: simple final weighting, standard bootstrapping and mean bootstrapping. Using a logit analysis, it is shown - depending on which weighting method is used - different predictor variables are significant. The potential lack of independence inherent in a multi-stage cluster sample design, as in the WES, results in a downward bias in the variance when conducting statistical inference (using the simple final weight), which in turn results in increased Type I errors. Bootstrap methods can account for the survey’s …

Model Diagnostics For Proportional And Partial Proportional Odds Models, Ann A. O'Connell, Xing Liu

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Although widely used to assist in evaluating the prediction quality of linear and logistic regression models, residual diagnostic techniques are not well developed for regression analyses where the outcome is treated as ordinal. The purpose of this article is to review methods of model diagnosis that may be useful in investigating model assumptions and in identifying unusual cases for PO and PPO models, and provide a corresponding application of these diagnostic methods to the prediction of proficiency in early literacy for children drawn from the kindergarten cohort of the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study (ECLS-K; NCES, 2000).

Using Finite Mixture Modeling To Deal With Systematic Measurement Error: A Case Study, Min Liu, Gregory R. Hancock, Jeffrey R. Harring

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Conventional methods and analyses view measurement error as random. A scenario is presented where a variable was measured with systematic error. Mixture models with systematic parameter constraints were used to test hypotheses in the context of general linear models; this accommodated the heterogeneity arising due to systematic measurement error.

One Is Not Enough: The Need For Multiple Respondents In Survey Research Of Organizations, Joseph L. Balloun, Hilton Barrett, Art Weinstein

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The need for multiple respondents per organization in organizational survey research is supported. Leadership teams’ ratings of their implementations of market orientation are examined, along with learning orientation, entrepreneurial management, and organizational flexibility. Sixty diverse organizations, including not-for-profit organizations in education and healthcare as well as manufacturing and service businesses, were included. The major finding was the large rating variance within the leadership teams of each organization. The results are enlightening and have definite implications for improved design of survey research on organizations.

Maximum Likelihood Solution For The Linear Structural Relationship With Three Parameters Known, Androulla Michaeloudis

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A maximum likelihood solution is obtained for the simple linear structural relation model where the underlying incidental distribution and one error variance are assumed known. Expressions for the asymptotic standard errors of the maximum likelihood estimates are obtained and these are verified using a simulation study.