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Using Cyclical Components To Improve The Forecasts Of The Stock Market And Macroeconomic Variables, Kenneth R. Szulczyk, Shibley Sadique 2018 Curtin University Malaysia

Using Cyclical Components To Improve The Forecasts Of The Stock Market And Macroeconomic Variables, Kenneth R. Szulczyk, Shibley Sadique

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Economic variables such as stock market indices, interest rates, and national output measures contain cyclical components. Forecasting methods excluding these cyclical components yield inaccurate out-of-sample forecasts. Accordingly, a three-stage procedure is developed to estimate a vector autoregression (VAR) with cyclical components. A Monte Carlo simulation shows the procedure estimates the parameters accurately. Subsequently, a VAR with cyclical components improves the root-mean-square error of out-of-sample forecasts by 50% for a stock market model with macroeconomic variables.


Comparison Of Multiple Imputation Methods For Categorical Survey Items With High Missing Rates: Application To The Family Life, Activity, Sun, Health And Eating (Flashe) Study, Benmei Liu, Erin Hennessy, April Oh, Laura A. Dwyer, Linda Nebeling 2018 National Cancer Institute

Comparison Of Multiple Imputation Methods For Categorical Survey Items With High Missing Rates: Application To The Family Life, Activity, Sun, Health And Eating (Flashe) Study, Benmei Liu, Erin Hennessy, April Oh, Laura A. Dwyer, Linda Nebeling

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Two multiple imputation methods, the Sequential Regression Multivariate Imputation Algorithm and the Cox-Lannacchione Weighted Sequential Hotdeck, were examined and compared to impute highly missing categorical variables from the Family Life, Activity, Sun, Health and Eating (FLASHE) study. This paper describes the imputation approaches and results from the study.


Dealing With Sensitive Quantitative Variables: A Comparison Of Sampling Designs For The Procedure Of Gupta And Thornton, Carlos Narciso Bouza Herrera, Prayas Sharma 2018 University of Havana

Dealing With Sensitive Quantitative Variables: A Comparison Of Sampling Designs For The Procedure Of Gupta And Thornton, Carlos Narciso Bouza Herrera, Prayas Sharma

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The use of randomized response procedures allows diminishing the number of non-responses and increasing the accuracy of the responses. A new sampling strategy is developed where the reports are scrambled using the procedure of Gupta and Thornton. The estimator of the mean as well as the errors are developed for the Rao-Hartley-Cochran and Ranked Sets Sampling designs. The proposals are compared with the original model based on the use of simple random sampling.


Bayesian And Semi-Bayesian Estimation Of The Parameters Of Generalized Inverse Weibull Distribution, Kamaljit Kaur, Kalpana K. Mahajan, Sangeeta Arora 2018 Panjab University, Chandigarh, India

Bayesian And Semi-Bayesian Estimation Of The Parameters Of Generalized Inverse Weibull Distribution, Kamaljit Kaur, Kalpana K. Mahajan, Sangeeta Arora

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Bayesian and semi-Bayesian estimators of parameters of the generalized inverse Weibull distribution are obtained using Jeffreys’ prior and informative prior under specific assumptions of loss function. Using simulation, the relative efficiency of the proposed estimators is obtained under different set-ups. A real life example is also given.


Overcoming Small Data Limitations In Heart Disease Prediction By Using Surrogate Data, Alfeo Sabay, Laurie Harris, Vivek Bejugama, Karen Jaceldo-Siegl 2018 Southern Methodist University

Overcoming Small Data Limitations In Heart Disease Prediction By Using Surrogate Data, Alfeo Sabay, Laurie Harris, Vivek Bejugama, Karen Jaceldo-Siegl

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, we present a heart disease prediction use case showing how synthetic data can be used to address privacy concerns and overcome constraints inherent in small medical research data sets. While advanced machine learning algorithms, such as neural networks models, can be implemented to improve prediction accuracy, these require very large data sets which are often not available in medical or clinical research. We examine the use of surrogate data sets comprised of synthetic observations for modeling heart disease prediction. We generate surrogate data, based on the characteristics of original observations, and compare prediction accuracy results achieved from ...


Minimizing The Perceived Financial Burden Due To Cancer, Hassan Azhar, Zoheb Allam, Gino Varghese, Daniel W. Engels, Sajiny John 2018 Southern Methodist University

Minimizing The Perceived Financial Burden Due To Cancer, Hassan Azhar, Zoheb Allam, Gino Varghese, Daniel W. Engels, Sajiny John

SMU Data Science Review

In this paper, we present a regression model that predicts perceived financial burden that a cancer patient experiences in the treatment and management of the disease. Cancer patients do not fully understand the burden associated with the cost of cancer, and their lack of understanding can increase the difficulties associated with living with the disease, in particular coping with the cost. The relationship between demographic characteristics and financial burden were examined in order to better understand the characteristics of a cancer patient and their burden, while all subsets regression was used to determine the best predictors of financial burden. Age ...


Wald Confidence Intervals For A Single Poisson Parameter And Binomial Misclassification Parameter When The Data Is Subject To Misclassification, Nishantha Janith Chandrasena Poddiwala Hewage 2018 Stephen F Austin State University

Wald Confidence Intervals For A Single Poisson Parameter And Binomial Misclassification Parameter When The Data Is Subject To Misclassification, Nishantha Janith Chandrasena Poddiwala Hewage

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

This thesis is based on a Poisson model that uses both error-free data and error-prone data subject to misclassification in the form of false-negative and false-positive counts. We present maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs), Fisher's Information, and Wald statistics for Poisson rate parameter and the two misclassification parameters. Next, we invert the Wald statistics to get asymptotic confidence intervals for Poisson rate parameter and false-negative rate parameter. The coverage and width properties for various sample size and parameter configurations are studied via a simulation study. Finally, we apply the MLEs and confidence intervals to one real data set and another ...


A Distance Based Method For Solving Multi-Objective Optimization Problems, Murshid Kamal, Syed Aqib Jalil, Syed Mohd Muneeb, Irfan Ali 2018 Aligarh Muslim University

A Distance Based Method For Solving Multi-Objective Optimization Problems, Murshid Kamal, Syed Aqib Jalil, Syed Mohd Muneeb, Irfan Ali

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A new model for the weighted method of goal programming is proposed based on minimizing the distances between ideal objectives to feasible objective space. It provides the best compromised solution for Multi Objective Linear Programming Problems (MOLPP). The proposed model tackles MOLPP by solving a series of single objective sub-problems, where the objectives are transformed into constraints. The compromise solution so obtained may be improved by defining priorities in terms of the weight. A criterion is also proposed for deciding the best compromise solution. Applications of the algorithm are discussed for transportation and assignment problems involving multiple and conflicting objectives ...


Estimation Of Finite Population Mean By Using Minimum And Maximum Values In Stratified Random Sampling, Umer Daraz, Javid Shabbir, Hina Khan 2018 Quaid-i-Azam University

Estimation Of Finite Population Mean By Using Minimum And Maximum Values In Stratified Random Sampling, Umer Daraz, Javid Shabbir, Hina Khan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In this paper we have suggested an improved class of ratio type estimators in estimating the finite population mean when information on minimum and maximum values of the auxiliary variable is known. The properties of the suggested class of estimators in terms of bias and mean square error are obtained up to first order of approximation. Two data sets are used for efficiency comparisons.


A Bayesian Beta-Mixture Model For Nonparametric Irt (Bbm-Irt), Ethan A. Arenson, George Karabatsos 2018 University of Illinois at Chicago

A Bayesian Beta-Mixture Model For Nonparametric Irt (Bbm-Irt), Ethan A. Arenson, George Karabatsos

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Item response models typically assume that the item characteristic (step) curves follow a logistic or normal cumulative distribution function, which are strictly monotone functions of person test ability. Such assumptions can be overly-restrictive for real item response data. A simple and more flexible Bayesian nonparametric IRT model for dichotomous items is introduced, which constructs monotone item characteristic (step) curves by a finite mixture of beta distributions, which can support the entire space of monotone curves to any desired degree of accuracy. An adaptive random-walk Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is proposed to estimate the posterior distribution of the model parameters. The Bayesian IRT ...


Robust Estimation And Inference On Current Status Data With Applications To Phase Iv Cancer Trial, Deo Kumar Srivastava, Liang Zhu, Melissa M. Hudson, Jianmin Pan, Shesh N. Rai 2018 St. Jude Children's Research Hospital

Robust Estimation And Inference On Current Status Data With Applications To Phase Iv Cancer Trial, Deo Kumar Srivastava, Liang Zhu, Melissa M. Hudson, Jianmin Pan, Shesh N. Rai

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The use of piecewise exponential distributions was proposed by Rai et al. (2013) for analyzing cardiotoxicity data. Some parametric models are proposed, but the focus is on the Weibull distribution, which overcomes the limitation of piecewise exponential.


Robust Heteroscedasticity Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator Based On Robust Mahalanobis Distance And Diagnostic Robust Generalized Potential Weighting Methods In Linear Regression, M. Habshah, Muhammad Sani, Jayanthi Arasan 2018 Universiti Putra Malaysia

Robust Heteroscedasticity Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator Based On Robust Mahalanobis Distance And Diagnostic Robust Generalized Potential Weighting Methods In Linear Regression, M. Habshah, Muhammad Sani, Jayanthi Arasan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The violation of the assumption of homoscedasticity and the presence of high leverage points (HLPs) are common in the use of regression models. The weighted least squares can provide the solution to heteroscedastic regression model if the heteroscedastic error structures are known. Based on Furno (1996), two robust weighting methods are proposed based on HLP detection measures (robust Mahalanobis distance based on minimum volume ellipsoid and diagnostic robust generalized potential based on index set equality (DRGP(ISE)) on robust heteroscedasticity consistent covariance matrix estimators. Results obtained from a simulation study and real data sets indicated the DRGP(ISE) method is ...


Fitting The Rasch Model Under The Logistic Regression Framework To Reduce Estimation Bias, Tianshu Pan 2018 Pearson

Fitting The Rasch Model Under The Logistic Regression Framework To Reduce Estimation Bias, Tianshu Pan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This article showed how and why the Rasch model can be fitted under the logistic regression framework. Then a penalized maximum likelihood (Firth 1993) for logistic regression models can also be used to reduce ML biases when fitting the Rasch model. These conclusions are supported by a simulation study.


Internal Consistency Reliability In Measurement: Aggregate And Multilevel Approaches, Georgios Sideridis, Abdullah Saddaawi, Khaleel Al-Harbi 2018 Harvard Medical School

Internal Consistency Reliability In Measurement: Aggregate And Multilevel Approaches, Georgios Sideridis, Abdullah Saddaawi, Khaleel Al-Harbi

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The purpose of the present paper was to evaluate the internal consistency reliability of the General Teacher Test assuming clustered and non-clustered data using commercial software (Mplus). Participants were 2,000 testees who were selected using random sampling from a larger pool of examinees (more than 65k). The measure involved four factors, namely: (a) planning for learning, (b) promoting learning, (c) supporting learning, and (d) professional responsibilities and was hypothesized to comprise a unidimensional instrument assessing generalized skills and competencies. Intra-class correlation coefficients and variance ratio statistics suggested the need to incorporate a clustering variable (i.e., university) when evaluating ...


Regressions Regularized By Correlations, Stan Lipovetsky 2018 GfK North America

Regressions Regularized By Correlations, Stan Lipovetsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The regularization of multiple regression by proportionality to correlations of predictors with dependent variable is applied to the least squares objective and normal equations to relax the exact equalities and to get a robust solution. This technique produces models not prone to multicollinearity and is very useful in practical applications.


An Explanatory Study On The Non-Parametric Multivariate T2 Control Chart, Abdolrasoul Mostajeran, Nasrolah Iranpanah, Rassoul Noorossana 2018 Department of Statistics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran

An Explanatory Study On The Non-Parametric Multivariate T2 Control Chart, Abdolrasoul Mostajeran, Nasrolah Iranpanah, Rassoul Noorossana

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Most control charts require the assumption of normal distribution for observations. When distribution is not normal, one can use non-parametric control charts such as sign control chart. A deficiency of such control charts could be the loss of information due to replacing an observation with its sign or rank. Furthermore, because the chart statistics of T2 are correlated, the T2 chart is not a desire performance. Non-parametric bootstrap algorithm could help to calculate control chart parameters using the original observations while no assumption regarding the distribution is needed. In this paper, first, a bootstrap multivariate control chart is ...


Optimum Stratification In Bivariate Auxiliary Variables Under Neyman Allocation, Faizan Danish, S.E.H. Rizvi 2018 Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Sciences and Technology of Jammu, J&K India

Optimum Stratification In Bivariate Auxiliary Variables Under Neyman Allocation, Faizan Danish, S.E.H. Rizvi

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In several situations complete data set of the study variable is unknown that becomes a stumbling block in various stratification techniques in order to obtain stratification points on two way stratification method. In this paper a technique has been proposed under Neyman allocation when the stratification is done oj the two auxiliary variable having one estimation variable under consideration. Due to complexities created by minimal equations approximate optimum strata boundaries has been obtained. Empirical study has been done to illustrate the proposed method when the auxiliary variables have standard Cauchy and power distributions.


A New Lifetime Distribution For Series System: Model, Properties And Application, Adil Rashid, Zahooor Ahmad, T R. Jan 2018 University of Kashmir, Srinagar, India

A New Lifetime Distribution For Series System: Model, Properties And Application, Adil Rashid, Zahooor Ahmad, T R. Jan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A new lifetime distribution for modeling system lifetime in series setting is proposed that embodies most of the compound lifetime distribution. The reliability analysis of parent and of sub-models has also been discussed. Various mathematical properties that include moment generating function, moments, and order statistics have been obtained. The newly-proposed distribution has a flexible density function; more importantly its hazard rate function can take up different shapes such as bathtub, upside down bathtub, increasing, and decreasing shapes. The unknown parameters of the proposed generalized family have been estimated through MLE technique. The strength and usefulness of the proposed family was ...


Sample Size For Non-Inferiority Tests For One Proportion: A Simulation Study, Özlem Güllü, Mustafa Agah Tekindal 2018 Department of Statistics, University of Ankara, Turkey

Sample Size For Non-Inferiority Tests For One Proportion: A Simulation Study, Özlem Güllü, Mustafa Agah Tekindal

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The objective of non-inferiority trials is to demonstrate the efficiency of a novel treatment whether it is acceptably less or more efficient than a control or active (existing) treatment. They are employed in situations where, when compared to the active treatment, the novel treatment is to be advantageous with higher rates of reliability, compatibility, cost-efficiency, etc. Odds ratio is the most significant measure used in investigating the size of efficiency of treatments relative to one another. The purpose of the study is to calculate and evaluate the sample size under different scenarios based on three different test statistics in non-inferiority ...


Single Missing Data Imputation In Pls-Based Structural Equation Modeling, Ned Kock 2018 Texas A & M International University, Laredo

Single Missing Data Imputation In Pls-Based Structural Equation Modeling, Ned Kock

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Missing data, a source of bias in structural equation modeling (SEM) employing the partial least squares method (PLS), are commonly handled with deletion methods such as listwise and pairwise deletion. Missing data imputation methods do not resort to deletion. Five single missing data imputation methods are considered employing the PLS Mode A algorithm of which two hierarchical methods are new. The results of a Monte Carlo experiment suggest that Multiple Regression Imputation yielded the least biased mean path coefficient estimates, followed by Arithmetic Mean Imputation. With respect to mean loading estimates, Arithmetic Mean Imputation yielded the least biased results, followed ...


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