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Moneyball For Creative Writers: A Statistical Strategy For Publishing Your Work, Jon Wesick 2017 Claremont Colleges

Moneyball For Creative Writers: A Statistical Strategy For Publishing Your Work, Jon Wesick

Journal of Humanistic Mathematics

Writers face a challenge getting their poems and stories published. Rather than following the traditional strategy I model creative writing submission as a statistical process and explore the use of numerical metrics to maximize publications.


2014 Reporting Of Sexual Assault: Institutional Comparisons, M. E. Karns 2017 Cornell University

2014 Reporting Of Sexual Assault: Institutional Comparisons, M. E. Karns

Research Studies and Reports

Institutions of higher education are required to submit annual reports of sexual assault crimes to the Department of Education under the Clery Act. The Department of Education makes this data publicly available. Two primary measures are used to assess reporting of assault on campus: the Assault Reporting Ratio (ARR) and the Reporting Rate per 10,000 students (R10K). These measures are easily calculated and can be used to assess practices and policies that impact the reporting of sexual assault on campus.

The ARR and R10K are rate comparisons, a method widely used in public health. These rate comparisons measure how ...


Statistics-Bierce Library Study, Tyler J. Hushour 2017 University of Akron

Statistics-Bierce Library Study, Tyler J. Hushour

Honors Research Projects

This is a report from two surveys that I created and administered to students and faculty at Bierce library who came to the Circulation Desk or the Tech Desk, as well as some of my other findings when periodically looking around the library to see where students like to study or hang-out. There was a written survey given at the Circulation Desk, and a different survey given at the Tech Check-Out Desk. The project is for Melanie Smith-Farrell, the head of Access Services, and is based on a similar study Ian McCullough did in the science library. While this is ...


Penalized Nonparametric Scalar-On-Function Regression Via Principal Coordinates, Philip T. Reiss, David L. Miller, Pei-Shien Wu, Wen-Yu Hua 2016 New York University School of Medicine

Penalized Nonparametric Scalar-On-Function Regression Via Principal Coordinates, Philip T. Reiss, David L. Miller, Pei-Shien Wu, Wen-Yu Hua

Philip T. Reiss

A number of classical approaches to nonparametric regression have recently been extended to the case of functional predictors. This paper introduces a new method of this type, which extends intermediate-rank penalized smoothing to scalar-on-function regression. The core idea is to regress the response on leading principal coordinates defined by a relevant distance among the functional predictors, while applying a ridge penalty. Our publicly available implementation, based on generalized additive modeling software, allows for fast optimal tuning parameter selection and for extensions to multiple functional predictors, exponential family-valued responses, and mixed-effects models. In an application to signature verification data, the proposed ...


What Affects Parents’ Choice Of Milk? An Application Of Bayesian Model Averaging, Yingzhe Cheng 2016 University of New Mexico

What Affects Parents’ Choice Of Milk? An Application Of Bayesian Model Averaging, Yingzhe Cheng

Mathematics & Statistics ETDs

This study identifies the factors that influence parents’ choice of milk for their children, using data from a unique survey administered in 2013 in Hunan province, China. In this survey, we identified two brands of milk, which differ in their prices and safety claims by the producer. Data were collected on parents’ choice of milk between the two brands, demographics, attitude towards food safety and behaviors related to food. Stepwise model selection and Bayesian model averaging (BMA) are used to search for influential factors. The two approaches consistently select the same factors suggested by an economic theoretical model, including price ...


Review Of: Charles R. Bennett, Risks In The Environment: How To Assess Them, Penny Dean 2016 University of New Hampshire

Review Of: Charles R. Bennett, Risks In The Environment: How To Assess Them, Penny Dean

RISK: Health, Safety & Environment

Review of: Charles R. Bennett, Risks in the Environment: How to Assess Them (Burloak Publications 1996). Appendices, references for the appendices, prologue. ISBN 0-9680438-0-1 [305 pp. Paper $23.95. 277 Belvenia Rd., Burlington, Ontario.]


An Examination Of The Neural Unreliability Thesis Of Autism, John Butler, Sophie Molholm, Gizely Andrade, John J. Foxe 2016 Dublin Institute of Technology

An Examination Of The Neural Unreliability Thesis Of Autism, John Butler, Sophie Molholm, Gizely Andrade, John J. Foxe

Articles

An emerging neuropathological theory of Autism, referred to here as “the neural unreliability thesis,” proposes greater variability in moment-to-moment cortical representation of environmental events, such that the system shows general instability in its impulse response function. Leading evidence for this thesis derives from functional neuroimaging, a methodology ill-suited for detailed assessment of sensory transmission dynamics occurring at the millisecond scale. Electrophysiological assessments of this thesis, however, are sparse and unconvincing. We conducted detailed examination of visual and somatosensory evoked activity using high-density electrical mapping in individuals with autism (N = 20) and precisely matched neurotypical controls (N = 20), recording large numbers ...


A Multi-Indexed Logistic Model For Time Series, Xiang Liu 2016 East Tennessee State University

A Multi-Indexed Logistic Model For Time Series, Xiang Liu

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

In this thesis, we explore a multi-indexed logistic regression (MILR) model, with particular emphasis given to its application to time series. MILR includes simple logistic regression (SLR) as a special case, and the hope is that it will in some instances also produce significantly better results. To motivate the development of MILR, we consider its application to the analysis of both simulated sine wave data and stock data. We looked at well-studied SLR and its application in the analysis of time series data. Using a more sophisticated representation of sequential data, we then detail the implementation of MILR. We compare ...


A Traders Guide To The Predictive Universe- A Model For Predicting Oil Price Targets And Trading On Them, Jimmie Harold Lenz 2016 Washington University in St. Louis

A Traders Guide To The Predictive Universe- A Model For Predicting Oil Price Targets And Trading On Them, Jimmie Harold Lenz

Doctor of Business Administration Dissertations

At heart every trader loves volatility; this is where return on investment comes from, this is what drives the proverbial “positive alpha.” As a trader, understanding the probabilities related to the volatility of prices is key, however if you could also predict future prices with reliability the world would be your oyster. To this end, I have achieved three goals with this dissertation, to develop a model to predict future short term prices (direction and magnitude), to effectively test this by generating consistent profits utilizing a trading model developed for this purpose, and to write a paper that anyone with ...


Applying Ahp And Clustering Approaches For Public Transportation Decisionmaking: A Case Study Of Isfahan City, Alireza Salavati, Hossein Haghshenas, Bahador Ghadirifaraz, Jamshid Laghaei, Ghodrat Eftekhari 2016 Isfahan Dept. of Transportation and Traffic

Applying Ahp And Clustering Approaches For Public Transportation Decisionmaking: A Case Study Of Isfahan City, Alireza Salavati, Hossein Haghshenas, Bahador Ghadirifaraz, Jamshid Laghaei, Ghodrat Eftekhari

Journal of Public Transportation

The main purpose of this paper is to define appropriate criteria for the systematic approach to evaluate and prioritize multiple candidate corridors for public transport investment simultaneously to serve travel demand, regarding supply of current public transportation system and road network conditions of Isfahan, Iran. To optimize resource allocation, policymakers need to identify proper corridors to implement a public transportation system. In fact, the main question is to adopt the best public transportation system for each main corridor of Isfahan. In this regard, 137 questionnaires were completed by experts, directors, and policymakers of Isfahan to identify goals and objectives in ...


Gathering Steam In Health Care: A Student History, Michael J. Leach 2016 Bendigo Health

Gathering Steam In Health Care: A Student History, Michael J. Leach

The STEAM Journal

In this reflection, I demonstrate STEAM in health care by outlining my 15 years as a university student engaged in formal education, extracurricular learning, research, and employment.


Effects Of Prescribed Fire On The Forest Structure And Composition At Land Between The Lakes National Recreation Area, Ky, Miranda Thompson 2016 Murray State University

Effects Of Prescribed Fire On The Forest Structure And Composition At Land Between The Lakes National Recreation Area, Ky, Miranda Thompson

Honors College Theses

With a regular fire regime present on the landscape, open canopies and herbaceous understories characterize oak forests in western Kentucky. However, a long period of fire suppression has changed the structure and composition of many forests in the Southeast. Forest managers at Land Between the Lakes have started using prescribed fire in an attempt to replicate aspects of a natural fire regime and increase the amount of open oak woodlands and savannas in the area. The prescribed fires in our study area were conducted during the dormant season and are very low intensity ground fires.

To understand how prescribed fire ...


Some Remarks On Rao And Lovric’S ‘Testing Point Null Hypothesis Of A Normal Mean And The Truth: 21st Century Perspective’, Bruno D. Zumbo, Edward Kroc 2016 University of British Columbia

Some Remarks On Rao And Lovric’S ‘Testing Point Null Hypothesis Of A Normal Mean And The Truth: 21st Century Perspective’, Bruno D. Zumbo, Edward Kroc

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Although we have much to agree with in Rao and Lovric’s important discussion of the test of point null hypotheses, it stirred us to provide a way out of their apparent Zero probability paradox and cast the Hodges-Lehmann paradigm from a Serlin-Lapsley approach. We close our remarks with an eye toward a broad perspective.


Within Groups Anova When Using A Robust Multivariate Measure Of Location, Rand Wilcox, Timothy Hayes 2016 University of Southern California

Within Groups Anova When Using A Robust Multivariate Measure Of Location, Rand Wilcox, Timothy Hayes

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

For robust measures of location associated with J dependent groups, various methods have been proposed that are aimed at testing the global hypothesis of a common measure of location applied to the marginal distributions. A criticism of these methods is that they do not deal with outliers in a manner that takes into account the overall structure of the data. Location estimators have been derived that deal with outliers in this manner, but evidently there are no simulation results regarding how well they perform when the goal is to test the some global hypothesis. The paper compares four bootstrap methods ...


Longitudinal Stability Of Effect Sizes In Education Research, Joshua Stephens 2016 Cleveland State University

Longitudinal Stability Of Effect Sizes In Education Research, Joshua Stephens

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Educators use meta-analyses to decide best practices. It has been suggested that effect sizes have declined over time due to various biases. This study applies an established methodological framework to educational meta-analyses and finds that effect sizes have increased from 1970–present. Potential causes for this phenomenon are discussed.


A New Estimator Of The Population Mean: An Application To Bioleaching Studies, Amer I. Al-Omari, Carlos N. Bouza, Dante Covarrubias, Roma Pal 2016 Al al-Bayt University, Mafraq, Jordan

A New Estimator Of The Population Mean: An Application To Bioleaching Studies, Amer I. Al-Omari, Carlos N. Bouza, Dante Covarrubias, Roma Pal

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The multistage balanced groups ranked set samples (MBGRSS) method is considered for estimating the population mean for samples of size m = 3k where k is a positive real integer. It is compared with the simple random sampling (SRS) and ranked set sampling (RSS) schemes. For the symmetric distributions considered in this study, the MBGRSS estimator is an unbiased estimator of the population mean and it is more efficient than SRS and RSS methods based on the same number of measured units. Its efficiency is increasing in s for fixed value of the sample size, where s is the number ...


A Comprehensive Review Of The Two-Sample Independent Or Paired Binary Data, With Or Without Stratum Effects, Dewi Rahardja, Ying Yang, Zhiwei Zhang 2016 U.S. Department of Defense

A Comprehensive Review Of The Two-Sample Independent Or Paired Binary Data, With Or Without Stratum Effects, Dewi Rahardja, Ying Yang, Zhiwei Zhang

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Various statistical hypotheses testing for discrete or categorical or binary data have been extensively discussed in the literature. A comprehensive review is given for the two-sample binary or categorical data testing methods on data with or without Stratum Effects. The review includes traditional methods such as Fisher’s Exact, Pearson’s Chi-Square, McNemar, Bowker, Stuart-Maxwell, Breslow-Day and, Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel, as well as newly developed ones. We also provide the roadmap, in a figure or diagram format to which methods are available in the literature. In addition, the implementation of these methods in popular statistical software packages such as SAS and/or ...


Vol. 15, No. 2 (Full Issue), JMASM Editors 2016 Wayne State University

Vol. 15, No. 2 (Full Issue), Jmasm Editors

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

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Optimal Estimation And Sampling Allocation In Survey Sampling Under A General Correlated Superpopulation Model, Ioulia Papageorgiou 2016 Athens University of Economics and Business (AUEB)

Optimal Estimation And Sampling Allocation In Survey Sampling Under A General Correlated Superpopulation Model, Ioulia Papageorgiou

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Sampling from a finite population with correlated units is addressed. The proposed methodology applies to any type of correlation function and provides the sample allocation that ensures optimal efficiency of the population parameters estimates. The expressions of the estimate and its MSE are also provided.


Doubly Censored Data From Two-Component Mixture Of Inverse Weibull Distributions: Theory And Applications, Tabassum Sindhu, Navid Feroze, Muhammad Aslam 2016 Government Post Graduate College Muzaffarabad, Azad Kashmir, Pakistan

Doubly Censored Data From Two-Component Mixture Of Inverse Weibull Distributions: Theory And Applications, Tabassum Sindhu, Navid Feroze, Muhammad Aslam

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Finite mixture distributions consist of a weighted sum of standard distributions and are a useful tool for reliability analysis of a heterogeneous population. They provide the necessary flexibility to model failure distributions of components with multiple failure models. The analysis of the mixture models under Bayesian framework has received sizable attention in the recent years. However, the Bayesian estimation of the mixture models under doubly censored samples has not yet been introduced in the literature. The main objective of this paper is to discuss the Bayes estimation of the inverse Weibull mixture distributions under doubly censoring. Different priors and loss ...


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