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Systemic Risk Assessment Using A Non-Stationary Fractional Dynamic Stochastic Model For The Analysis Of Economic Signals, Jonathan Blackledge 2010 Technological University Dublin

Systemic Risk Assessment Using A Non-Stationary Fractional Dynamic Stochastic Model For The Analysis Of Economic Signals, Jonathan Blackledge

Articles

This paper considers the Fractal Market Hypothesis (FMH) for assessing the risk(s) in developing a financial portfolio based on data that is available through the Internet from an increasing number of sources. Most financial risk management systems are still based on the Efficient Market Hypothesis which often fails due to the inaccuracies of the statistical models that underpin the hypothesis, in particular, that financial data are based on stationary Gaussian processes. The FMH considered in this paper assumes that financial data are non-stationary and statistically self-affine so that a risk analysis can, in principal, be applied at any time scale …


An Experimental Analysis Of The Demand For Payday Loans, Bart J. Wilson, David W. Findlay, James W. Meehan Jr., Charissa P. Wellford, Karl Schurter 2010 Chapman University

An Experimental Analysis Of The Demand For Payday Loans, Bart J. Wilson, David W. Findlay, James W. Meehan Jr., Charissa P. Wellford, Karl Schurter

Economics Faculty Articles and Research

The payday loan industry is one of the fastest growing segments of the consumer financial services market in the United States. We design an environment similar to the one that payday loan customers face and then conduct a laboratory experiment to examine what effect, if any, the existence of payday loans has on individuals' abilities to manage and to survive financial setbacks. Our primary objective is to examine whether access to payday loans improves or worsens the likelihood of financial survival in our experiment. We also test the degree to which people's use of payday loans affects their ability to …


The Premium, Breakeven, And Discount Exchange Rates Of The Mexican Peso In The El Paso Retail Sector, Raul Anton Munoz 2010 University of Texas at El Paso

The Premium, Breakeven, And Discount Exchange Rates Of The Mexican Peso In The El Paso Retail Sector, Raul Anton Munoz

Open Access Theses & Dissertations

This paper studies the exchange rates at which Mexican pesos are accepted by different retail sectors in El Paso, Texas. A random sample of 1,155 firms was surveyed to examine two aspects of reverse dollarization in the El Paso/Juarez border region. The first is to determine the percentage of retail businesses in El Paso that accept foreign currency in the form of Mexican pesos. The second is to calculate the effective exchange rate at which firms accept Mexican pesos. Out of 1,155 retail firms surveyed, 586 responses were obtained. The results of this investigation suggest that less than 14 percent …


Procrastination Does Pay Sometimes: How The Delay In Implementing Basel Ii Reduced The Effect Of The Subprime Financial Crisis, Raymond Bart Simmons 2010 University of Arkansas, Fayetteville

Procrastination Does Pay Sometimes: How The Delay In Implementing Basel Ii Reduced The Effect Of The Subprime Financial Crisis, Raymond Bart Simmons

Inquiry: The University of Arkansas Undergraduate Research Journal

Basel II, a major international regulatory capital revision, was supposed to have been implemented in the U.S. by 2004, but delays pushed it back more than five years. Basel II could have lowered minimum capital standards and made the largest banks even more vulnerable to the subprime financial crisis and economic downturn had it been adopted before its onset in 2007. Consequently, the procrastination in implementing Basel II made the banking industry more stable as it entered the financial crisis. In this study, the assets of the 11 largest bank holding companies at year-end 2006 were separated into broad asset …


Aplikasi Al-Mudarabah Dan Al-Musyarakah Dalam Produk-Produk Perbankan Islam : Kajian Di Bank Muamalat Indonesia, Jakarta., Sarwedi Hasibuan 2010 Universiti Malaya

Aplikasi Al-Mudarabah Dan Al-Musyarakah Dalam Produk-Produk Perbankan Islam : Kajian Di Bank Muamalat Indonesia, Jakarta., Sarwedi Hasibuan

Student Works (2010-2019)

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Private Equity Transaction Bankruptcy Risk Prediction, Lewis A. Corson 2010 Claremont McKenna College

Private Equity Transaction Bankruptcy Risk Prediction, Lewis A. Corson

CMC Senior Theses

This study utilizes a sample of private equity backed acquisitions to test whether certain factors, evaluated and quantified on the date of transaction completion, serve as indicators of future transaction bankruptcy. The results of this paper suggest that the effective federal funds rate is significantly and positively correlated with the bankruptcy of private equity backed transactions. Other measured factors specific to the private equity sponsor, the target firm in the acquisition and the characteristics of the transaction are found to be insignificant. Analysis on the influence of these factors is performed using two types of binary-response models, which predict the …


List Prices, Sale Prices And Marketing Time: An Application To U.S. Housing Markets, Donald R. Haurin, Jessica L. Haurin, Taylor Nadauld, Anthony Sanders 2010 The Ohio State University

List Prices, Sale Prices And Marketing Time: An Application To U.S. Housing Markets, Donald R. Haurin, Jessica L. Haurin, Taylor Nadauld, Anthony Sanders

Faculty Publications

Many goods are marketed after first stating a list price, with the expectation that the eventual sales price will differ. In this article, we first present a simple model of search behavior that includes the seller setting a list price. Holding constant the mean of the buyers’ distribution of potential offers for a good, we assume that the greater the list price, the slower the arrival rate of offers but the greater is the maximal offer. This trade-off determines the optimal list price, which is set simultaneously with the seller’s reservation price. Comparative statics are derived through a set of …


Inventory Management Effects, Isolated: Evidence From The Federal Funds Market, Yaman Ö. Erzurumlu, Vladimir Kotomin 2010 Doğuş University

Inventory Management Effects, Isolated: Evidence From The Federal Funds Market, Yaman Ö. Erzurumlu, Vladimir Kotomin

Faculty Publications – Finance, Insurance, and Law

The federal funds market is highly competitive, has uniform information, and does not have most order-processing cost components of equity markets. Hence, it provides an opportunity to study the effect of inventory management on the bid-ask spread in an isolated fashion. Using a unique data set of daily borrowing and lending federal funds quotes posted by a large commercial bank, we find that the bank maintains a fairly constant bid-ask spread throughout a two-week reserve maintenance period. It acts similarly to a market maker facilitating flow of funds between depository institutions throughout the reserve maintenance period. The bank becomes more …


The Impact Of Macroeconomic Uncertainty On Firms Changes In Financial Leverage, Atreya Chakraborty 2010 University of Massachusetts, Boston

The Impact Of Macroeconomic Uncertainty On Firms Changes In Financial Leverage, Atreya Chakraborty

Accounting and Finance Faculty Publication Series

We investigate the relationship between a firm’s measures of corporate gov- ernance, macroeconomic uncertainty and changes in leverage. Recent research highlights the role of governance in financing decisions. Previous research also indicates that macroeconomic uncertainty affects a firm’s ability to borrow. In this paper we investigate how both these channels of influence affects firms’ financing decisions. Our findings show that macroeconomic uncertainty has an important role to play, both by itself and in interaction with a measure of corporate governance.


Human Resource Management Practices: Drivers For Stimulating Corporate Entrepreneurship In Large Companies In The Philippines, Divina M. Edralin 2010 De La Salle University

Human Resource Management Practices: Drivers For Stimulating Corporate Entrepreneurship In Large Companies In The Philippines, Divina M. Edralin

DLSU Business & Economics Review

Leading companies in the Philippines have realized that nurturing an entrepreneurial culture through the implementation of various strategic human resource management (HRM) practices will enhance their firm’s ability to gain competitive advantage and achieve superior performance. This study attempted to determine the degree to which various HRM practices stimulate corporate entrepreneurship and which HRM function is the most significant driver of corporate entrepreneurship (CE) in large companies in the Philippines. Findings reveal that the companies are extensively implementing different practices related to HRM functions that cultivate CE. Employee relations, training and development, and recruitment and selection HRM functions are found …


Airline Bankruptcy: The Determining Factors Leading To An Airline's Decline, Jason Tolkin 2010 Claremont McKenna College

Airline Bankruptcy: The Determining Factors Leading To An Airline's Decline, Jason Tolkin

CMC Senior Theses

The purpose of this study was to determine what the critical factors are to an airline’s financial turmoil, leading ultimately to a bankruptcy filing. Over the past decade, the airline industries’ performance has been dismal, leading to 20 bankruptcy filings. As competition increases, it is crucial for airlines to know which core business areas are essential to success. This paper identifies 8 specific industry metrics that are used to compare airlines, revealing where certain airlines falter and others shine. Some of these metrics are later applied to a case study examining Trans World Airlines (TWA) and American Airlines (AA), highlighting …


Effectively Hedging The Interest Rate Risk Of Wide Floating Rate Coupon Spreads, Thomas Schröder, Kwamie Dunbar 2010 Sacred Heart University

Effectively Hedging The Interest Rate Risk Of Wide Floating Rate Coupon Spreads, Thomas Schröder, Kwamie Dunbar

WCBT Working Papers

Bond issuers frequently immunize/hedge their interest rate exposure by means of interest rate swaps (IRS). The receiving leg matches all bond cash-flows, while the pay leg requires floating rate coupon payments of form LIBOR + a spread. The goal of hedging against interest rate risk is only achieved in full if the present value of this spread is zero. Using market data we show that under a traditional IRS hedging strategy an investor could still experience significant cash flow losses given a 1% shift in the underlying benchmark yield curve.

We consider the instantaneous interest-rate risk of a bond portfolio …


Determinants Of Implied Volatility Movements In Individual Equity Options, Christopher G. Angelo 2010 University of Texas at Arlington

Determinants Of Implied Volatility Movements In Individual Equity Options, Christopher G. Angelo

Finance and Real Estate Dissertations - Archive

In this study, I introduce a parsimonious model that explains implied volatility time series for individual stock options. The current state of risk management for individual equity options still seems to lack the presence of pertinent exogenous variables. This study suggests a few easily observable variables that can be used to explain the changes in implied volatilities of stock options. These variables can be used in the risk models in order to more accurately manage option positions for individual stocks. The first chapter provides a motivation for the VIX as the primary explanatory variable for changes in implied volatility. It …


Essays On The Effect Of Financial Institution’S Dual Holdings Of Debt And Equity Securities, Jiun-Lin Chen 2010 Louisiana State University and Agricultural and Mechanical College

Essays On The Effect Of Financial Institution’S Dual Holdings Of Debt And Equity Securities, Jiun-Lin Chen

LSU Doctoral Dissertations

This dissertation analyzes the effects on the stock markets when institutional investors hold their client firms’ stocks. The first essay examines the trading impact around earnings announcements and the second essay studies the effect on stock liquidity. In the first essay, we find that relationship institutions (that have lent/underwritten and hold shares of clients) support their clients when these client firms have negative earnings shocks. Their support not only mitigates the negative abnormal return around earnings announcements but also reduces the post-earnings-announcement-drift, thus, earnings momentum profits. In the second essay, we find that client firms held by relationship institutions suffer …


Should Individual Investors Use Technical Trading Rules To Attempt To Beat The Market?, Thomas S. Coe, Kittipong Laosethakul 2010 Quinnipiac University

Should Individual Investors Use Technical Trading Rules To Attempt To Beat The Market?, Thomas S. Coe, Kittipong Laosethakul

WCBT Faculty Publications

Problem statement: Despite widespread academic acceptance of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis, some stock traders still use technical trading rules in an attempt to beat the market. Approach: This study looked at four trading rules, namely, the arithmetic moving average, the relative strength index, a stochastic oscillator and its moving average. These trading rules compare the relationship of current prices to past price patterns to generate a signal when to buy and sell stocks. The trading rules were tested over the years 2000-2009, a period of time that exhibited bull and bear markets, to determine if traders could actively …


Crummer/Suntrust Portfolio: Analysis And Recommendations [2010], Kate Morgenier, Eric Bindslev, Chris MacLellan, Sean Warrington, Varun Kumar, Joshua Truitt, Tolu Odulesi, Richard Rankin, Beth Owens 2010 Rollins College

Crummer/Suntrust Portfolio: Analysis And Recommendations [2010], Kate Morgenier, Eric Bindslev, Chris Maclellan, Sean Warrington, Varun Kumar, Joshua Truitt, Tolu Odulesi, Richard Rankin, Beth Owens

Crummer Truist Portfolios

The team believes that a market-weighted portfolio is the most appropriate strategy for the Crummer/ SunTrust Endowment in the coming year. This is not the time for a more aggressive position because there still are monsters in the market’s closet capable of sending us back into the abyss. This economic and market outlook explains their reasoning.


Kajian Pelaksanaan Kad Kredit Syariah Di Bank Danamon Syariah, Indonesia., Asep Dadan Suganda 2010 Universiti Malaya

Kajian Pelaksanaan Kad Kredit Syariah Di Bank Danamon Syariah, Indonesia., Asep Dadan Suganda

Student Works (2010-2019)

Many advances in science and technology have taken place in Indonesia, and, consequently, the development of Islamic banking in Indonesia has improved. As the majority of people in the country are Moslem it is virtually possible to identify a better future for the Islamic banking market than in Indonesia. Based on the Islamic official regulation (fatwa) Council of Indonesia Moslem Scholar (Majelis Ulama Indonesia) No. 54/DSN-MUI/X/2006 and the Circular Letter of Indonesian Bank (Surat Edaran Bank Indonesia) No. 9/IB3/DPbS/2007 Danamon Islamic Bank took advantage of the economic market to establish an Islamic credit card product called Dirham Card. This study …


A Comparative Study Of The Performance, Macroeconomic Variables, And Firm's Specific Determinants Of Islamic And Non-Islamic Indices : The Malaysian Evidence., Mohamed Shikh Abu Baker Albaity 2010 Universiti Malaya

A Comparative Study Of The Performance, Macroeconomic Variables, And Firm's Specific Determinants Of Islamic And Non-Islamic Indices : The Malaysian Evidence., Mohamed Shikh Abu Baker Albaity

Student Works (2010-2019)

This thesis presents three related empirical studies on the performance and the long and short run dynamics between screened investment portfolio represented by Kuala Lumpur Syariah index (KLSI) and non-screened investment portfolio represented by Kuala Lumpur Composite index (KLCI) in Bursa Malaysia. The KLCI contains the largest 100 companies in Malaysia. This index facilitates as a barometer of the Malaysian economy while, the KLSI is the first Syariah compliant index in Bursa Malaysia. KLSI represents companies abiding to Islamic laws of transactions, which is determined by the scholars in the Shariah supervisory board employed by Bursa Malaysia. The KLCI represents …


Teaching The Budgeting Process Using A Spreadsheet Template, Benoit Boyer 2010 Sacred Heart University

Teaching The Budgeting Process Using A Spreadsheet Template, Benoit Boyer

WCBT Faculty Publications

The purpose of this article is to demonstrate how to use a template to teach the budgeting process and how to use the same template to do a sensitivity analysis once the budget process is completed. The template can be used as-is by non-accounting majors. They just have to fill in all of their assumptions by replacing the red numbers. The template can be locked so that students cannot modify the formulas by mistake. Simply protect the worksheet (Review tab > Protect Sheet) and students will be able to only change the assumptions. Accounting majors are shown how to build their …


Proliferation Of Tail Risks And Policy Responses In The Eu Financial Markets, Lucjan Orlowski 2010 Sacred Heart University

Proliferation Of Tail Risks And Policy Responses In The Eu Financial Markets, Lucjan Orlowski

WCBT Faculty Publications

This study draws attention to the proliferation of tail risks in financial markets prior to and during the course of the recent global financial crisis. It examines the level of tail risks in selected equity, interbank lending and foreign exchange markets in selected EU Member States in relation to the United States. The extent of tail risks is assessed by applying general error distribution (GED) parameterization in GARCH volatility tests of the examined variables. The empirical tests prove that tail risks were pronounced across all of the examined European financial markets throughout the crisis. They were also significant prior to …


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