Clayton Copula Value-At-Risk In Crisis And The Gold Optimal Weight: Evidence In Thailand,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Clayton Copula Value-At-Risk In Crisis And The Gold Optimal Weight: Evidence In Thailand, Pimsuda Tunyalagsanakul
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
In recent days, investors are facing higher market risk due to the pandemic situation, but this is not the only time, investors also experienced similar risk during the Global Financial Crisis in 2007. We are interested in the tool to accurately estimate the market risk and ways to keep the portfolio maintaining the good performance in the extreme situation. This paper particularly investigates the Value-at-risk (VaR), which is one of the simplest and helpful tools to estimate market risk. By using data of SET50 and Thai Baht Gold, this paper demonstrates the best way to compute VaR among the various …
Could Morningstar Sustainability Rating Be An Indicator For Downside Protection?,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Could Morningstar Sustainability Rating Be An Indicator For Downside Protection?, Purisa Ruengsrichaiya
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
This study investigates whether the Morningstar Sustainability Rating indicates the downside protection for the 2018 Global stock market downturn and 2020 Stock market crash by using daily time-series analysis and investigate whether fund characteristics have an effect on performance of each Morningstar Sustainability Rating by using a panel data analysis at a quarterly frequency for the active equity mutual fund in the US market. This paper finds the neutral performance in every group of ratings in any market period according to the neutral alpha or abnormal return and the fund characteristics influence the fund performance pattern which can observe that …
Cross Hedging Currency Risk From Frontier/Emerging Markets: Thai Portfolio Investors' Perspectives,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Cross Hedging Currency Risk From Frontier/Emerging Markets: Thai Portfolio Investors' Perspectives, Tanatuch Kujiranuwat
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
The study explored performances of cross-hedging emerging/frontier market currency risk with developed market currencies from Thai investors’ perspective. The results showed that Thai investors can use a cross-hedging strategy to reduce currency risk and improve risk adjusted return from their emerging market investment. Single cross hedging can reduce portfolio risk significantly as confirmed by the F-test. Multiple cross-hedging showed signs of improvement from single cross-hedging both in currency risk reduction and risk adjusted return improvement, but the statistical test failed to prove that the improvement is significant. While the portfolio return was penalized by the hedging cost. The risk reduction …
Demographic, Macroeconomic And Institutional Determinants Of Life Insurance Consumption: Evidence From Countries In Asia,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Demographic, Macroeconomic And Institutional Determinants Of Life Insurance Consumption: Evidence From Countries In Asia, Pattha Yodseranee
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
Objective of this paper is to examine the determinants of life insurance consumption in terms of demographic, macroeconomic and institutional conditions from 26 countries from Asia covering the period of 1980 to 2019. The variables including 4 demographic variables, 7 macroeconomic variables and 3 institutional variables are explored by fixed effect estimation. The study also further examines difference of impact in different countries characteristic, that divided into Muslim, High-income and High-aged dependency ratio countries. The findings show that life insurance consumption have significant positive relationship with life expectancy. For high-income country, found that the Aged dependency ratio had less impact …
Determinants Of Power Purchase Agreements And Levelized Cost Of Electricity In Renewable Energy Projects,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Determinants Of Power Purchase Agreements And Levelized Cost Of Electricity In Renewable Energy Projects, Krit Yodpradit
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
Similar to the concept of concessions, governments worldwide encourage investment in renewable energy by providing a fixed price under the power purchase agreement (PPA) to the renewable energy developers. Depending on each renewable energy technology, the PPA usually corresponds to the levelized costs of electricity (LCOE) or the average lifetime costs of electricity produced by a power plant. Hence, these two parameters play an important role in boosting renewable energy development. Little is however known about the determinants of the PPA and LCOE. Therefore, the paper tries to shed some light on the determinants of the PPA and LCOE of …
Do Women On Boards, Education Diversity And Corporate Governance Affect Firm Risk And Firm Performance In Thailand?,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Do Women On Boards, Education Diversity And Corporate Governance Affect Firm Risk And Firm Performance In Thailand?, Juthamard Klomkhao
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
The purposes of my study are to investigate the relationship among women on boards, education diversity, and corporate governance on firm risk and/or firm performance of listed companies in Thailand during 2010-2019. Surprisingly, I find an insignificant relationship between the proportion of female directors and firm risk (both total risk and idiosyncratic risk). Moreover, the findings show that women on boards strongly improve ROA, but significantly reduce Tobin’s Q. For education diversity, there is no significant relationship on any measures of firm performance. This study further discovers that an incremental effect of female education diversity on women directorship positively affects …
Does Algorithmic Trading Improve Liquidity Around Dividend Announcement? Evidence From The Stock Exchange Of Thailand,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Does Algorithmic Trading Improve Liquidity Around Dividend Announcement? Evidence From The Stock Exchange Of Thailand, Chotika Chatchawanwanit
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
This study investigates the impact of the entry of algorithmic trading on Thailand’s stock market liquidity around dividend announcement during 2001 – 2016. We find some evidence to support that the entry of algorithmic trading in Thai stock market and their increase activities in the market help to provide more liquidity in term of trade volume in stock market liquidity especially after the dividend announcement releases. However, the rise of algorithmic trading tend to lead the market participants to consume liquidity in term of market depth at both best bid and bet offer rather than providing the standing orders in …
Effects Of Abnormal Trading Volume In The Stock Exchange Of Thailand,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Effects Of Abnormal Trading Volume In The Stock Exchange Of Thailand, Chatchanun Kallayasiri
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
This research aims to investigate the opportunity to exploit the abnormal returns follow the abnormal trading volume events for the stock listed in the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) from 2010 to 2019. The result suggested that investors could use abnormal trading volume as a signal to invest and obtain extra-profit by holding the stock for a certain period of time. The result also indicated that there was evidence of trading volume’s information content that could be used to implement the zero-investment portfolio strategy which trades based on trading volume. The strategy suggested investors to take a long position in …
Herding Behavior ,Case Of Listed Companies In Thailand,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Herding Behavior ,Case Of Listed Companies In Thailand, Patipol Prawangsuk
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
We examine herding behavior in the Thailand stock market under different market conditions, industries, firm sizes, and investor types. We also study herding behavior during the Covid19 period. Lastly, we further develop a new factor that is a qualified price-risk element for stock return. The results show evidence of herding behavior in the Thailand stock market during the extreme positive and negative markets condition. And the herding behavior exists in twenty sectors out of twenty-six. The small-cap portfolio shows a greater magnitude of herding behavior compares with a large-cap portfolio. During the covid19 period, the result indicates herding behavior is …
Inflation Level And Equity Mutual Fund Flows In Aggregate,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Inflation Level And Equity Mutual Fund Flows In Aggregate, Boontarikar Dangsritham
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
This paper investigates the relationship of inflation level and aggregate equity mutual fund flows using Thai evidence. Sample period covered from 2006 to 2020. For the first objective, we investigate the relationship between realized inflation and net flow of money into equity mutual fund. Next, since investors are forward-looking, we extend the analysis to investigate the same relationship using forecasted inflation instead. Lastly, money supply is increasing since 2008 because of the first launch of QE. Also, inflation trend becomes lower since then. Our further exploration is whether there is a change in the relationship between inflation and aggregate equity …
Industry Size And Deal Initiation: Evidence From Merger And Acquisition,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Industry Size And Deal Initiation: Evidence From Merger And Acquisition, Sirilak Sriburapar
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
Targets in small industries are more likely to initiate the deal than targets in large industries. Bidders are willing to pay more for target-initiated deals in small industries than in large industries. This research finds empirical evidence that industry size significantly impacts firms' decision to initiate the deal and bid premium. Targets in small industries are more plausibly to initiate the deal because the demand for target corporate assets is lower. Consequently, they receive lower premiums compared to targets in large industries. Surprisingly the impact of target-initiated deals on premiums significantly depends on target industry size, the negative impact of …
Inside The Black Box Of Financial Analysts: What Drives Systematic Forecast Optimism?,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Inside The Black Box Of Financial Analysts: What Drives Systematic Forecast Optimism?, Christian Schmidt
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
Despite past failures and a higher standard of regulation, excessive forecast optimism among financial analysts is still observable. It is mainly attributed to incentives provided by an underlying affiliated relationship. This paper investigates diverse market settings in the Thai stock market between 2005 and 2017 to break down the incentive structure in the analysts' forecasting process. First, banks and brokerage houses with an affiliated mutual fund family show an extreme forecast behavior, especially when the fund family is backed by high capital and has a large stake in the covered firm. Secondly, full-service banks are among the most optimistic analysts …
Premium, Ownership And Operating Performance In Rto,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Premium, Ownership And Operating Performance In Rto, Chawalit Rungpiboonsopit
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
A reverse takeover is an alternative method of listing instead of IPO. Compared to IPO, firms using RTO can avoid the stringent requirement of IPO and disclose less information. Hence, these transactions were viewed as suspicious transactions. The U.S-SEC also issued the warning that investors should be careful when considering investing in the RTO firm. However, it is unlikely that investors in the market can separate between the good RTO firm and the bad RTO firm because of the loose requirement of RTO which led to the arising of asymmetric information between investors and RTO firm. As a result, in …
The Impact Of Etf Mechanics And The Bank Of Japan Intervention On The Intraday Volatility Of The Underlying Stocks,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
The Impact Of Etf Mechanics And The Bank Of Japan Intervention On The Intraday Volatility Of The Underlying Stocks, Tharita Jumroonwat
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
Due to their low trading costs and superior liquidity, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) attract short-term liquidity traders. The liquidity shocks can pass to the underlying securities through the ETF mechanism. ETF may therefore increase the non-fundamental volatility of the underlying stocks. I carry out the test daily which allows me to timely measure the high-frequency variable of arbitrage activity between Nikkei 225 ETFs and their components. I find the consistent result with Ben-David et al. (2018) that stocks with higher ETF holding display significantly higher volatility and the intensity of arbitrage activity, proxied by stock-level mispricing, magnifies the impact of ETFs …
The Lead-Lag Relationship Of Block Trade Single Stock Futures And The Underlying Stocks: Evidence From Thailand,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
The Lead-Lag Relationship Of Block Trade Single Stock Futures And The Underlying Stocks: Evidence From Thailand, Pimnapa Wongvisavakorn
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
According to the efficient market hypothesis, there should not be any lead-lag relationship of the spot and futures price of the financial assets; however, many empirical studies have suggested otherwise. This study uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Granger causality test with the daily trading data of Thailand’s block trade single stock futures and its underlying securities of 42 companies from 2016 to 2020. It reveals both unidirectional and bidirectional relationships of spot and futures markets with a less dominant role of the futures market in the price discovery function. None of the sample companies have both long-run …
The Presence Of Style Drift And Its Effects In Thailand’S Equity Mutual Funds,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
The Presence Of Style Drift And Its Effects In Thailand’S Equity Mutual Funds, Nuttha Lertwattanakiat
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
Active equity mutual funds have become a widely popular investment for investors with high risk tolerance due to potentially getting a higher return with the benefit of diversification and professional management. Investors can make decision on selecting funds by looking at “style”. Style is viewed in two dimensions; size and value-growth orientation at stock level. It helps investors to see how fund manager select stocks and the overall style of stock holding for a whole portfolio. Investors can take this factor into considerations to build portfolio to align with their strategy. But what will happen if the style is changed …
The Relationship Between Fees And Performance Of Domestic Equity Funds In Thailand,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
The Relationship Between Fees And Performance Of Domestic Equity Funds In Thailand, Thapanee Suphapitakpaiboon
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
This study inclusively examines the relationship between fund fees and performance of open-end domestic equity funds in Thailand from 2010 to 2019 to analyze the domestic-equity fund market in 2 main dimensions: the market competitive and conflict-of-interest between the duties of asset management companies (AMCs) to their parent bank and to unitholders through fund fee channel. The study investigates the relationship of (1) fund fees, (2) fund fees set by bank subsidiaries, and (3) fund fees set by large-bank subsidiaries with its performance in term of both returns over benchmark and Jensen’s alpha. Based on the results, investors paid higher …
Unexpected Movement In Monetary Aggregates And Its Effect On Asset Price In Thailand,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Unexpected Movement In Monetary Aggregates And Its Effect On Asset Price In Thailand, Paripon Sriboon
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
This paper aims to develop a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model to study the dynamic relationships between broad money and other macroeconomics variables in Thailand. The structural restrictions on SVAR model are based on economics intuition and novel finding that money does not react contemporaneously to transitory component of the short-term interest rate. The model also features stock price and house price as the different response of asset price and goods price will be monitored. There are total of seven monthly endogenous variables included in the model covering the period of 2010 - 2020. The result based on forecast error …
Determining The Tracking Error And Value-At-Risk Of An Active Portfolio When Combined With A Passive Portfolio With Value-At-Risk Constraint,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Determining The Tracking Error And Value-At-Risk Of An Active Portfolio When Combined With A Passive Portfolio With Value-At-Risk Constraint, Nuttawoot Ladee
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
When an asset manager manages a portfolio, he usually imposes a TE or a VaR limit on his portfolio to control portfolio risks. However, a portfolio may be divided into different portions. In our research, we consider a portfolio that consists of an active portion and a passive portion. Having a VaR budget of an entire portfolio, we propose methods to determine TE and VaR limit on the active portfolio and illustrate them by using real data. In the empirical part, some problems can occur when we relax certain theoretical assumptions such as (1) stocks in an investment universe can …
Double Bottom Pattern Recognition For Trading Strategy,
2020
Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy
Double Bottom Pattern Recognition For Trading Strategy, Chusana Nuntanart
Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)
We utilize the Double bottom pattern, which is a common and the most easily recognized reversal pattern in the technical analysis approach, to seek the existence of abnormal returns from 1 Jan 2009 to 31 Dec 2019. The general event study methodology was used to statistically test for the existence of abnormal returns from 611 stocks in SET. We concluded that there was an existence of abnormal return from trading with the Double bottom pattern strategy. This led to the conclusion that the Thai stock market might be not as informationally efficient as academics have conjectured.
