Statistics and Probability Commons^™

The Teaching Of Equation Solving: Approaches In Standards-Based And Traditional Curricula In The United States, Jinfa Cai, Bikai Nie, John Moyer

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science Faculty Research and Publications

This paper discusses the approaches to teaching linear equation solving that are embedded in a Standards-based mathematics curriculum (Connected Mathematics Program or CMP) and in a traditional mathematics curriculum (Glencoe Mathematics) in the United States. Overall, the CMP curriculum takes a functional approach to teaching equation solving, while Glencoe Mathematics takes a structural approach. The functional approach emphasizes the important ideas of change and variation in situations and contexts. It also emphasizes the representation of relationships between variables. The structural approach, on the other hand, requires students to work abstractly with symbols and follow procedures in a systematic way. …

An Empirical Approach To Evaluating Sufficient Similarity: Utilization Of Euclidean Distance As A Similarity Measure, Scott Marshall

Theses and Dissertations

Individuals are exposed to chemical mixtures while carrying out everyday tasks, with unknown risk associated with exposure. Given the number of resulting mixtures it is not economically feasible to identify or characterize all possible mixtures. When complete dose-response data are not available on a (candidate) mixture of concern, EPA guidelines define a similar mixture based on chemical composition, component proportions and expert biological judgment (EPA, 1986, 2000). Current work in this literature is by Feder et al. (2009), evaluating sufficient similarity in exposure to disinfection by-products of water purification using multivariate statistical techniques and traditional hypothesis testing. The work of …

Model-Robust Regression And A Bayesian `Sandwich' Estimator, Adam A. Szpiro, Kenneth M. Rice, Thomas Lumley

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

The published version of this paper in Annals of Applied Statistics (Vol. 4, No. 4 (2010), 2099–2113) is available from the journal web site at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AOAS362.

We present a new Bayesian approach to model-robust linear regression that leads to uncertainty estimates with the same robustness properties as the Huber-White sandwich estimator. The sandwich estimator is known to provide asymptotically correct frequentist inference, even when standard modeling assumptions such as linearity and homoscedasticity in the data-generating mechanism are violated. Our derivation provides a compelling Bayesian justification for using this simple and popular tool, and it also clarifies what is being estimated …

Cost And Accuracy Comparisons In Medical Testing Using Sequential Testing Strategies, Anwar Ahmed

Theses and Dissertations

The practice of sequential testing is followed by the evaluation of accuracy, but often not by the evaluation of cost. This research described and compared three sequential testing strategies: believe the negative (BN), believe the positive (BP) and believe the extreme (BE), the latter being a less-examined strategy. All three strategies were used to combine results of two medical tests to diagnose a disease or medical condition. Descriptions of these strategies were provided in terms of accuracy (using the maximum receiver operating curve or MROC) and cost of testing (defined as the proportion of subjects who need 2 tests to …

The Use Of Propensity Scores To Assess The Generalizability Of Results From Randomized Trials, Elizabeth A. Stuart, Stephen R. Cole, Catherine P. Bradshaw, Philip J. Leaf

Johns Hopkins University, Dept. of Biostatistics Working Papers

Randomized trials remain the most accepted design for estimating the effects of interventions, but they do not necessarily answer a question of primary interest: Will the program be effective in a target population in which it may be implemented? In other words,are the results generalizable? There has been very little statistical research on how to assess the generalizability, or "external validity," of randomized trials. We propose the use of propensity-score-based metrics to quantify the similarity of the participants in a randomized trial and a target population. In this setting the propensity score model predicts participation in the randomized trial, given …

Powerful Snp Set Analysis For Case-Control Genome Wide Association Studies, Michael C. Wu, Peter Kraft, Michael P. Epstein, Deanne M. Taylor, Stephen J. Chanock, David J. Hunter, Xihong Lin

Harvard University Biostatistics Working Paper Series

No abstract provided.

Asymptotic Properties Of The Sequential Empirical Roc And Ppv Curves, Joseph S. Koopmeiners, Ziding Feng

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the positive predictive value (PPV) curve and the negative predictive value (NPV) curve are three common measures of performance for a diagnostic biomarker. The independent increments covariance structure assumption is common in the group sequential study design literature. Showing that summary measures of the ROC, PPV and NPV curves have an independent increments covariance structure will provide the theoretical foundation for designing group sequential diagnostic biomarker studies. The ROC, PPV and NPV curves are often estimated empirically to avoid assumptions about the distributional form of the biomarkers. In this paper we derive asymptotic theory …

The Linkset Model For 2^N Contingency Tables, Mikel Aickin

COBRA Preprint Series

Abstract The linkset model is defined for parametrizing the general 2^n contingency table. The linkset parameters are designed to represent latent influences that promote the co-occurrences of binary events beyond that explained by chance. Linkages involving 2 through n binary variables are included in this parametrization. The intent of this process is to elucidate the patterns of linkage, no matter how complex they might be, rather than to fit simplifying models. The relationship between linkset parameters and the natural parameters for a 2n table are derived, and large sample inference methods are provided. Examples are given from medical diagnostics, survival …

Estimating Causal Effects In Trials Involving Multi-Treatment Arms Subject To Non-Compliance: A Bayesian Frame-Work, Qi Long, Roderick J. Little, Xihong Lin

Harvard University Biostatistics Working Paper Series

No abstract provided.

A Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimator Of A Causal Effect On A Bounded Continuous Outcome, Susan Gruber, Mark J. Van Der Laan

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Targeted maximum likelihood estimation of a parameter of a data generating distribution, known to be an element of a semiparametric model, involves constructing a parametric model through an initial density estimator with parameter epsilon representing an amount of fluctuation of the initial density estimator, where the score of this fluctuation model at epsilon=0 equals the efficient influence curve/canonical gradient. The latter constraint can be satisfied by many parametric fluctuation models, since it represents only a local constraint of its behavior at zero fluctuation. However, it is very important that the fluctuations stay within the semiparametric model for the observed data …

Super Learner In Prediction, Eric C. Polley, Mark J. Van Der Laan

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Super learning is a general loss based learning method that has been proposed and analyzed theoretically in van der Laan et al. (2007). In this article we consider super learning for prediction. The super learner is a prediction method designed to find the optimal combination of a collection of prediction algorithms. The super learner algorithm finds the combination of algorithms minimizing the cross-validated risk. The super learner framework is built on the theory of cross-validation and allows for a general class of prediction algorithms to be considered for the ensemble. Due to the previously established oracle results for the cross-validation …

Second-Order Statistics Of Stochastic Electromagnetic Beams Propagating Through Non-Kolmogorov Turbulence, Elena Shchepakina, Olga Korotkova

Physics Articles and Papers

We present a detailed investigation, qualitative and quantitative, on how the atmospheric turbulence with a non-Kolmogorov power spectrum affects the major statistics of stochastic electromagnetic beams, such as the spectral composition and the states of coherence and polarization. We suggest a detailed survey on how these properties evolve on propagation of beams generated by electromagnetic Gaussian Schell-model sources, depending on the fractal constant α of the atmospheric power spectrum.

Assessing Noninferiority In A Three-Arm Trial Using The Bayesian Approach, Pulak Ghosh, Farouk S. Nathoo, Mithat Gonen, Ram C. Tiwari

Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, Dept. of Epidemiology & Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Non-inferiority trials, which aim to demonstrate that a test product is not worse than a competitor by more than a pre-specified small amount, are of great importance to the pharmaceutical community. As a result, methodology for designing and analyzing such trials is required, and developing new methods for such analysis is an important area of statistical research. The three-arm clinical trial is usually recommended for non-inferiority trials by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). The three-arm trial consists of a placebo, a reference, and an experimental treatment, and simultaneously tests the superiority of the reference over the placebo along with …

Derivation Of Mass Independent Quantum Treatment Of Phenomenon, David Parker

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The derivation and applications is presented of a spatial variable or spatial radius which is related to the inertia or mass-energy of any quantum body by a Lorentz invariant relation. Mass independent DeBroglie and Schroedinger equations are derived and applied to the resolution of the linguistic incompatibility between quantum theory and the geometrical weak equivalence principle. The equivalence principle is restated in terms of the spatial radius. The gravitational attraction between bodies and the relativistic energy are both presented in terms of the spatial radius follows. The ratio of the gravitational force to the Coulomb force at the Planck scale …

Ranked Set Sampling Using Auxiliary Variables Of A Randomized Response Procedure For Estimating The Mean Of A Sensitive Quantitative Character, Carlos N. Bouza

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The analysis of the behavior of estimators of the mean of a sensitive variable is considered when a randomized response procedure is used. The results deal with the inference based on simple random sampling with replacement study design. A study of the behavior of the procedures for a ranked set sampling design is developed. A gain in accuracy is generally associated with the proposed alternative model.

An Equivalence Test Based On N And P, Markus Neuhäeuser

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

An equivalence test is proposed which is based on the P-value of a test for a difference and the sample size. This test may be especially appropriate for an exploratory re-analysis if only a non-significant test for a difference was reported. Thus, neither a confidence interval is available, nor is there access to the raw data. The test is illustrated using two examples; for both applications the smallest equivalence range for which equivalence could be demonstrated is calculated.

The Effectiveness Of Stepwise Discriminant Analysis As A Post Hoc Procedure To A Significant Manova, Erik L. Heiny, Daniel J. Mundform

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The effectiveness of SWDA as a post hoc procedure in a two-way MANOVA was examined using various numbers of dependent variables, sample sizes, effect sizes, correlation structures, and significance levels. The procedure did not work well in general except with small numbers of variables, larger samples and low correlations between variables.

Model Based Vs. Model Independent Tests For Cross-Correlation, H.E.T. Holgersson, Peter S. Karlsson

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This article discusses the issue of whether cross correlation should be tested by model dependent or model independent methods. Several different tests are proposed and their main properties are investigated analytically and with simulations. It is argued that model independent tests should be used in applied work.

On Exact 100(1-Α)% Confidence Interval Of Autocorrelation Coefficient In Multivariate Data When The Errors Are Autocorrelated, Madhusudan Bhandary

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

An exact 100(1−α)% confidence interval for the autocorrelation coefficient ρ is derived based on a single multinormal sample. The confidence interval is the interval between the two roots of a quadratic equation in ρ . A real life example is also presented.

The Performance Of Multiple Imputation For Likert-Type Items With Missing Data, Walter Leite, S. Natasha Beretvas

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The performance of multiple imputation (MI) for missing data in Likert-type items assuming multivariate normality was assessed using simulation methods. MI was robust to violations of continuity and normality. With 30% of missing data, MAR conditions resulted in negatively biased correlations. With 50% missingness, all results were negatively biased.