Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Session 3-3-C: The National Longitudinal Study Of Gambling Behaviour (Nlsgb): Preliminary Results, Andrew Dellis, Andre Hofmeyr, Harold Kincaid, Don Ross

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Introduction

The NLSGB tracked 300 gamblers over a 15-month period.

A comprehensive survey instrument was compiled to analyse factors that might influence changes in risk of gambling problems over time.

The study was conducted in the four major metropolitan areas of South Africa: Johannesburg, Tshwane, Durban and Cape Town. We will discuss the study’s design and implementation and some preliminary results.

Session 3-3-A: The ‘Circles Concept’ Of Gambling Addiction: An Empowered Framework For Change, Harry B. Mayr

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

The original ‘Circles Concept of (Gambling) Addiction’ was developed by Harry Mayr in 1982, while working as an addictions counsellor in a community-based health centre. It has always been a ‘user friendly’ concept … applicable and understood by people from all cultures, across all ages, and with or without an addiction issue. Years later, people have informed Mr Mayr how they still remember ‘those circles’, and how the concept helped them.

The ‘Circles Concept of (Gambling) Addiction’ is therefore a concept remembered as much for its visual cues as its verbal explanation – and thus applicable across languages, cognitive and …

Session 3-3-F: Measuring The Price Of Discrimination With Data On Poker Games, Ingo Fiedler

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Introduction

Economic theory suggests that discrimination is price sensitive and money an equalizer

This means that discrimination decreases the higher the private costs for the discriminator

Economic reasoning: Discrimination comes at a price for the discriminator

• Example: an employer discriminates against potential employees with a non-white skin tone and thus may miss the best employees who then work for a competitor.
• Imperfect competition leads to rents and rents can be used to discriminate and they can be discrimination in itself. [Jomo, 2003].
• Competition reduces discrimination

Session 3-2-F: Baccarat Solved?, David Sofer

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Provides information and statistics on Baccarat.

Session 3-2-B: What Changing Public Policies Toward Gambling Mean For Gaming Law, I. Nelson Rose

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

The Three Waves Of Legal Gambling

First Wave - Colonial period to mid-19th century: Legal Debris: “Lotteries” prohibited in state constitutions and Canada (except Quebec)

Second Wave - Wild West; South after the Civil War , new inventions. Crash - Victorian morality Legal Debris: Statutes prohibit bookmaking, slot machines; U.S. federal and Quebec anti-lottery laws

Third Wave - Depression to present: Legal Debris: Piecemeal legalization by states, provinces

Session 3-1-E: Modeling Change In The Profile Of The Atlantic City Visitor, Brian J. Tyrrell, Israel Posner Ph.D.

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

The Atlantic City casino market has faced increasing competition over the past decade, particularly since the introduction of Pennsylvania gaming in 2006. In response to this increased competition, the State of New Jersey, through legislation, created a public private partnership to both redevelop parts of the city and devote significant marketing dollars into shaping the image of the city. The private side of that partnership, the Atlantic City Alliance (ACA), found in their earliest consumer research that Atlantic City’s image as a gaming destination was well established, but that the city was less known for the retail, entertainment and restaurants …

Session 3-1-E: Segmenting Slot Machine Players: A Factor-Cluster Analysis, Stowe Shoemaker, Dina Marie Zemke

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Overall objectives of the study:

Understand the following aspects of slot players:

– Demographic profile

– Motivations to play

– Behavioral characteristics while playing

– Factors important in choosing a game to play

– Attitudes toward progressives

– Desire for themed games

Session 3-1-E: Anatomy Of A Jackpot: Characteristics Of Purchasers Of Large Jackpot Lottery Tickets, Todd Maki, Don Feeney

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Jackpot “Run” & Survey Design

Record breaking Powerball jackpot

Started at $40 million on Oct 6, 2012

Rolled 15 times to reach $550 million Nov 28, 2012

MN Sold $25.2 million worth of tickets

Sales from all lotteries totaled $1.3 billion

Internet Survey

1,000 Minnesota adults

In the field Dec 14 to 18

Took, on average, about 10 minutes to complete

Representative of the general population (age and gender)

Conducted by Ipsos

Session 3-1-C: Gambling Behaviors Among American College Student-Athletes: Results From The 2012 National Collegiate Athletic Association Study, Tom Paskus, Jeffrey L. Derevensky, Caroline Temcheff

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Why Is the NCAA Concerned about Student-Athlete Gambling?

Student-athlete well-being

Contest integrity

Singular Ergodic Control For Multidimensional Gaussian-Poisson Processes, J. L. Menaldi, M. Robin

Mathematics Faculty Research Publications

Singular control for multidimensional Gaussian-Poisson processes with a long-run (or ergodic) and a discounted criteria are discussed. The dynamic programming yields the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, which are discussed. Full details on the proofs and further extensions are left for coming works.

Ensemble-Based Methods For Forecasting Census In Hospital Units, Devin C. Koestler, Hernando Ombao, Jesse Bender

Dartmouth Scholarship

The ability to accurately forecast census counts in hospital departments has considerable implications for hospital resource allocation. In recent years several different methods have been proposed forecasting census counts, however many of these approaches do not use available patient-specific information. In this paper we present an ensemble-based methodology for forecasting the census under a framework that simultaneously incorporates both (i) arrival trends over time and (ii) patient-specific baseline and time-varying information. The proposed model for predicting census has three components, namely: current census count, number of daily arrivals and number of daily departures. To model the number of daily arrivals, …

Session 2-4-C: Addressing The Related Epidemics Of Financial/Mathematical Illiteracy And Adolescent Problem Gambling, William S. Mallios, R. R. Mallios

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Information and statistics addressing the epidemics of financial and mathematical illiteracy and adolescent problem gambling.

Session 2-4-G: The Minnesota Gambling Survey At 20, Don Feeney, Todd Maki, Brian L. Malecha

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

The Minnesota Gambling Survey

Begun in 1993

Telephone survey taken by St. Cloud State University

Sample size 2,000 to 2,400

Cell phone component added in 2010

Session 2-4-G: Gambling Segmentation Studies A General Approach To Segmentation For Various Gambling Agencies, Paul Lauzon, Don Feeney

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

What is Segmentation?

A segmentation groups a market or population into meaningful subgroups

Segment members share characteristics and market influences that cause them to have similar product and/or service needs

Each segment is unique from the other segments

Session 2-4-E: Financial Evaluation Commonalities And Distinctions Expressed By 10-Ks With Two Libertarian Hospitality Segments: Casino Gaming And Gentlemen’S Clubs, David J. Paster

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Premise

Libertarian hospitality ventures are significantly and fundamentally different than current common hospitality fields such as lodging and restaurants due to their distinct business model composition.

Session 2-4-F: The Trials And Tribulations Of Canadian Sports Gambling, Garry Smith

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Preview

Historical context

Illegal sports gambling

Sports lotteries

The push for legal single event sports betting

Pros and Cons

Session 2-4-B: The Boomerang Effect, Jonathan Galaviz

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Today's Talk:

1. Ideas, not politics

2. Strategic outlook

3. Macro Focused

Session 2-4-B: Las Vegas: The Houston Of The Gaming Industry?, Bo J. Bernhard

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Conclusions

Las Vegas is and must become an intellectual capital of the global gaming industry.

Internet gaming: new threats, new opportunities

Session 2-3-C: Sports Betting Of Adolescents In Croatia: From Favorable Environment To Psychosocial Consequences, Dora Dodig, Neven Ricijas Phd, Valentina Kranzelic, Aleksandra Huic

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Social context

Expansion of places registered for gambling, especially sports betting

Croatian Law on Games of Chance (2009.)

• Sports betting is illegal for minors (<18)
• Minimum 200 meters from schools

Session 2-3-C: How Do Teenagers’ Differentiate Computer Gaming From Gambling, Margaret Carran, Julia Hornle, Mark Griffiths

International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking

Aims of the study

Part I – qualitative focus groups to find out:

• How some of London adolescents view gambling following the significant expansion of perceived opportunities to gamble in UK since 2007
• What they think gambling is and whether it differs from what law considers gambling to be
• What they think about the similarities and differences between computer games and monetary forms of gambling and in particular whether they recognise gambling types activities within computer games; and
• What they know about law relating to gambling and how, if at all, it influences their behaviour.
• To identify the main theme …