Applied Statistics Commons^™

Bayesian Analysis Under Progressively Censored Rayleigh Data, Gyan Prakash

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The one-parameter Rayleigh model is considered as an underlying model for evaluating the properties of Bayes estimator under Progressive Type-II right censored data. The One‑Sample Bayes prediction bound length (OSBPBL) is also measured. Based on two different asymmetric loss functions a comparative study presented for Bayes estimation. A simulation study was used to evaluate their comparative properties.

Statistical Modeling Of Migration Attractiveness Of The Eu Member States, Tatiana Tikhomirova, Yulia Lebedeva

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Identifying the relationship between the migration attractiveness of the European Union countries and their level of socio-economic development is investigated. An approach is proposed identify influences on migration socio-economic characteristics, by aggregating and reducing their diversity, and substantiating the cause-and-effect relationships of the studied phenomenon. A stable classification of countries scheme is developed according to the attractiveness of migration on aggregate factors, and then an econometric model of a binary choice using panel data for 2008-2010 was applying, quantifying the impact of aggregate designed factors on immigration and emigration.

The Distribution Of The Inverse Square Root Transformed Error Component Of The Multiplicative Time Series Model, Bright F. Ajibade, Chinwe R. Nwosu, J. I. Mbegdu

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The probability density function, mean and variance of the inverse square-root transformed left-truncated N(1,σ²) error component e^*_t(=1/ √e_t) of the multiplicative time series model were established. A comparison of key-statistical properties of e^*_t and e_t confirmed normality with mean 1 but with Var(e^*_t) ≈1/4Var(e_t) when σ≤0.14. Hence σ≤0.14 is the required condition for successful transformation.

Approaches For Detection Of Unstable Processes: A Comparative Study, Yerriswamy Wooluru, D. R. Swamy, P. Nagesh

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A process is stable only when parameters of the distribution of a process or product characteristic remain same over time. Only a stable process has the ability to perform in a predictable manner over time. Statistical analysis of process data usually assume that data are obtained from stable process. In the absence of control charts, the hypothesis of process stability is usually assessed by visual examination of the pattern in the run chart. In this paper appropriate statistical approaches have been adopted to detect instability in the process and compared their performance with the run chart of considerably shorter length …

A Robust Panel Unit Root Test In The Presence Of Cross Sectional Dependence, Nurul Sima Mohamad Shariff, Nor Aishah Hamzah

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Problems arise in testing the stationarity of the panel in the presence of cross sectional dependence and outliers. The currently available panel unit root tests are very much affected by the presence of outliers. As such, this article introduces an alternative test which is robust to outliers and cross sectional dependence. The performance and robustness of the proposed test is discussed and comparisons are made to the existing tests via simulation studies.

Wright State University Math And Statistics Department History, Joanne Dombrowski, David Miller

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Publications

No abstract provided.

Life As An Nfl Statistician, Dennis Lock

Mathematics Colloquium Series

Over the last few years, the fields of statistics and mathematics have become more prevalent and popular in professional sports (with the help of mainstream books and movies like Moneyball). The use of advanced (and non-advanced) statistical methods is growing across the sporting landscape from the front office to the media, and even into business and ticket sales. This talk will discuss Lock’s experiences building an analytics department with the Miami Dolphins as well as the general role of statistics in sports today. It will also including the recent analytics boom in the front office framework, the coinciding need for …

K-Mer Analysis On Developmental And Housekeeping Enhancer Peaks, Yunsi Yang, Anurag Sethi, Mark Gerstein

Yale Day of Data

The regulation of gene expression involves interaction between transcriptional enhancers and core promoters. However, the separation between developmental and housekeeping gene regulation remains unknown. Here, we present a method to detect if different core promoters exhibit specificity to certain enhancers within massively parallel assays for enhancer detection. We use k-mers of various length (3-8bp) as sequence features and compare k-mer frequencies between developmental and housekeeping enhancers. This method shows promoter specificity of enhancers in D. melanogaster.

Preparedness Of Hospitals In The Republic Of Ireland For An Influenza Pandemic, An Infection Control Perspective, Mary Reidy, Fiona Ryan, Dervla Hogan, Seán Lacey, Claire Buckley

Department of Mathematics Publications

When an influenza pandemic occurs most of the population is susceptible and attack rates can range as high as 40–50 %. The most important failure in pandemic planning is the lack of standards or guidelines regarding what it means to be ‘prepared’. The aim of this study was to assess the preparedness of acute hospitals in the Republic of Ireland for an influenza pandemic from an infection control perspective.

Wall Mechanical Properties And Hemodynamics Of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms, J. R. Cebral, X. Duan, Bong Jae Chung, C. Putman, Khaled Aziz, A. M. Robertson

Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Aneurysm progression and rupture is thought to be governed by progressive degradation and weakening of the wall in response to abnormal hemodynamics. Our goal was to investigate the relationship between the intra-aneurysmal hemodynamic conditions and wall mechanical properties in human aneurysms. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 8 unruptured aneurysms were analyzed. Computational fluid dynamics models were constructed from preoperative 3D rotational angiography images. The aneurysms were clipped, and the domes were resected and mechanically tested to failure with a uniaxial testing system under multiphoton microscopy. Linear regression analysis was performed to explore possible correlations between hemodynamic …

A Framework For Inferring Unobserved Multistrain Epidemic Subpopulations Using Synchronization Dynamics, Eric Forgoston, Leah B. Shaw, Ira B. Schwartz

Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

A new method is proposed to infer unobserved epidemic subpopulations by exploiting the synchronization properties of multistrain epidemic models. A model for dengue fever is driven by simulated data from secondary infective populations. Primary infective populations in the driven system synchronize to the correct values from the driver system. Most hospital cases of dengue are secondary infections, so this method provides a way to deduce unobserved primary infection levels. We derive center manifold equations that relate the driven system to the driver system and thus motivate the use of synchronization to predict unobserved primary infectives. Synchronization stability between primary and …

Mapping Open Water Bodeis With Optical Remote Sensing, Mary Ellen O'Donnell, Erika Podest

STAR Program Research Presentations

There is interest in mapping open water bodies using remote sensing data. Coverage and persistence of open water is currently a poorly measured variable due to its spatial and temporal variability across landscapes, especially in remote areas. The presence and persistence of open water is one of the primary indicators of conditions suitable for mosquito breeding habitats. Predicting the risk of mosquito caused disease outbreaks is a required step towards their control and eradication. Satellite observations can provide needed data to support agency decisions for deployment of preventative measures and control resources. This study, which will try to map open …

Beta-Binomial Kriging: A New Approach To Modeling Spatially Correlated Proportions, Aimee Schwab

Department of Statistics: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

Spatially correlated count data sets appear often in applied data analysis problems, but there is little consensus in the literature about how best to analyze the data. The two prevailing approaches provide accurate parameter estimates and predictions, at the cost of model interpretability and simplicity. This dissertation will present a new approach to modeling spatially correlated binomial observations: beta-binomial kriging. The model proposed here is a modified form of spatial kriging which assumes the data are generated from a correlated beta-binomial distribution. Given this assumption, the spatial parameters and predicted values can be estimated using simple matrix algebra. Beta-binomial kriging …

Review Of Developing Quantitative Literacy Skills In History And The Social Sciences: A Web-Based Common Core Approach By Kathleen W. Craver, Victor J. Ricchezza, H L. Vacher

Numeracy

Kathleen W. Craver. Developing Quantitative Literacy Skills in History and Social Sciences: A Web-Based Common Core Standards Approach (Lantham MD: Rowman & Littlefield Publishing Group, Inc., 2014). 191 pp.
ISBN 978-1-4758-1050-9 (cloth); ISBN …-1051-6 (pbk); ISBN…-1052-3 (electronic).

This book could be a breakthrough for teachers in the trenches who are interested in or need to know about quantitative literacy (QL). It is a resource providing 85 topical pieces, averaging 1.5 pages, in which a featured Web site is presented, described, and accompanied by 2-4 critical-thinking questions purposefully drawing on data from the Web site. The featured Web sites range from …

Penalized Function-On-Function Regression, Andrada Ivanescu, Ana Maria Staicu, Fabian Scheipl, Sonja Greven

Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

A general framework for smooth regression of a functional response on one or multiple functional predictors is proposed. Using the mixed model representation of penalized regression expands the scope of function-on-function regression to many realistic scenarios. In particular, the approach can accommodate a densely or sparsely sampled functional response as well as multiple functional predictors that are observed on the same or different domains than the functional response, on a dense or sparse grid, and with or without noise. It also allows for seamless integration of continuous or categorical covariates and provides approximate confidence intervals as a by-product of the …

A Study Of The Parametric And Nonparametric Linear-Circular Correlation Coefficient, Robin Tu

Statistics

Circular statistics are specialized statistical methods that deal specifically with directional data. Data that is angular require specialized techniques due to the modulo 2π (in radians) or modulo 360^◦ (in degrees) nature of angles.

Correlation, typically in terms of Pearson’s correlation coefficient, is a measure of association between two linear random variables x and y. In this paper, the specific circular technique of the parametric and nonparametric linear-circular correlation coefficient will be explored where correlation is no longer between two linear variables x and y, but between a linear random variable x and circular random variable θ.

A simulation …

#Twittercritic: Sentiment Analysis Of Tweets To Predict Tv Ratings, Isabel Litton

Statistics

Twitter has rapidly become one of the most popular sites of the Internet. It functions not just as a microblogging service, but as a crowdsourcing tool for listening, promotion, insight and much more. From the perspective of TV networks, tweets capture the real time reactions of viewers, making them an ideal indicator of a show’s ratings. This paper predicts Internet Movie Database (IMDB) television ratings by text mining Twitter data.

Tweets for five television shows were downloaded over a period of several months utilizing a SAS macro. Television show data, such as rating, show title, episode title, and more were …

Statistical Consulting - Senior Project, Cary Hernandez

Statistics

No abstract provided.

A Hierarchical Bayesian Model For The Unmixing Analysis Of Compositional Data Subject To Unit-Sum Constraints, Shiyong Yu

LSU New Orleans Theses and Dissertations

Modeling of compositional data is emerging as an active area in statistics. It is assumed that compositional data represent the convex linear mixing of definite numbers of independent sources usually referred to as end members. A generic problem in practice is to appropriately separate the end members and quantify their fractions from compositional data subject to nonnegative and unit-sum constraints. A number of methods essentially related to polytope expansion have been proposed. However, these deterministic methods have some potential problems.

In this study, a hierarchical Bayesian model was formulated, and the algorithms were coded in MATLAB^Ò. A test …

Video Event Understanding With Pattern Theory, Fillipe Souza, Sudeep Sarkar, Anuj Srivastava, Jingyong Su

MODVIS Workshop

We propose a combinatorial approach built on Grenander’s pattern theory to generate semantic interpretations of video events of human activities. The basic units of representations, termed generators, are linked with each other using pairwise connections, termed bonds, that satisfy predefined relations. Different generators are specified for different levels, from (image) features at the bottom level to (human) actions at the highest, providing a rich representation of items in a scene. The resulting configurations of connected generators provide scene interpretations; the inference goal is to parse given video data and generate high-probability configurations. The probabilistic structures are imposed using energies that …