Data Science Commons^™

Predicting S&P Corporate Credit Ratings Using Financial Ratios And Machine Learning: An Analysis Of European Non-Financial Companies., Gabriele Frattaroli

ICT

This study investigates the prediction of multi-class S&P corporate credit ratings for European non-financial firms from 2010 to 2024 using a machine learning framework grounded in financial fundamentals. To ensure robustness and generalizability, the analysis excluded the Year variable, which was identified as a source of data leakage. After this correction, non-linear ensemble models demonstrated a clear advantage over linear baselines. The top-performing Random Forest model achieved a weighted F1-score of approximately 0.60, more than doubling the performance of the Logistic Regression benchmark used as a baseline (0.26), with most misclassifications concentrated in adjacent rating categories. This indicates that while …

Predicting Monthly Weather Anomalies In Ireland: A Comparative Study Of Machine Learning And Deep Learning Models., Fiona Behan

ICT

Abstract

This study investigates the application of statistical, machine learning, and deep learning methods to detect monthly weather anomalies in Ireland between 1960-2024. Climate variability is intensifying globally, increasing the urgency for accurate detection of unusual weather events. Using publicly available data from Met Eireann provided by the CSO PxStat Open Data Portal, the research applied comprehensive preprocessing including Bayesian Ridge iterative imputation, temporal and seasonal feature engineering, and ensemble statistical anomaly labelling based on z-score, interquartile range, and rolling residual analysis. Four models were developed and evaluated: Isolation Forest, XGBoost, Long Short Term Memory networks, and Gated Recurrent Units, …

Optimizing Lstm Neural Network For Multimodal Multivariate Footfall Prediction., Aws Al Adhami

ICT

Accurate forecasting of pedestrian activity is important for smart city planning, retail analytics, and public service management. This study presents a forecasting framework using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks that integrates multiple data sources, including weather, calendar variables, and engineered temporal features. The model development follows a structured pipeline from baseline univariate models to a fully optimized multivariate model using feature engineering and hyperparameter tuning techniques such as Hyperband and Bayesian optimization. The final model achieved a Mean Absolute Error of 24.05 and explained 97.10% of the variance in unseen data, effectively capturing both regular patterns and short-term fluctuations …

Neural Networks Activation Functions And Hybrid Activations Functions Accuracy And Loss Comparison On Small Dataset Against Large Datasets For Classification Problems., Antonio Felipe Cora Martins

ICT

Even on the era of Big Data, small datasets are the reality of many companies and sectors. Many datasets in rare disease diagnosis, custom manufacturing, military sciences, bioengineering, and disaster events are commonly limited in size, making machine learning predictive modelling difficult. Being the Activation Function choice crucial for Neural Networks learning, it raises the question of their effectiveness in such scenarios. This study compares five standard (single) activation functions (Sigmoid, Tanh, ReLU, Leaky ReLU, ELU) and two hybrid variants (one a mix of ReLU plus Tanh and a Learnable Activation Function with a trainable weight (alpha) that balances ReLU …

Leaf Classification Using Convolutional Neural Networks And Vision Transformers, Louis Wilkie

ICT

This study investigates deep learning techniques for plant image classification using four publicly available datasets: Folio, Flavia, Swedish, and Sugarcane. Three modelling approaches—Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Vision Transformers (ViT), and hybrid CNN-ViT ensembles—are evaluated. Models leverage PyTorch implementations and pretrained weights from the Hugging Face hub, with hyperparameter tuning applied to optimize accuracy. Transfer learning with pretrained ViT models achieved the highest performance, attaining 100% accuracy on Folio, Flavia, and Swedish datasets, and 94.07% on Sugarcane. CNN and CNN-ViT models showed comparable results, but pretrained CNN-ViTs were more resource-efficient. The findings highlight the importance of evaluating multiple pretrained architectures to …

Investigating The Effectiveness Of Traditional Vs Hybrid Time Series Models In Operational Planning., Cristina Priolo

ICT

This study conducts a systematic comparison of traditional and hybrid time series forecasting models for operational planning in a SaaS company, using large multichannel, multilanguage datasets aggregated at six-hour intervals. Classical models (ARIMA, SARIMA, ETS) are evaluated against hybrid models (ARIMA-ANN, SARIMA-ANN, ETS-ANN) to assess their ability to capture both linear and nonlinear patterns. Forecasts over a three-month horizon were evaluated using RMSE, MAE, and MAPE, with hyperparameter optimization applied to all models. Results show that hybrid models, particularly ARIMA-ANN and SARIMA-ANN, outperform traditional models in predicting volatile and high-volume data, while traditional models remain competitive for stable datasets. These …

Ripples: An Automated Embedding Generation Algorithm For The Forward-Forward Algorithm, Spencer Connolly

All Graduate Theses, Dissertations, and Other Capstone Projects

The Forward-Forward algorithm (FF) is yet another novel invention by Geoffrey Hinton, the creator of the famous backpropagation algorithm (BP). Since its proposal, many papers have been published exploring its potential, and good progress has been made in increasing its viability. Though FF continually falls short of BP, its purpose is not to replace BP and preliminary research shows that there is plenty of room for growth. In this paper, we present a literature review for FF algorithms applied to Convolution Neural Networks (CNN) for image classification tasks and set the stage for applying FF to more complex datasets. The …

Empirical Analysis Of Political Districting Splitability Via Uniform Spanning Trees In Polynomial Time, Brooke C. Feinberg

Scripps Senior Theses

This work expands a recently proven conjecture that a polynomial fraction of all uniform spanning trees (USTs) are splittable into k balanced partitions on grid graphs to real-world political districting plans. We investigate whether similar structural properties hold for the planar dual graphs of U.S. counties (cnty) and tracts (t), using Wilson’s algorithm to generate uniform random spanning trees and Breadth- First Search (BFS) to check for splitability into balanced partitions. Our empirical findings suggest that real-world districting plans can be split into 2-balanced, connected partitions in a fraction of polynomial time. This result highlights the potential for scalable redistricting …

A Vision Transformer Based Assistive System For Dermatological Diagnosis In Systemic Lupus Erythematosus, Syeda Lamima Farhat

All Graduate Theses, Dissertations, and Other Capstone Projects

Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) is a complex and often underdiagnosed autoimmune disease that affects multiple organs and presents with a wide range of symptoms-ranging from fatigue and joint pain to life-threatening organ damage. One of its most visible and diagnostically significant indicators is the Butterfly Malar Rash (BMR), a distinctive facial rash that often resembles other common dermatological conditions like rosacea, acne, eczema, and fifth disease. This overlap can lead to misdiagnosis or delayed detection, especially in busy clinical environments. To assist dermatologists in distinguishing BMR from similar facial rashes, this study explores the development of an AI-powered image classification …

Evaluating Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis In Healthcare Drug Reviews Across Machine Learning, Deep Neural Networks, And Transformer Models, Eun Soo Park

All Graduate Theses, Dissertations, and Other Capstone Projects

Sentiment analysis has become a critical area of research in Natural Language Processing (NLP), enabling insights from unstructured text. Within this field, Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis (ABSA) plays a practical role in domains such as healthcare, where patients drug reviews often contain diverse opinions across multiple aspects, including overall comments, perceived benefits, and side effects. However, aspect-level classification remains challenging due to class imbalance, subtle sentiment expression, and the limitations of traditional models. This research investigates the performance of three modeling paradigms: traditional machine learning (SVM, SVC, and XGBoost), deep learning (CNN-BiLSTM), and transformer-based approaches (DistilBERT sentence-pair classification). Using the UCI …

Data Injustice In Global Justice, Asaf Lubin, Cherry Tang

Articles by Maurer Faculty

In May 2020, the United Nations Secretary-General unveiled a sweeping “Data Strategy for Action by Everyone, Everywhere,” seeking to unlock the UN’s “full data potential.” The International Criminal Court’s Office of the Prosecutor followed suit, declaring in 2023 its intent to acquire advanced cyber forensic tools so as to hold the “widest range of digital evidence globally.” Across international institutions, data-driven governance has become the norm, with humanitarian agencies and tribunals transforming into “data hubs and information clearinghouses.” This Article critiques the unfettered datafication of global justice by international courts and organizations. These entities have aggressively expanded their data-driven operations …

‘Waves Of Imagination’ Unconditional Spectogram Diffusion Using Diffusion Architecture., Rahul Vanukuri

Computer Science and Engineering Theses - Archive

The swift evolution of wireless communication technologies,particularly in the field of rf signals or in CBRS bands,demands increasingly sophisticated signal processing techniques to ensure efficient transmission, reception, and spectrum management.Traditional approaches to signal generation and reconstruction, although effective in controlled environments, often struggle to cope with the challenges presented by real-world noisy conditions, hardware constraints, and limited access to large-scale datasets. In response to these limitations, this thesis explores the application of diffusion models—a class of generative models known for their ability to produce high-fidelity samples—to the domain of spectrogram generation for communication signals.

Different from conventional strategies to simulate …

Analyzing Political Sentiment On Micro-Blogging Data: A Lexicon And Machine Learning Approach To The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, Ava Grey

CMC Senior Theses

This paper explores the trends in sentiment towards U.S. presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump through micro-blogging social media text during the five months leading up to the election. Two datasets of varying sizes and origins were used to contextualize and validate analysis findings. The analyses include both a lexicon-based approach and a machine learning predictive method. Common sentiment analysis techniques like term frequency, term frequency inverse, various lexicons, and n-grams were utilized during the lexicon approach. During the modeling, a random forest was utilized in addition to the methods used during the lexicon approach. Results showed that overall …

Neural Correlates Of Attentional Biases In Dietary Choice: Role Of Childhood Socioeconomic Status, Justine Jamie N. Gotico

CMC Senior Theses

Childhood poverty has been shown to increase adult risk for obesity above and beyond its direct effects on adult socioeconomic status (SES). One proposed mechanism of these effects is by shifting behavioral patterns of dietary consumption and choice, for example by increasing rapid attention to high-calorie unhealthy foods. Yet, whether such neural mechanisms can explain observed differences in dietary behavior based on childhood SES remains an open question. Here we used event-related potentials (ERPs) to examine early attentional correlates of low childhood SES during a dietary choice task, based on research suggesting that early attentional biases toward high-calorie foods emerge …

A Two-Phase Learning Approach Integrated With Multi-Source Features For Cloud Service Qos Prediction, Fuzan Chen, Jing Yang, Haiyang Feng, Harris Wu, Minqiang Li

Information Technology & Decision Sciences Faculty Publications

Quality of Service (QoS) is a key factor for users when choosing cloud services. However, QoS values are often unavailable due to insufficient user evaluations or provider data. To address this, we propose a new QoS prediction method, Multi-source Feature Two-phase Learning (MFTL). MFTL incorporates multiple sources of features influencing QoS and uses a two-phase learning framework to make effective use of these features. In the first phase, coarse-grained learning is performed using a neighborhood-integrated matrix factorization model, along with a strategy for selecting high-quality neighbors for target users. In the second phase, reinforcement learning through a deep neural network …

Centralized Deep Reinforcement Learning For Homogeneous Multi-Component Maintenance Optimization, Joseph W. Wittrock

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis explores an application of reinforcement learning (RL) in maintenance optimization. Recent advances in hardware-accelerated computation and deep learning have made RL a powerful tool for solving optimization problems which are too complex for traditional methods. Maintenance optimization involves improving the efficiency and effectiveness of maintenance activities through data-driven approaches, ultimately reducing costs and increasing asset availability. Making informed maintenance decisions is crucial to long-term sustainability.

A desirable maintenance policy maximizes a utility signal while minimizing the cost of maintenance. Techniques in sequential decision making such as dynamic programming (DP) and RL have found success in optimizing these maintenance …

Temporal Machine Learning For Predicting Accidents And Violations In The Mining Industry, Nathan T. Kelley

Theses and Dissertations--Mining Engineering

This thesis examines the predictive capability of a temporal machine learning model for forecasting future accidents and violations at individual mines, based on historical data. Mine accidents were categorized by accident classification and violations were categorized by the Part Section. The primary datasets utilized were the mine safety and health administration’s (MSHA’s) Accident Injuries and Violations datasets. The available datasets were cleaned and organized by mine type and commodity, then divided into separate subsets for training, validating, and testing. Different models, cutoff metrics, learning rates, number of hidden layers, data processing methods, data processing divisions, number of points observed …

Cognitive Map Generation For Vision And Language Navigation, Alexander Sandoval Mesa

Dissertations and Theses

Visual-Language Navigation (VLN) presents significant challenges for autonomous agents, such as robots and virtual assistants, particularly in complex, dynamic environments where the seamless integration of visual perception and natural language understanding is critical. Traditional VLN systems often struggle with effectively aligning language instructions and visual scene understanding, limiting their adaptability and navigation efficiency.

This thesis proposes a novel Cognitive Map-based framework that addresses these challenges by transforming natural language navigation instructions into structured graph representations. The Cognitive Map consists of nodes representing waypoints, landmarks, decision points, and edges encoding spatial relationships and navigational actions. These maps are generated using Large …

Spatial Analysis And Machine Learning Integration For Nutritional Status Mapping Using Ann And Random Forest Models, Desi Anis Anggraini, Fachrul Kurniawan, Fresy Nugroho, Meidya Koeshardianto, Mohammad Iqbal Bachtiar

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

Nutritional problems among children under five remain a major public health challenge. This research seeks to create a spatially oriented system for evaluating and mapping nutritional status utilizing Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Random Forest (RF) algorithms. Data obtained from the Sumenep District Health Office included age, weight, height, and gender variables. Both models were trained using a 70:30 data ratio and evaluated with accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score metrics. The ANN model achieved an accuracy of 95.8%, while the RF model reached 97.7%. Classification results were visualized through a Geographic Information System (GIS) to illustrate spatial distribution and identify …

Time Series Forecasting With Lstm: An Extensive Content Analysis, Andri Pranolo, Xiaofeng Zhou, Yingchi Mao

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

This paper presents a comprehensive bibliometric and content review of the trend, architecture, and application of long short-term memory (LSTM) models for time series forecasting. The study aims to provide insights into the overall statistics and distribution of papers focused on LSTM for forecasting. Additionally, the research questions address the most highly cited papers based on LSTM approaches in forecasting, the most productive journals in this field, and identifying trends, gaps, summary tasks and their performance, datasets availability, and future research directions for LSTM in forecasting. This paper is a comprehensive review of LSTM for forecasting from 2017 to 2023 …

Prediction Of Audit Findings Using Deep Learning With Financial And Non-Financial Data: A Case Study In Province X, Fery Yohan Setiawan, Eko Mulyanto Yuniarno, Reza Fuad Rachmadi

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

The implementation of the audit from the local government financial statements by The Audit Board of The Republic of Indonesia (BPK RI), especially for the Province X representative, are frequently faced by the various limitations, one of them being the required audit time. At this moment, the BPK RI representative of Province X doesn’t have the tools that are able to help the accurate of sample determination for the pick test, which resulted in this study proposing the application of multi-label classification to predict the findings of financial statement (Laporan Keuangan, LK) audits based on financial and non …

A Hybrid Soft Voting And Stacking-Based Meta-Learning Approach For Sentiment Analysis Of Bangkalan Batik, Moh. Imron Wahyudi, Lailil Muflikhah, Rizal Setya Perdana

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

Sentiment analysis is an important field in Natural Language Processing (NLP) that focuses on processing consumer opinions to gain useful insights. The information generated from sentiment analysis can be used as a basis for business decision-making, service quality evaluation, and the formulation of more effective marketing strategies. In the local context, Bangkalan Batik, as one of Madura's distinctive cultural products, has high economic value and cultural identity. However, consumer reviews available online, for example through Google Maps, are still rarely utilized optimally by MSMEs as a source of strategic information. Therefore, this study was conducted to develop a sentiment classification …

A Comparative Study Of Machine Learning Models For Javanese Wuku Classification: Exploring Svm, Naïve Bayes, And Cnn For Cultural Texts, Danang Arbian Sulistyo, Aji Prasetya Wibawa, Didik Dwi Prasetya, Fadhli Almu'iini Ahda, Agung Bella Putra Utama

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

This study rigorously evaluates machine learning models for classifying culturally significant Javanese Wuku texts from the “Keagamaan atau Spiritual” category, a domain challenged by unique linguistic nuances and limited digitized resources. We compared Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes, and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) on texts from five pivotal Wuku types (Sinta, Galungan, Kuningan, Sungsang, Warigalit) sourced from sastra.org, aiming to identify the most effective computational approach. The dataset comprises N = 1419 documents (T = 751.290 tokens), with per-class document counts reported for all five Wuku types. Our evaluation uses accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and …

Mapping Of Product Sales Potential Based On Brands In The East Kalimantan Region Using Hybrid Analytical Framework, Achmad F O Gaffar Mr, Mulyanto Mulyanto Mr, Arief Bw Putra Mr, Muhammad Taufiq Sumadi Mr, Emmilya Umma Aziza Gaffar

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

In geographically dispersed markets, operational costs should be reflected in sales planning to support accurate performance evaluation. However, such considerations are often neglected in practice. This study proposes a hybrid analytical framework to map brand-based product sales potential, with and without operational cost consideration, using historical sales data from PT Karya Inti Total Anugerah (PT KITA) in East Kalimantan. The framework integrates spatial, statistical, and machine learning techniques. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is used to reduce the dimensionality of variables related to travel distance, total sales, and units sold, where travel distance represents the primary contributor to operational costs. K-Means …

Cognitive Eeg Differentiation With Hypnosis-Based Noise Reduction And K-Harmonic Means For Personalized Brainwave Modeling, Ahmad Azhari, Dimas Chaerul Ekty Saputra

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

This study investigates the integration of hypnosis-based noise reduction and K-Harmonic Means (KHM) clustering for personalized brainwave modeling using Electroencephalography (EEG) data. EEG signals were collected from 100 participants using a Neurosky Mindset sensor at the FP1 (prefrontal) location, with each subject performing nine standardized cognitive tasks such as breathing, memory recall, and mathematical problem-solving. Hypnosis was applied not as a filtering method but as a behavioral protocol to standardize subject conditions and minimize physiological and environmental noise. The EEG signals were sampled at 128 Hz and analyzed using KHM clustering with K=4K = 4K=4, resulting in a Silhouette Score …

Comparative Performance Of Vgg16 And Efficientnetb0-Based Transfer Learning For Brain Tumor Classification, Huzain Azis, Rizqi Ananda Jalil, Abdul Rachman Manga'

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

The classification of brain tumors using Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) images is essential for early diagnosis but remains challenging due to tumor diversity. This study evaluates the effectiveness of two distinct architectural approaches for feature extraction: VGG16, representing a classic sequential design, and EfficientNetB0, a modern architecture optimized for parameter efficiency through compound scaling. Using a dataset of 2,870 MRI images categorized into four classes, we implemented a static transfer learning strategy by freezing all pre-trained ImageNet weights to act as fixed feature extractors. Features were extracted from specific layers, the final pooling layer for VGG16 and the Global Average …

Ahp–Python Framework For Multicriteria Modeling Of Rice Production In Asean, Mayang Anglingsari Putri, Risqy Siwi Pradini, Anuraga Jayanegara, Alexander Dimas Yonanta Putra

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

Rice production is a key indicator of food security and agricultural stability in Southeast Asia, especially among Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries. Despite shared regional goals, disparities in rice production remain, and previous studies mainly rely on descriptive statistics, lacking structured multicriteria decision-making frameworks and computational tools for cross-country comparisons. This study addresses these gaps by proposing an integrated Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)–Python framework to evaluate and rank ASEAN rice production from 2013 to 2022. Three criteria are used: Total Production Volume (K1), Production Growth Trend (K2), and Recent Year Performance (K3), capturing both long-term consistency and short-term …

Stable Numerical Solution Of An Elliptic Pde Inverse Problem Subject To Incomplete Boundary Conditions, Qasim Abd Ali Tayyeh

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

This study addresses the challenging problem of solving inverse elliptic Partial Differential Equations (PDE) with incomplete boundary data, data available only on a part of the domain boundary. The aim is to develop a robust, effective numerical framework that consistently recovers parameters and/or sources from incomplete, ill-posed data. In the case of a variational problem discretized by the Finite Element Method (FEM) and solved by an adjoint-based optimization strategy, the framework uses Tikhonov regularization. Morozov's Discrepancy Principle is used to determine regularization parameters that achieve the best balance between accuracy and stability. Even with 5% noise in the measurement data, …

Assessing Deep Learning Models And Hyperparameter Optimization For Stable Time-Series Electricity Load Forecasting, Sukma Patrya, Aji Prasetya Wibawa, Aripriharta Aripriharta

Knowledge Engineering and Data Science

Long-term electricity load forecasting plays an important role in ensuring system reliability, optimizing energy management, and making operational plans in face of continuously rising electricity demands. This study suggests a complete deep learning method for univariate forecasting of future electricity loads based on climatology and electricity consumption data for the period between 2019 and 2023. The initial dataset was cleaned, normalized, and partitioned chronologically into train/test datasets. Four train/test split cases (20/80, 40/60, 60/40, 80/20) were considered to explore the impact of different levels of historical data availability on the performance of the suggested framework from data-poor to data-rich situations. …

A Bayesian Deep Segmentation Framework For Glioblastoma Tumor Segmentation Using Follow-Up Mris, Tanjida Kabir, Kang-Lin Hsieh, Luis Nunez, Yu-Chun Hsu, Juan C Rodriguez Quintero, Octavio Arevalo, Kangyi Zhao, Jay-Jiguang Zhu, Roy F Riascos, Mahboubeh Madadi, Xiaoqian Jiang, Shayan Shams

Faculty, Staff and Student Publications

Background: Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most common malignant brain tumor with an abysmal prognosis. Since complete tumor cell removal is impossible due to the infiltrative nature of GBM, accurate measurement is paramount for GBM assessment. Preoperative magnetic resonance images (MRIs) are crucial for initial diagnosis and surgical planning, while follow-up MRIs are vital for evaluating treatment response. The structural changes in the brain caused by surgical and therapeutic measures create significant differences between preoperative and follow-up MRIs. In clinical research, advanced deep learning models trained on preoperative MRIs are often applied to assess follow-up scans, but their effectiveness in this …