Statistical Methodology Commons^™

Calculation Analysis Of The S Urrounding Rock Pressure In Shallow Buried Unsymmetrial Tunnel Under Variable Slope, Bai Yan, Qiao Ting Ting, Ning Xiaojun, Liu Guokun

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To provide a reasonable meth od for calculating the surrounding rock pressure in shallow buried unsymmetrial pressure tunnels under variable slope conditions for tunnel design,to establish a model for calculating the surrounding rock pressure in shallow buried unsymmetrial pressure tunnels under variable slope conditions,and to employ the principle of ultimate equilibrium to derived the formula for calculating the surrounding rock pressure.The intermediate variable β' is introduced as the base for selecting the unsymmetrial pressure tunnels surrounding rock pressure calculation method under variable slope conditions,and the derived formulas in this paper are verified by comparing the calculated values of the normative …

Dynamic Response Rules Of Adjacent Buildings To Blasting Construction In Shallow Buried Tunnels, Luo Yanping, Li Jigang, Wang Sheng, Zeng Bin, Lai Jinxing, Feng Zhihua, Qiu Junling

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to study the dynamic response rule of overlying buildings during blasting construction in shallow buried tunnels,the urban tunnel in Fuzhou was taken as the engineering background,and the on-site monitoring and Ansys/LS-DYNA simulation were used to analyze the structural response of overlying buildings.The monitoring results show that the building is most obviously affected by blasting in the vertical direction and has an obvious elevation amplification effect,and the maximum vibration velocity is 2.45 cm/s.The vibration velocity in all directions gradually decreases and tends to be stable with the increase in explosion center distance and decays rapidly when the explosion center …

Correlation Analysis Of Highway Traffic Accidents Based On Improved Apriori Algorithm, Qiu Wenli, Yang Haifeng, Zhang Shaobo, Qiu Yu, Zhao Jiao

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to explore the as sociation characteristics between influencing factors of accidents from existing traffic data and provide precise and fine-grained decision support information for highway operation and management departments,a constrained improved Apriori algorithm was established to mine the association rules affecting highway traffic accidents by considering four dimensions:driver,environment,road,and vehicle.On the basis of the traditional Apriori algorithm,the improvement of antecedent and consequent constraints of the rule may increase the accuracy and efficiency of mining association rules.Based on the analysis of 3 178 highway traffic accident data,it is shown that the improved Apriori algorithm reduces the number of invalid association …

Characteristics And Safety Of Weaving Areas Of Trunk Roads Based On Traffic Conflicts, Wang Ziming, Li Shubin, Cui Shuai

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

This paper selected a weaving area on Jingshi Road in Jinan,China as the investigation object to study the characteristics of traffic conflicts and the safety level of each lane in the weaving area between the entrance of an urban trunk road and a signal-controlled intersection.In this research,a signal period was set as the investigation interval,traffic conflicts were identified as the research basis,and the collision time (TTTC) was selected as the index.Severity thresholds of traffic conflicts were established by using the cumulative frequency method,and a model was constructed to represent the relationship among the overall traffic volume,traffic density,and the number of …

Safety Of Optimized Concrete Median Barrier Without Planting Soil, Zhong Chunyao, Ma Qing, Li Yangfan, Gong Shuai, Liu Siyuan, Yan Shuming

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to study the safety of optimized concrete median barrier without planting soil,the technology combining computer simulation,sled test,and full-scale impact test of real vehicles was adopted for analysis and verification.In addition,a scheme was proposed to improve the anti-overturning ability of the barrier without planting soil by strengthening the supporting block,and the scheme of setting a 20 cm-high supporting block between the barrier walls was optimized.The safety of the barrier scheme was evaluated by taking the most unfavorable large truck as an example.The results show that the protection level of the optimized concrete median barrier without planting soil is SAm, …

Aided Design Method And Application Of Rutting Prevention And Maintenance In Asphalt Pavement Based On Digital Holographic 3d Detection, Wang Jingfei, Wang Wang, Xu Xinquan, Huang Zhijian, Ti Jing, Yao Yanru

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

As one of the common diseases of asphalt pavement,rutting has significant impacts on the service life and traffic safety of the pavement.Mild rutting in asphalt pavement during preventive maintenance can lead to increased use of maintenance materials due to rutting deformation.Accurately calculating the amount of materials needed to fill rutting in maintenance designs is of great significance for ensuring maintenance quality and efficiency.Based on the requirements of maintenance engineering,this paper analyzed the problems in maintenance designs that use traditional methods and the data they generate for rutting detection.A design method was proposed for rutting prevention and maintenance in asphalt pavement,assisted …

Performance Of Chlorine Salt Snow‑Melting Agent Based On Improved, Shrp Ice‑Melting Testlyu Yuejing, Dang Bo, Zhang Zhiwei, Tang Wen, Fan Yu

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Chlorine salt snow-melting agent has been widely used because of its excellent ice-melting and snow-removing performance,low price,and easy access.In order to explore the problems of different temperature applicability,non-uniform standard,and rough spreading methods of chlorine salt snow-melting agents,this paper analyzed the influence of temperature,solid and liquid state,and spreading methods on the ice-melting performance of three commonly used chlorine salt snow-melting agents,namely NaCl,CaCl2,and MgCl2,through an improved SHRP ice-melting test.The test results show that the ice-melting performance of the chlorine salt snow-melting agent has strong temperature sensitivity.MgCl2 and CaCl2 snow-melting agents have an exothermic effect during the melting process.The ice-melting efficiency of the …

Deflection Basin Characteristics Of Distressed Roads Under Moving Load, Cai Yingchun, Xie Shenjian

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The deflection basins of roads under moving load imply the distress information of subgrade and pavement.Therefore,how to use the information of deflection basins under moving load to rapidly test road distresses non-destructively has received much attention.In this paper,the finite element model of semi-rigid base asphalt pavement was established.By setting different types and degrees of finite element distress models,the continuous changes of surface deflection basins under moving load were analyzed.The results show that when the load moves to the distress area,the center deflection value of surface deflection basins in each distress model will become larger.When transverse cracks appear in the pavement …

Curing Mechanism And Influencing Factors Of Cement Mixing Piles Reinforcing Peat Soil, Feng Rongxian, Zhong Gaibing, Liu Liang, Liang Jianyuan, Gu Meixiang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The cement mixing pile is used to reinforce the deep peat soil foundation in Malaysia's east coast railway construction.The key in this project is to determine the cement mix proportion and additives.Considering the high organic matter content and strong environmental acidity of coastal peat soil,physical and mechanical tests of peat soil and laboratory uniaxial compression tests of cement soil under different mix proportions and influencing factors were conducted.Test results show that the mean compressive strength decreases by 0.35 MPa with the increase in cement-water from 0.5 to 0.9.Adding mineral powder gives a relatively poor curing effect while adding fly ash …

Extreme Value Statistics Analysis Of Process Defects In Additive Manufacturing Materials, Ayorinde E. Olatunde, Kristen Hernandez, Austin Ngo, Arafath Nihar, Thomas G. Ciardi, Rachel Yamamoto, Pawan K. Tripathi, Roger H. French, John J. Lewandowski, Anirban Mondal

Faculty Scholarship

Fatigue and fracture studies focused on process defects that occur in Additive Manufacturing (AM) materials have shown that defect populations possess features which are better measured with extreme value statistics (EVS). In AM alloys, defect occurrences increase with material volume. This situation facilitates the need to model process defects in the path of fatigue crack growth with suitable statistical tools, such as EVS, which is more cost-effective when compared to destructive experiments. The application of EVS on defect space features helps determine the difference in defects present on fracture surfaces. As the fatigue quality of any material depends on its …

A Contingency Table Alternative To Poisson Regression In Comparing The Frequency Distributions Of Two Populations, Sandra Tay

Dissertations

When testing the conditional independence between a binary outcome and a binary treatment indicator, conditioned on a categorical variable with k levels, typically represented by a K × 2 frequency table, researchers often turn to Poisson regression and the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel (CMH) test. However, a common challenge encountered in these analyses is the presence of treatment effect heterogeneity. Introducing an interaction term between treatment indicators and effect modifiers in log-linear regression offers potential solutions, yet the equidispersion assumption of Poisson regression remains problematic. On the other hand, the CMH test assumes similar treatment effects across all strata, disregarding potential variations among …

Alternative Adjacency Matrices And Spatial Analysis, Jaeseong Hwang

Dissertations

Spatial analysis is essential for comprehending the spatial distribution of diseases and various phenomena across geographic regions. This study investigates the utilization of alternative adjacency matrices in spatial analysis, with a specific focus on implementing Poisson regression models. This study intricately explores the methodology behind constructing alternative weight matrices, specifying weight matrices, and comparing the performance of Poisson models using five different weight matrices.

The popular Poisson model model is described, and five different definitions of weight matrices are defined, which are the following: binary weight matrix, inverse distance weight matrix using Euclidean distance, Graph distance matrix, Path matrix, and …

Value Added Tax Rate Variation, Import Demand And Sectoral Output In Nigeria, Joshua K. Nomkuha, Aondoawase Asooso, Philip T. Abachi

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This study employs computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to estimate the effect of increase in value added tax (VAT), from 5 per cent to 7.5 per cent, on import demand and sectoral output in Nigeria. The study uses 2020 as the base year for the data analysis. The results show that increase in VAT affects import demand negatively, based on import penetration ratios, with mixed effect across six sectors. The implication of the result is that the VAT policy discourage consumption of foreign products, and constitute excess burden to consumers of such products in Nigeria. The results further reveal that …

Trade Liberalization, Non-Oil Export And Economic Growth In Nigeria, Jerome T. Andohol, Terhemen Tarzoor, Dennis T. Nomor

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

The study examines the impact of trade liberalization and non-oil exports on economic growth in Nigeria from 1986 to 2021. The study utilizes an autoregressive distributed lag model and found the combined effect of trade liberalization and non-oil exports to be positive and statistical significant. While trade liberalization alone may have negative consequences, its synergy with a robust non-oil export can drive sustainable economic growth. The study recommends that strategies to enhance non-oil exports should be encouraged to support the effectiveness of trade liberalization in promoting growth.

The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy Transmission In Nigeria: Evidence From The Monetary Policy Rate And The Cash Reserve Ratio, Abdulrahman A. Nadani, Auwal Isah

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This paper investigates the effectiveness of the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) and Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) as policy instruments in Nigeria. A structural VAR model is employed to simulate two distinct models measuring shocks from the MPR and the CRR using monthly data from January 2006 to December 2023. Findings show that contractionary monetary policy impulses using MPR and the CRR contract output and credit to the private sector, inflation remains largely positive in the two models, known as the “price puzzle”, but the puzzle is more persistent in the MPR equation. Moreover, shock to MPR strongly influences short-term interest …

Stock Market Volatility In The United Kingdom: Simulating Post-Covid-19 Recovery, Bala A. Dahiru, Mohammed Shuaibu, Najibullah Hassanov

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This paper investigates the time it would take for the FTSE-100 index to reach its post-COVID-19 peak. The paper utilises an exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (EGARCH) model that accounts for leverage effect and asymmetries. The preferred models amongst competing variants was the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA)-EGARCH(2,1) specification and was used to predict daily FTSE-100 data from 5th January 2000 to 21st June 2024. The empirical exercise showed that the COVID-19-induced financial crisis negatively affected the United Kingdom’s stock market performance. The results show that the FTSE100 index could reach its post-pandemic peak around 27th August, 2024 (two months after …

Mechanical And Deformation Characteristics Of Piles In Coastal Soft Soil Areas Considering Softening Effect, Wang Fei, Yan Yu, Jiao Lidong, Shen Fengqi, Chen Lu, Liu Jianhua

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to discuss the mechanical and deformation behavior of piles in coastal soft soil areas under horizontal load，the corresponding simplified mechanical model was established according to the loading characteristics of piles in coastal soft soil areas.Secondly，the softening effect of coastal soft soil was considered to modify the existing p-y curve model.On this basis，the differential equation of pile deflection in coastal soft soil areas was derived，and its internal force and displacement were solved by the transfer matrix method.A nonlinear calculation method of piles in coastal soft soil areas considering the softening effect was obtained.Finally，the influence of softening parameters，pile diameter，and elastic …

Research On Road Performance Of Carbonaceous Shale Subgrade Filler, Zhang Mengjin, Huang Yafei, Wu Qian, Mao Xuesong, Zhang Jianxun, Chen Xinyi, Wang Yueyue

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The application of carbonaceous shale for subgrade filling not only alleviates the shortage of subgrade filler in carbonaceous shale distribution areas but also meets the strategic requirements of “resource conservation and saving ” and “green development ” for infrastructure construction in China.However，such rocks are weak and susceptible to weathering and disintegration，and they exhibit significant strength deterioration when exposed to water.To fully apply them，their performance must be comprehensively understood.In this paper，the basic properties of the carbonaceous shale were studied，and filler gradation was designed.The tests on compaction characteristics of the filler and particle crushing characteristics after compaction，RCBR （California bearing ratio ） variation …

Test And Analysis On Stress And Deformation Of Assembled Geocell Retaining Wall, Kong Yongbo, Li Hao, Zhang Jianwei, Li Junjie, Yang Xiaohua

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The variable cross-section geocell retaining wall of the Chengdu –Yibin Expressway test road in Sichuan Province of China was studied.First，the construction method of the new-type assembled geocell retaining wall was introduced，and the new-type glass fiber reinforced plastic lightweight panel was used to effectively solve the problem that the panel of the retaining wall is not neat and easy to be damaged.Secondly，the supporting effect of the retaining wall was analyzed by field monitoring.The field monitoring results show that the earth pressure at different parts of the retaining wall is nonlinearly distributed along the height of the retaining wall.The earth pressure at …

Structure And Material Of Rigid‑Flexible Composite Pavements And Development, Liu Zhaohui, Huang You, Yu Shiqing, Liu Jingyu, Li Sheng, Liu Li, Pan Yu

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The rigid-flexible composite pavement，as a kind of durable pavement structure，has been widely used for heavy-duty traffic，special geological conditions，bridge tunnel paving，etc.In order to promote the application of durable rigid-flexible composite pavements and clarify the key research issues and development directions，relevant research progress of rigid-flexible composite pavements in China and abroad was reviewed.Based on the structure design theory and construction technology of rigid-flexible composite pavements，the structural mechanical behavior characteristics of rigid-flexible composite pavements were described，and the stress induced by load and temperature of asphalt surface layer and rigid base layer，as well as their interactions were analyzed.The asphalt surface layer on the rigid …