Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Lightning Forecast From Chaotic And Incomplete Time Series Using Wavelet De-Noising And Spatiotemporal Kriging, Jared K. Nystrom, Raymond Hill, Andrew J. Geyer, Joseph J. Pignatiello Jr., Eric Chicken

Faculty Publications

Purpose: Present a method to impute missing data from a chaotic time series, in this case lightning prediction data, and then use that completed dataset to create lightning prediction forecasts.

Design/Methodology/Approach: Using the technique of spatiotemporal kriging to estimate data that is autocorrelated but in space and time. Using the estimated data in an imputation methodology completes a dataset used in lighting prediction.

Findings: The techniques provided prove robust to the chaotic nature of the data, and the resulting time series displays evidence of smoothing while also preserving the signal of interest for lightning prediction.

Abstract © Emerald Publishing …

Academic Evaluation From The Perspective Of Multi-Source Eterogeneous Data:Connotation, Status And Prospect, Sanhong Deng, Jie Yang, Hao Wang, Jia Shen

Journal of Scientific Information Research

[Purpose/significance]Academic evaluation and scientometric methods of synthesizing multisource heterogeneous data have gradually become hot spots in the field. At present， there is no systematic theoretical discussion on academic evaluation from the perspective of multisource heterogeneous data.[Method/process]In view of insufficient utilization of multi-source heterogeneous data， inappropriate research methods， and unclear research objectives， this paper combs the development of academic evaluation from the perspective of multi-source heterogeneous data， and clarifies the connotation and extension of the field， and analyzes the frontiers and hot spots in the field.[Result/conclusion]The results state clearly that from the perspective of multi-source heterogeneous data， academic evaluation manifests the …

Multi-Representation Variational Autoencoder Via Iterative Latent Attention And Implicit Differentiation, Nhu Thuat Tran, Hady Wirawan Lauw

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Variational Autoencoder (VAE) offers a non-linear probabilistic modeling of user's preferences. While it has achieved remarkable performance at collaborative filtering, it typically samples a single vector for representing user's preferences, which may be insufficient to capture the user's diverse interests. Existing solutions extend VAE to model multiple interests of users by resorting a variant of self-attentive method, i.e., employing prototypes to group items into clusters, each capturing one topic of user's interests. Despite showing improvements, the current design could be more effective since prototypes are randomly initialized and shared across users, resulting in uninformative and non-personalized clusters.To fill the gap, …

Geographic Differences In The Magnitude Of Black-White Disparities In Having Obesity, Steven A. Cohen, Monique J. Brown, Furong Xu, Caitlin C. Nash, Mary L. Greaney

Faculty Publications

Background

Obesity disparities in the United States are well documented, but the limited body of research suggests that geographic factors may alter the magnitude of these disparities. A growing body of evidence has identified a “rural mortality penalty” where morbidity and mortality rates are higher in rural than urban areas, even after controlling for other factors. Black-White differences in health and mortality are more pronounced in rural areas than in urban areas.

Objective

Therefore, the purpose of this study was to explore how rural-urban status and region moderate Black-White health disparities in obesity.

Methods

Data were abstracted from the 2012 …

A Deep Bilstm Machine Learning Method For Flight Delay Prediction Classification, Desmond B. Bisandu, Irene Moulitsas

Journal of Aviation/Aerospace Education & Research

This paper proposes a classification approach for flight delays using Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models. Flight delays are a major issue in the airline industry, causing inconvenience to passengers and financial losses to airlines. The BiLSTM and LSTM models, powerful deep learning techniques, have shown promising results in a classification task. In this study, we collected a dataset from the United States (US) Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) of flight on-time performance information and used it to train and test the BiLSTM and LSTM models. We set three criteria for selecting highly important features …

All-Cause And Opioid-Related Mortality Compared Between Traumatic Spinal Cord Injury And The Us General Population, Jaden Whitehead, Beatrice Ugiliweneza

The Cardinal Edge

Individuals with spinal cord injury (SCI) are susceptible to the misuse of opioids due to the introduction of these substances for pain management. There are very few studies examining the relationship between unintentional deaths caused by opioid usage following spinal cord injury. The objective of this study was to evaluate the trend of opioid-related mortality of individuals with spinal cord injury (SCI) over the years and compare these findings to the mortality rates due to opioid misuse in the general population. In this study, we used data provided by the National Spinal Cord Injury Model Systems (NSCIMS) for SCI 1999-2016 …

Reu-Deim Classification Of Hispanic Voters In Hispanic Groups Using Name And Zip Code Data In Palm Beach, Florida, Kamila Soto-Ortiz

Beyond: Undergraduate Research Journal

When it comes to registering to vote, Hispanic voters can only register as “Hispanic” in the “Race/Ethnicity” category, causing difficulties when analyzing voting trends amongst the Hispanic community. Upon the recent idea that not all Hispanic Groups vote the same, the goal is to create a model that can possibly identify a voter’s Hispanic Group with the information provided on the public Florida voter file. This is accomplished using name and zip code data for all voters in Palm Beach, Florida. This paper will explore the model implemented, its findings and limitations. Palm Beach, Florida, is met with low confidence …

Sugar-Sweetened Beverages And Artificially Sweetened Beverages Consumption And The Risk Of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver (Nafld) And Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis (Nash), Tung Sung Tseng, Wei Ting Lin, Peng Sheng Ting, Chiung Kuei Huang, Po Hung Chen, Gabrielle V. Gonzalez, Hui Yi Lin

School of Public Health Faculty Publications

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are fast becoming the most common chronic liver disease and are often preventable with healthy dietary habits and weight management. Sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) consumption is associated with obesity and NAFLD. However, the impact of different types of SSBs, including artificially sweetened beverages (ASBs), is not clear after controlling for total sugar intake and total caloric intake. The aim of this study was to examine the association between the consumption of different SSBs and the risk of NAFLD and NASH in US adults. The representativeness of 3739 US adults aged ≥20 years …

Summarization Of Reliability Theory For Condition Assessment Of Brige Structurs, Peng Jianxin, Chai Ying, Zhang Jianren

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

This paper briefly reviewed the principles and development of structural design theories, and summarized the current research of structural reliability theories. Meanwhile, various applicable methods of reliability theories were finely described and analyzed, with the latest progress in structural reliability analysis and reliability-based design optimization outlined. Additionally, the uncertainty propagation methods and reliability assessment methods were analyzed, and the development trend of structural reliability was summarized, which can provide a summary and reference for future researchers to study structural reliability.

Study On Laws Of Surface Movement A Nd Deformation Of Goaf Under Subgrade In Sand-Loess Area, Lei Mingxuan, Liu Guotian, Su Weiwei, Zhang Liujun, Yin Lihua

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

A large number of goaf under sand-loess areas in China greatly restrict the highway construction development in sand-loess areas. Meanwhile, the goaf evaluation beneath under subgrade in sand-loess areas is especially important. According to the characteristics of goaf beneath the highway of sand-loess areas, based on FLAC3D software, this paper selected reasonable parameters to build the model of goaf under subgrade. Additionally, based on the mechanical property analysis of sand loess, the laws of surface movement and deformation parameters of the goaf under the subgrade were summarized, and the surface movement and deformation areas were identified, with the range of …

Exploring Long-Term Protective Effect Of High Vertical Sand Barrier On Top Of Complex Longitudinal Sand Ridge In Taklamakan Desert, Jin Changning

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

By taking the high vertical sand barriers deployed on the top of the complex longitudinal sand ridges in the hinterland of Taklamakan Desert as the object, this paper investigated the sand protection effect from the long-term perspective on the basis of several years’ comparative observation. The result analysis shows that in addition to the recognized sand blocking effect, high vertical sand barriers also have a more important role of sand fixation, which means that the barriers can change the original overall movement of sand dunes into only the falling sand slope forward, with the windward slopes basically fixed. Even if …

Experimental Study On Dynamic Resilient Modulus Of Cement-Improved Fine-Grained Soils In Wet Subgrade, Huang Chongwei, Zhu Baobing, Zhang Yi, Sun Yu, Guo Dandan

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To investigate the design and construction of wet subgrade in southern China, this paper selected three typical soil samples of the new highway subgrade of Ecological Avenue in Chongming District, Shanghai, and improved the samples by cement disposal technology. Meanwhile, the effects of the water content, degree of compaction, cement content, age of maintenance and stress state on the dynamic resilient modulus were analyzed by experimental methods. The results show that the effects of cement content, water content and age of maintenance on the dynamic resilient modulus of three kinds of cement-improved fine-grained soil in wet subgrade are larger, and …

Study On Stability Analysis And Treatment Of A Expressway Landslide, Huang Hongchao

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In highway construction of mountainous areas, landslides are easily triggered due to the complex geological conditions, thereby causing serious economic loss and even casualties. Therefore, the study of landslide treatment schemes has caught increasingly more attention from scholars. By taking the giant landslide treatment on a highway of southeastern Yunnan as an example, this paper analyzed the process and cause of giant landslide formation, and then conducted inverse calculations to determine the stability analysis parameters of landslides via combining the topography and geology and slope state before and after slope excavation. Finally, according to the calculation results of the residual …

Discussion On Treatment Scheme Of Soft Foundation Based On Cooperative Deformation Of Roadbed And Frame Structure, Liu Jizhong, Chen Kai, Yang Fengyu

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In view of insufficient consideration of cooperative roadbed and structure deformation, by taking the soft foundation with frame structures in the fill roadbed as the research object, this paper adopted Midas GTS NX finite element analysis software to simulate the pavement settlement and plastic zone distribution of the soft foundation treated by cast-in-place piles. Considering that the stiffness difference between the roadbed and the frame structure can easily result in pavement cracking, a variable stiffness composite foundation treatment optimization scheme was proposed. This scheme coordinated the cooperative settlement and deformation of the roadbed and frame structure, and prevented the development …

Study On Key Technology Of Landslide Investigation And Treatment Plan Of Coal Stratum In Section K 132 Of A Highway, Wei Dongxu, Wang Guanguo, Li Jian, Zheng Guosheng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Coal strata feature soft lithology, low strength and easy softening under contact with water. During the subgrade excavation, the slopes of the coal strata often form a potential slip surface, which can control the stability of the overall slope. By taking the K132 landslide of Longchuan-Huaiji Expressway as an example, this paper comprehensively determined the characteristics of the landslide in coal strata, especially the characteristics of slip surfaces, by adopting the high-density resistivity and deep-hole displacement monitoring methods and combining geological drilling. The stability analysis results show that the carry-over factor method and Geoslope analysis can calculate the residual sliding …

Feasibility Study Of Pavement Rutting Evaluation Method Based On Driving Vibration, Zhang Jinxi, Wang Peirong, Cao Dandan, Ceng Jingxiang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To explore the intelligent detection and monitoring methods of pavement performance, this paper utilized the self-developed driving data collection app to collect vibration acceleration and other data of the pavement during driving, and carried out the feasibility study of evaluating the pavement rutting by driving vibration. Firstly, the collected vibration acceleration data was processed for noise reduction, and the driving vibration characteristics in different working conditions were analyzed. Secondly, seven time domain indicators with high correlation between vibration acceleration and the rutting were extracted as the initial set of indicators, and the seven indicators were downscaled into two independent principal …

Study On Influence Factors Of Temperature Field Of Crc+Ac Composite Road Surface, Cheng Xiaoliang, Zhang Hao, Li Sheng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In view of the factors influencing the temperature field of CRC+AC composite road surfaces, this paper analyzed the temperature field distribution and influencing factors of CRC+AC composite road surface structures based on the meteorology and heat transfer theories, and conducted 3D solid modeling and numerical simulation by adopting Abaqus finite element software. The results show that in certain conditions, the deeper distance from the road surface leads to smaller temperature change of the road surface structure. When the depth exceeds 0.6 m, the temperature is almost unchanged and has little difference with the outside ambient temperature. By increasing the thermal …

Design Of Polymer Optical Fiber Icing Sensor And Detection Method Of Road Ice Thickness, Xie Qingzhong, Wang Ling, Ge Jingyong, Shi Ning, Zhang Jiupeng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To detect the icing condition and icing thickness of asphalt pavement in extreme weather conditions, this paper firstly compared the performance indexes of polymer optical fiber and quartz optical fiber, chose polymer optical fiber as the optical transmission medium, and selected the distribution mode of coaxial sensor probes. Meanwhile, it designed the weak signal detection circuit and finally completed the design of a polymer optical fiber road icing sensor. Secondly, it was verified that the effect of temperature on the icing detection results was negligible, and icing tests under different light intensities were conducted under simulated light, with the icing …

Study On Theoretical Relationship Between Acceleration Of Vehicle Suspension And International Roughness Index, Lv Wenjiang, Zhang Zhen

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The international roughness index (IIRI) has become one of the most widely employed indexes to characterize the surface roughness. However, there are still some problems in the current research on the calculation of this index by adopting vertical acceleration data of vehicles. For example, the influence of vehicle suspension parameters on the test results is not sufficiently taken into account, and the applicability of regression analysis equations between vehicle acceleration and this index is low. This paper studied a method of determining this road surface roughness index with the suspension parameters of the test vehicle considered. The actual road tests …

Study On Influence Of Different Subgrade Types On Low Temperature Shrinkage Performance Of Asphalt Pavement, Xu Yongli, Guo Yang, Sun Zhiqi

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To study the influence of different subgrade types on the low-temperature shrinkage performance of asphalt pavement, this paper designed two kinds of asphalt pavement combination structures for the semi-rigid subgrade and flexible subgrade: AC-16+cement-stabilized gravel and AC-16+asphalt-stabilized gravel. Strain gauges were attached at the center of the sides of the two materials and at the characteristic positions of the interfaces between the layers, and the resistance strain gauge measurement method was employed to carry out the temperature shrinkage test of the combined structure and thus obtain the strain changes at each position during the cooling process, with the influence of …