Applied Statistics Commons^™

Test For Intraclass Correlation Coefficient Under Unequal Family Sizes, Madhusudan Bhandary, Koji Fujiwara

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Three tests are proposed based on F-distribution, Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) and large sample Z-test for intraclass correlation coefficient under unequal family sizes based on a single multinormal sample. It has been found that the test based on F-distribution consistently and reliably produces results superior to those of Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) and large sample Z-test in terms of size for various combinations of intraclass correlation coefficient values. The power of this test based on F-distribution is competitive with the power of the LRT and the power of Z-test is slightly better than the powers of F-test and LRT when …

Variables Sampling Plan For Correlated Data, J. R. Singh, R. Sankle, M. Ahmad Khanday

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The sampling plan for the mean for correlated data is studied. The Operating Characteristic (OC) of the variable sampling plan for mean for correlated data are calculated and compared with the OC of known σ case.

Case-Control Studies With Jointly Misclassified Exposure And Confounding Variables, Tze-San Lee

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The issue of 2 × 2 × 2 case-control studies is addressed when both exposure and confounding variables are jointly misclassified. Two scenarios are considered: the classification errors of exposure and confounding variables are independent or not independent. The bias-adjusted cell probability estimates which account for the misclassification bias are presented. The effect of misclassification on the measure of crude odds ratio either unstratified or stratified by the confounder, Mantel-Haenszel summary odds ratio, the confounding component in the crude odds ratio, the first and second order multiplicative interaction are assessed through the sensitivity analysis from using the data on the …

How Good Is Best? Multivariate Case Of Ehrenberg-Weisberg Analysis Of Residual Errors In Competing Regressions, Stan Lipovetsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A.S.C. Ehrenberg first noticed and S. Weisberg then formalized a property of pairwise regression to keep its quality almost at the same level of precision while the coefficients of the model could vary over a wide span of values. This paper generalizes the estimates of the percent change in the residual standard deviation to the case of competing multiple regressions. It shows that in contrast to the simple pairwise model, the coefficients of multiple regression can be changed over a wider range of the values including the opposite by signs coefficients. Consideration of these features facilitates better understanding the properties …

Comparison Of Three Calculation Methods For A Bayesian Inference Of P(Π1 > Π2), Yohei Kawasaki, Asanao Shimokawa, Etsuo Miyaoka

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In Bayesian inference, some researchers have examined the difference of binominal proportions using θ = P(π₁ > π₂ − Δ₀|X₁,X₂), where X_i denote binomial random variable with parameter π_i. An approximate method and the MCMC method are compared with an exact method for θ, and results of actual clinical trials using θ are presented.

Parameter Estimations Based On Kumaraswamy Progressive Type Ii Censored Data With Random Removals, Navid Feroze, Ibrahim El-Batal

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The estimation of two parameters of the Kumaraswamy distribution is considered under Type II progressive censoring with random removals, where the number of units removed at each failure time has a binomial distribution. The MLE was used to obtain the estimators of the unknown parameters, and the asymptotic variance - covariance matrix was also obtained. The formula to compute the expected test time was derived. A numerical study was carried out for different combinations of model parameters. Different censoring schemes were used for the estimation, and performance of these schemes was compared.

Akaike Information Criterion To Select The Parametric Detection Function For Kernel Estimator Using Line Transect Data, Omar Eidous, Samar Al-Salman

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Among different candidate parametric detection functions, it is suggested to use Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) to select the most appropriate one of them to fit line transect data. Four different detection functions are considered in this paper. Two of them are taken to satisfy the shoulder condition assumption and the other two estimators do not satisfy this condition. Once the appropriate detection function is determined, it also can be used to select the smoothing parameter of the nonparametric kernel estimator. For a wide range of target densities, a simulation results show the reasonable and good performances of the …

Vol. 12, No. 2 (Full Issue), Jmasm Editors

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

No abstract provided.

Innovationspotenzialanalyse Für Die Neuen Technologien Für Das Verwalten Und Analysieren Von Großen Datenmengen (Big Data Management), Volker Markl, Alexander Löser, Thomas Hoeren, Helmut Krcmar, Holmer Hemsen, Michael Schermann, Matthias Gottlieb, Christoph Buchmüller, Philip Uecker, Till Bitter

Faculty Book Gallery

Durch die Digitalisierung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft ist ein rasantes Anwachsen von Datenbeständen zu beobachten. In fast allen Unternehmenssowie Wissenschaftsbereichen werden bereits heute schon Unmengen an Daten erzeugt, deren Größe, Erfassungsgeschwindigkeit oder Heterogenität die Fähigkeiten gängiger Datenbanksoftwareprodukte zur Verwaltung und zur Analyse übersteigt. Dieses Phänomen, welches unter dem Schlagwort „Big Data“ popularisiert wurde, stellt eine große Chance für Unternehmen, Wissenschaft und Gesellschaft dar. Allerdings ergibt sich aufgrund der neuen Komplexität der Daten und Analysen eine Vielzahl an Herausforderungen technischer, wirtschaftlicher und rechtlicher Natur. Diese Studie analysiert die Chancen und Herausforderungen von Big Data insbesondere im Hinblick auf eine nachhaltige Wettbewerbsfä- …

Constructing Confidence Intervals For Effect Sizes In Anova Designs, Li-Ting Chen, Chao-Ying Joanne Peng

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A confidence interval for effect sizes provides a range of plausible population effect sizes (ES) that are consistent with data. This article defines an ES as a standardized linear contrast of means. The noncentral method, Bonett’s method, and the bias-corrected and accelerated bootstrap method are illustrated for constructing the confidence interval for such an effect size. Results obtained from the three methods are discussed and interpretations of results are offered.

Bayesian Joinpoint Regression Model For Childhood Brain Cancer Mortality, Ram C. Kafle, Netra Khanal, Chris P. Tsokos

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The Bayesian approach of joinpoint regression is widely used to analyze trends in cancer mortality, incidence and survival data. The Bayesian joinpoint regression model was used to study the childhood brain cancer mortality rate and its average percentage change (APC) per year. Annual observed mortality counts of children ages 0-19 from 1969-2009 obtained from Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database of National Cancer Institute (NCI) were analyzed. It was assumed that death counts are probabilistically characterized by the Poisson distribution and they were modeled using log link function. Results were compared with the mortality trend obtained using joinpoint software …

On Comparison Of Exponential And Hyperbolic Exponential Growth Models In Height/Diameter Increment Of Pines (Pinus Caribaea), S. O. Oyamakin, A. U. Chukwu, T. A. Bamiduro

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A new tree growth model called the hyperbolic exponential nonlinear growth model is suggested. Its ability in model prediction was compared with the Malthus or exponential growth model an approach which mimicked the natural variability of heights/diameter increment with respect to age and therefore provides more realistic height/diameter predictions as demonstrated by the results of the Kolmogorov Smirnov test and Shapiro-Wilk test. The mean function of top height/Dbh over age using the two models under study predicted closely the observed values of top height/Dbh in the Hyperbolic exponential nonlinear growth models better than the ordinary exponential growth model without violating …

Community College Consortium Promotes Open Educational Practices Through Outreach And Collaboration, Una T. Daly, Lisa Storm, Barbara Illowsky

SJSU Open Access Conference

The Community College Consortium for Open Educational Resources (CCCOER) is a community of practice focused on awareness and promoting best practices for OER discovery and adoption including open textbooks, open MOOCs, and open repositories to enhance learning and teaching. Through monthly outreach webinars with OER leaders and online advisory meetings, the community shares their projects and expertise encouraging collaboration across institutions, disciplines, and higher education sectors. Hear from the consortium director and two leaders of the community college OER movement.

• Una Daly, Director of Community College Outreach, OpenCourseWare Consortium. Building a community to promote awareness and shared knowledge of …

Different Types Of Backward Bifurcations Due To Density-Dependent Treatments, Baojun Song, Wen Du, Jie Lou

Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

A set of deterministic SIS models with density-dependent treatments are studied to understand the disease dynamics when different treatment strategies are applied. Qualitative analyses are carried out in terms of general treatment functions. It has become customary that a backward bifurcation leads to bistable dynamics. However, this study finds that finds that bistability may not be an option at all; the disease-free equilibrium could be globally stable when there is a backward bifurcation. Furthermore, when a backward bifurcation occurs, the fashion of bistability could be the coexistence of either dual stable equilibria or the disease-free equilibrium and a stable limit …

Data Analysis Using Regression Modeling: Visual Display And Setup Of Simple And Complex Statistical Models, Emil N. Coman, Maria A. Coman, Eugen Iordache, Russell Barbour, Lisa Dierker

Yale Day of Data

We present visual modeling solutions for testing simple and more advanced statistical hypotheses in any research field. All models can be directly specified in analytical software like Mplus or R.

Data analysis in any substantive field can be easily accomplished by translating statistical tests in the intuitive language of regression-based path diagrams with observed and unobserved variables. All models we presented can be directly specified and estimated in analytical software.

Students can particularly benefit from being taught the simple regression modeling setup of the path analytical method, as it empowers them to apply the techniques to any data to test …

Predicting Unobserved Exposures From Seasonal Epidemic Data, Eric Forgoston, Ira B. Schwartz

Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

We consider a stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model with a contact rate that fluctuates seasonally. Through the use of a nonlinear, stochastic projection, we are able to analytically determine the lower dimensional manifold on which the deterministic and stochastic dynamics correctly interact. Our method produces a low dimensional stochastic model that captures the same timing of disease outbreak and the same amplitude and phase of recurrent behavior seen in the high dimensional model. Given seasonal epidemic data consisting of the number of infectious individuals, our method enables a data-based model prediction of the number of unobserved exposed individuals over very …

Tools And Methods To Optimize The Analysis Of Telescopic Performance Metrics On Sofia, Steven R. Wilson, Holger Jakob, Stefan Teufel, Zaheer Ali, Jeffrey Van Cleve, Brian Eney, Greg Perryman

STAR Program Research Presentations

SOFIA is an infrared observatory mounted on a modified 747 engineered to do infrared astronomy at 45000 feet. The telescope equipment contains a number of sensors and stabilizers that allow the telescope to capture images while mounted in a moving plane. We have developed methods to analyze the performance of the telescope assembly that will help improve the stabilization and image capturing performance of the observatory. Here we present reusable methods to analyze telescope performance data that will enable improvements in the quality of the scientific data that is produced by the SOFIA. This poster focuses on the multi-flight performance …

A Test For Detecting Changes In Closed Networks Based On The Number Of Communications Between Nodes, Christopher S. Wichman

Department of Statistics: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

This dissertation presents a formal method for detecting changes in a closed communications network based on an “abnormal” shift in the number of communications between some of the nodes. The method relies on the analyst’s ability to define the network of interest; capture the number of communications between nodes; and to establish a history of normal communications flow between nodes over fixed intervals of time. A metric multi-dimensional scaling technique is then used to represent the network at each time interval with a k-dimensional (k = 1, 2, …) configuration. The affine bi-dimensional regression coefficient of determination (aR²) …

Informative Retesting For Hierarchical Group Testing, Michael S. Black

Department of Statistics: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

Group testing is the process of pooling samples (e.g., blood, chemical compounds) from multiple sources and testing the pooled material for some binary characteristic. It is used in pathogen screening for humans and animals, drug discovery studies, electrical systems testing, and many other applications. Group testing has traditionally been used for two main types of investigations: 1) the identification of positive specimens and 2) the estimation of a characteristic’s prevalence in a population. This dissertation focuses on the identification process. We propose new identification procedures that exploit the heterogeneity among samples in order to reduce the number of tests needed …

Emirical Assessment Of The Future Performance Of The S&P 500 Losers, Nicholas Powers

Statistics

In the Wall Street Journal in early 2013, there was an article posted by Andrew Bary that explored a trend in the previous 3 years of the S&P 500. The article pointed out that the average returns for the top 10 percentage decliners for 2009, 2010, and 2011 outperformed the S&P 500 for the first two weeks of the next year. These top 10 percentage decliners or losers well enough to bet on. This study looks to see if there is statistical evidence that the losers outperformed the S&P 500.