Applied Statistics Commons^™

Optimal Estimation And Sampling Allocation In Survey Sampling Under A General Correlated Superpopulation Model, Ioulia Papageorgiou

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Sampling from a finite population with correlated units is addressed. The proposed methodology applies to any type of correlation function and provides the sample allocation that ensures optimal efficiency of the population parameters estimates. The expressions of the estimate and its MSE are also provided.

An Adjusted Network Information Criterion For Model Selection In Statistical Neural Network Models, Christopher Godwin Udomboso, Godwin Nwazu Amahia, Isaac Kwame Dontwi

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In this paper, we derived and investigated the Adjusted Network Information Criterion (ANIC) criterion, based on Kullback’s symmetric divergence, which has been designed to be an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the expected Kullback-Leibler information of a fitted model. The ANIC improves model selection in more sample sizes than does the NIC.

Monte Carlo Simulation Design For Evaluating Normal-Based Control Chart Properties, John N. Dyer

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The advent of more complicated control charting schemes has necessitated the use of Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) methods. Unfortunately, few sources exist to study effective design and validation of MCS methods related to control charting. This paper describes the design, issues, considerations and limitations for conducting normal-based control chart MCS studies, including choice of random number generator, simulation size requirements, and accuracy/error in simulation estimation. This paper also describes two design strategies for MCS for control chart evaluations and provides the programming code. As a result, this paper hopes to establish de facto MCS schemes aimed at guiding researchers and …

Latent Variable Model For Weight Gain Prevention Data With Informative Intermittent Missingness, Li Qin, Lisa Weissfeld, Michele Levine, Marsha Marcus, Feng Dai

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Missing data is a common problem in longitudinal studies because of the characteristics of repeated measurements. Herein is proposed a latent variable model for nonignorable intermittent missing data in which the latent variables are used as random effects in modeling and link longitudinal responses and missingness process. In this methodology, the latent variables are assumed to be normally distributed with zero-mean, and the values of variance-covariance are calculated through maximum likelihood estimations. Parameter estimates and standard errors of the proposed method are compared with the mixed model and the complete-case analysis in the simulations and the application to the weight …

E-Bayesian Estimation Of The Parameter Of The Logarithmic Series Distribution, Parviz Nasiri, Hassan Esfandyarifar

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

E-Bayesian estimation is introduced to estimate the parameter of logarithmic series distribution. In addition, E-Bayesian, Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimation with through applying mean squared error.

Jmasm41: An Alternative Method For Multiple Linear Model Regression Modeling, A Technical Combining Of Robust, Bootstrap And Fuzzy Approach (Sas), Wan Muhamad Amir W Ahmad, Mohamad Arif Awang Nawi, Nor Azlida Aleng, Mohamad Shafiq

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Research on modeling is becoming popular nowadays, there are several of analyses used in research for modeling and one of them is known as applied multiple linear regressions (MLR). To obtain a bootstrap, robust and fuzzy multiple linear regressions, an experienced researchers should be aware the correct method of statistical analysis in order to get a better improved result. The main idea of bootstrapping is to approximate the entire sampling distribution of some estimator. To achieve this is by resampling from our original sample. In this paper, we emphasized on combining and modeling using bootstrapping, robust and fuzzy regression methodology. …

Misspecification Of Variants Of Autoregressive Garch Models And Effect On In-Sample Forecasting, Olusanya E. Olubusoye, Olaoluwa S. Yaya, Oluwadare O. Ojo

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Generally, in empirical financial studies, the determination of the true conditional variance in GARCH modelling is largely subjective. In this paper, we investigate the consequences of choosing a wrong conditional variance specification. The methodology involves specifying a true conditional variance and then simulating data to conform to the true specification. The estimation is then carried out using the true specification and other plausible specification that are appealing to the researcher, using model and forecast evaluation criteria for assessing performance. The results show that GARCH model could serve as better alternative to other asymmetric volatility models.

Improved Ridge Estimator In Linear Regression With Multicollinearity, Heteroscedastic Errors And Outliers, Ashok Vithoba Dorugade

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This paper introduces a new estimator, of ridge parameter k for ridge regression and then evaluated by Monte Carlo simulation. We examine the performance of the proposed estimators compared with other well-known estimators for the model with heteroscedastics and/or correlated errors, outlier observations, non-normal errors and suffer from the problem of multicollinearity. It is shown that proposed estimators have a smaller MSE than the ordinary least squared estimator (LS), Hoerl and Kennard (1970) estimator (RR), jackknifed modified ridge (JMR) estimator, and Jackknifed Ridge M‑estimator (JRM).

Multicollinearity And A Ridge Parameter Estimation Approach, Ghadban Khalaf, Mohamed Iguernane

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

One of the main goals of the multiple linear regression model, Y = Xβ + u, is to assess the importance of independent variables in determining their predictive ability. However, in practical applications, inference about the coefficients of regression can be difficult because the independent variables are correlated and multicollinearity causes instability in the coefficients. A new estimator of ridge regression parameter is proposed and evaluated by simulation techniques in terms of mean squares error (MSE). Results of the simulation study indicate that the suggested estimator dominates ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator and other ridge estimators with respect to …

Estimation Of Parameters Of Misclassified Size Biased Borel Distribution, Bhaktida S. Trivedi, M. N. Patel

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A misclassified size-biased Borel Distribution (MSBBD), where some of the observations corresponding to x = c + 1 are wrongly reported as x = c with probability α, is defined. Various estimation methods like the method of maximum likelihood (ML), method of moments, and the Bayes estimation for the parameters of the MSBB distribution are used. The performance of the estimators are studied using simulated bias and simulated risk. Simulation studies are carried out for different values of the parameters and sample size.

Developing Bayesian-Based Confidence Bounds For Non-Identically Distributed Observations Using The Lyapunov Condition, Garry M. Jacyna, Scott L. Rosen

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The purpose of this paper is to establish a direct method for assessing the confidence in the detection and identification probabilities for segmented observations that are not identically distributed across assigned segments within a region. This paper arrives at easily computable confidence intervals by showing through mathematical analysis that:

I. The probability of successful detection within each test segment can be characterized by a Beta distribution;
II. The distribution of a weighted sum of independent but non-identically distributed sample means is asymptotically Normally distributed by the Lyapunov variant of the Central Limit Theorem, i.e., the approximation improves as the number …

Jmasm40: Monte Carlo Simulations For Structural Equation Modelling (Revolution R), Sarah A. Rose, Barry Markman

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Revolution R code is presented to setup Structural Equation Model (SEM) for a Monte Carlo study. The example is a comparison of different fit indices.

Reflections Concerning Recent Ban On Nhst And Confidence Intervals, Grayson L. Baird, Sunny R. Duerr

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This letter addresses some of the immediate consequences of Basic and Applied Social Psychology’s (BASP) ban on null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) and confidence intervals. The letter concludes with three suggestions to improve research in general.

A New Test For Correlation On Bivariate Nonnormal Distributions, Ping Wang, Ping Sa

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A new method to conduct a right-tailed test for the correlation on bivariate non-normal distribution is proposed. The comparative simulation study shows that the new test controls the type I error rates well for all the distributions considered. An investigation of the power performance is also provided.

Jmasm42: An Alternative Algorithm And Programming Implementation For Least Absolute Deviation Estimator Of The Linear Regression Models (R), Suraju Olaniyi Ogundele, J. I. Mbegbu, C. R. Nwosu

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

We propose a least absolute deviation estimation method that produced a least absolute deviation estimator of parameter of the linear regression model. The method is as accurate as existing method.

Human Exposure Modeling Using Sheds, Luther Smith, William Graham Glen

Annual Symposium on Biomathematics and Ecology Education and Research

No abstract provided.

Exploring New Models For Seatbelt Use In Survey Data, Mark K. Ledbetter, Norou Diawara, Bryan E. Porter

Virginia Journal of Science

Problem: Several approaches to analyze seatbelt use have been proposed in the literature. Two methods that have not been explored are the use of unweighted and weighted logistic regression models and the use of item response theory (IRT) or the Rasch model. Since accurate methods to predict seatbelt use behavior based upon observed data must include a built-in design method and model and overcome computation challenges, weighted and IRT methods deem to be other options for an observational survey of seatbelt use in the state of Virginia.

Method: The data observed from 136 sites within the Commonwealth of …

Advanced Data Analysis - Lecture Notes, Erik B. Erhardt, Edward J. Bedrick, Ronald M. Schrader

Open Textbooks

Lecture notes for Advanced Data Analysis (ADA1 Stat 427/527 and ADA2 Stat 428/528), Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of New Mexico, Fall 2016-Spring 2017. Additional material including RMarkdown templates for in-class and homework exercises, datasets, R code, and video lectures are available on the course websites: https://statacumen.com/teaching/ada1 and https://statacumen.com/teaching/ada2 .

Contents

I ADA1: Software

• 0 Introduction to R, Rstudio, and ggplot

II ADA1: Summaries and displays, and one-, two-, and many-way tests of means

• 1 Summarizing and Displaying Data
• 2 Estimation in One-Sample Problems
• 3 Two-Sample Inferences
• 4 Checking Assumptions
• 5 One-Way Analysis of Variance

III ADA1: Nonparametric, categorical, …

Design Optimization Of A Stochastic Multi-Objective Problem: Gaussian Process Regressions For Objective Surrogates, Juan Sebastian Martinez, Piyush Pandita, Rohit K. Tripathy, Ilias Bilionis

The Summer Undergraduate Research Fellowship (SURF) Symposium

Multi-objective optimization (MOO) problems arise frequently in science and engineering situations. In an optimization problem, we want to find the set of input parameters that generate the set of optimal outputs, mathematically known as the Pareto frontier (PF). Solving the MOO problem is a challenge since expensive experiments can be performed only a constrained number of times and there is a limited set of data to work with, e.g. a roll-to-roll microwave plasma chemical vapor deposition (MPCVD) reactor for manufacturing high quality graphene. State-of-the-art techniques, e.g. evolutionary algorithms; particle swarm optimization, require a large amount of observations and do not …

A Two-Strain Tb Model With Multiple Latent Stages, Azizeh Jabbari, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Fereshteh Nazari, Baojun Song, Hossein Kheiri

Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

A two-strain tuberculosis (TB) transmission model incorporating antibiotic-generated TB resistant strains and long and variable waiting periods within the latently infected class is introduced. The mathematical analysis is carried out when the waiting periods are modeled via parametrically friendly gamma distributions, a reasonable alternative to the use of exponential distributed waiting periods or to integral equations involving "arbitrary" distributions. The model supports a globally-asymptotically stable disease-free equilibrium when the reproduction number is less than one and an endemic equilibriums, shown to be locally asymptotically stable, or l.a.s., whenever the basic reproduction number is greater than one. Conditions for the existence …