The Net Reclassification Index (Nri): A Misleading Measure Of Prediction Improvement With Miscalibrated Or Overfit Models,
2013
University of Washington, Fred Hutch Cancer Research Center
The Net Reclassification Index (Nri): A Misleading Measure Of Prediction Improvement With Miscalibrated Or Overfit Models, Margaret Pepe, Jin Fang, Ziding Feng, Thomas Gerds, Jorgen Hilden
UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series
The Net Reclassification Index (NRI) is a very popular measure for evaluating the improvement in prediction performance gained by adding a marker to a set of baseline predictors. However, the statistical properties of this novel measure have not been explored in depth. We demonstrate the alarming result that the NRI statistic calculated on a large test dataset using risk models derived from a training set is likely to be positive even when the new marker has no predictive information. A related theoretical example is provided in which a miscalibrated risk model that includes an uninformative marker is proven to erroneously …
State Level Earned Income Tax Credit’S Effects On Race And Age: An Effective Poverty Reduction Policy,
2013
Claremont McKenna College
State Level Earned Income Tax Credit’S Effects On Race And Age: An Effective Poverty Reduction Policy, Anthony J. Barone
CMC Senior Theses
In this paper, I analyze the effectiveness of state level Earned Income Tax Credit programs on improving of poverty levels. I conducted this analysis for the years 1991 through 2011 using a panel data model with fixed effects. The main independent variables of interest were the state and federal EITC rates, minimum wage, gross state product, population, and unemployment all by state. I determined increases to the state EITC rates provided only a slight decrease to both the overall white below-poverty population and the corresponding white childhood population under 18, while both the overall and the under-18 black population for …
Revising Common Core Georgia Performance Standards Statistics Lesson Plans To Better Align With Statistical Practice,
2013
Georgia Southern University
Revising Common Core Georgia Performance Standards Statistics Lesson Plans To Better Align With Statistical Practice, Rachel Bonilla
College of Graduate Studies: Theses & Dissertations
In this thesis, lesson plans provided by the Georgia Department of Education are revised to give students better exposure and practice working with real-life data. Three learning tasks and a performance task are presented covering a unit lesson on statistical regression. The development of Georgia statistics curriculum standards are reviewed and presented.
An Analysis Of Risk Reduction Choices In Dcis Breast Cancer Patients,
2012
California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo
An Analysis Of Risk Reduction Choices In Dcis Breast Cancer Patients, Lauren Soltesz
Statistics
The main focus of this paper was to evaluate possible demographic and clinical characteristics associated with a woman’s choice of breast conserving surgery (BCS), unilateral mastectomy (ULM), or bilateral risk reduction mastectomy (BRRM). The cohort consisted of patients presenting to the City of Hope National Medical Center with ductal carcinoma in situ breast cancer who elected to have cancer directed surgery (N=305). Analyses to examine associations of patient characteristics with type of surgery were conducted using a multinomial logistic regression. Results showed that older women were more likely to choose breast conserving surgery over bilateral risk reduction mastectomy than younger …
Analysis Of Alcohol Use Among Pregnant Women In San Luis Obispo County,
2012
California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo
Analysis Of Alcohol Use Among Pregnant Women In San Luis Obispo County, Samantha Law
Statistics
Drinking alcohol during pregnancy is harmful to the fetus, and can lead to serious alcohol related developmental birth defects. Utilizing prenatal screening, such as the 4P’s Plus© screening tool, during a woman’s first prenatal doctors visit can help educate women and reduce continued alcohol use during pregnancy. Currently the CDC reports that 1 in 13 women in the US drink alcohol while pregnant compared to local reports that 1 in 3 women in San Luis Obispo County continue to drink alcohol during pregnancy. A primary concern for many local county health care experts and organizations is to raise awareness that …
Group Testing Regression Models,
2012
University of Nebraska-Lincoln
Group Testing Regression Models, Boan Zhang
Department of Statistics: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research
Group testing, where groups of individual specimens are composited to test for the presence or absence of a disease (or some other binary characteristic), is a procedure commonly used to reduce the costs of screening a large number of individuals. Statistical research in group testing has traditionally focused on a homogeneous population, where individuals are assumed to have the same probability of having a disease. However, individuals often have different risks of positivity, so recent research has examined regression models that allow for heterogeneity among individuals within the population. This dissertation focuses on two problems involving group testing regression models. …
Comparative Analysis Of Dispersion Parameter Estimates In Loglinear Modeling: Applied To E-Commerce Sales And Customer Data,
2012
California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo
Comparative Analysis Of Dispersion Parameter Estimates In Loglinear Modeling: Applied To E-Commerce Sales And Customer Data, Scott Davis
Statistics
When loglinear models are applied to count data the issue of over-dispersion often arises. Moment and maximum likelihood estimation methods in accounting for over-dispersion are widely used because they allow for model checking tools such as Chi-square, F, and likelihood ratio tests. Here is a comparison between R functions that each uses one method; glm.nb uses MLE, and glm.poisson.disp uses MME. The Index of Dissimilarity and visual model selection (ECDF plots) are also incorporated. These are applied to sales data using product and customer information compiled over the last five years that was generously provided by an e-commerce company.
Analysis Of Median Household Income Differences Between Election Day-Vbm And Eip Voters,
2012
Cleveland State University
Analysis Of Median Household Income Differences Between Election Day-Vbm And Eip Voters, Mark Salling, Norman Robbins
All Maxine Goodman Levin School of Urban Affairs Publications
Analysis of early in-person (EIP) voting in 2008 in Cuyahoga County shows that African-American, white, and Hispanic voters who used EIP voting had significantly lower incomes than members of those same groups who voted on election day or by mail. This result applies to those voting EIP on weekdays, extended weekday hours, weekends, and the three days before election day.
Investigation Of Trends And Predictive Effectiveness Of Crash Severity Models,
2012
University of Connecticut
Investigation Of Trends And Predictive Effectiveness Of Crash Severity Models, James E. Mooradian
Master's Theses
This thesis describes analysis using ordinal logistic regression to uncover temporal patterns in the severity level (fatal, serious injury, minor injury, slight injury or no injury) for persons involved in highway crashes in Connecticut, focusing on the demographic split between senior travelers (65 years and over) and non-senior travelers. Existing state sources provide data describing the time and weather conditions for each crash and the vehicles and persons involved over the time period from 1995 to 2009 as well as the traffic volumes and the characteristics of the roads on which these crashes occurred. Findings indicate an overall increase in …
Interactive Concept To Aid In Understanding Dimensional Analysis,
2012
Indiana State University
Interactive Concept To Aid In Understanding Dimensional Analysis, Alicia Hicks
Symposium 2012
Many students struggle with learning how to utilize dimensional analysis. This confusion is due to not understanding the concept of dose per volume, leading to difficulty when starting the sequencing. This could be one of the contributing causes to medication errors in clinical practice. Does using models, such as Play-doh and pebbles, help students learn the concept of milligrams per milliliters when calculating dosages using dimensional analysis method? A series of pre- and post-tests are used to measure learning growth in each of the treatment groups. Three treatment groups were utilized: Control: one group had no intervention between the pre …
Using The R Library Rpanel For Gui-Based Simulations In Introductory Statistics Courses,
2012
California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo
Using The R Library Rpanel For Gui-Based Simulations In Introductory Statistics Courses, Ryan M. Allison
Statistics
As a student, I noticed that the statistical package R (http://www.r-project.org) would have several benefits of its usage in the classroom. One benefit to the package is its free and open-source nature. This would be a great benefit for instructors and students alike since it would be of no cost to use, unlike other statistical packages. Due to this, students could continue using the program after their statistical courses and into their professional careers. It would be good to expose students while they are in school to a tool that professionals use in industry. R also has powerful …
Analyzing Financial Data Through Interactive Visualization,
2012
Purdue University
Analyzing Financial Data Through Interactive Visualization, Fizi Yadav
Purdue Polytechnic Masters Theses
This investigation explored the role data visualization in the scientific community and its effect on the cognitive ability of an individual. The research attempted to answer the question, “ Whether appropriate data visualization helps in better understanding of corporate financial data?” and used quantitative methods to gain an insight. Participants in the study were divided into two groups of 30 each, with one group receiving the treatment devised for the research and the other using the common prevalent method. Both the groups were subjected to a test, based upon the analysis of which a conclusion was derived. The subjects were …
Using Etf Data To Monitor Systemic Risk,
2012
Sonoma State University
Using Etf Data To Monitor Systemic Risk, Melissa A. Siemer, Brett Amidan
STAR Program Research Presentations
In 2010, President Obama signed The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, which requires financially based government agencies and 35 major US banks to monitor systemic risk. This was in response to the recent near financial collapse due to major mistakes made by organizations generally considered "too big to fail". Systemic risk is the risk of the collapse of an entire financial system or market. It refers to the risks imposed by interdependencies in a system or market, where the failure of a single entity or cluster of entities can cause a cascading failure. In April 2011, the …
Alternatives To Mixture Model Analysis Of Correlated Binomial Data,
2012
Old Dominion University
Alternatives To Mixture Model Analysis Of Correlated Binomial Data, N. Rao Chaganty, Roy Sabo, Yihao Deng
Mathematics & Statistics Faculty Publications
While univariate instances of binomial data are readily handled with generalized linear models, cases of multivariate or repeated measure binomial data are complicated by the possibility of correlated responses. Likelihood-based estimation can be applied by using mixture distribution models, though this approach can present computational challenges. The logistic transformation can be used to bypass these concerns and allow for alternative estimating procedures. One popular alternative is the generalized estimating equation (GEE) method, though systematic errors can lead to infeasible correlation estimates or nonconvergence problems. Our approach is the coupling of quasileast squares (QLSs) method with a rarely used matrix factorization, …
Racial And Ethnic Proportions Of Early In-Person Voters In Cuyahoga County, General Election 2008, And Implications For 2012,
2012
Cleveland State University
Racial And Ethnic Proportions Of Early In-Person Voters In Cuyahoga County, General Election 2008, And Implications For 2012, Norman Robbins, Mark Salling
All Maxine Goodman Levin School of Urban Affairs Publications
No abstract provided.
Demographic And Socioeconomic Conditions And A Patron Borrowing Analysis Of Cleveland Public Library Branch And Main Libraries,
2012
Cleveland State University
Demographic And Socioeconomic Conditions And A Patron Borrowing Analysis Of Cleveland Public Library Branch And Main Libraries, Mark Salling
All Maxine Goodman Levin School of Urban Affairs Publications
We provide here an analysis of the demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the Cleveland Public Library’s (CPL) service area and that of the neighborhoods in which the library’s patrons live. We also describe the borrowing patterns for the branch and downtown, Main Library, locations. The census-based demographic and socioeconomic data used for the analysis include income, number of children, race, Hispanic ethnicity, language spoken at home, ability to speak English, public-versus-private school attendance by grade level, housing tenure (owner/renter), educational attainment, employment status, and place of employment (Cleveland versus other). Data from the 2010 census and the Census Bureau’s 2005-2009 …
A Quality Improvement Initiative Using A Novel Travel Survey To Define High-Risk International Travel And Promote Patient-Centered Counseling,
2012
Lehigh Valley Health Network
A Quality Improvement Initiative Using A Novel Travel Survey To Define High-Risk International Travel And Promote Patient-Centered Counseling, Craig A. Mackaness Do, Mark Knouse Md, Suzanne J. Templer Do, Deepti Verma Md, Allison Osborne Ba, Michael J. Weiss Mph
Department of Medicine
No abstract provided.
Spatial Analysis Of Fatal Automobile Crashes In Kentucky,
2011
Western Kentucky University
Spatial Analysis Of Fatal Automobile Crashes In Kentucky, William Nathan Oris
Masters Theses & Specialist Projects
Fatal automobile crashes have claimed the lives of over 33,000 people each year in the United States since 1995. As in any point event, fatal crash events do not occur randomly in time or space. The objectives of this study were to identify spatial patterns and hot spots in FARS (Fatal Analysis Reporting System) fatal crash events based on temporal and demographic characteristics. The methods employed included 1) rate calculation using FARS points and average daily traffic flow; 2) planar kernel density estimation of FARS crash events based on temporal and demographic attributes within the data; and 3) two case …
Contributions Of Financial Sector Reforms And Credit Supply To Nigerian Agricultural Sector (1978-2009),
2011
Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Port Harcourt, Nigeria
Contributions Of Financial Sector Reforms And Credit Supply To Nigerian Agricultural Sector (1978-2009), Anthony O. Onoja, M. E. Onu, S. Ajodo-Ohiemi
CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)
This study analyzed the trends and pattern of institutional credit supply to agriculture during pre- and post-financial reforms along with their determinants. It then compared the effects of reform policies on access to institutional credits in Nigerian agricultural sector before and after the reforms (1978 - 1985; and 1986 -2009). Relying mainly on time series data from CBN and NBS, it used ordinary least squares method (linear, semi-log and double log) to model the determinants of banking sector lending to the agricultural sector during the review period. The models were subjected to several econometric tests before accepting one. Chow test …
Determinants Of Foreign Reserves In Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach,
2011
Department of Economics, University of Maiduguri
Determinants Of Foreign Reserves In Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach, David Irefin, Baba N. Yaaba
CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)
On global scale, central banks’ holdings of foreign reserves have escalated sharply in recent years. World international reserves holdings have risen significantly from US$1.2 trillion in 1995 to nearly US$10.0 trillion in June 2011. Dominant among these reserves are concentrated in the hands of few countries. Ten major holders of foreign reserves are mostly from Asia. Oil exporting countries in Africa and the Middle East are not left out in this trend. Nigeria’s foreign reserves rose from US$5.5 billion in 1999 to US$62.40 billion in July 2008, making Nigeria the twenty-fourth largest reserves holder in the world. This pace of …
