Finance Commons^™

Detecting Stock Market Bubbles: A Price-To-Earnings Approach, Austin F. Murphy

Honors Theses

To this day, economists argue about the existence of stock market bubbles. The literature review for this paper observes the analysis of four reputable bubble tests in an attempt to provide ample qualitative proof for the existence of bubbles. The first obstacle for creating an effective bubble detection test is the difficulty of estimating true fundamental values for equities. Without adequate estimations for the fundamental values of equities, the deviation between actual price and fundamental price is impossible to observe or estimate. Additionally, these tests are reliant on strong underlying assumptions, which tend to cloud results.

This thesis applies a …

Order Behavior In High Frequency Markets, Brian Roseman

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

In Part 1, I study the characteristics of short orders in stock markets. Fleeting orders are quick limit orders that remain on the limit order book for only a few seconds before being canceled, and are significantly different than more patient, static, limit orders that are added to the limit order book and await execution. I investigate the impact that fleeting orders have on spread and depth measures of market quality, and how fleeting orders differ from static orders. Attention is also given to the extent that total depth can be decomposed into the two components of fleeting and static …

The Use Of Catastrophe Bonds As A Means Of Economic Development In Emerging Economies, Lauren Mattucci

Honors Theses and Capstones

Catastrophe bonds offer a way for entities located in natural disaster prone regions to safely and efficiently transfer the risk of insuring property to the financial markets and subsequently, create a financially attractive environment for insurers and investors. The opportunity for investors to utilize modeled loss analytical platforms such as those created by AIR, Risk Management Solutions, and EQECAT, could be used to bridge the growing gap in emerging economies between economic losses created by natural disasters and insured losses. Bridging this insurance gap in emerging economies could have positive global implications for the insurance industry, global trade, foreign direct …

أهمية الافصاح عن الايراد المتولد عن التجارة الالكترونية في الوحدات الاقتصادية المطبقة للنظام المحاسبي الموحد, اسعد منشد محمد

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

ملخص البحث : ان جميع الإجراءات المحاسبية تأسست ونشأت وطورت للتعامل مع البيئة التجارية التقليدية بهدف خروج النظام المحاسبي بمعلومات تتمتع بمصداقية اكثر والملائمة لعملية اتخاذ القرارات . و اليوم وفي ظل التطور الهائل الذي لحق بالأعمال وتطبيق بلدان العالم البيئة التجارية الجديدة المتمثلة بالتجارة الالكترونية والعولمة التي أزالت جميع القيود والحدود الاقتصادية للدول وحولت الأسواق المحلية الى أسواق عالمية مفتوحة من خلال التجارة الالكترونية ، قد وضعت المحاسبين أمام تحديات جديدة في الفكر المحاسبي ، فتناول الباحث موضوع الإيراد المحاسبي المتولد من خلال التجارة الالكترونية وأهمية الإفصاح عن هذا الإيراد ضمن البيانات المالية للوحدة الاقتصادية كون أن الإيراد وتحققه …

الاقتصاد البسيط… واشكالية تزايد الاستهلاك البذخي في العراق انموذجا للمدة 2004-2014, غسان طارق ظاهر

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

المستخلصالاستهلاك سلوك طبيعي للإنسان للمحافظة على وجوده وتلبية حاجاته وإذا تخطى الاحتياجات المطلوبة فأنه يعد سلوكا سلبيا تعدى مرحلة الحاجة المعقولة والمبررة من سلع وخدمات أساسية إلى أخرى كمالية، فالعراق يعد واحداً من تلك الدول الذي انفتح على العالم الخارجي بعد تغيير النظام السياسي عام 2003، والسماح له بتصدير النفط دون قيد او شرط، وفتح الحدود امام مختلف انماط التجارة، مما سمح بتدفق السلع والخدمات من والى العراق، فضلا عن الرغبة المفرطة للأسر العراقية نحو الاستهلاك كردة فعل لما عاشه الشعب العراقي من ظروف قاسية اقتصادية واجتماعية ونفسية، لذا يحاول الباحث تسليط الضوء على ظاهرة تزايد الاستهلاك البذخي واثره على …

دراسة تحليلية لأسباب عدم اقرار الموازنة العامة في العراق للعام 2014, سندس جاسم شعيبث

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

انهى العراق عام 2014 بدون اقرار الموازنة نتيجة للخلافات والنزاعات السياسية والاختلالات في بعض مواد الدستور التي هيأت لذلك وما نتج عن ذلك من اثار على الاقتصاد العراقي وعرقلة مسار التنمية في العراق ، واتى عدم اقرارها في ظل ظروف استثنائية عاشها العراق في عام 2014 من انخفاض اسعار النفط والاوضاع الامنية المتدهورة التي جعلت العراق يعاني من عجز حقيقي، وركزت هذه الدراسة على مسائل مختارة دون ادعاء التغطية الشاملة.

The Effects Of The 1933 Bank Holiday And The Emergency Banking Act Of 1933 On The Systematic Risks Of Various Industries, James E. Ingram

CMC Senior Theses

Utilizing the industry portfolio classifications that Fama and French provide in their data library, I analyze the specific effects that the 1933 Bank Holiday has on various industries. My empirical results go beyond what Silber (2009) determines to be significantly positive abnormal market returns on March 15, 1933, which is the day after the Bank Holiday and the largest ever one-day increase in the stock market. I use the CAPM and the Fama-French 3-factor Model to find significant systematic risk decreases after the Bank Holiday in the Coal and Transportation industries, as well as systematic risk increases in Consumer Goods …

Filling The Regulatory Void In The Fx Spot Market: How Traders Rigged The Biggest Market In The World, Colleen Powers

Fordham Urban Law Journal

No abstract provided.

A Sovereign’S Cost Of Capital: Go Foreign Or Stay Local, Michael Bradley, Irving Arturo De Lira Salvatierra, Mitu Gulati

Faculty Scholarship

A critical question faced by any sovereign seeking to raise funds in the bond market is whether to issue the debt under foreign or local parameters. This choice determines other key characteristics of any bond issue such as which banks, lawyers, and investors will be involved. Most important though, this decision involves a tradeoff between the sovereign retaining discretion in managing the issue and relinquishing control of the issue to third parties to prevent the sovereign from expropriating wealth from bondholders in the future. Based on a sample of 17,349 issuances by 117 sovereigns between 1990 and 2015, we investigate …

The Sovereign-Debt Listing Puzzle, Elisabeth De Fontenay, Josefin Meyer, Mitu Gulati

Faculty Scholarship

The claim that stock exchanges perform certification and monitoring roles in securities offerings is pervasive in the legal and financial literatures. This article tests the validity of this “bonding hypothesis” in the sovereign-bond market—one of the oldest and largest securities markets in the world. Using data on sovereign-bond listings for the entire post-World War II period, we provide the first comprehensive report on sovereigns’ historical listing patterns. We then test whether a sovereign bond issue’s listing jurisdiction affects its yield at issuance, as the bonding hypothesis would predict. We find little evidence of bonding in today’s sovereign-debt market. Instead, we …

A Critical Examination Of Oil Wealth Management Strategies And Their Effects On Economic Growth In The Gulf Cooperation Council Countries, Caroline J. Belmont

CMC Senior Theses

Despite their natural resources, the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, and Oman) have failed to live up to their economic potential, primarily due to their dependence on a revenue source with volatile prices and political significance in an unstable region. This thesis argues that the best way to convert oil wealth into consistent long term growth is through diversification, both by investing in foreign assets and by growing domestic sectors that are independent from oil and gas prices. The research further investigates the primary tool these countries have used to …

An Event Study Analysis Of American Bank Holding Company Equity Returns Upon Basel Iii Announcement, Brian R. Delaney

CMC Senior Theses

This study examines the trading activity of a large cross section of American bank holding companies upon various sub-events associated with the introduction of Basel III. An event study methodology was applied to various sub-composite portfolios, as determined by regulatory capitalization and leverage ratios. The results suggest that statically significant abnormal negative returns occurred on the announcement to negotiate due to heightened regulatory uncertainty, especially amongst the least capitalized and highest leveraged banks. However, this effect is complemented by statically significant positive returns upon the release of the initial guidelines. Reactions to subsequent events report to be less significant.

A Re-Examination Of Rating Shopping And Catering Using Post-Crisis Data On Cdos, Robert H. Owlett

CMC Senior Theses

I re-examine “rating shopping” and “rating catering” in the market for AAA rated collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) by replicating the study of Griffin and Tang (2013) using post-crisis data. I find a sharp increase in the amount of CDOs that received a single rating, suggesting that CDO underwriters were more cautious about formally soliciting multiple ratings. However, I also find a decrease in AAA rating disagreements between S&P and Moody’s, implying that issuers shopped their CDOs through informal conversations with agencies. Finally, I find investors correctly accepted tighter credit spreads for dual-rated CDOs because dual-rated CDOs experienced fewer rating downgrades …

Income-Driven Repayment And The Public Financing Of Higher Education, John R. Brooks

Georgetown Law Faculty Publications and Other Works

This article provides the first comprehensive analysis in the legal literature of the federal government’s new income-driven student loan repayment programs, known as Income-Based Repayment and Pay As You Earn. In a set of gradual and little-noticed statutory and regulatory moves, the federal government, through these programs, has dramatically reshaped higher education finance in ways that schools, students, and even the government itself are only beginning to understand.

Under IBR and PAYE, a student borrower pays no more than 10% of her discretionary income in loan service payments, and after a maximum of 20 years, the remaining debt is forgiven—for …

Financial Implications Of The Medicaid Expansion For Academic Medical Centers, Madeleine Oritt

MPA/MPP/MPFM Capstone Projects

On March 23, 2010, President Obama signed into law the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA), with the goal of reforming the United States health care system and providing insurance for millions of uninsured citizens and residents. One component of the legislation was the expansion of Medicaid eligibility, which would extend to include all individuals “under age 65 whose family income is at or below 138 percent of the federal poverty guidelines ($14,484 for an individual and $29,726 for a family of four in 2011)” (NCSL, 2015). This provision was challenged in the United States Supreme Court, which ruled …

In Search Of Financial Literacy: A Qualitative Analysis Of Student Money Management Centers In The U.S., Jenny E. Cotton

College of Graduate Studies: Theses & Dissertations

Financial stress and obligations have been identified as the number one reason students leave college. In an effort to address this, colleges and universities have begun to reevaluate their role and responsibility as it pertains to financial education. This has led some institutions to create student money management centers. These centers serve as a resource for students to receive financial counseling and education.

This research explores how administrators within college money management centers perceive and meet the needs of college students on issues of personal finance. Charmaz’ Constructivist Grounded Theory (2006) approach to qualitative research was utilized as the theoretical …

Do U.S. Firms Fly Higher When Bypassing The U.S. Capital Markets? An Investigation Of The Short-Term Performance Of Foreign Ipos, Robert N. Killins, Peter V. Egly

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

This paper investigates the performance of U.S. firms that partake in a foreign IPO – bypassing their domestic exchanges and raising their equity in a foreign market. The globalization of equity markets along with the increased regulations to financial markets in the U.S. has potentially led to the U.S. losing its title as the premier listing market. Using a sample of 77 U.S. based firms that totally bypassed the U.S. equity markets in their capital(equity) raising activities we are able to investigate the performance of this unique sample of firms. This investigation contributes to the literature by finding that U.S. …

The Impact Of Government Intervention On The Stabilization Of Domestic Financial Markets And On U.S. Banks’ Asset Composition, Peter V. Egly, Diego Escobari, David W. Johnk

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

The 2007–2009 financial crisis that evolved from various factors including the housing boom, aggressive lending activity, financial innovation, and increased access to money and capital markets prompted unprecedented U.S. government intervention in the financial sector. We examine changes in banks’ balance sheet composition associated with U.S. government intervention during the crisis. We find that the initial round of quantitative easing positively impacts bank liquidity across all bank samples. Our results show a positive impact of repurchase agreement market rates on bank liquidity for small and medium banks. We conclude that banks have become more liquid in the post-crisis period, especially …

Prices, Trading Activity, And Market Quality In The Modern Otc Marketplace, Ryan Davis

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

In Part 1, I study over 10,000 OTC securities that are organized into one of three tiered marketplaces (OTCQX, OTCQB, and OTC Pink) based on the quality and quantity of information a firm makes available. My analysis adds to the literature by providing a more complete picture of trading in this market. I examine determinants of trading within the tiers and compare trading metrics of the biggest return winners and losers during the sample period. I also examine if day-of-the week effects previously documented for listed securities exist in the OTC market. A large portion of these securities are penny …

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 19, Number 1, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke

Border Region Modeling Project

No abstract provided.