Do Expected Marginal Revenue Products For National Hockey League Players Equal Their Price In Daily Fantasy Games?,
2014
Macalester College
Do Expected Marginal Revenue Products For National Hockey League Players Equal Their Price In Daily Fantasy Games?, Benjamin Goldman
Award Winning Economics Papers
The equality between wages and marginal revenue products is a backbone of competitive labor markets. This study will seek to test the congruity between the two in the market for players in daily fantasy hockey games. Any observed and statistically significant incongruity would lead to the conclusion that an individual can earn long run profit playing daily fantasy games. Both fixed effects and pooled regressions are employed to isolate inequalities between prices and expected marginal revenue products for players in daily fantasy hockey games. Any deviation of such could potentially be explained by utility maximizing gamblers or incomplete information. Robust …
How Portable Is Level-0 Behavior? A Test Of Level-K Theory In Games With Non-Neutral Frames,
2014
King's College London
How Portable Is Level-0 Behavior? A Test Of Level-K Theory In Games With Non-Neutral Frames, Shaun Hargreaves Heap, David Rojo Arjona, Robert Sugden
Economics Faculty Articles and Research
We test the portability of level‐0 assumptions in level‐k theory in an experimental investigation of behavior in Coordination, Discoordination, and Hide and Seek games with common, non‐neutral frames. Assuming that level‐0 behavior depends only on the frame, we derive hypotheses that are independent of prior assumptions about salience. Those hypotheses are not confirmed. Our findings contrast with previous research which has fitted parameterized level‐k models to Hide and Seek data. We show that, as a criterion of successful explanation, the existence of a plausible model that replicates the main patterns in these data has a high probability of …
Rhode Island Current Conditions Index -- June 2014,
2014
University of Rhode Island
Rhode Island Current Conditions Index -- June 2014, Leonard Lardaro
The Rhode Island Current Conditions Index
No abstract provided.
Self-Exciting Jumps, Learning, And Asset Pricing Implications,
2014
ESSEC Business School
Self-Exciting Jumps, Learning, And Asset Pricing Implications, Andras Fulop, Junye Li, Jun Yu
Research Collection School Of Economics
The paper proposes a self-exciting asset pricing model that takes into account cojumps between prices and volatility and self-exciting jump clustering. We employ a dence of self-exciting jump clustering since the 1987 market crash, and its importance Bayesian learning approach to implement real time sequential analysis. We find evidence of self-exciting jump clustering since the 1987 market crash, and its importance becomes more obvious at the onset of the 2008 global financial crisis. It is found that learning affects the tail behaviors of the return distributions and has important implications for risk management, volatility forecasting and option pricing.
Do Weather Fluctuations Cause People To Seek Information About Climate Change?,
2014
University of Rhode Island
Do Weather Fluctuations Cause People To Seek Information About Climate Change?, Corey Lang
Environmental and Natural Resource Economics Faculty Publications
Learning about the causes and consequences of climate change can be an important avenue for supporting mitigation policy and efficient adaptation. This paper uses internet search activity data, a distinctly revealed preference approach, to examine if local weather fluctuations cause people to seek information about climate change. The results suggest that weather fluctuations do have an effect on climate change related search behavior, however not always in ways that are consistent with the projected impacts of climate change. While search activity increases with extreme heat in summer and extended periods of no rainfall and declines in extreme cold in winter, …
Three Essays On Nonstationary Time Series Analysis,
2014
Singapore Management University
Three Essays On Nonstationary Time Series Analysis, Ye Chen
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Financial and macroeconomic time series data are often nonstationary. My dissertation consists of three essays concerning time series models with nonstationarity. Chapter 1 develops a new jackknife estimator for nonstationary autoregressive model. The remaining two chapters explore the restricted maximum likelihood (REML hereafter) estimation and the restricted maximum likelihood based likelihood ratio test (RLRT hereafter) in predictive regression. Chapter 1 proposes an improved jackknife estimator of the persistence parameter that works for both the discrete time unit root model and the continuous time unit root model. Maximum likelihood estimation of the persistence parameter in the discrete time unit root model …
Adaptive Nonparametric Regression With Conditional Heteroskedasticity,
2014
Singapore Management University
Adaptive Nonparametric Regression With Conditional Heteroskedasticity, Sainan Jin, Liangjun Su, Zhijie Xiao
Research Collection School Of Economics
Vector Autoregression (VAR) has been a standard empirical tool used in macroeconomics and finance. In this paper we discuss how to compare alternative VAR models after they are estimated by Bayesian MCMC methods. In particular we apply a robust version of deviance information criterion (RDIC) recently developed in Li et al. (2014b) to determine the best candidate model. RDIC is a better information criterion than the widely used deviance information criterion (DIC) when latent variables are involved in candidate models. Empirical analysis using US data shows that the optimal model selected by RDIC can be different from that by DIC.
Deviance Information Criterion For Comparing Var Models,
2014
Singapore Management University
Deviance Information Criterion For Comparing Var Models, Tao Zeng, Yong Li, Jun Yu
Research Collection School Of Economics
Vector Autoregression (VAR) has been a standard empirical tool used in macroeconomics and finance. In this paper we discuss how to compare alternative VAR models after they are estimated by Bayesian MCMC methods. In particular we apply a robust version of deviance information criterion (RDIC) recently developed in Li et al. (2014b) to determine the best candidate model. RDIC is a better information criterion than the widely used deviance information criterion (DIC) when latent variables are involved in candidate models. Empirical analysis using US data shows that the optimal model selected by RDIC can be different from that by DIC.
A Bayesian Chi-Squared Test For Hypothesis Testing,
2014
Renmin University of China
A Bayesian Chi-Squared Test For Hypothesis Testing, Yong Li, Xiao-Bin Liu, Jun Yu
Research Collection School Of Economics
A new Bayesian test statistic is proposed to test a point null hypothesis based on of regular conditions and follows a chi-squared distribution when the null hypothesis is correct. The new statistic has several important advantages that make it appeal in practical applications. First, it is well-defined under improper prior distributions. Second, it avoids Jeffrey-Lindley’s paradox. Third, it is relatively easy to compute, even for models with latent variables. Finally, it is pivotal and its threshold value can be easily obtained from the asymptotic chi-squared distribution. The method is illustrated using some real examples in economics and finance.
Specification Sensitivity In Right‐Tailed Unit Root Testing For Explosive Behaviour,
2014
Singapore Management University
Specification Sensitivity In Right‐Tailed Unit Root Testing For Explosive Behaviour, Peter C. B. Phillips, Shuping Shi, Jun Yu
Research Collection School Of Economics
This article aims to provide some empirical guidelines for the practical implementation of right-tailed unit root tests, focusing on the recursive right-tailed ADF test of Phillips et al. (2011b). We analyze and compare the limit theory of the recursive test under different hypotheses and model specifications. The size and power properties of the test under various scenarios are examined and some recommendations for empirical practice are given. Some new results on the consistent estimation of localizing drift exponents are obtained, which are useful in assessing model specification. Empirical applications to stock markets illustrate these specification issues and reveal their practical …
Extremal Quantile Regressions For Selection Models And The Black White Wage Gap,
2014
Singapore Management University
Extremal Quantile Regressions For Selection Models And The Black White Wage Gap, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Arnaud Maurel, Yichong Zhang
Research Collection School Of Economics
We consider the estimation of a semiparametric location-scale model subject to endogenous selection, in the absence of an instrument or a large support regressor. Identification relies on the independence between the covariates and selection, for arbitrarily large values of the outcome. In this context, we propose a simple estimator, which combines extremal quantile regressions with minimum distance. We establish the asymptotic normality of this estimator by extending previous results on extremal quantile regressions to allow for selection. Finally, we apply our method to estimate the black-white wage gap among males from the NLSY79 and NLSY97. We find that premarket factors …
Market Frictions And The Efficiency Of Capital Allocation,
2014
University of New Orleans
Market Frictions And The Efficiency Of Capital Allocation, William J. Hippler Iii
LSU New Orleans Theses and Dissertations
The following dissertation contains two unique empirical studies that contribute to the overall literature in the field of Financial Economics in the areas of mutual fund investing and financial intermediation and regulation. The first Chapter, entitled “The Impact of Macroeconomic Stress on the U.S. Financial Sector”, examines the relative impact of macroeconomic stress on financial and non-financial U.S. firms. Empirical results show that macroeconomic shocks appear to have a larger impact on financial firms. Additionally, the sensitivity of financial firms to macroeconomic events can be traced to the influence of non-depository institutions, or “shadow banks”, like finance and investment companies, …
Can Community Water Projects Combat Child Diarrhea? Results From The Solomon Islands,
2014
University of San Francisco
Can Community Water Projects Combat Child Diarrhea? Results From The Solomon Islands, Thomas G. Sackman
Master's Theses
There is a vast amount of existing literature that has empirically scrutinized whether or not community water projects have the ability to mitigate diarrheal disease. A strong and persistent belief thinks that community water projects do have the means, however, over the decades empirical work commonly finds this to simply not be true. This study expands the research question to the Solomon Islands. The research tests the hypothesis using a differences-in-differences identification strategy by utilizing the government’s staggered timing rollout of community water subprojects with whether or not a village received a community water subproject to test for a program …
Matrilineal Asset Inheritance, Female Bargaining Power, And Household Welfare In Malawi,
2014
University of San Francisco
Matrilineal Asset Inheritance, Female Bargaining Power, And Household Welfare In Malawi, Nicholas T. Garcia
Master's Theses
Matrilineal inheritance practices in Malawi exogenously determine female land holdings at the time of marriage, allowing for the identification of the effect of increased female bargaining power on household consumption decisions. I use the matrilineal ethnicity of the head of household as an instrument for the share of total household land inherited by the female head or male head’s wife. I find that child’s height-for-age decreases with female assets, and evidence suggesting increased consumption from households’ own production. Since the food basket from own consumption is high in carbs but not nutritious, long-term child health suffers despite receiving more resources …
Rhode Island Current Conditions Index -- May 2014,
2014
University of Rhode Island
Rhode Island Current Conditions Index -- May 2014, Leonard Lardaro
The Rhode Island Current Conditions Index
No abstract provided.
Endogenous Network Production Functions With Selectivity,
2014
Syracuse University
Endogenous Network Production Functions With Selectivity, William C. Horrace, Xiaodong Liu, Eleonora Patacchini
Center for Policy Research
We consider a production function model that transforms worker inputs into outputs through peer effect networks. The distinguishing features of this production model are that the network is formal and observable through worker scheduling, and selection into the network is done by a manager. We discuss identification and suggest a variety of estimation techniques. In particular, we tackle endogeneity issues arising from selection into groups and exposure to common group factors by employing a polychotomous Heckman-type selection correction. We illustrate our method using data from the Syracuse University Men’s Basketball team, where at any point in time the coach selects …
Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Partially Observed Diffusion Models,
2014
University of Bergen
Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Partially Observed Diffusion Models, Tore Selland Kleppe, Jun Yu, Hans J. Skaug
Research Collection School Of Economics
This paper develops a maximum likelihood (ML) method to estimate partially observed diffusion models based on data sampled at discrete times. The method combines two techniques recently proposed in the literature in two separate steps. In the first step, the closed form approach of Aït-Sahalia (2008) is used to obtain a highly accurate approximation to the joint transition probability density of the latent and the observed states. In the second step, the efficient importance sampling technique of Richard and Zhang (2007) is used to integrate out the latent states, thereby yielding the likelihood function. Using both simulated and real data, …
On Confidence Intervals For Autoregressive Roots And Predictive Regression,
2014
Singapore Management University
On Confidence Intervals For Autoregressive Roots And Predictive Regression, Peter C. B. Phillips
Research Collection School Of Economics
Local to unity limit theory is used in applications to construct confidence intervals (CIs) for autoregressive roots through inversion of a unit root test (Stock (1991)). Such CIs are asymptotically valid when the true model has an autoregressive root that is local to unity (rho = 1 + c/n), but are shown here to be invalid at the limits of the domain of definition of the localizing coefficient c because of a failure in tightness and the escape of probability mass. Failure at the boundary implies that these CIs have zero asymptotic coverage probability in the stationary case and vicinities …
New York Camp Econometrics Ix Program,
2014
Syracuse University
New York Camp Econometrics Ix Program, Center For Policy Research
Camp Econometrics-Programs
No abstract provided.
Rhode Island Current Conditions Index -- April 2014,
2014
University of Rhode Island
Rhode Island Current Conditions Index -- April 2014, Leonard Lardaro
The Rhode Island Current Conditions Index
No abstract provided.
