Data Science Commons^™

Freshman 15? Freshman 50?? The Reality Of Daily Life Habits Of A First Year College Student, Gregorio R. Salgado

Student Scholar Symposium Abstracts and Posters

This project presents a personal data tracking study in which I collected daily self-reported metrics over the course of the Spring semester using Excel. The variables tracked include sleep duration, caloric intake, screen time, social media usage, phone checks per day, family communication, and personal spending. The goal of this project is to identify meaningful patterns and correlations between daily habits and personal well-being.

Data was collected through a combination of manual logging and smartphone-generated daily reports. This study explores potential relationships between variables such as sleep duration and social media usage, as well as the association between family communication …

Propasafe-Hybrid: A Text-Based Hybrid Propaganda Detection Tool, Thomas Kimmeth, Avijit Roy, Vivek Sharma

Publications and Research

Propagandistic content increasingly circulates through online news and social media, where readers often encounter it with limited scrutiny, highlighting the need for reliable and fine-grained detection. This paper introduces Propasafe-Hybrid, a sentence-level system that integrates a fine-tuned transformer classifier with LLM-based technique classification to identify, label, and explain specific propaganda strategies. The pipeline generates actionable outputs, including highlighted sentences, technique assignments, and concise rationales, so users can immediately understand why a sentence was flagged and how each label was determined. To control inference cost, Propasafe-Hybrid employs a cost-aware pre-filtering stage that forwards only high-likelihood sentences to LLMs, reducing token usage …

Evaluation In Applied Ai: Predictive Modeling, Agent Safety, And Model Validation, Tanmay Sah

Harrisburg University Dissertations and Theses

This dissertation focuses on three applied challenges in machine learning and artificial intelligence: predicting social media content virality, evaluating safety in tool using large language model agents, and standardizing model validation in regulated settings. Across these domains, the dissertation argues that evaluation in applied AI must be matched to context, combining predictive performance with the relevant evidence needed for interpretability, safety, reproducibility, and governance readiness. First, Decoding Reddit Memes Virality extracts and analyzes 16,968 posts using computer vision, natural language processing, and gradient boosting to identify visual, textual, and temporal signals associated with virality. Second, The Verifier Tax designs and …

The Impatience Of Winning: An Analysis Of Time Discounting, Predictive Modeling, And The Nba Draft, Alec R. Plante

Business and Economics Honors Papers

This paper examines whether NBA draft decisions can be better explained by incorporating non-geometric time discounting into a model of general manager decision making. Using a dataset of 285 NBA draft prospects over a 12-year period, the impact of college statistics on Value Over Replacement Player (VORP) is determined, and these impact values are then used to create a “predicted” VORP for the first 4 seasons of each player’s career: a projection of what a general manager might think of a prospect’s future value given their college statistics. Following this, geometric and hyperbolic time discounting models are applied to estimate …

Fossil-Fuels In A Decarbonized Country? Modeling The Drivers Of Icelandic Oil Sales, Inbal Armony

Environmental Studies Honors Projects

Although 100% of Iceland’s electricity comes from renewable energy sources, it still relies on fossil fuels for land transportation, marine transportation, aviation, and some industry. Understanding geographic nuances in oil use is critical to achieving Iceland’s goals of carbon neutrality by 2040. As the island has one primary urban center with two thirds of the population, information is lacking about oil use in non-Capital areas and a gap between state and municipal climate plans. Using newly available data of oil sales at the municipality-level in a Small Area Estimation model, we analyze drivers of oil sales across Icelandic municipalities. We …

Strengthening Cyber Resilience In Critical Infrastructure: Lessons From Major Attack Case Studies, Jodi Barnes

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

This comparative case study research paper analyzes the Colonial Pipeline attack, the Oldsmar Water Treatment Plant attack, and related case studies to identify past and current gaps in cyber resilience in critical infrastructure.  It provides insights into the importance of cybersecurity and opportunities to enhance protection in an increasingly digital world.  Findings include unsecure practices, limited communication between sectors, outdated technology, and weaknesses in security processes and employee training. These vulnerabilities are interconnected and are largely driven by limited funding within critical infrastructure systems, which restricts the ability to address them effectively.

Reimagining Less-Than-Truckload Pricing Development In Competitive Bid Environments With Artificial Intelligence, Lawson C. Levin

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

This undergraduate thesis explores how data analytics and engineering judgment are used to support pricing decisions in the less-than-truckload (LTL) freight market. It’s based on an internship with ArcBest Corporation. It explains the company’s background, its role in the LTL market, and the responsibilities of a Pricing and Supply Chain Engineer within the Yield department.

Most of the internship was spent evaluating requests for proposals (RFPs), in which a negotiating third party provides a customer’s shipment data that must be cleaned, analyzed, and translated into a comprehensive pricing offer. Using the Data Science Analytics Process as a framework, this thesis …

Prescribing Company Action Through Machine Learning And Ai, Breck T. Husong

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

The purpose of this research is to implement an OpenAI Reinforced Learning prescription-giving model for improving sales on a week-by-week basis. The data used comes from a segment of High Impact Analytics’s sales data that has been anonymized for proprietary reasons. The features among the data include inventory numbers, shipments in transit, total quantity and dollars of products sold each week for the past 2 years, all aggregated at the store-item-week level. In order to build this model, Tigramite, a causal discovery model combined with prediction models XGBoost, Linear Regression, Ridge Regression, Lasso Regression, Scikit-learn’s MLP, and Keras’s Neural Model …

A Comparative Machine Learning Framework For Identifying Ai-Generated Versus Real Celebrity Faces, Sidney Gehring

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

The rapid advancements in the world of generative artificial intelligence has enabled the creation of highly realistic fictitious facial images, raising concerns about authenticity and bias in computer vision systems. This study investigates the capabilities of machine learning models to distinguish between real and artificially generated facial images across gender and race focusing on celebrity imagery. Four datasets were used against the classification model, each trained on images of a single celebrity within distinct demographic groups: White women, White men, Black women, and Black men. For each group, real images are paired with AI-generated counterparts designed to closely replicate the …

A Forecasting Framework For Distribution Center Capacity Utilization: An Applied Industry Study, Jordan J. Shortt

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

This project develops and evaluates a predictive modeling framework for forecasting distribution center capacity utilization at Company Y, with monthly forecast horizons up to one year. Motivated by the operational challenges of seasonal demand volatility, promotional cycles, and the absence of a formally defined capacity metric, the study first constructs a historical capacity utilization measure from raw warehouse management system data — reconciling item volumes, location dimensions, and utilization factors across all DCs — which serves as the target variable for all modeling work. Four models are developed and evaluated against a naïve seasonal baseline: SARIMA, LightGBM, LSTM, and a …

Developing Tracking Compliance Standards For Inbound Freight: A Data-Driven Industry Application At O’Reilly Automotive, Jackson Endacott

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

Visibility of inbound freight is critical for managing operational efficiency, yet many organizations lack standardized compliance metrics for third-party carriers to uphold, preventing them from utilizing tracking data to make data-driven decisions. During a summer internship with the Transportation Department at O’Reilly Automotive, data inconsistencies were addressed in the Transportation Management System (TMS), and that data was utilized to create tracking compliance standards for third-party carriers. Data populated from various sources within O’Reilly’s TMS was cleaned, validated, and utilized to create a Tracking Scorecard that evaluates message transmission rates, timeliness, and errors. This tool provides actionable insights to improve tracking …

Pyspqr: A Python Package For Density Estimation Using Deep Learning, Cameron Eddy, Reetam Majumder

Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

Splines are used for representing complex functions. In statistics, splines can be used for distributional shapes that are difficult to model by traditional parametric approaches. Ramsay (1) uses M-Spline bases to estimate continuous distributions. Semi-Parametric Quantile Regression (SPQR), developed by Xu and Reich (2), models conditional distributions where a neural network is used to estimate the basis function weights that depend on covariates. (3) implements a package for SPQR in R. We build on this by implementing a version of SPQR in Python with PyTorch. By using PyTorch, we can use more sophisticated deep learning architectures than those available in …

Modular Category Optimization For Substitutability: An Item-Level Approach, Medhansh A. Sankaran

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

This thesis examines substitutability within Walmart apparel as a foundation for modular category optimization. Using large-scale item-level data, I develop an attribute-based framework that aggregates products to the fineline level, constructs a structured feature space, and identifies candidate substitute relationships through similarity-based matching within relevant merchandise groupings. The results show that Walmart item master data contains sufficient structure to support scalable substitute generation across a high-variety assortment. However, substitutability is not uniform: many item pairs exhibit high similarity but low observed demand transfer, indicating that structural similarity alone does not guarantee substitution. To address this, the framework is positioned within …

Recursion, Regurgitation, And Regeneration: Testing Limits And Revealing Biases Of Generative Ai Models Through Multimodal Feedback Loops, William Donnell-Lonon

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

Contemporary generative AI systems such as OpenAI's GPT-4o and DALL-E models embed complex priors about society, reality, and history shaped by training data distributions, social alignment procedures, legal constraints, and safety regulations. This study uses a "telephone game" methodology to investigate how embedded social, political, and visual biases propagate and reveal themselves through iterative multimodal generation loops, where image captioning and text-to-image models are chained in successive feedback cycles.

Using CLIP similarity metrics, facial recognition algorithms, semantic drift analysis, and qualitative content observations, I tested how image subject matter affects the rate and quality of semantic and visual shift, identity …

Escaping The Promotion Trap: A Machine Learning Framework For Brand Equity Preservation In Beverage Cpg, Lucas P. Jones

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

When companies acquire beverage brands, they typically value them based on total sales revenue. This traditional approach treats all sales equally over time, whether they are driven by genuine consumer demand or temporary discounts. This is important because while promotions can boost short-term sales, they tend to erode brand value over long periods of time. The measurement problem extends to acquisitions, where buyers lack the tools to distinguish real consumer demand from artificial promotional inflation.

This thesis develops a framework to separate genuine baseline demand from promotional dependence using Nielsen scanner data covering 189 beverage brands across 188,304 weekly observations …

A Spatial Analysis Of Streetlights In The City Of Sugar Land, Samuel J. Trout

Data Science Undergraduate Honors Theses

The purpose of this paper is to analyze patterns between public safety and streetlighting for the City of Sugar Land, TX so that they may better protect their citizens.  The data involved come from the City of Sugar Land’s public works division and include type and location for all the attributes. The method of doing so involved visualizing the patterns of streetlights and their closest light readings to visualize which streetlights are underperforming using the Shiny package in R. Statistical tests were also used to quantify the association between lighting, crime occurrence, and crosswalks. From this, and the literature review, …

Augmented Reality In Fashion Retail: A Walmart Unlimited Study, Chloe A. Mcpherson

Apparel Merchandising and Product Development Undergraduate Honors Theses

As technology continues to evolve, augmented reality (AR) has become increasingly common within the retail and fashion industries. This study explored Gen Z consumers’ perceptions of immersive AR shopping experiences through Walmart Unlimited, an interactive digital shopping platform. The purpose of this research was to better understand how younger consumers respond to AR-enhanced shopping environments and whether these technologies influence attitudes toward convenience, engagement, and sustainability in retail.

A quantitative research design was used for this study. Participants completed the Walmart Unlimited shopping experience and then responded to a Qualtrics survey measuring areas such as immersion, satisfaction, ease of use, …

A New Approach To Generate Combinatorial Patterns In Logical Analysis Of Data And Its Application To Predict College Retention, Salihah Ahmed E. Jaafari

Theses and Dissertations

Student retention and degree completion remain central challenges for higher-education institutions, with significant implications for student success, institutional effectiveness, and public accountability. While advances in predictive analytics have enabled earlier identification of students at risk of withdrawal, many commonly used machine learning approaches suffer from limited interpretability, constraining their practical usefulness for advising, intervention, and policy decision making. This dissertation addresses the problem of predicting student persistence by developing and evaluating optimization based, interpretable classification models within the Logical Analysis of Data (LAD) framework. Building on existing LAD formulations, this research introduces two novel pattern generation models, the Best Term …

Utilizing Physics Informed Neural Networks For Disrupted Signal Dynamics, Nicholas J. Joyner

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have been used in many applications including engineering and physical sciences. PINNs allow the incorporation of a priori understanding of a process’ structure into the modeling. We attempt to leverage the PINN structure toward the evaluation of disruptions to classical dynamical models by combining elements of ordinary differential equations into our loss function with sigmoidal gating to balance the penalties for deviations from the data with those for structural deviations. This enables the identification of the signal structure and the limits of disruption influence. As a use case, we consider stock value from 2019-2021, which expresses …

Analyzing The Writing Style Of Generative Ai When Prompted With Writing Samples, Samuel Mcdowell

Senior Honors Theses

Authorship attribution is an important topic in today’s world of Large Language Models (LLMs). It is the technology that helps to verify the author of a written work. This study explores whether LLMs can successfully mimic an individual’s writing style if they are given a text sample. A dataset of human-written texts was collected and used to prompt several LLMs to generate new texts that attempt to replicate the original author’s stylistic characteristics. The generated texts were then tested with modern authorship attribution models to determine whether they would be identified as being written by the original author. The results …