Data Science Commons^™

The Wallet And The Gut: Forecasting The 2024 Presidential Election With A State-By-State Adaptation Of The Time-For-Change Model, Simeon A. Betapudi, Hadassah Betapudi

Science University Research Symposium (SURS)

This study adapts Abramowitz's Time-for-Change model to a state-level framework to forecast the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The Time-for-Change model’s focus on the popular vote has become less relevant in recent years, given the growing divergence between popular vote outcomes and electoral college results. Our model addresses these issues by adapting the original Time-for-Change predictors (presidential approval rating, GDP, and time in office) to the state level. Using data from five election cycles (2004–2020), we employ an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression to predict incumbent two-party vote share. Unlike the original model, state-level GDP and incumbency duration were found to …

Ipydisp V2 Alias Dudutracker: A Web-Based Version, Komi Mensah Agboka, Elfatih M. Abdel-Rahman, Samira A. Mohamed, Sunday Ekesi

All Peer-Reviewed Publications

This study presents the updated version v2 of IpyDisp named DuduTracker which improves on the window-only-requirement of IpyDisp. The updated version is web-based that can be used in alternative operating systems like Ubuntu, Mac, Linux, and others. The update's effectiveness was also evaluated using a survey involving a diverse range of users including students, data analysts, and academic researchers from different age groups, geographical locations, and computer literacy levels. Areas for future enhancement were identified, primarily focused on making the software responsive to various screen types and improving certain interface aspects.

Question Answering For Electronic Health Records: Scoping Review Of Datasets And Models, Jayetri Bardhan, Kirk Roberts, Daisy Zhe Wang

Faculty, Staff and Student Publications

Background: Question answering (QA) systems for patient-related data can assist both clinicians and patients. They can, for example, assist clinicians in decision-making and enable patients to have a better understanding of their medical history. Substantial amounts of patient data are stored in electronic health records (EHRs), making EHR QA an important research area. Because of the differences in data format and modality, this differs greatly from other medical QA tasks that use medical websites or scientific papers to retrieve answers, making it critical to research EHR QA.

Objective: This study aims to provide a methodological review of existing works on …

Key Technology Selection And Countermeasures To Promote Full Lifecycle Data Governance, Yuyao Feng, Hongyun Zhang, Pengfei Wang, Jianping Li, Zongben Xu

Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)

In recent years, the digital economy, driven by data as a critical element, has developed rapidly. Nevertheless, China’s progress in data factorization and valorization is still at a preliminary stage. The data governance system remains underdeveloped, with numerous challenges and technical issues arising in the full lifecycle governance of data, including supply, circulation, application, and security protection. Against this backdrop, this study analyzes the primary technical bottlenecks encountered during the modernization of China’s data governance framework. By employing bibliometric analysis, patent data analysis, Delphi surveys, and expert opinions, a critical technology list to support the modernization of data governance in …

Review Of Current Trends In Information Technology Concerning Phonetic Similarity”, Zaid Rajih Mohammed, Ahmed H. Aliwy

Al-Bahir

With the increasing availability of textual information in various languages via the Internet in homes and companies through Internet and intranet services, there is an urgent need for the technologies and tools necessary to process this information, phonetic representation, and voice interaction. For example voice to voice machine translation need to phonetic mapping and similarity among the languages especially for names and foreign words. This one example of the importance of phonetic mapping and similarity. This article aims to describe, in detail, the recent surge in interest and advancements in phonetic similarity (PS), phonetic representation, and phonetic mapping researches. PS …

Characterizing The Progression From Mild Cognitive Impairment To Dementia: A Network Analysis Of Longitudinal Clinical Visits, Muskan Garg, Sara Hejazi, Sunyang Fu, Maria Vassilaki, Ronald C Petersen, Jennifer St Sauver, Sunghwan Sohn

Faculty, Staff and Student Publications

Background: With the recent surge in the utilization of electronic health records for cognitive decline, the research community has turned its attention to conducting fine-grained analyses of dementia onset using advanced techniques. Previous works have mostly focused on machine learning-based prediction of dementia, lacking the analysis of dementia progression and its associations with risk factors over time. The black box nature of machine learning models has also raised concerns regarding their uncertainty and safety in decision making, particularly in sensitive domains like healthcare.

Objective: We aimed to characterize the progression of health conditions, such as chronic diseases and neuropsychiatric symptoms, …

Undergraduate Data Literacy In Engineering: A Collaborative Approach, Amber Gruszeczka, Nicole Galloway

Libraries Faculty & Staff Presentations

Data literacy is increasingly crucial to research across disciplines, and librarians are diversifying their skills to encourage students’ self-reliance when interacting with data. Two librarians discuss a collaboration across library departments to design instruction and materials to bring the fundamentals of data literacy to a freshman engineering course.

Tradeoffs Of Generalization, Kyra M. Abrams, Peter T. Darch

I-GUIDE Forum

Models used in geospatial data science are often built and optimized for a specific local context, such as a particular location at a point in time. However, upon publication, these models may be generalized beyond this context, reused in research simulating or predicting other times and places. Without sufficient information or documentation, bias embedded in these models can in turn result in bias in the reuser’s research outputs. Drawing on a long-term qualitative case study of aging dams researchers and developers of models used by these researchers, we find significant documentation gaps. We combine a literature-based genealogy with interviews with …

M3t-Lm: A Multi-Modal Multi-Task Learning Model For Jointly Predicting Patient Length Of Stay And Mortality, Junde Chen, Qing Li, Feng Liu, Yuxin Wen

Engineering Faculty Articles and Research

Ensuring accurate predictions of inpatient length of stay (LoS) and mortality rates is essential for enhancing hospital service efficiency, particularly in light of the constraints posed by limited healthcare resources. Integrative analysis of heterogeneous clinic record data from different sources can hold great promise for improving the prognosis and diagnosis level of LoS and mortality. Currently, most existing studies solely focus on single data modality or tend to single-task learning, i.e., training LoS and mortality tasks separately. This limits the utilization of available multi-modal data and prevents the sharing of feature representations that could capture correlations between different tasks, ultimately …

Course-Skill Atlas: A National Longitudinal Dataset Of Skills Taught In U.S. Higher Education Curricula, Alireza Javadian Sabet, Sarah H. Bana, Renzhe Yu, Morgan R. Frank

Economics Faculty Articles and Research

Higher education plays a critical role in driving an innovative economy by equipping students with knowledge and skills demanded by the workforce. While researchers and practitioners have developed data systems to track detailed occupational skills, such as those established by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL), much less effort has been made to document which of these skills are being developed in higher education at a similar granularity. Here, we fill this gap by presenting Course-Skill Atlas – a longitudinal dataset of skills inferred from over three million course syllabi taught at nearly three thousand U.S. higher education institutions. To …

Discrete Time Series Forecasting Of Hive Weight, In-Hive Temperature, And Hive Entrance Traffic In Non-Invasive Monitoring Of Managed Honey Bee Colonies: Part I, Vladimir A. Kulyukin, Daniel Coster, Aleksey V. Kulyukin, William Meikle, Milagra Weiss

Computer Science Faculty and Staff Publications

From June to October, 2022, we recorded the weight, the internal temperature, and the hive entrance video traffic of ten managed honey bee (Apis mellifera) colonies at a research apiary of the Carl Hayden Bee Research Center in Tucson, AZ, USA. The weight and temperature were recorded every five minutes around the clock. The 30 s videos were recorded every five minutes daily from 7:00 to 20:55. We curated the collected data into a dataset of 758,703 records (208,760–weight; 322,570–temperature; 155,373–video). A principal objective of Part I of our investigation was to use the curated dataset to investigate …

2024 Gateway Magazine, College Of Computing, Michigan Technological University

College of Computing Annual Magazines

Table of Contents

• 50 Years of Computer Science at Michigan Tech
• Data Science for a Changing Planet
• Healthcare Transformed
• Mechatronics Matters
• Powered by Michigan Tech Talent
• Esports: Bringing Everything Great about Sports to More People
• The Michigander Scholars Program: Electrifying Careers in Michigan
• College of Computing News

Using Machine Learning To Predict State Compliance With International Legal Obligations For Registration Of Space Objects: Comparative Performance Of Logistic Regression And Dense Neural Network Models, Jonathan K. Sawmiller

Student Publications

Approximately 12% of satellites and other objects launched into outer space have not been registered with the United Nations (UN) as required by international law. To predict whether States will register a launched space object and understand what factors influence a registration decision, data from a UN online index of space objects was used to train and select the best machine learning model. After preparation, the dataset had 1938 datapoints with 11 features, with categorical features simplified and converted to binary.

Multiple variations of classical logistic regression models were compared to multiple variations of dense neural network models. The best …

Network Analysis Of Virginia’S Mineralogical Systems, Cadence M. Boucher, Ahmed M. Eleish, Robert M. Hazen, Shaunna M. Morrison

Virginia Journal of Science

The principal objective of this study was to use network analysis to identify spatial, geomorphic, physical, and chemical patterns in Virginia’s mineralogical systems. Mineralogical and locality data from mindat.org were visualized as a bipartite force- directed network of the minerals and the counties of Virginia in which they occur. Mineral nodes were sized to represent the number of counties the minerals are found in (i.e., frequency of occurrence) and county nodes were sized to represent the number of minerals found in that county (i.e., mineral diversity). Furthermore, the nodes were colored to display selected attributes of the mineral-county data. County …

Optimizing Medical School Enrollment, Justin Koida, Nicholas Quattrocchi

College of Engineering Summer Undergraduate Research Program

The increasing physician shortage, coupled with an aging population, presents significant challenges for healthcare systems. With higher education facing a projected enrollment cliff, and a decline in youth math and reading scores, identifying the most qualified medical school applicants is imperative. With thousands of applications received annually for only 300 spots at Western University of Health Sciences (WesternU), it is crucial to streamline the selection process while minimizing applicant attrition and melt.

In our research project, we develop a predictive model to identify candidates for interviews based on success data from students at WesternU. We utilized a dataset provided by …

Leveraging Tradespace-Exploration For A Senior Project Team Formation Application, Miguel Saenz

College of Engineering Summer Undergraduate Research Program

This project revolves around the development of an app in MATLAB that leverages the VASSAR rule-based system and a genetic algorithm to form groups of teams for the Mechanical Engineering Senior Design project class. We leveraged the iterative design process to eventually attain a functional app with a reasonable runtime that works provided correctly formatted rulesheets describing student project preference and member preference.

Exploring Machine Learning, Feature Engineering, And Explainability To Constrain Spica’S Apsidal Constant Through Mesa Simulations, Hannah C. Woodruff

Doctoral Dissertations and Master's Theses

Spica (α-Virginis) is a notable binary star system located in the constellation of Virgo and offers valuable insights into stellar interiors and dynamics. Within binary systems, gravitational forces between the two stars cause minor distortions that alter their orbital motion. The steady rate of this alteration is known as the apsidal constant, which provides key information about a star’s internal structure and its evolutionary state. Traditionally, stellar environments like Spica are studied using simulations, such as MESA (Modules for Experiments in Stellar Astrophysics). These simulations allow researchers to explore various aspects of stellar behavior through the entire evolution of the …

Making Plans Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, And Reusable With Data Infrastructure: A Search Engine For Constructing, Analyzing, And Visualizing Planning Documents, Lindsay Poirier, Dexter Antonio, Makenna Dettmann, Tiffany Eng, Jennifer Ganata, Sujoy Ghosh, Mirthala Lopez, Ranesh Karma, Asiya Natekal, Catherine Brinkley

Statistical and Data Sciences: Faculty Publications

Local land-use plans help guide future development, but it is often difficult to compare content across jurisdictions, making regional coordination and plan evaluation challenging. This research reviews federal, state, and local data infrastructure guidance for land-use plans and compares such guidance to compliance with a California use-case. Findings indicate a number of obstacles to fostering data sharing and comparative analysis of plans: there is currently no central repository of land-use plans; plans are not uniform in format and are often out of date; many plans are not machine-readable thereby inhibiting text extraction, and planning language varies so greatly that there …

Challenges Of Using More Precise Temporal And Spatial Resolution Of Remote Sensing Data For Surface Water Quality Monitoring, Ivan Rykin

Dartmouth College Master’s Theses

Monitoring river suspended sediment concentration (SSC) is critical for environmental challenges such as understanding the fate of thawed permafrost sediment and its impact on global carbon cycling. However, traditional SSC monitoring using Landsat imagery is limited by spatial and temporal constraints, particularly for narrow rivers in cloudy and/or snowy regions.

This study investigates the use of higher spatial (3 m) and temporal (daily) resolution satellite imagery from the PlanetScope constellation to estimate SSC in remote rivers such as those in the Arctic. I compare the performance of PlanetScope’s spectral resolution (4 and 8 bands) with Landsat 7. Merging data from …

Meta-Analysis Of Censored Adverse Events, Xinyue Qi, Shouhao Zhou, Christine B Peterson, Yucai Wang, Xinying Fang, Michael L Wang, Chan Shen

Faculty, Staff and Student Publications

Meta-analysis is a powerful tool for assessing drug safety by combining treatment-related toxicological findings across multiple studies, as clinical trials are typically underpowered for detecting adverse drug effects. However, incomplete reporting of adverse events (AEs) in published clinical studies is frequently encountered, especially if the observed number of AEs is below a pre-specified study-dependent threshold. Ignoring the censored AE information, often found in lower frequency, can significantly bias the estimated incidence rate of AEs. Despite its importance, this prevalent issue in meta-analysis has received little statistical or analytic attention in the literature. To address this challenge, we propose a Bayesian …