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Dynamic Stochastic Orienteering Problems For Risk-Aware Applications, Hoong Chuin LAU, William YEOH, Pradeep VARAKANTHAM, Duc Thien NGUYEN 2012 Singapore Management University

Dynamic Stochastic Orienteering Problems For Risk-Aware Applications, Hoong Chuin Lau, William Yeoh, Pradeep Varakantham, Duc Thien Nguyen

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Orienteering problems (OPs) are a variant of the well-known prize-collecting traveling salesman problem, where the salesman needs to choose a subset of cities to visit within a given deadline. OPs and their extensions with stochastic travel times (SOPs) have been used to model vehicle routing problems and tourist trip design problems. However, they suffer from two limitations travel times between cities are assumed to be time independent and the route provided is independent of the risk preference (with respect to violating the deadline) of the user. To address these issues, we make the following contributions: We introduce (1) a dynamic …


The Patrol Scheduling Problem, Hoong Chuin LAU, Aldy GUNAWAN 2012 Singapore Management University

The Patrol Scheduling Problem, Hoong Chuin Lau, Aldy Gunawan

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

This paper presents the problem of scheduling security teams to patrol a mass rapid transit rail network of a large urban city. The main objective of patrol scheduling is to deploy security teams to stations at varying time periods of the network subject to rostering as well as security-related constraints. We present a mathematical programming model for this problem. We then discuss the aspect of injecting randomness by varying the start times, the break times for each team as well as the number of visits required for each station according to their reported vulnerability. Finally, we present results for the …


Toward Large-Scale Agent Guidance In An Urban Taxi Service, Agussurja LUCAS, Hoong Chuin LAU 2012 Singapore Management University

Toward Large-Scale Agent Guidance In An Urban Taxi Service, Agussurja Lucas, Hoong Chuin Lau

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Empty taxi cruising represents a wastage of resources in the context of urban taxi services. In this work, we seek to minimize such wastage. An analysis of a large trace of taxi operations reveals that the services’ inefficiency is caused by drivers’ greedy cruising behavior. We model the existing system as a continuous time Markov chain. To address the problem, we propose that each taxi be equipped with an intelligent agent that will guide the driver when cruising for passengers. Then, drawing from AI literature on multiagent planning, we explore two possible ways to compute such guidance. The first formulation …


Bidder Behaviors In Repeated B2b Procurement Auctions, Jong Han PARK, Jae Kyu LEE, Hoong Chuin LAU 2012 OLEV Co Ltd

Bidder Behaviors In Repeated B2b Procurement Auctions, Jong Han Park, Jae Kyu Lee, Hoong Chuin Lau

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

B2B auctions play a key role in a firm's procurement process. Even though it is known that repetition is a key characteristic of procurement auctions, traditional auctioneers typically have not put in place a suitable mechanism that supports repetitive auctions effectively. In this paper, we empirically investigate what has taken place in repeated procurement auctions based on real world data from a major outsourcing company of MRO (Maintenance, Repair and Operations) items in Korea. From this empirical study, we discovered the followings. First, we discovered that the repeated bidders contribute majority of all bids, and that the number of new …


Improving Patient Flow In Emergency Department Through Dynamic Priority Queue, Kar Way TAN, Chao WANG, Hoong Chuin LAU 2012 Singapore Management University

Improving Patient Flow In Emergency Department Through Dynamic Priority Queue, Kar Way Tan, Chao Wang, Hoong Chuin Lau

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Most queuing problems are based on FIFO, LIFO, or static priority queues; very few address dynamic priority queues. In this paper, we present a case in a hospital’s emergency department (ED) where the queuing process can be modeled as a time-varying M/M/s queue with re-entrant patients. In order to improve patient flow in the department, we propose the use of a dynamic priority queue to dispatch patients to consultation with doctors. We test our proposed model using simulation and our experimental results show that a dynamic priority queue is effective in reducing the length of stay (LOS) of patients and …


Uncertain Congestion Games With Assorted Human Agent Populations, Asrar AHMED, Pradeep Reddy VARAKANTHAM, Shih-Fen CHENG 2012 Singapore Management University

Uncertain Congestion Games With Assorted Human Agent Populations, Asrar Ahmed, Pradeep Reddy Varakantham, Shih-Fen Cheng

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Congestion games model a wide variety of real-world resource congestion problems, such as selfish network routing, traffic route guidance in congested areas, taxi fleet optimization and crowd movement in busy areas. However, existing research in congestion games assumes: (a) deterministic movement of agents between resources; and (b) perfect rationality (i.e. maximizing their own expected value) of all agents. Such assumptions are not reasonable in dynamic domains where decision support has to be provided to humans. For instance, in optimizing the performance of a taxi fleet serving a city, movement of taxis can be involuntary or nondeterministic (decided by the specific …


Lagrangian Relaxation Techniques For Scalable Spatial Conservation Planning, Akshat KUMAR, Xiaojian WU, Shlomo ZILBERSTEIN 2012 Singapore Management University

Lagrangian Relaxation Techniques For Scalable Spatial Conservation Planning, Akshat Kumar, Xiaojian Wu, Shlomo Zilberstein

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

We address the problem of spatial conservation planning in which the goal is to maximize the expected spread of cascades of an endangered species by strategically purchasing land parcels within a given budget. This problem can be solved by standard integer programming methods using the sample average approximation (SAA) scheme. Our main contribution lies in exploiting the separable structure present in this problem and using Lagrangian relaxation techniques to gain scalability over the flat representation. We also generalize the approach to allow the application of the SAA scheme to a range of stochastic optimization problems. Our iterative approach is highly …


Logistics Orchestration Modeling And Evaluation For Humanitarian Relief, Hoong Chuin LAU, Zhengping LI, Xin DU, Heng JIANG, Robert DE SOUZA 2012 Singapore Management University

Logistics Orchestration Modeling And Evaluation For Humanitarian Relief, Hoong Chuin Lau, Zhengping Li, Xin Du, Heng Jiang, Robert De Souza

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

This paper proposes an orchestration model for post-disaster response that is aimed at automating the coordination of scarce resources that minimizes the loss of human lives. In our setting, different teams are treated as agents and their activities are "orchestrated" to optimize rescue performance. Results from simulation are analysed to evaluate the performance of the optimization model.


Decision Support For Agent Populations In Uncertain And Congested Environments, Pradeep Reddy VARAKANTHAM, Shih-Fen CHENG, Geoff GORDON, Asrar AHMED 2012 Singapore Management University

Decision Support For Agent Populations In Uncertain And Congested Environments, Pradeep Reddy Varakantham, Shih-Fen Cheng, Geoff Gordon, Asrar Ahmed

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

This research is motivated by large scale problems in urban transportation and labor mobility where there is congestion for resources and uncertainty in movement. In such domains, even though the individual agents do not have an identity of their own and do not explicitly interact with other agents, they effect other agents. While there has been much research in handling such implicit effects, it has primarily assumed deterministic movements of agents. We address the issue of decision support for individual agents that are identical and have involuntary movements in dynamic environments. For instance, in a taxi fleet serving a city, …


Incorporating Memory And Learning Mechanisms Into Meta-Raps, Arif Arin 2012 Old Dominion University

Incorporating Memory And Learning Mechanisms Into Meta-Raps, Arif Arin

Engineering Management & Systems Engineering Theses & Dissertations

Due to the rapid increase of dimensions and complexity of real life problems, it has become more difficult to find optimal solutions using only exact mathematical methods. The need to find near-optimal solutions in an acceptable amount of time is a challenge when developing more sophisticated approaches. A proper answer to this challenge can be through the implementation of metaheuristic approaches. However, a more powerful answer might be reached by incorporating intelligence into metaheuristics.

Meta-RaPS (Metaheuristic for Randomized Priority Search) is a metaheuristic that creates high quality solutions for discrete optimization problems. It is proposed that incorporating memory and learning …


Foundations Of Inference, Kevin H. Knuth, John Skilling 2012 University at Albany, State University of New York

Foundations Of Inference, Kevin H. Knuth, John Skilling

Physics Faculty Scholarship

We present a simple and clear foundation for finite inference that unites and significantly extends the approaches of Kolmogorov and Cox. Our approach is based on quantifying lattices of logical statements in a way that satisfies general lattice symmetries. With other applications such as measure theory in mind, our derivations assume minimal symmetries, relying on neither negation nor continuity nor differentiability. Each relevant symmetry corresponds to an axiom of quantification, and these axioms are used to derive a unique set of quantifying rules that form the familiar probability calculus. We also derive a unique quantification of divergence, entropy and information.


A Location-Aware Architecture Supporting Intelligent Real-Time Mobile Applications, Sean J. Barbeau 2012 University of South Florida

A Location-Aware Architecture Supporting Intelligent Real-Time Mobile Applications, Sean J. Barbeau

USF Tampa Graduate Theses and Dissertations

This dissertation presents LAISYC, a modular location-aware architecture for intelligent real-time mobile applications that is fully-implementable by third party mobile app developers and supports high-precision and high-accuracy positioning systems such as GPS. LAISYC significantly improves device battery life, provides location data authenticity, ensures security of location data, and significantly reduces the amount of data transferred between the phone and server. The design, implementation, and evaluation of LAISYC using real mobile phones include the following modules: the GPS Auto-Sleep module saves battery energy when using GPS, maintaining acceptable movement tracking (approximately 89% accuracy) with an approximate average doubling of battery life. …


Lagrangian Relaxation For Large-Scale Multi-Agent Planning, Geoff GORDON, Pradeep Reddy VARAKANTHAM, William YEOH, Ajay SRINIVASAN, Hoong Chuin LAU, Shih-Fen CHENG 2012 Carnegie Mellon University

Lagrangian Relaxation For Large-Scale Multi-Agent Planning, Geoff Gordon, Pradeep Reddy Varakantham, William Yeoh, Ajay Srinivasan, Hoong Chuin Lau, Shih-Fen Cheng

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Multi-agent planning is a well-studied problem with applications in various areas. Due to computational constraints, existing research typically focuses either on unstructured domains with many agents, where we are content with heuristic solutions, or domains with small numbers of agents or special structure, where we can find provably near-optimal solutions. In contrast, here we focus on provably near-optimal solutions in domains with many agents, by exploiting influence limits. To that end, we make two key contributions: (a) an algorithm, based on Lagrangian relaxation and randomized rounding, for solving multi-agent planning problems represented as large mixed-integer programs; (b) a proof of …


Lagrangian Relaxation For Large-Scale Multi-Agent Planning, Geoffrey J. Gordon, Pradeep VARAKANTHAM, William YEOH, Hoong Chuin LAU, Ajay Srinivasan Aravamudhan, Shih-Fen CHENG 2012 Carnegie Mellon University

Lagrangian Relaxation For Large-Scale Multi-Agent Planning, Geoffrey J. Gordon, Pradeep Varakantham, William Yeoh, Hoong Chuin Lau, Ajay Srinivasan Aravamudhan, Shih-Fen Cheng

LARC Research Publications

Multi-agent planning is a well-studied problem with applications in various areas. Due to computational constraints, existing research typically focuses either on unstructured domains with many agents, where we are content with heuristic solutions, or domains with small numbers of agents or special structure, where we can find provably near-optimal solutions. In contrast, here we focus on provably near-optimal solutions in domains with many agents, by exploiting influence limit. To that end, we make two key contributions: (a) an algorithm, based on Lagrangian relaxation and randomized rounding, for solving multi-agent planning problems represented as large mixed-integer programs; (b) a proof of …


Stochastic Dominance In Stochastic Dcops For Risk-Sensitive Applications, NGUYEN DUC THIEN, William YEOH, Hoong Chuin LAU 2012 Singapore Management University

Stochastic Dominance In Stochastic Dcops For Risk-Sensitive Applications, Nguyen Duc Thien, William Yeoh, Hoong Chuin Lau

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Distributed constraint optimization problems (DCOPs) are well-suited for modeling multi-agent coordination problems where the primary interactions are between local subsets of agents. However, one limitation of DCOPs is the assumption that the constraint rewards are without uncertainty. Researchers have thus extended DCOPs to Stochastic DCOPs (SDCOPs), where rewards are sampled from known probability distribution reward functions, and introduced algorithms to find solutions with the largest expected reward. Unfortunately, such a solution might be very risky, that is, very likely to result in a poor reward. Thus, in this paper, we make three contributions: (1) we propose a stricter objective for …


Delayed Observation Planning In Partially Observable Domains, Pradeep Reddy VARAKANTHAM, Janusz Marecki 2012 Singapore Management University

Delayed Observation Planning In Partially Observable Domains, Pradeep Reddy Varakantham, Janusz Marecki

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Traditional models for planning under uncertainty such as Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) or Partially Observable MDPs (POMDPs) assume that the observations about the results of agent actions are instantly available to the agent. In so doing, they are no longer applicable to domains where observations are received with delays caused by temporary unavailability of information (e.g. delayed response of the market to a new product). To that end, we make the following key contributions towards solving Delayed observation POMDPs (D-POMDPs): (i) We first provide an parameterized approximate algorithm for solving D-POMDPs efficiently, with desired accuracy; and (ii) We then propose …


Prioritized Shaping Of Models For Solving Dec-Pomdps, Pradeep Reddy VARAKANTHAM, William YEOH, Prasanna Velagapudi, Paul Scerri 2012 Singapore Management University

Prioritized Shaping Of Models For Solving Dec-Pomdps, Pradeep Reddy Varakantham, William Yeoh, Prasanna Velagapudi, Paul Scerri

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

An interesting class of multi-agent POMDP planning problems can be solved by having agents iteratively solve individual POMDPs, find interactions with other individual plans, shape their transition and reward functions to encourage good interactions and discourage bad ones and then recompute a new plan. D-TREMOR showed that this approach can allow distributed planning for hundreds of agents. However, the quality and speed of the planning process depends on the prioritization scheme used. Lower priority agents shape their models with respect to the models of higher priority agents. In this paper, we introduce a new prioritization scheme that is guaranteed to …


A Biologically-Inspired Affective Model Based On Cognitive Situational Appraisal, Feng SHU, Ah-hwee TAN 2012 Singapore Management University

A Biologically-Inspired Affective Model Based On Cognitive Situational Appraisal, Feng Shu, Ah-Hwee Tan

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Although various emotion models have been proposed based on appraisal theories, most of them focus on designing specific appraisal rules and there is no unified framework for emotional appraisal. Moreover, few existing emotion models are biologically-inspired and are inadequate in imitating emotion process of human brain. This paper proposes a bio-inspired computational model called Cognitive Regulated Affective Architecture (CRAA), inspired by the cognitive regulated emotion theory and the network theory of emotion. This architecture is proposed by taking the following positions: (1) Cognition and emotion are not separated but interacted systems; (2) The appraisal of emotion depends on and should …


Memory Formation, Consolidation, And Forgetting In Learning Agents, Budhitama SUSNAGDJA, Wenwen WANG, Ah-hwee TAN, Yuan-Sin TAN, Loo-Nin TEOW 2012 Singapore Management University

Memory Formation, Consolidation, And Forgetting In Learning Agents, Budhitama Susnagdja, Wenwen Wang, Ah-Hwee Tan, Yuan-Sin Tan, Loo-Nin Teow

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Memory enables past experiences to be remembered and acquired as useful knowledge to support decision making, especially when perception and computational resources are limited. This paper presents a neuropsychological- inspired dual memory model for agents, consisting of an episodic memory that records the agent's experience in real time and a semantic memory that captures factual knowledge through a parallel consolidation process. In addition, the model incorporates a natural forgetting mechanism that prevents memory overloading by removing transient memory traces. Our experimental study based on a real-time first-person-shooter video game has indicated that the memory consolidation and forgetting processes are not …


Memory Formation, Consolidation, And Forgetting In Learning Agents, Budhitama SUBAGDJA, Wenwen WANG, Ah-hwee TAN, Yuan-Sin TAN, Loo-Nin TEOW 2012 Singapore Management University

Memory Formation, Consolidation, And Forgetting In Learning Agents, Budhitama Subagdja, Wenwen Wang, Ah-Hwee Tan, Yuan-Sin Tan, Loo-Nin Teow

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Memory enables past experiences to be remembered and acquired as useful knowledge to support decision making, especially when perception and computational resources are limited. This paper presents a neuropsychological-inspired dual memory model for agents, consisting of an episodic memory that records the agent’s experience in real time and a semantic memory that captures factual knowledge through a parallel consolidation process. In addition, the model incorporates a natural forgetting mechanism that prevents memory overloading by removing transient memory traces. Our experimental study based on a real-time first-person-shooter video game has indicated that the memory consolidation and forgetting processes are not only …


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