Statistics and Probability Commons^™

An Extension Of Cochran-Orcutt Procedure For Generalized Linear Regression Models With Periodically Correlated Errors, Abdullah A. Smadi, Nour H. Abu-Afouna

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

An important assumption of ordinary regression models is independence among errors. This research considers the case of periodically correlated errors following the periodic AR model of order 1 (PAR(1)). The remedial measure for correlated errors in regression known as the Cochran-Orcutt procedure is generalized to the case of periodically correlated errors. The motivation for making such generalizations is that the response data may inhibit some seasonality, which may not be captured by the traditional AR(1) autoregressive model. The proposed procedure is described and the bias and MSE of the resulting intercept and slope parameter estimates of the simple LR model …

A Proposed Ridge Parameter To Improve The Least Square Estimator, Ghadban Khalaf

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Ridge regression, a form of biased linear estimation, is a more appropriate technique than ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation in the case of highly intercorrelated explanatory variables in the linear regression model Y = β + u. Two proposed ridge regression parameters from the mean square error (MSE) perspective are evaluated. A simulation study was conducted to demonstrate the performance of the proposed estimators compared to the OLS, HK and HKB estimators. Results show that the suggested estimators outperform the OLS and the other estimators regarding the ridge parameters in all situations examined.

Graphical Modeling For High Dimensional Data, Munni Begum, Jay Bagga, C. Ann Blakey

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

With advances in science and information technologies, many scientific fields are able to meet the challenges of managing and analyzing high-dimensional data. A so-called large p small n problem arises when the number of experimental units, n, is equal to or smaller than the number of features, p. A methodology based on probability and graph theory, termed graphical models, is applied to study the structure and inference of such high-dimensional data.

A Graphical Examination Of Variable Deletion Within The Mewma Statistic, Jay R. Schaffer, Shawn Vandenhul

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A general procedure for identifying the variable(s) that contribute(s) to the signal of the multivariate extension of the exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) chart is presented. The procedure systematically removes one or two variables from the MEWMA statistic calculations. Percentages are calculated for correctly identifying various shifts.

Testing The Population Coefficient Of Variation, Shipra Banik, B. M. Golam Kibria, Dinesh Sharma

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The coefficient of variation (CV), which is used in many scientific areas, measures the variability of a population relative to its mean and standard deviation. Several methods exist for testing the population CV. This article compares a proposed bootstrap method to existing methods. A simulation study was conducted under both symmetric and skewed distributions to compare the performance of test statistics with respect to empirical size and power. Results indicate that some of the proposed methods are useful and can be recommended to practitioners.

Bayesian Estimation Of Erlang Distribution Under Different Generalized Truncated Distributions As Priors, Adil H. Khan, T.R. Jan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Various generalized truncated distributions are considered as independent informative priors for estimating shape and scale parameters of the Erlang distribution. In addition, various special cases are also discussed.

Multivariate Generalized Poisson Distribution For Interference On Selected Non-Communicable Diseases In Lagos State, Nigeria, Adewara Johnson Ademola, Mbata Ugochuckwu Ahamefula

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Multivariate Generalized Poisson Distribution (MGPD) models are applied to make inferences regarding non-communicable diseases, diabetes, hypertension, stroke and ulcer in Lagos State, Nigeria. The generalized Poisson distribution is employed due to its usefulness in modeling count data in the presence of either over- or under- dispersion. Results show that the correlation between ulcer and stroke is not significant. Other pairwise comparisons of diseases are significant, thus implying that a patient who suffers from diabetes or stroke has a high propensity to also be hypertensive.

Ferrieri's Index Of Openness Applied To Remittances To Developing Countries, Gaetano Ferrieri

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A new methodology to measure international openness and globalization is described. This allows capacity to be effectively combined with size in a number of socio-economic areas, such as trade, migration and foreign investment. The method is applied to remittances to developing countries.

G-Cimp Status Prediction Of Glioblastoma Samples Using Mrna Expression Data, Mehmet Baysan, Serdar Bozdag, Margaret C. Cam, Svetlana Kotliarova, Susie Ahn, Jennifer Walling, Jonathan K. Killian, Holly Stevenson, Paul Meltzer, Howard A. Fine

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science Faculty Research and Publications

Glioblastoma Multiforme (GBM) is a tumor with high mortality and no known cure. The dramatic molecular and clinical heterogeneity seen in this tumor has led to attempts to define genetically similar subgroups of GBM with the hope of developing tumor specific therapies targeted to the unique biology within each of these subgroups. Recently, a subset of relatively favorable prognosis GBMs has been identified. These glioma CpG island methylator phenotype, or G-CIMP tumors, have distinct genomic copy number aberrations, DNA methylation patterns, and (mRNA) expression profiles compared to other GBMs. While the standard method for identifying G-CIMP tumors is based on …

Group Testing Regression Models, Boan Zhang

Department of Statistics: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

Group testing, where groups of individual specimens are composited to test for the presence or absence of a disease (or some other binary characteristic), is a procedure commonly used to reduce the costs of screening a large number of individuals. Statistical research in group testing has traditionally focused on a homogeneous population, where individuals are assumed to have the same probability of having a disease. However, individuals often have different risks of positivity, so recent research has examined regression models that allow for heterogeneity among individuals within the population. This dissertation focuses on two problems involving group testing regression models. …

Quest For Continuous Improvement: Gathering Feedback And Data Through Multiple Methods To Evaluate And Improve A Library’S Discovery Tool, Jeanne M. Brown

Library Faculty Presentations

Summon at UNLV

• Implemented fall 2011: a web-scale discovery tool
• Expectations for Summon
• Continuous Summon Improvement (CSI)Group

The environment

• User changes
• Library changes
• Vendor changes
• Product changes
• Complex information environment
• Change + complexity = need to assess using multiple streams of feedback

Pls-Rog: Partial Least Squares With Rank Order Of Groups, Hiroyuki Yamamoto

COBRA Preprint Series

Partial least squares (PLS), which is an unsupervised dimensionality reduction method, has been widely used in metabolomics. PLS can separate score depend on groups in a low dimensional subspace. However, this cannot use the information about rank order of groups. This information is often provided in which concentration of administered drugs to animals is gradually varies. In this study, we proposed partial least squares for rank order of groups (PLS-ROG). PLS-ROG can consider both separation and rank order of groups.

Statistical Hypothesis Test Of Factor Loading In Principal Component Analysis And Its Application To Metabolite Set Enrichment Analysis, Hiroyuki Yamamoto, Tamaki Fujimori, Hajime Sato, Gen Ishikawa, Kenjiro Kami, Yoshiaki Ohashi

COBRA Preprint Series

Principal component analysis (PCA) has been widely used to visualize high-dimensional metabolomic data in a two- or three-dimensional subspace. In metabolomics, some metabolites (e.g. top 10 metabolites) have been subjectively selected when using factor loading in PCA, and biological inferences for these metabolites are made. However, this approach is possible to lead biased biological inferences because these metabolites are not objectively selected by statistical criterion. We proposed a statistical procedure to pick up metabolites by statistical hypothesis test of factor loading in PCA and make biological inferences by metabolite set enrichment analysis (MSEA) for these significant metabolites. This procedure depends …

Spectral Cross Correlation As A Supervised Approach For The Analysis Of Complex Raman Datasets: The Case Of Nanoparticles In Biological Cells, Mark Keating, Franck Bonnier, Hugh Byrne

Articles

Spectral Cross-correlation is introduced as a methodology to identify the presence and subcellular distribution of nanoparticles in cells. Raman microscopy is employed to spectroscopically image biological cells previously exposed to polystyrene nanoparticles, as a model for the study of nano-bio interactions. The limitations of previously deployed strategies of K-means clustering analysis and principal component analysis are discussed and a novel methodology of Spectral Cross Correlation Analysis is introduced and compared with the performance of Classical Least Squares Analysis, in both unsupervised and supervised modes. The previous study demonstrated the feasibility of using Raman spectroscopy to map cells and identify polystyrene …

Decline In Health For Older Adults: 5-Year Change In 13 Key Measures Of Standardized Health, Paula H. Diehr, Stephen M. Thielke, Anne B. Newman, Calvin H. Hirsch, Russell Tracy

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Introduction

The health of older adults declines over time, but there are many ways of measuring health. We examined whether all measures declined at the same rate, or whether some aspects of health were less sensitive to aging than others.

Methods

We compared the decline in 13 measures of physical, mental, and functional health from the Cardiovascular Health Study: hospitalization, bed days, cognition, extremity strength, feelings about life as a whole, satisfaction with the purpose of life, self-rated health, depression, digit symbol substitution test, grip strength, ADLs, IADLs, and gait speed. Each measure was standardized against self-rated health. We compared …

Methods For Evaluating Prediction Performance Of Biomarkers And Tests, Margaret Pepe, Holly Janes

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

This chapter describes and critiques methods for evaluating the performance of markers to predict risk of a current or future clinical outcome. We consider three criteria that are important for evaluating a risk model: calibration, benefit for decision making and accurate classification. We also describe and discuss a variety of summary measures in common use for quantifying predictive information such as the area under the ROC curve and R-squared. The roles and problems with recently proposed risk reclassification approaches are discussed in detail.

The Impact Of Covariance Misspecification In Multivariate Gaussian Mixtures On Estimation And Inference: An Application To Longitudinal Modeling, Brianna C. Heggeseth, Nicholas P. Jewell

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Multivariate Gaussian mixtures are a class of models that provide a flexible parametric approach for the representation of heterogeneous multivariate outcomes. When the outcome is a vector of repeated measurements taken on the same subject, there is often inherent dependence between observations. However, a common covariance assumption is conditional independence---that is, given the mixture component label, the outcomes for subjects are independent. In this paper, we study, through asymptotic bias calculations and simulation, the impact of covariance misspecification in multivariate Gaussian mixtures. Although maximum likelihood estimators of regression and mixing probability parameters are not consistent under misspecification, they have little …

Borrowing Information Across Populations In Estimating Positive And Negative Predictive Values, Ying Huang, Youyi Fong, John Wei, Ziding Feng

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

A marker's capacity to predict risk of a disease depends on disease prevalence in the target population and its classification accuracy, i.e. its ability to discriminate diseased subjects from non-diseased subjects. The latter is often considered an intrinsic property of the marker; it is independent of disease prevalence and hence more likely to be similar across populations than risk prediction measures. In this paper, we are interested in evaluating the population-specific performance of a risk prediction marker in terms of positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) at given thresholds, when samples are available from the target population …

Causal Inference For Networks, Mark J. Van Der Laan

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Suppose that we observe a population of causally connected units according to a network. On each unit we observe a set of potentially connected units that contains the true connections, and a longitudinal data structure, which includes time-dependent exposure or treatment, time-dependent covariates, a final outcome of interest. The target quantity of interest is defined as the mean outcome for this group of units if the exposures of the units would be probabilistically assigned according to a known specified mechanism, where the latter is called a stochastic intervention. Causal effects of interest are defined as contrasts of the mean of …

Targeted Learning Of The Probability Of Success Of An In Vitro Fertilization Program Controlling For Time-Dependent Confounders, Antoine Chambaz, Sherri Rose, Jean Bouyer, Mark J. Van Der Laan

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Infertility is a global public health issue and various treatments are available. In vitro fertilization (IVF) is an increasingly common treatment method, but accurately assessing the success of IVF programs has proven challenging since they consist of multiple cycles. We present a double robust semiparametric method that incorporates machine learning to estimate the probability of success (i.e., delivery resulting from embryo transfer) of a program of at most four IVF cycles in the French Devenir Apr`es Interruption de la FIV (DAIFI) study and several simulation studies, controlling for time-dependent confounders. We find that the probability of success in the DAIFI …

Assessing The Causal Effect Of Policies: An Approach Based On Stochastic Interventions, Iván Díaz, Mark J. Van Der Laan

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Stochastic interventions are a powerful tool to define parameters that measure the causal effect of a realistic intervention that intends to alter the population distribution of an exposure. In this paper we follow the approach described in D\'iaz and van der Laan (2011) to define and estimate the effect of an intervention that is expected to cause a truncation in the population distribution of the exposure. The observed data parameter that identifies the causal parameter of interest is established, as well as its efficient influence function under the non parametric model. Inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW), augmented IPTW and …

Reconstructability Of Epistatic Functions, Martin Zwick, Joe Fusion, Beth Wilmot

Complex Systems Faculty Publications and Presentations

Background: Reconstructability Analysis (RA) has been used to detect epistasis in genomic data; in that work, even the simplest RA models (variable-based models without loops) gave performance superior to two other methods. A follow-on theoretical study showed that RA also offers higher-resolution models, namely variable-based models with loops and state-based models, likely to be even more effective in modeling epistasis, and also described several mathematical approaches to classifying types of epistasis.

Methods: The present paper extends this second study by discussing a non-standard use of RA: the analysis of epistasis in quantitative as opposed to nominal variables; such quantitative variables …

A Descriptive Study Of Childhood Cancer Statistics: Montgomery County, Jamie L. Hartig

Master of Public Health Program Student Publications

Objective: This research describes childhood cancer and identifies variances in childhood cancer statistics in the United States, Ohio, and Montgomery County.

Methods: This is a descriptive analysis of childhood cancer statistics using the Ohio Cancer Incidence Surveillance System (OCISS) (Ohio Department of Health, 2010) and CDC Wonder database (United States Department of Health and Human Services [USDHHS], Centers for Disease Control and Prevention [CDC], & National Cancer Institute [NCI], 2008 & 2011.) Cancer incidences between white children and black children were compared for the years 1999-2009. The OCISS database was also used to compare vital status by race, cancer stage …

The Dirty “S” Word: Innovative Teaching Techniques For Counselor Educators Facilitating Learning In Statistics And Research, Rebecca L. Tadlock-Marlo, Megan Michalak

Faculty Research & Creative Activity

Innovative pedagogy will be presented and discussed to help make research a less painful class to both teach and learn. Foci include teaching methods, potential assignments, and suggestions for activities to help facilitate a more fluid learning process for counselors. Attendees will explore aspects of helping students overcome their fear of both statistics and research.

A Study Of Cellular Calcium Dynamics In Culture Using Fluorescence Microscopy – A Statistical And Mathematical Approach, Richard Adekola Idowu

Doctoral Dissertations

Calcium in its ionic form is very dynamic, especially in excitable cells such as muscle and brain cells, moving from the high concentration exterior of the cell to much lower concentrations inside the cell, where calcium is used as a second messenger. In brain cells, and neurons especially, calcium is a key signaling ion involved in memory and learning with excitatory neurotransmitters such as glutamate turning neurons "on." Glutamate excites the neurons in part by causing large and dynamic changes in the intracellular calcium concentration. While these dynamics are essential for normal signaling in the brain, excessive and sustained elevations …

The Sense-Isomorphism Theoretical Image Voxel Estimation (Sense-Itive) Model For Reconstruction And Observing Statistical Properties Of Reconstruction Operators, Iain P. Bruce, M. Muge Karaman, Daniel B. Rowe

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science Faculty Research and Publications

The acquisition of sub-sampled data from an array of receiver coils has become a common means of reducing data acquisition time in MRI. Of the various techniques used in parallel MRI, SENSitivity Encoding (SENSE) is one of the most common, making use of a complex-valued weighted least squares estimation to unfold the aliased images. It was recently shown in Bruce et al. [Magn. Reson. Imag. 29(2011):1267-1287] that when the SENSE model is represented in terms of a real-valued isomorphism,it assumes a skew-symmetric covariance between receiver coils, as well as an identity covariance structure between voxels. In this manuscript, we show …

On Lattices Of Varieties Of Restriction Semigroups, Peter R. Jones

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science Faculty Research and Publications

The left restriction semigroups have arisen in a number of contexts, one being as the abstract characterization of semigroups of partial maps, another as the ‘weakly left E-ample’ semigroups of the ‘York school’, and, more recently as a variety of unary semigroups defined by a set of simple identities. We initiate a study of the lattice of varieties of such semigroups and, in parallel, of their two-sided versions, the restriction semigroups. Although at the very bottom of the respective lattices the behaviour is akin to that of varieties of inverse semigroups, more interesting features are soon found in the …

The Use Of Cognitive Ability Measures As Explanatory Variables In Regression Analysis, B. Junker, Lynne Steuerle Schofield, L. J. Taylor

Mathematics & Statistics Faculty Works

Cognitive ability measures are often taken as explanatory variables in regression analysis, e.g., as a factor affecting a market outcome such as an individual’s wage, or a decision such as an individual’s education acquisition. Cognitive ability is a latent construct; its true value is unobserved. Nonetheless, researchers often assume that a test score, constructed via standard psychometric practice from individuals’ responses to test items, can be safely used in regression analysis. We examine problems that can arise, and suggest that an alternative approach, a “mixed effects structural equations” (MESE) model, may be more appropriate in many circumstances.

Finding A Better Confidence Interval For A Single Regression Changepoint Using Different Bootstrap Confidence Interval Procedures, Bodhipaksha Thilakarathne

College of Graduate Studies: Theses & Dissertations

Recently a number of papers have been published in the area of regression changepoints but there is not much literature concerning confidence intervals for regression changepoints. The purpose of this paper is to find a better bootstrap confidence interval for a single regression changepoint. ("Better" confidence interval means having a minimum length and coverage probability which is close to a chosen significance level). Several methods will be used to find bootstrap confidence intervals. Among those methods a better confidence interval will be presented.

Learning Outcomes For Library Student Workers, Jeanne M. Brown

Library Faculty Presentations

Our Dean of Libraries, Patty Iannuzzi has indicated that employment in the library can and should offer value to the student worker beyond convenience and flexible hours. In her words, "The libraries are well positioned to add value to our students' work experience in ways that can contribute to their academic success. As one of the largest employers of student workers on campus, we owe this to our students. As an organization, we want to clearly send a message that we care about them as students -- not just our employees." In Spring 2011, the Libraries partnered with Campus Life …