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Full-Text Articles in Statistics and Probability

A Decision Tree Model To Predict Marginalized Zero-Inflated Poisson Mean, Philip Amewudah May 2020

A Decision Tree Model To Predict Marginalized Zero-Inflated Poisson Mean, Philip Amewudah

LSU New Orleans Theses and Dissertations

No abstract provided.


A Call For Consistency In The Official Naming Of The Disease Caused By Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 In Non-English Languages, Lu Dong, Zhe Li, Isaac Fung May 2020

A Call For Consistency In The Official Naming Of The Disease Caused By Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 In Non-English Languages, Lu Dong, Zhe Li, Isaac Fung

Biostatistics, Epidemiology & Environmental Health Sciences: Faculty Publications

We investigated the adoption of World Health Organization (WHO) naming of COVID-19 into the respective languages among the Group of Twenty (G20) countries, and the variation of COVID-19 naming in the Chinese language across different health authorities. On May 7, 2020, we identified the websites of the national health authorities of the G20 countries to identify naming of COVID-19 in their respective languages, and the websites of the health authorities in mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan and Singapore and identify their Chinese name for COVID-19. Among the G20 nations, Argentina, China, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Saudi Arabia and Turkey do …


Brain Structure Changes Over Time In Normal And Mildly Impaired Aged Persons, Charles D. Smith, Linda J. Van Eldik, Gregory A. Jicha, Frederick A. Schmitt, Peter T. Nelson, Erin L. Abner, Richard J. Kryscio, Richard R. Murphy, Anders H. Andersen May 2020

Brain Structure Changes Over Time In Normal And Mildly Impaired Aged Persons, Charles D. Smith, Linda J. Van Eldik, Gregory A. Jicha, Frederick A. Schmitt, Peter T. Nelson, Erin L. Abner, Richard J. Kryscio, Richard R. Murphy, Anders H. Andersen

Neurology Faculty Publications

Structural brain changes in aging are known to occur even in the absence of dementia, but the magnitudes and regions involved vary between studies. To further characterize these changes, we analyzed paired MRI images acquired with identical protocols and scanner over a median 5.8-year interval. The normal study group comprised 78 elders (25M 53F, baseline age range 70-78 years) who underwent an annual standardized expert assessment of cognition and health and who maintained normal cognition for the duration of the study. We found a longitudinal grey matter (GM) loss rate of 2.56 ± 0.07 ml/year (0.20 ± 0.04%/year) and a …


Side-Channel Power Resistance For Encryption Algorithms Using Implementation Diversity, Ivan M. Bow May 2020

Side-Channel Power Resistance For Encryption Algorithms Using Implementation Diversity, Ivan M. Bow

Electrical and Computer Engineering ETDs

This thesis paper investigates countermeasures to hardware side-channel attacks and proposes a new solution to this ever growing threat against data integrity and security. The side-channel attack methods, differential power analysis and correlation power analysis, are both very powerful techniques and are used to gain access to secrets inside of a field programmable gate array that are otherwise inaccessible, in particular the cryptographic key for the Advanced Encryption Standard algorithm. To counter these attacks, we propose a method of changing the internal hardware configuration of the field programmable gate array using dynamic partial reconfiguration. Using this method, we change the …


Sensitivity Analysis For Incomplete Data And Causal Inference, Heng Chen May 2020

Sensitivity Analysis For Incomplete Data And Causal Inference, Heng Chen

Statistical Science Theses and Dissertations

In this dissertation, we explore sensitivity analyses under three different types of incomplete data problems, including missing outcomes, missing outcomes and missing predictors, potential outcomes in \emph{Rubin causal model (RCM)}. The first sensitivity analysis is conducted for the \emph{missing completely at random (MCAR)} assumption in frequentist inference; the second one is conducted for the \emph{missing at random (MAR)} assumption in likelihood inference; the third one is conducted for one novel assumption, the ``sixth assumption'' proposed for the robustness of instrumental variable estimand in causal inference.


Evaluation Of The Utility Of Informative Priors In Bayesian Structural Equation Modeling With Small Samples, Hao Ma May 2020

Evaluation Of The Utility Of Informative Priors In Bayesian Structural Equation Modeling With Small Samples, Hao Ma

Education Policy and Leadership Theses and Dissertations

The estimation of parameters in structural equation modeling (SEM) has been primarily based on the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and relies on large sample asymptotic theory. Consequently, the results of the SEM analyses with small samples may not be as satisfactory as expected. In contrast, informative priors typically do not require a large sample, and they may be helpful for improving the quality of estimates in the SEM models with small samples. However, the role of informative priors in the Bayesian SEM has not been thoroughly studied to date. Given the limited body of evidence, specifying effective informative priors remains …


Statistical Models And Analysis Of Univariate And Multivariate Degradation Data, Lochana Palayangoda May 2020

Statistical Models And Analysis Of Univariate And Multivariate Degradation Data, Lochana Palayangoda

Statistical Science Theses and Dissertations

For degradation data in reliability analysis, estimation of the first-passage time (FPT) distribution to a threshold provides valuable information on reliability characteristics. Recently, Balakrishnan and Qin (2019; Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 35:571-590) studied a nonparametric method to approximate the FPT distribution of such degradation processes if the underlying process type is unknown. In this thesis, we propose improved techniques based on saddlepoint approximation, which enhance upon their suggested methods. Numerical examples and Monte Carlo simulation studies are used to illustrate the advantages of the proposed techniques. Limitations of the improved techniques are discussed and some possible solutions …


Co-Authorship Visualization Of Research On Covid-19 From Web Of Science Data Using Bibliometric Analysis, Akbar Iskandar, Firman Azis, Riskha Dora Candra Dewi, R. Rusli, Ansari Saleh Ahmar May 2020

Co-Authorship Visualization Of Research On Covid-19 From Web Of Science Data Using Bibliometric Analysis, Akbar Iskandar, Firman Azis, Riskha Dora Candra Dewi, R. Rusli, Ansari Saleh Ahmar

Library Philosophy and Practice (e-journal)

Bibliometric analysis is one of the research approaches that utilizes quantitative and mathematical data to address problems posed in the context of visualization to see patterns in the field of science. In fact, bibliometric analysis may also include a wider overview of the names of the most influential writers in the area of science. This data analysis would discuss the co-authorship of COVID-19 research covering author productivity and author collaboration. The data was collected on 11th May 2020 of Web of Science (WoS) Core Collection database. The literature review was conducted using the keyword: TOPIC: ("covid") AND YEAR PUBLISHED: (2020). …


Statistical Inference Of Adaptation At Multiple Genomic Scales Using Supervised Classification And A Hidden Markov Model, Lauren A. Sugden May 2020

Statistical Inference Of Adaptation At Multiple Genomic Scales Using Supervised Classification And A Hidden Markov Model, Lauren A. Sugden

Biology and Medicine Through Mathematics Conference

No abstract provided.


A New Exponential Approach For Reducing The Mean Squared Errors Of The Estimators Of Population Mean Using Conventional And Non-Conventional Location Parameters, Housila P. Singh, Anita Yadav May 2020

A New Exponential Approach For Reducing The Mean Squared Errors Of The Estimators Of Population Mean Using Conventional And Non-Conventional Location Parameters, Housila P. Singh, Anita Yadav

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Classes of ratio-type estimators t (say) and ratio-type exponential estimators te (say) of the population mean are proposed, and their biases and mean squared errors under large sample approximation are presented. It is the class of ratio-type exponential estimators te provides estimators more efficient than the ratio-type estimators.


Recurrence Relations For Marginal And Joint Moment Generating Functions Of Topp-Leone Generated Exponential Distribution Based On Record Values And Its Characterization, Zaki Anwar, Neetu Gupta, Mohd Akram Raza Khan, Qazi Azhad Jamal May 2020

Recurrence Relations For Marginal And Joint Moment Generating Functions Of Topp-Leone Generated Exponential Distribution Based On Record Values And Its Characterization, Zaki Anwar, Neetu Gupta, Mohd Akram Raza Khan, Qazi Azhad Jamal

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The exact expressions and some recurrence relations are derived for marginal and joint moment generating functions of kth lower record values from Topp-Leone Generated (TLG) Exponential distribution. This distribution is characterized by using the recurrence relation of the marginal moment generating function of kth lower record values.


An Improved Two Independent-Samples Randomization Test For Single-Case Ab-Type Intervention Designs: A 20-Year Journey, Joel R. Levin, John M. Ferron, Boris S. Gafurov May 2020

An Improved Two Independent-Samples Randomization Test For Single-Case Ab-Type Intervention Designs: A 20-Year Journey, Joel R. Levin, John M. Ferron, Boris S. Gafurov

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Detailed is a 20-year arduous journey to develop a statistically viable two-phase (AB) single-case two independent-samples randomization test procedure. The test is designed to compare the effectiveness of two different interventions that are randomly assigned to cases. In contrast to the unsatisfactory simulation results produced by an earlier proposed randomization test, the present test consistently exhibited acceptable Type I error control under various design and effect-type configurations, while at the same time possessing adequate power to detect moderately sized intervention-difference effects. Selected issues, applications, and a multiple-baseline extension of the two-sample test are discussed.


Support Vector Machine-Based Modified Sp Statistic For Subset Selection With Non-Normal Error Terms, Shivaji Shripati Desai, D N. Kashid May 2020

Support Vector Machine-Based Modified Sp Statistic For Subset Selection With Non-Normal Error Terms, Shivaji Shripati Desai, D N. Kashid

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Support vector machine (SVM) is used for estimation of regression parameters to modify the sum of cross products (Sp). It works well for some nonnormal error distributions. The performance of existing robust methods and the modified Sp is evaluated through simulated and real data. The results show the performance of the modified Sp is good.


Multilevel Asymptotic Parallel-In-Time Techniques For Temporally Oscillatory Pdes, Nicholas Abel May 2020

Multilevel Asymptotic Parallel-In-Time Techniques For Temporally Oscillatory Pdes, Nicholas Abel

Mathematics & Statistics ETDs

As the clock speeds of individual processors level off and the amount of parallel resources continue to increase rapidly, further exploitation of parallelism is necessary to improve compute times. For time-dependent differential equations, the serial computation of time-stepping presents a bottleneck, but parallel-in-time integration methods offer a way to compute the solution in parallel along the time domain. Parallel-in-time methods have been successful in achieving speedup when computing solutions for parabolic problems; however, for problems with large hyperbolic terms and no strong diffusivity, parallel-in-time methods have traditionally struggled to offer speedup. While work has been done to understand why parallel-in-time …


Flexible Box-Cox Transformation Model For Analyzing Energy Usage At Uconn, Yutong Chen May 2020

Flexible Box-Cox Transformation Model For Analyzing Energy Usage At Uconn, Yutong Chen

Honors Scholar Theses

The Box-Cox transformation is a way to transform non-normal data into more normally distributed data. However, when we fit linear regression models to transformed data, we cannot use the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) directly to compare different models since the transformed data are no longer on the same scale. In this study, the Jacobian adjusted AIC is proposed to compare regression models on transformed data and to select an “optimal” value of the transformation parameter. Instead of using a single for the whole data, which is commonly used in the literature and in practice, we formulate a linear regression pattern …


American Option Pricing: From Pde Numerical Solutions To Simulation-Based Methods And Reinforcement Learning., Chenshan Hu May 2020

American Option Pricing: From Pde Numerical Solutions To Simulation-Based Methods And Reinforcement Learning., Chenshan Hu

Arts & Sciences Graduate Student Theses and Dissertations

An American call (put) option is a contract that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy (sell) one unit of an asset (typically, stock) at a prespecified price (called strike price) at any desired time before a preset expiration time of the contract. The associated option pricing problem plays an important role in modern financial markets and one way to solve this is by searching for the optimal exercise policy, i.e., find the optimal time to exercise so that maximal reward is achieved. In this thesis, we shall discuss the modern Least Square Policy Iteration Method …


Bayesian Variable Selection And Post-Selection Inference, Qiyiwen Zhang May 2020

Bayesian Variable Selection And Post-Selection Inference, Qiyiwen Zhang

Arts & Sciences Graduate Student Theses and Dissertations

In this dissertation, we first develop a novel perspective to compare Bayesian variable selection procedures in terms of their selection criteria as well as their finite-sample properties. Secondly, we investigate Bayesian post-selection inference in two types of selection problems: linear regression and population selection. We will demonstrate that both inference problems are susceptible to selection effects since the selection procedure is data-dependent. Before comparing Bayesian variable selection procedures, we first classify the current Bayesian variable selection procedures into two classes: those with selection criteria defined on the space of candidate models, and those with selection criteria not explicitly formulated on …


“The Prediction Of Fantasy Football”, Chelsea Robinson May 2020

“The Prediction Of Fantasy Football”, Chelsea Robinson

Mathematics Senior Capstone Papers

In this paper, we consider the game fantasy football, which allows people to simulate being a National Football League team owner. Imaginary owners select from the best players in the NFL and compete on weekly basis based upon player performances on the field. Fantasy football has become popular over the years. In 2011, according to the Fantasy Sports Trade Association there were 35 million people that played fantasy sports online in the United States and Canada. The most major companies that use fantasy football are Yahoo, ESPN, and NFL, even though there are more platforms. Many people use these platforms …


The Primary Volatile Composition Of Comet C/2015 Er61 (Panstarrs), Aaron Butler May 2020

The Primary Volatile Composition Of Comet C/2015 Er61 (Panstarrs), Aaron Butler

Theses

In the outer edges of the solar system exist two regions: the Kuiper belt and Oort cloud. These two regions have a high amount of icy bodies (comets) orbiting the Sun. Comets located within the Oort cloud and Kuiper belt contain an ancient codex to the solar systems contents, before the formation of our solar system. Presented are near-infrared, high-resolution (λ/Δλ ~40000) data obtained from the immersion-grating echelle spectrograph iSHELL at the 3m NASA Infrared Telescope Facility (IRTF) in Maunakea, Hawaii of the Oort cloud comet C/2015 ER61 (PANSTARRS). Observations took place on April 15 and 17 in 2017 while …


Mentoring Undergraduate Research In Statistics: Reaping The Benefits And Overcoming The Barriers, Joseph R. Nolan, Kelly S. Mcconville, Vittorio Addona, Nathan L. Tintle, Dennis K. Pearl May 2020

Mentoring Undergraduate Research In Statistics: Reaping The Benefits And Overcoming The Barriers, Joseph R. Nolan, Kelly S. Mcconville, Vittorio Addona, Nathan L. Tintle, Dennis K. Pearl

Faculty Work Comprehensive List

Undergraduate research experiences (UREs), whether within the context of a mentor-mentee experience or a classroom framework, represent an excellent opportunity to expose students to the independent scholarship model. The high impact of undergraduate research has received recent attention in the context of STEM disciplines. Reflecting a 2017 survey of statistics faculty, this article examines the perceived benefits of UREs, as well as barriers to the incorporation of UREs, specifically within the field of statistics. Viewpoints of students, faculty mentors, and institutions are investigated. Further, the article offers several strategies for leveraging characteristics unique to the field of statistics to overcome …


Forecasting Daily Stock Market Return With Multiple Linear Regression, Shengxuan Chen May 2020

Forecasting Daily Stock Market Return With Multiple Linear Regression, Shengxuan Chen

Mathematics Senior Capstone Papers

The purpose of this project is to use data mining and big data analytic techniques to forecast daily stock market return with multiple linear regression. Using mathematical and statistical models to analyze the stock market is important and challenging. The accuracy of the final results relies on the quality of the input data and the validity of the methodology. In the report, within 5-year period, the data regarding eleven financial and economical features are observed and recorded on each trading day. After preprocessing the raw data with statistical method, we use the multiple linear regression to predict the daily return …


Predictive Modeling Of Asynchronous Event Sequence Data, Jin Shang May 2020

Predictive Modeling Of Asynchronous Event Sequence Data, Jin Shang

LSU Doctoral Dissertations

Large volumes of temporal event data, such as online check-ins and electronic records of hospital admissions, are becoming increasingly available in a wide variety of applications including healthcare analytics, smart cities, and social network analysis. Those temporal events are often asynchronous, interdependent, and exhibiting self-exciting properties. For example, in the patient's diagnosis events, the elevated risk exists for a patient that has been recently at risk. Machine learning that leverages event sequence data can improve the prediction accuracy of future events and provide valuable services. For example, in e-commerce and network traffic diagnosis, the analysis of user activities can be …


Decision Tree For Predicting The Party Of Legislators, Afsana Mimi May 2020

Decision Tree For Predicting The Party Of Legislators, Afsana Mimi

Publications and Research

The motivation of the project is to identify the legislators who voted frequently against their party in terms of their roll call votes using Office of Clerk U.S. House of Representatives Data Sets collected in 2018 and 2019. We construct a model to predict the parties of legislators based on their votes. The method we used is Decision Tree from Data Mining. Python was used to collect raw data from internet, SAS was used to clean data, and all other calculations and graphical presentations are performed using the R software.


A Statistical Analysis Of The Unm Facets Design Identity & Beliefs Survey Data, Clarissa A. Sorensen-Unruh May 2020

A Statistical Analysis Of The Unm Facets Design Identity & Beliefs Survey Data, Clarissa A. Sorensen-Unruh

Mathematics & Statistics ETDs

The NSF-funded FACETS (Formation of Accomplished Chemical Engineers for Transforming Society, NSF Award 1623105) grant aims to transform the undergraduate engineering experience in the Department of Chemical and Biological Engineering at the University of New Mexico to address attrition within engineering majors, especially among underserved populations (Brainard & Carlin, 1998). The UNM FACETS Design Identity & Beliefs survey, an assessment tool used as part of the research of the grant, generated the dataset used in this study. I performed several different statistical analyses on the dataset, including confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), principal component analysis (PCA), and cluster analysis. The …


Statistical Analysis Of Land Cover Conversion Trends In Northwest Ohio, Chaska Mcgowan May 2020

Statistical Analysis Of Land Cover Conversion Trends In Northwest Ohio, Chaska Mcgowan

Honors Projects

Agricultural land in the U.S. is abundant but not infinite. Change in cropland impacts national and local economies and the natural environment. The Black Swamp Conservancy (BSC), a non-profit land trust in Perrysburg, Ohio, is committed to preserving agricultural and natural lands in the Northwest Ohio region for future generations. This project was designed in collaboration with the BSC to illustrate the spatial distribution of land cover change within their sixteen-county service area in Northwest Ohio and to find a list of factors associated with land cover change in the region. The primary data source was the National Land Cover …


Can Auxiliary Information Improve Rasch Estimation At Small Sample Sizes?, Derek Sauder May 2020

Can Auxiliary Information Improve Rasch Estimation At Small Sample Sizes?, Derek Sauder

Dissertations, 2020-current

The Rasch model is commonly used to calibrate multiple choice items. However, the sample sizes needed to estimate the Rasch model can be difficult to attain (e.g., consider a small testing company trying to pretest new items). With small sample sizes, auxiliary information besides the item responses may improve estimation of the item parameters. The purpose of this study was to determine if incorporating item property information (i.e., characteristics of the items related to item difficulty) in a random effects linear logistic test model (RE-LLTM) would improve estimation of item difficulty. A simulation study was conducted that varied sample size, …


Modeling Species Distribution And Habitat Suitability Of American Ginseng (Panax Quinquefolius) In Virginia, Jacob D. J. Peters May 2020

Modeling Species Distribution And Habitat Suitability Of American Ginseng (Panax Quinquefolius) In Virginia, Jacob D. J. Peters

Masters Theses, 2020-current

American ginseng (Panax quinquefolius) is a well-known and sought-after medicinal plant native to North America that is facing increased threat of extinction due to overharvesting, herbivory, and habitat loss. Species distribution and habitat suitability models may be valuable to landowners interested in sustainable harvest or to institutions interested in the conservation and restoration of the species. With unequal sampling efforts across a region of interest, it is likely that some locations with appropriate habitat may be misrepresented in model predictions. This study refined a state-derived species distribution model for ginseng through increased sampling effort across the Cumberland Plateau …


Splitting Up A Complex Mess: The Effectiveness Of Statistical Analysis On Delimiting Species Complexes, Sara N. Schoen May 2020

Splitting Up A Complex Mess: The Effectiveness Of Statistical Analysis On Delimiting Species Complexes, Sara N. Schoen

Masters Theses, 2020-current

Recent studies have highlighted a need for more refined tools in species delimitation. This is especially true when considering diversity within species complexes, where members are morphologically similar and traditional tools have thus far failed to provide clearly defined boundaries between species. This project seeks to refine our traditional tools of species delimitation and apply new tools to the challenges created by species complexes. The focus organisms of this study are the anurans of the Limnonectes kuhlii complex. This species complex comprises more than 25 species of stream frogs from Southeast Asia. Traditionally, morphometrics (particularly linear measures) has been the …


Propensity Score Matching And Generalized Boosted Modeling In The Context Of Model Misspecification: A Simulation Study, Briana G. Craig May 2020

Propensity Score Matching And Generalized Boosted Modeling In The Context Of Model Misspecification: A Simulation Study, Briana G. Craig

Masters Theses, 2020-current

In the absence of random assignment, researchers must consider the impact of selection bias – pre-existing covariate differences between groups due to differences among those entering into treatment and those otherwise unable to participate. Propensity score matching (PSM) and generalized boosted modeling (GBM) are two quasi-experimental pre-processing methods that strive to reduce the impact of selection bias before analyzing a treatment effect. PSM and GBM both examine a treatment and comparison group and either match or weight members of those groups to create new, balanced groups. The new, balanced groups theoretically can then be used as a proxy for the …


Attack And Defense In Security Analytics, Yiyun Zhou May 2020

Attack And Defense In Security Analytics, Yiyun Zhou

Doctor of Data Science and Analytics Dissertations

The security problem has gained increasing awareness due to the various kinds of global threats. Security analytics is the process of using streaming data acquisition, collection, and artificial intelligence algorithms for security monitoring and threat disclosure. In this dissertation work, we utilize practical data-driven security analytics to identify the potential threat and explore the robustness of the machine learning model. We focus on two aspects: (1) Security Analytics: utilize machine learning and statistical analytics tools to identify and resolve the threat in real life, such as cybersecurity, abnormal activities. (2) Analytic Security: Explore the security issues of the machine learning …