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Full-Text Articles in Statistics and Probability

Grizzly Bears Mortalities And The Survival Of The Species, Courtney Swanson Jun 2021

Grizzly Bears Mortalities And The Survival Of The Species, Courtney Swanson

Senior Seminars and Capstones

In this paper we aim to understand what is happening in the grizzly bear population mortalities from the year 2010 to 2020. We are performing Classical and Regression Tree (CART) methods and Correspondence Analysis on data provided by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). We found certain variables in the data set to be important through CART methods. Correspondence Analysis then allowed us to compare these variables to determine their relationships and association to one another. Most of the grizzly bear deaths are human caused and mainly over land and resources such as food and habitat. This aligns with some of …


Spatiotemporal Interactions Between Surface Coal Mining And Land Cover And Use Changes, Nikolaos Paraskevis, Aikaterini Servou, Christos Roumpos, Francis Pavloudakis Jun 2021

Spatiotemporal Interactions Between Surface Coal Mining And Land Cover And Use Changes, Nikolaos Paraskevis, Aikaterini Servou, Christos Roumpos, Francis Pavloudakis

Journal of Sustainable Mining

Long-term surface mining and land cover and use changes have been evidenced to have a critical relationship. This study conducts trend and correlation analysis by statistical tools to quantitatively evaluate this relationship in the Ptolemais (Northern Greece) coal mining area for the period 1990-2018. Firstly, based on Corine data and satellite images, a relative spatial indicator (RSI) was adopted to describe the mineral land areas. Secondly, land cover and use changes were spatially defined using Corine data and ArcGIS tools. The active mining area was then distinguished by dumping area, using Landsat satellite imagery and mining maps, and finally, mine …


Impact Of Neoantigen Expression And T-Cell Activation On Breast Cancer Survival, Wenjing Li, Amei Amei, Francis Bui, Saba Norouzifar, Lingeng Lu, Zuoheng Wang Jun 2021

Impact Of Neoantigen Expression And T-Cell Activation On Breast Cancer Survival, Wenjing Li, Amei Amei, Francis Bui, Saba Norouzifar, Lingeng Lu, Zuoheng Wang

Mathematical Sciences Faculty Research

Neoantigens are derived from tumor-specific somatic mutations. Neoantigen-based syn-thesized peptides have been under clinical investigation to boost cancer immunotherapy efficacy. The promising results prompt us to further elucidate the effect of neoantigen expression on patient survival in breast cancer. We applied Kaplan–Meier survival and multivariable Cox regression models to evaluate the effect of neoantigen expression and its interaction with T-cell activation on overall survival in a cohort of 729 breast cancer patients. Pearson’s chi-squared tests were used to assess the relationships between neoantigen expression and clinical pathological variables. Spearman correlation analysis was conducted to identify correlations between neoantigen expression, mutation …


Pairwise Balanced Designs From Cyclic Pbib Designs, D. K. Ghosh, N. R. Desai, Shreya Ghosh Jun 2021

Pairwise Balanced Designs From Cyclic Pbib Designs, D. K. Ghosh, N. R. Desai, Shreya Ghosh

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A pairwise balanced designs was constructed using cyclic partially balanced incomplete block designs with either (λ1 – λ2) = 1 or (λ2 – λ1) = 1. This method of construction of Pairwise balanced designs is further generalized to construct it using cyclic partially balanced incomplete block design when |(λ1 – λ2)| = p. The methods of construction of pairwise balanced designs was supported with examples. A table consisting parameters of Cyclic PBIB designs and its corresponding constructed pairwise balanced design is also included.


Generalized Ratio-Cum-Product Estimator For Finite Population Mean Under Two-Phase Sampling Scheme, Gajendra Kumar Vishwakarma, Sayed Mohammed Zeeshan Jun 2021

Generalized Ratio-Cum-Product Estimator For Finite Population Mean Under Two-Phase Sampling Scheme, Gajendra Kumar Vishwakarma, Sayed Mohammed Zeeshan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A method to lower the MSE of a proposed estimator relative to the MSE of the linear regression estimator under two-phase sampling scheme is developed. Estimators are developed to estimate the mean of the variate under study with the help of auxiliary variate (which are unknown but it can be accessed conveniently and economically). The mean square errors equations are obtained for the proposed estimators. In addition, optimal sample sizes are obtained under the given cost function. The comparison study has been done to set up conditions for which developed estimators are more effective than other estimators with novelty. The …


Two Different Classes Of Shrinkage Estimators For The Scale Parameter Of The Rayleigh Distribution, Talha Omer, Zawar Hussain, Muhammad Qasim, Said Farooq Shah, Akbar Ali Khan Jun 2021

Two Different Classes Of Shrinkage Estimators For The Scale Parameter Of The Rayleigh Distribution, Talha Omer, Zawar Hussain, Muhammad Qasim, Said Farooq Shah, Akbar Ali Khan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Shrinkage estimators are introduced for the scale parameter of the Rayleigh distribution by using two different shrinkage techniques. The mean squared error properties of the proposed estimator have been derived. The comparison of proposed classes of the estimators is made with the respective conventional unbiased estimators by means of mean squared error in the simulation study. Simulation results show that the proposed shrinkage estimators yield smaller mean squared error than the existence of unbiased estimators.


Extending Singh-Maddala Distribution, Mohamed Ali Ahmed Jun 2021

Extending Singh-Maddala Distribution, Mohamed Ali Ahmed

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A new distribution, the exponentiated transmuted Singh-Maddala distribution (ETSM), is presented, and three important special distributions are illustrated. Some mathematical properties are obtained, and parameters estimation method is applied using maximum likelihood. Illustrations based on random numbers and a real data set are given.


How To Apply Multiple Imputation In Propensity Score Matching With Partially Observed Confounders: A Simulation Study And Practical Recommendations, Albee Ling, Maria Montez-Rath, Maya Mathur, Kris Kapphahn, Manisha Desai Jun 2021

How To Apply Multiple Imputation In Propensity Score Matching With Partially Observed Confounders: A Simulation Study And Practical Recommendations, Albee Ling, Maria Montez-Rath, Maya Mathur, Kris Kapphahn, Manisha Desai

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Propensity score matching (PSM) has been widely used to mitigate confounding in observational studies, although complications arise when the covariates used to estimate the PS are only partially observed. Multiple imputation (MI) is a potential solution for handling missing covariates in the estimation of the PS. However, it is not clear how to best apply MI strategies in the context of PSM. We conducted a simulation study to compare the performances of popular non-MI missing data methods and various MI-based strategies under different missing data mechanisms. We found that commonly applied missing data methods resulted in biased and inefficient estimates, …


A New Right-Skewed Upside Down Bathtub Shaped Heavy-Tailed Distribution And Its Applications, Sandeep Kumar Maurya, Sanjay K. Singh, Umesh Singh Jun 2021

A New Right-Skewed Upside Down Bathtub Shaped Heavy-Tailed Distribution And Its Applications, Sandeep Kumar Maurya, Sanjay K. Singh, Umesh Singh

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A one parameter right skewed, upside down bathtub type, heavy-tailed distribution is derived. Various statistical properties and maximum likelihood approaches for estimation purpose are studied. Five different real data sets with four different models are considered to illustrate the suitability of the proposed model.


On The Level Of Precision Of A Heterogeneous Transfer Function In A Statistical Neural Network Model, Christopher Godwin Udomboso Jun 2021

On The Level Of Precision Of A Heterogeneous Transfer Function In A Statistical Neural Network Model, Christopher Godwin Udomboso

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A heterogeneous function of the statistical neural network is presented from two transfer functions: symmetric saturated linear and hyperbolic tangent sigmoid. The precision of the derived heterogeneous model over their respective homogeneous forms are established, both at increased sample sizes hidden neurons. Results further show the sensitivity of the heterogeneous model to increase in hidden neurons.


A New Generalized Family Of Distributions For Lifetime Data, Maha A. D. Aldahlan, Mohamed G. Khalil, Ahmed Z. Afify Jun 2021

A New Generalized Family Of Distributions For Lifetime Data, Maha A. D. Aldahlan, Mohamed G. Khalil, Ahmed Z. Afify

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A new class of continuous distributions called the generalized Burr X-G family is introduced. Some special models of the new family are provided. Some of its mathematical properties including explicit expressions for the quantile and generating functions, ordinary and incomplete moments, order statistics and Rényi entropy are derived. The maximum likelihood is used for estimating the model parameters. The flexibility of the generated family is illustrated by means of two applications to real data sets.


Jmasm 57: Bayesian Survival Analysis Of Lomax Family Models With Stan (R), Mohammed H. A. Abujarad, Athar Ali Khan Jun 2021

Jmasm 57: Bayesian Survival Analysis Of Lomax Family Models With Stan (R), Mohammed H. A. Abujarad, Athar Ali Khan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

An attempt is made to fit three distributions, the Lomax, exponential Lomax, and Weibull Lomax to implement Bayesian methods to analyze Myeloma patients using Stan. This model is applied to a real survival censored data so that all the concepts and computations will be around the same data. A code was developed and improved to implement censored mechanism throughout using rstan. Furthermore, parallel simulation tools are also implemented with an extensive use of rstan.


Vif-Regression Screening Ultrahigh Dimensional Feature Space, Hassan S. Uraibi Jun 2021

Vif-Regression Screening Ultrahigh Dimensional Feature Space, Hassan S. Uraibi

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Iterative Sure Independent Screening (ISIS) was proposed for the problem of variable selection with ultrahigh dimensional feature space. Unfortunately, the ISIS method transforms the dimensionality of features from ultrahigh to ultra-low and may result in un-reliable inference when the number of important variables particularly is greater than the screening threshold. The proposed method has transformed the ultrahigh dimensionality of features to high dimension space in order to remedy of losing some information by ISIS method. The proposed method is compared with ISIS method by using real data and simulation. The results show this method is more efficient and more reliable …


A Simple Random Sampling Modified Dual To Product Estimator For Estimating Population Mean Using Order Statistics, Sanjay Kumar, Priyanka Chhaparwal Jun 2021

A Simple Random Sampling Modified Dual To Product Estimator For Estimating Population Mean Using Order Statistics, Sanjay Kumar, Priyanka Chhaparwal

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Bandopadhyaya (1980) developed a dual to product estimator using robust modified maximum likelihood estimators (MMLE’s). Their properties were obtained theoretically and supported through simulations studies with generated as well as one real data set. Robustness properties in the presence of outliers and confidence intervals were studied.


Penalized Likelihood Estimation Of Gamma Distributed Response Variable Via Corrected Solution Of Regression Coefficients, Rasaki Olawale Olanrewaju Jun 2021

Penalized Likelihood Estimation Of Gamma Distributed Response Variable Via Corrected Solution Of Regression Coefficients, Rasaki Olawale Olanrewaju

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A Gamma distributed response is subjected to regression penalized likelihood estimations of Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and Minimax Concave Penalty via Generalized Linear Models (GLMs). The Gamma related disturbance controls the influence of skewness and spread in the corrected path solutions of the regression coefficients.


Inference For Step-Stress Partially Accelerated Life Test Model With An Adaptive Type-I Progressively Hybrid Censored Data, Showkat Ahmad Lone, Ahmadur Rahman, Tanveer A. Tarray Jun 2021

Inference For Step-Stress Partially Accelerated Life Test Model With An Adaptive Type-I Progressively Hybrid Censored Data, Showkat Ahmad Lone, Ahmadur Rahman, Tanveer A. Tarray

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Consider estimating data of failure times under step-stress partially accelerated life tests based on adaptive Type-I hybrid censoring. The mathematical model related to the lifetime of the test units is assumed to follow Rayleigh distribution. The point and interval maximum-likelihood estimations are obtained for distribution parameter and tampering coefficient. Also, the work is conducted under a traditional Type-I hybrid censoring plan (scheme). A Monte Carlo simulation algorithm is used to evaluate and compare the performances of the estimators of the tempering coefficient and model parameters under both progressively hybrid censoring plans. The comparison is carried out on the basis of …


Data-Driven Analytical Modeling Of Multiple Myeloma Cancer, U.S. Crop Production And Monitoring Process, Lohuwa Mamudu Jun 2021

Data-Driven Analytical Modeling Of Multiple Myeloma Cancer, U.S. Crop Production And Monitoring Process, Lohuwa Mamudu

USF Tampa Graduate Theses and Dissertations

Globally, cancer disease is a major health issue causing a lot of deaths. The duration of time an individual diagnosed with a particular type of cancer survives has become a major area of research concern. The Kaplan Meier and Cox Proportional Hazard (Cox-PH) model have been a traditionally used method for survival analysis of cancer data. These techniques of cancer survival analysis are developed from nonparametric and semi-parametric approaches, respectively, which are not as robust as a parametric approach. In this dissertation, we proposed a new method of cancer survival analysis based on a parametric approach using multiple myeloma cancer …


Fully Bayesian Analysis Of Relevance Vector Machine Classification With Probit Link Function For Imbalanced Data Problem, Wenyang Wang, Dongchu Sun, Peng Shao, Haibo Kuang, Cong Sui Jun 2021

Fully Bayesian Analysis Of Relevance Vector Machine Classification With Probit Link Function For Imbalanced Data Problem, Wenyang Wang, Dongchu Sun, Peng Shao, Haibo Kuang, Cong Sui

Department of Statistics: Faculty Publications

The original RVM classification model uses the logistic link function to build the likelihood function making the model hard to be conducted since the posterior of the weight parameter has no closed-form solution. This article proposes the probit link function approach instead of the logistic one for the likelihood function in the RVM classification model, namely PRVM (RVM with the probit link function). We show that the posterior of the weight parameter in PRVM follows the Multivariate Normal distribution and achieves a closed-form solution. A latent variable is needed in our algorithms to simplify the Bayesian computation greatly, and its …


Efficient, Positive, And Energy Stable Schemes For Multi-D Poisson–Nernst–Planck Systems, Hailiang Liu, Wumaier Maimaitiyiming Jun 2021

Efficient, Positive, And Energy Stable Schemes For Multi-D Poisson–Nernst–Planck Systems, Hailiang Liu, Wumaier Maimaitiyiming

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

In this paper, we design, analyze, and numerically validate positive and energy-dissipating schemes for solving the time-dependent multi-dimensional system of Poisson–Nernst–Planck equations, which has found much use in the modeling of biological membrane channels and semiconductor devices. The semi-implicit time discretization based on a reformulation of the system gives a well-posed elliptic system, which is shown to preserve solution positivity for arbitrary time steps. The first order (in time) fully discrete scheme is shown to preserve solution positivity and mass conservation unconditionally, and energy dissipation with only a mild O (1) time step restriction. The scheme is also shown to …


Weighted Geometric Mean And Its Properties, Ievgen Turchyn Jun 2021

Weighted Geometric Mean And Its Properties, Ievgen Turchyn

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Various means (the arithmetic mean, the geometric mean, the harmonic mean, the power means) are often used as central tendency statistics. A new statistic of such type is offered for a sample from a distribution on the positive semi-axis, the γ-weighted geometric mean. This statistic is a certain weighted geometric mean with adaptive weights. Monte Carlo simulations showed that the γ-weighted geometric mean possesses low variance: smaller than the variance of the 0.20-trimmed mean for the Lomax distribution. The bias of the new statistic was also studied. We studied the bias in terms of nonparametric confidence intervals for the quantiles …


Analysis Of Means (Anom) Concepts And Computations, Kalanka P. Jayalath, Jacob Turner Jun 2021

Analysis Of Means (Anom) Concepts And Computations, Kalanka P. Jayalath, Jacob Turner

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The classical Analysis of Means (ANOM) is a statistical inferencing procedure and visualization tool to analyze means from experiments with fixed effects. It can serve as an alternative to the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) procedure that has distinct advantages when determining which effects contributed to an overall test’s significant result. ANOM has been extended to handle numerous situations including robust procedures involving ranks. More recent advancements of this procedure allow one to handle both random, and mixed effect models. In this work, we discuss the recent developments on ANOM methods that are useful in practice, provide examples that illustrate their …


Some Asymptotic Properties Of Conditional Density Function For Functional Data Under Random Censorship, Fatima Akkal, Abbes Rabhi, Latifa Keddani Jun 2021

Some Asymptotic Properties Of Conditional Density Function For Functional Data Under Random Censorship, Fatima Akkal, Abbes Rabhi, Latifa Keddani

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this work, we investigate the asymptotic properties of a nonparametric mode of a conditional density when the real response variable is censored and the explanatory variable is valued in a semi- metric space under ergodic data. First of all, we establish asymptotic properties for a conditional density estimator from which we derive an central limit theorem (CLT) of the conditional mode estimator. Simulation study is also presented to illustrate the validity and finite sample performance of the considered estimator.


A Geometric Approach To Conditioning And The Search For Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimators, David L. Farnsworth, James E. Marengo Jun 2021

A Geometric Approach To Conditioning And The Search For Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimators, David L. Farnsworth, James E. Marengo

Articles

Our purpose is twofold: to present a prototypical example of the conditioning technique to obtain the best estimator of a parameter and to show that this technique resides in the structure of an inner product space. The technique uses conditioning of an unbiased estimator on a sufficient statistic. This procedure is founded upon the conditional variance formula, which leads to an inner product space and a geometric interpretation. The example clearly illustrates the dependence on the sampling methodology. These advantages show the power and centrality of this process.


Pivot Points In Bivariate Linear Regression, David L. Farnsworth, Carl V. Lutzer Jun 2021

Pivot Points In Bivariate Linear Regression, David L. Farnsworth, Carl V. Lutzer

Articles

There are little-noticed points in the plane, which are artifacts of linear regression. The points, which are called pivot points, are the intersections of sets of regression lines. We derive the coordinates of the pivot point and explain its sources. We show how a pivot point arises in a certain notable data set, which has been analyzed often for points of high leverage. We obtain the application of pivot points that shortens calculations when updating a set of bivariate observations by adding a new point.


Statistically Defensible Wind Tunnel Models, Timothy A. Roche Jun 2021

Statistically Defensible Wind Tunnel Models, Timothy A. Roche

Theses and Dissertations

Wind tunnels are used to test scale-model air frames in order to collect aerodynamic data. The Subsonic Aerodynamic Research Laboratory (SARL) Wind Tunnel is a low speed wind tunnel located at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base. The SARL Wind Tunnel team approached AFIT for assistance in creating statistically defensible models for the conditions inside the wind tunnel. During a wind tunnel test, pressure sensors cannot be placed at the test model. Instead, pressure is measured by a pitot probe permanently mounted in the corner of the test chamber. The pressure at the model location is predicted from the measurements taken by …


Nonparametric Relative Error Estimation Via Functional Regressor By The K Nearest Neighbors Smoothing Under Truncation Random Data, Wahiba Bouabsa Jun 2021

Nonparametric Relative Error Estimation Via Functional Regressor By The K Nearest Neighbors Smoothing Under Truncation Random Data, Wahiba Bouabsa

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The relation between a functional random covariate and a scalar answer due to left truncation by a different random variable is evaluated in this study with the kNN method. In particular, in order to produce a nonparametric kNN regression operator of these functional truncated data as a loss function, we should use mean squared relative error. In number of neighbors, we establish an estimator and assess the uniform consistency performance with the convergence rate. Then, for different levels of computational truncated data, a simulation analysis was carried out on finite-sized samples to show the feasibility of our estimation procedure and …


Theoretical Study Of Mach Number And Compressibility Effect On The Slender Airfoils, Abrar Hoque, Masudar Rahman, Ashabul Hoque Jun 2021

Theoretical Study Of Mach Number And Compressibility Effect On The Slender Airfoils, Abrar Hoque, Masudar Rahman, Ashabul Hoque

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Theoretical development of the velocity potential equation for compressible flow and its various consequences has been presented. The geometrical interpretation of potential equation and conformal mapping technique are discussed where the mappings link the flow around a circular cylinder of a slender airfoil. The lift and drag coefficients are determined for the slender airfoils based on the Mach number and compressibility effects. The calculated lift coefficients show that with the increasing of attack angle it increases linearly and a higher lift coefficient is found for a smaller Mach number for any certain attack angle. Similarly, the drag profiles are determined …


Generation And Statistical Properties For Lindley-Polynomial Distribution, Dariush Ghorbanzadeh Jun 2021

Generation And Statistical Properties For Lindley-Polynomial Distribution, Dariush Ghorbanzadeh

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

For the modeling of the wind speed, we propose a family of distributions in polynomial form generating the Lindley distribution. We call this distribution Lindley-Polynomial distribution. The estimation of parameters using the maximum product spacing estimation method. A real data set has been considered to illustrate the practical utility of the paper.


On Burr Iii-Inverse Weibull Distribution With Covid-19 Applications, Fiaz Ahmad Bhatti, Sedigheh Mirzaei Salehabadi, Gholamhossein G. Hamedani Jun 2021

On Burr Iii-Inverse Weibull Distribution With Covid-19 Applications, Fiaz Ahmad Bhatti, Sedigheh Mirzaei Salehabadi, Gholamhossein G. Hamedani

Mathematical and Statistical Science Faculty Research and Publications

We introduce a flexible lifetime distribution called Burr III-Inverse Weibull (BIII-IW). The new proposed distribution has well-known sub-models. The BIII-IW density function includes exponential, left-skewed, right-skewed and symmetrical shapes. The BIII-IW model’s failure rate can be monotone and non-monotone depending on the parameter values. To show the importance of the BIII-IW distribution, we establish various mathematical properties such as random number generator, ordinary moments, conditional moments, residual life functions, reliability measures and characterizations. We address the maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) for the BIII-IW parameters and estimate the precision of the maximum likelihood estimators via a simulation study. We consider applications …


Nonparametric Estimation Of The Conditional Distribution Function For Surrogate Data By The Regression Model, Imane Metmous, Mohammed K. Attouch, Boubaker Mechab, Torkia Merouan Jun 2021

Nonparametric Estimation Of The Conditional Distribution Function For Surrogate Data By The Regression Model, Imane Metmous, Mohammed K. Attouch, Boubaker Mechab, Torkia Merouan

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The main objective of this paper is to estimate the conditional cumulative distribution using the nonparametric kernel method for a surrogated scalar response variable given a functional random one. We introduce the new kernel type estimator for the conditional cumulative distribution function (cond-cdf) of this kind of data. Afterward, we estimate the quantile by inverting this estimated cond-cdf and state the asymptotic properties. The uniform almost complete convergence (with rate) of the kernel estimate of this model and the quantile estimator is established. Finally, a simulation study completed to show how our methodology can be adopted.