Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Research Progress Of Rubber‑Modified Asphalt By Wet Process, Ge Dongdong, Jiang Xiangyang, Lyu Songtao, Zhang Honggang, Song Xiaojin

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The application of waste tires in asphalt pavements can not only effectively reduce resource consumption but also significantly reduce environmental pollution.Crumb rubber could be obtained by processing waste tires and used as a modifier by mixing with asphalt through the wet process to improve the performance of asphalt.This paper reviewed the research progress of rubber-modified asphalt by wet process and discussed its preparation process，influencing factors of performance，and modification mechanism.By reviewing the relevant studies，the critical conditions in the preparation process and their effects on storage stability were summarized.Furthermore，the effects of rubber dosage，particle size，matrix asphalt type，and preparation parameters on the physical and …

Skid Resistance Detection Technology Of Highway Pavement Based On Tie‑Pavement Coupling Noise, Ye Wei, Chen Fei, Hu Xiaoyang, Xu Zhengwei, Li Liguo

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to improve the skid resistance detection technology of highway pavement，this paper summarized the advantages and disadvantages of the traditional pavement noise measurement methods，adopted the vehicle-following method to collect the tie-pavement coupling noise，and optimized the specific positional parameters of the microphone.The speed correction of the equivalent continuous A-weighted sound level was realized through the fitting of driving speed and equivalent continuous A-weighted sound level.The characteristic signal of the tie-pavement coupling noise was extracted by the principal component analysis method，and it can effectively suppress interference signals such as traffic noise，wind noise，and engine noise.The envelope noise energy （ENE） was obtained by …

Effect Of Corn Stover Oil On Rheological Properties Of Aged Asphalt And Its Regeneration Effect, Cheng Peifeng, Bai Yue, Li Yiming, Zhang Zhanming

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Corn stover oil，as a kind of bio-oil，is low-carbon and renewable.At the same time，it may restore the performance of aged asphalt.In order to further promote the application of corn stover oil in road engineering，this study explored the effect of corn stover oil as a kind of regeneration agent on the rheological properties of aged asphalt through laboratory experiments and analyzed the regeneration effect.On this basis，the regeneration mechanism of corn stover oil regeneration agent was revealed by using an infrared spectroscopy test and gel permeation chromatography test.The results show that the addition of corn stover oil changes the proportion of aged asphalt …

Research And Practice On Demolition Of Lane Separator In Same Direction Along Zhengzhou‒Luoyang Section Of Lianyungang‒Khorgos Expressway, Zhang Nan, Ji Xiang, Ma Gang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to solve the problem arising after the demolition and closure of the lane separator in the same direction along the expressway，this paper systematically introduced the reconstruction method of the lane separator in the same direction by studying the overhaul project along Zhengzhou-Luoyang section of Lianyungang‒Khorgos Expressway.The paper explored the main diseases and potential safety hazards existing in the lane separator in the same direction by checking the compliance of specifications，analyzing the traffic operation status，exploring the characteristics of traffic accidents，and investigating the traffic safety facilities.On this basis，it demonstrated the feasibility of demolishing the lane separator in the same direction.According …

Method For Measuring The Rate Of Improvement In Survival Times Of Cancer Patients, Thobani Chaduka

Theses and Dissertations

In clinical settings, technological advancements have facilitated health care improvements in data analytics, artificial intelligence, telemedicine, health information systems, etc. This has furthered our understanding of cancer biology and treatment mechanisms. In this study, we aim to understand whether Moore’s law-like models may derive from historical cancer survival data, and how they can predict survival statistics for newly diagnosed cancer patients. Historically these predictions have previously been done with the diagnosis year as the independent variable and the survival as a dependent variable. In this study we use death year data as an independent variable and from that, we derive …

Mental Health Care Disparities Among Us Pregnant Individuals In 2020–2021: A Cross-Sectional Study, Julisa Tindall, Monique J. Brown Ph.D., Mph, Peiyin Hung

Faculty Publications

Purpose

To examine maternal characteristics associated with perceived unmet mental health needs and mental health care settings, focusing on residential rurality and race/ethnicity.

Methods

This cross-sectional study analyzed self-reported unmet mental health needs and mental health care settings among 1097 pregnant respondents in the 2020–2021 National Survey on Drug Use and Health, incorporating the complex sampling weights for national representativeness.

Findings

Non-Hispanic Black pregnant individuals and those living in nonmetro rural areas reported lower odds of unmet mental health needs compared to those in large metro areas and non-Hispanic White individuals. Pregnant individuals in nonmetro rural areas and non-Hispanic other …

Mechanical Properties Of Alkali‑Activated Slag‑Fly Ash Geopolymers, Liu Yang, Wang Jizhao, Lu Naiwei, Wang Bowen

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to respond to the national strategy of energy saving and emission reduction and improve the comprehensive utilization rate of industrial waste，the influence of slag content，alkali equivalent，sodium silicate modulus，and water-cement ratio on the compressive strength of slag-fly ash geopolymers was investigated by single variable and orthogonal experiment method.The compressive strength of geopolymers was analyzed by combining XRD，SEM，and porosity.The results show that the gel formation is promoted with the increase in slag content，and the structure of geopolymers is more compact，which is conducive to the development of strength.After 28 days of standard curing，the influence of various factors on the compressive strength …

Mechanical Properties Of Geopolymer‑Stabilized Recycled Aggregates From Construction Solid Wastes, Yuan Kaixin, He Yongjian, Zhang Laijun, Li Hai, Xu Gewei

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to solve the problem of a sharp increase in construction solid wastes and insufficient utilization rate，this paper took slag-fly ash-based geopolymer as an inorganic binder，replaced natural gravels with recycled aggregates from construction solid wastes，and set urban road base layer as the target scene to study the mechanical properties of geopolymer-stabilized recycled aggregates at different contents.The results show that with the increase in geopolymer content，the maximum dry density of the mixture increases.The optimum moisture content increases.The unconfined compressive strength of the mixture increases with the increase in geopolymer content and curing age and decreases with the increase in recycled …

Comparative Experimental Study On Deformation Characteristics Of High Liquid Limit Soil Under Different Dry And Wet States, Qin Lingwei, Zhang Rui, Li Lu, Xiao Yupeng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to further reveal the internal mechanism of the influence of solid-like bound water on the deformation characteristics of high liquid limit soil，the difference in the influence of different bound water contents on the deformation of soil samples was analyzed through the comparison of dry and wet sides.Four types of high liquid limit soil with different water contents at the same dry density were used，and a low liquid limit soil was used as a comparison sample to carry out a deformation test.The volumetric flask method was used to test the content of adsorbed bound water in each test soil …

Influence Of Loading Methods On Compression Modulus Of Red Sandstone Soil Solidified With Biological Enzyme And Cement, He Liang, Zhang Haixiang, Guan H Ongxin, Li Huili, Yang Hairong, Liu Hongfu

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

There are various methods to test the modulus of cement-stabilized mixtures.The stiffness performance of cement-stabilized materials will be affected after adding biological enzymes.In order to systematically analyze the influence of loading conditions on the compression modulus of the red sandstone soil solidified with biological enzyme and cement，compressive modulus tests were conducted on the red sandstone soil solidified with biological enzyme and cement by using three static modulus test methods including monotonic loading method of middle section，stepwise loading and unloading method of top surface，and stepwise loading and unloading method of middle section，as well as dynamic modulus method of top surface and …

Optimization Of Mix Proportion For New Jersey Precast Concrete Safety Barriers And Performance Tests Under Integral Concrete Vibrating, Chen Lin, Li Beian, Li Yuanrui, Zhao Zixiang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

New Jersey safety barriers are the most commonly used form of guardrails in highway median separators due to their excellent safety protection.In response to the cost reduction and quality improvement，efficient and rapid preparation process，and quality issues of New Jersey precast concrete safety barriers，this article adopted the automation production process of New Jersey precast safety barriers，optimized concrete mix proportion for precast safety barriers，and studied their performance.The experimental results show that in the designed C 30 concrete，the compressive strength of the concrete mixed with 15% fly ash reaches 39.2 MPa，and th e slump reaches 185 mm.The concrete performance meets the requirements of …

Experimental Study On Shear Behavior Between Nrc‑Uhpc Interface, Chen Zhenkan, Li Junsheng, Shi Quan, Fang Haozhen, Mo Fan, Jiang Haibo

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to investigate the effect of the screw diameter of planted bars and ultra-high performance concrete （UHPC） pouring method on the shear behavior of normal reinforced concrete （NRC） and UHPC， two groups of six push-out specimens were designed for shear behavior tests.The results show that after the failure of the concrete bonding force in the NRC-UHPC interface，the screw can maintain shear behavior so that the failure process of the specimen after the load reaches the peak shows ductile characteristics.For specimens with screw diameters of 12 mm and 16 mm，greater screw diameter indicates higher shear capacity of the specimens and …

Design And Construction Process Of Cross‑Beam Supports For Main Tower Of Changtai Changjiang River Bridge, Zeng Jian, Hu Pei, Wang Chao

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The construction of the lower cross-beam structure of the main tower of Changtai Changjiang River Bridge has the characteristics of high construction height，large amount of concrete earth volume，and difficult control of down-warping deformation.In order to implement the pouring of the lower cross-beam of the main tower，floor-type steel pipe supports were set at the lower cross-beam，which were used to support the lower cross-beam formwork and bear the load during the concrete pouring.Through the finite element software analysis and calculation，it was found that the asymmetric deformation of the main structure of the lower cross-beam could be effectively controlled，and the overall force of …

Determination Of Manufacturing Parameters Of Large Section Of Continuous Steel Box Beam With Variable Section In Shenzhen‑Zhongshan Passage, Dong Chuangwen, Chen Long, Li Chuanxi

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Accurate calculation of manufacturing parameters is the key to the efficient，high-precision，and rapid installation of large sections of continuous steel box beam bridges.Taking the steel box beam with the variable section in Shenzhen-Zhongshan Passage as the background，this paper first established a finite element model of the beam element in the whole construction process to obtain the pre-camper.Secondly，the average neutral axis position was calculated based on the height of the neutral axis of each beam section.Then，according to the deformation characteristic that the beam length remained unchanged at the mean neutral axis，the pre-camber was superimposed at the mean neutral axis to get the …

Key Technology For Construction Of New Single‑Wall Steel Suspended Box Cofferdam With High Pile Tied Beams In Deep Water, Yang Jinlong, Zhao Lin, Jiang Qunlong

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to ensure the safe，efficient，and economical completion of the construction of the high pile tied beam of Muping Xiangjiang River Bridge in deep water，a new type of single-wall steel suspended box cofferdam was designed to act as the water retaining and enclosure structure during high pile tied beam construction according to the characteristics of deep water level and shallow stratum cover layer at the high pile tied beam location.Through the innovative design of steel casing on the bottom of the steel suspended box cofferdam，the design height of the wall panel and the amount of steel input were reduced.On the …

Influence Factors Of Carbonization Of Tunnel Segment Structure And Life Prediction Analysis, Li Dongbiao, Miao Miao, Shen Caihua, Chen Wei

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

There are many factors that affect the carbonization life of concrete segments in underwater tunnels，and the prediction methods are not uniform.In this paper，combined with actual engineering，the influencing factors and laws of carbonization of concrete segments in underwater tunnels were analyzed，and three methods for predicting the life of concrete segments were established with the crack limit as the control target.The prediction results of the three methods were compared.The results show that the influence of the temperature and CO2 concentration in the tunnel predicted by the three methods on the life of the tunnel lining structure is basically consistent with the existing …

Key Technology For Incremental Launching Construction Of Double Guide Beam Of Steel Box Girder, Sun Xiaoqiang, Yue Xinxing

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

By taking the incremental launching construction of the steel box girder at the 6th hole of the approach bridge of Baoji Taigu Bridge as the engineering background，the original plan adopted single-guide beam multi-point walking incremental launching technology for assembly and incremental launching on the prestressed reinforced concrete beam of the adjacent hole.Since the middle span of the concrete beam cannot withstand the concentrated force at the incremental launching points，the multi-guide beam multi-point walking incremental launching technology was finally used to arrange the incremental launching points at the transverse diaphragm plate of the end of the concrete beam.By increasing the incremental …

Emergency Vehicle Dispatching Model Considering Demand Urgency And Delivery Fairness, Long Kejun, Liu Jia, Gao Zhibo, Chen Suqian, Zhang Zhonggen

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In emergency vehicle dispatching after unexpected events，it is crucial to prioritize critical nodes with high demand urgency while minimizing excessive delivery delays at other nodes to prevent secondary impacts.On this basis，this study developed an emergency vehicle dispatching model that considered demand urgency and delivery delay fairness.Firstly，the entropy weight-TOPSIS method was used to calculate the demand urgency for each node，and a delivery delay balance index was introduced to minimize disparities in delivery delays between nodes.Secondly，a multi-objective optimization model was established with total delivery time，overall cost，and delivery delay balance as objectives，while considering constraints such as inventory levels at distribution centers and route …

Working Properties Of Steel Tube Batter Piles With Concrete Infill Based On Abaqus, Yang Meiliang, Li Liemin, Sun Kunjiang, Han Rui, Zhong Yang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to explore the respons e characteristics of steel tube batter piles with concrete infill under vertical load，the steel tube batter pile with concrete infill used in Saribas Bridge in Malaysia was taken as the research object.Based on the numerical simulation method，the frictional resistance of the inner and outer walls of the steel tube，the frictional resistance around the pile at the section，and the bending moment bearing ratio between the steel tube and the concrete core of this type of batter pile under vertical load were studied.The results show that the passive-side frictional resistance of the 0–15 m pile section …

Operations On Submodules With The Multiplicative And Quotient Properties, Jiekai Pang

Mathematics & Statistics ETDs

Inspired by the works of Petro, Epstein, Vassilev, and Morre, this thesis aims to study the generalized definitions of the semiprime operation, weakly prime operation, and standard closure operation on rings, that is, the multiplicative operation, weakly multiplicative operation, and standardly multiplicative operation on submodules. Then, we will use Matlis duality to induce the dual notions of these definitions on submodules of Matlis-dualizable Artinian modules. In order to understand the dual notion of the standardly multiplicative operation, that is, the standardly quotient operation, we will classify the operations on the injective hull of residue field of the ring K[[x,y]]/(xy) which …

Theory And Algorithms To Learn, Propagate, And Exploit Uncertainty For Stochastic Optimal Control Of Dynamical Systems, Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan

Electrical and Computer Engineering ETDs

Non-Gaussian uncertainty frequently arises in learning and control problems involving stochastic dynamical systems, particularly in autonomous vehicles, UAVs, satellites, and robotics. In this dissertation, we propose a new framework that leverages characteristic functions that provides a frequency-domain representation of random variables. The dissertation is structured into three key areas. First, we address model-based stochastic optimal control for linear systems with non-Gaussian noise, demonstrating that characteristic functions can be used to enforce chance constraints and control systems toward desired distributions. Second, we explore data-driven stochastic control, utilizing empirical characteristic functions to handle systems with unknown disturbances. In addition, we derive several …

Calculation And Statistical Analysis Of Wins Above Replacement, Joshua Taylor

Departmental Honors & Graduate Capstone Projects

The Wins Above Replacement (WAR) statistic in Major League Baseball is a prominent metric used to estimate player value by quantifying all aspects of play in terms of wins added to a baseball team. We will use R to calculate WAR for all players from 1871 to 2012 and use data from those years to construct multivariate predictive models to attempt to estimate WAR for players from 2013 to 2024. We find strong correlations between predicted and actual WAR values for most models, with the exception of the polynomial predictive model for non-qualified pitchers.

Bayesian Estimation Of A Pragmatic Model For Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case Of Pakistan, Shahzad Ahmad, Waliullah .

CBER Conference

In this study, Bayesian maximum likelihood estimation of quarterly projections model for Pakistan as presented, as documented in Ahmad & Pasha (2015). Estimation results based on quarterly data from 2001 to 2023 show substantial differences in values of estimated versus calibrated parameters related to aggregate demand, aggregate supply, monetary policy rule and exogenous shock processes. The aim of this study is to compare forecasting performance for key macro variables. It shows that the estimated model provides more precise forecasts in case of headline inflation, real GDP growth, interest rate and exchange rate over 8-quarters forecast horizon. An estimated model for …

Monetary Policy In Good Times And In Bad: Empirical Evidence From Pakistan, Haider Ali

CBER Conference

A significant body of literature explores and establishes the impact of monetary policy on output and prices, at least in the short run. However, the subsequent question is whether this effect is symmetric concerning the various states of the economy (see, Tenreyro and Thwaites, 2016; Bernstein, 2021; Eichenbaum et al., 2022; among others). This study contributes to the literature on state-dependent (non-linear) effects of unanticipated monetary policy shocks according to two important features of the economy. The amount of slack in the economy and the amount of the public-sector footprint in the market. Evaluating state-dependent effects is crucial because assuming …

Unlocking The Power Of Data: Enhancing Public Policy Through Advanced Data Infrastructure And Language Model Analysis, Zahid Asghar

CBER Conference

Data is the fundamental building block for advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), general AI (GAI), machine learning (ML), and large language models (LLMs). This study emphasizes the critical need for robust data infrastructure, arguing that without it, countries cannot fully benefit from technological advancements in various economic sectors. Governments possess vast repositories of both structured and unstructured data across multiple domains such as the judiciary, parliaments, and civil bureaucracy. However, these potential goldmines remain untapped due to inadequate data management capabilities and a lack of appreciation for the necessity of high-quality data. The research identifies key issues in public data …

The Energy Efficiency Price Premium Of Residential Buildings In Three Italian Regions, Elena Giarda, Demetrio Panarello

CBER Conference

The aim of this paper is to investigate whether a higher energy efficiency of residential buildings translates into higher house prices in Italy. We employ novel, and almost unexploited, data on Energy Performance Certificates of three Italian regions (EmiliaRomagna, Lombardy and Piedmont) and merge them with house prices and socioeconomic variables at various aggregation levels. The relationship between house prices and energy efficiency is estimated by means of hedonic regression models, quantile regressions and fixed effects panel data models. Our results reveal the existence of an energy-efficiency price premium in the three regions, with significant differences among them. Heterogeneity is …

Conditional Cooperation With Longer Memory, Nikoleta E. Glynatsi, Ethan Akin, Martin A. Nowak, Christian Hilbe

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Direct reciprocity is a wide-spread mechanism for the evolution of cooperation. In repeated interactions, players can condition their behavior on previous outcomes. A well-known approach is given by reactive strategies, which respond to the coplayer's previous move. Here, we extend reactive strategies to longer memories. A reactive-n strategy takes into account the sequence of the last n moves of the coplayer. A reactive-n counting strategy responds to how often the coplayer cooperated during the last n rounds. We derive an algorithm to identify the partner strategies within these strategy sets. Partner strategies are those that ensure mutual cooperation without exploitation. …

Customer Data And The Digital Age, Mahdi Ansari

CBER Conference

Data is widely regarded as the most valuable resource in today’s economy, yet its value often eludes precise quantification. This paper examines customer data as an intangible capital asset and addresses the challenge of measuring its impact. A novel database was created by merging Compustat with online clickstream data capturing the activity of approximately 200 million users, providing proxies for data inflow based on visit metrics. The analysis documents that the distribution of firms’ customer data stocks follows a rightskewed log-normal pattern with a fat tail. Additionally, a positive relationship emerges between sales and data inflow, data stock, profit, and …

If You Can’T Beat Them Join Them: Empirical Assessment Into How Integrating Conventional Taxis On The Uber App Impacts Conventional Taxi Ridership, Shahmeer Mohsin

CBER Conference

Since the emergence of ride-hailing platforms like Uber, conventional taxi ridership has taken a severe hit. Taxi-hailing apps like Curb and Arro have allowed conventional taxis to jump on the platform economy bandwagon and offer a similar service to ride-hailing platforms. Despite the emergence of these taxi-hailing apps, strong lock-in effects and high switching costs of popular ride-hailing platforms (Uber, Lyft, etc.) restrict the ridership volumes of conventional taxis. Recently, the ride-hailing platform, Uber has started to add conventional taxis on its app under increasing pressure from Cities and conventional taxi associations. Such integrations have the potential of increasing conventional …

Statistical Analysis For Pre- And Post- Assessments Of Sdq And Idela Scores, Diego Murillo, Franceli L. Cibrian

Student Scholar Symposium Abstracts and Posters

This research aimed to assess the potential of Mazi Umntanakho ("Know Your Child") in tracking developmental milestones in young children. Mazi is a WhatsApp-based conversational agent that assists South African home visitors in evaluating and monitoring children's socio-emotional skills using the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ) and the International Development and Early Learning Assessment (IDELA). A field study was conducted in low-income South African communities, where 95 home visitors assessed 1,208 children. This detailed analysis of the data was collected during that deployment, focusing on investigating whether assessment scores improved over time and whether the length of time between assessments …