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Modeling Anticipatory Event Transitions, He QI, Kuiyu CHANG, Ee Peng LIM 2010 Nanyang Technological University

Modeling Anticipatory Event Transitions, He Qi, Kuiyu Chang, Ee Peng Lim

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Major world events such as terrorist attacks, natural disasters, wars, etc. typically progress through various representative stages/states in time. For example, a volcano eruption could lead to earthquakes, tsunamis, aftershocks, evacuation, rescue efforts, international relief support, rebuilding, and resettlement, etc. By analyzing various types of catastrophical and historical events, we can derive corresponding event transition models to embed useful information at each state. The knowledge embedded in these models can be extremely valuable. For instance, a transition model of the 1918-1920 flu pandemic could be used for the planning and allocation of resources to decisively respond to future occurrences of …


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