Finance Commons^™

Macroeconomic Announcements, Volatility And Interrelationships: An Examination Of The Uk Bond And Stock Markets, Bradley Jones

Theses : Honours

This study covers considerable ground and touches on a range of issues in a rigorous investigation of the intraday and end-of-day behaviour of I JK stock index and interest rate futures contracts. Firstly, the paper uses S-minute data in an initial examination of the response of the Short Sterling, Long Gilt and FTSEI00 to the release of macroeconomic announcements (assisted with the application of GMM). Secondly, in an analysis of intraday patterns in returns and volatility a GARCII(I,I) framework is employed, so that further inferences are made robust to time-varying variance. Finally, the paper draws upon some of the latest …

Central Bank Of Nigeria Annual Report And Statement Of Accounts For The Year Ended 31st December 1999, Central Bank Of Nigeria

CBN Annual Report

The Annual Report contains details of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) financial activities during the 1999 accounting year in accordance with statutory requirement. During the period under review, the Bank carried out its core functions under CBN Decree No. 24, 1991, and the Banks and Other Financial Institutions (BOFI Decree No. 25, 1991). The CBN also performed developmental and technical assistance roles to contribute to economic development and capacity building. In 1999, the CBN carried out core functions, including issuance of currency notes and coins, maintaining Nigeria's external reserves, and promoting monetary stability. The Bank implemented policies to reduce excess …

Volatility Of Central Europe Exchange Rates: Reaction To Financial Contagion, And Policy Recommendations For European Union Accession, Lucjan T. Orlowski, Thomas D. Corrigan

WCBT Faculty Publications

Examines the volatility of the exchange rates in Central Europe. Role of capital account liberalization and financial market integration in exchange rate stability; Remedies employed to financial problems of each countries; Impact of Asian and Russian financial crises on currencies of Central European countries; Recommendations for European Union accession.

Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation And Calibration In Financial Risk Management: High-Frequency Returns On Foreign Exchange, Francis X. Diebold, Jinyong Hahn, Anthony S. Tay

Research Collection School Of Economics

We provide a framework for evaluating and improving multivariate density forecasts. Among other things, the multivariate framework lets us evaluate the adequacy of density forecasts involving cross-variable interactions, such as time-varying conditional correlations. We also provide conditions under which a technique of density forecast calibration can be used to improve deficient density forecasts, and we show how the calibration method can be used to generate good density forecasts from econometric models, even when the conditional density is unknown. Finally, motivated by recent advances in financial risk management, we provide a detailed application to multivariate high-frequency exchange rate density forecasts. © …

The Fundamental And Non-Fundamental Components Of Stock Prices: The Role Of Time-Varying Expected Inflation, Maosen Zhong

Doctoral Dissertations

I derive testable implications of fundamental and non-fundamental components of stock prices. In order to control for the role of time-varying expected inflation and to be able to perform reasonable empirical tests, I use a nominal (rather than a real) interpretation of the present-value model (PVM), whereby nominal interest rates approximate expected inflation. I conjecture that the fundamental and non-fundamental components represent the permanent and temporary components of stock prices, respectively. A series of cointegration analysis over the annual period 1871–1997 confirms my conjecture for the model with time-varying expected inflation. Various fundamental and non-fundamental exclusion tests indicate that both …

Behavioral Foreign Exchange Rates, Thanomsak Suwannoi

Doctoral Dissertations

The foreign exchange market is one of the most active financial markets. The sheer volume of trade in the foreign exchange market has captured the attention of many researchers. Since exchange rates began to float in 1973, there has been much empirical work on exchange rate behavior. The results from previous studies appear to be somewhat sensitive to econometric techniques employed. Thus, the correct statistical characterization of exchange rate behavior remains an open question.

Chapter 2 examines time-series behavior of monthly real exchange rates. The results show that real exchange rates do not follow a pure random walk process. Changes …

Implementing Efficient Allocations In A Model Of Financial Intermediation, Edward J. Green

Centre for Public Policy Studies : CPPS Working Paper Series

In a nite-trader version of the Diamond and Dybvig (1983) model, the ex-ante efficient allocation is implementable by a direct mechanism (i.e., each trader announces the type of his own ex-post preference) in which truthful revelation is the strictly dominant strategy for each trader. When the model is modified by formalizing the sequential-service constraint (cf. Wallace, 1988), the truth-telling equilibrium implements the symmetric, ex-ante efficient allocation with respect to iterated elimination of strictly dominated strategies.

Indiana State University Financial Report 1999, Indiana State University

Financial Reports

No abstract provided.

Nova Southeastern University 1999 Annual Report, Nova Southeastern University

NSU Annual Reports

No abstract provided.

Will Aging Baby Boomers Bust The Federal Budget?, Ronald Lee, Jonathan Skinner

Dartmouth Scholarship

The authors analyze in three steps the influence of the projected mortality decline on the long-run finances of the Social Security System. First, mortality decline adds person years of life which are distributed across the life cycle. The interaction of this distribution with the age distribution of taxes minus benefits determines the steady state financial consequences of mortality decline. Second, examination of past mortality trends in the United State and of international trends in low mortality populations, suggests that mortality will decline much faster than foreseen by the SSA's forecasts. Third, based on work on stochastic demographic forecasting, stochastic forecasts …

Investment Function, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (1995, May 13). Müller & Yun 199 [Handwritten notes discussing present value, cash flows, and excess profit]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Callard, C., & Kleinman, D. (1985, May–June). Inflation-adjusted accounting: Does it matter? Financial Analysts Journal. Publisher details not identified.

• Shaikh, A. (1998, January). ROP, and average & marginal rates of return on investment [Handwritten notes including a diagram of marginal new investment]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (1995, March 25). gIER (growth of real invest.) vs. [MRR]NF (accelerator) [Chart and notes discussing leads and lags in investment and profit]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (1995, March 25). …

  ---

  Go to article

Looking At Communities And Markets, Lan Cao

Faculty Publications

No abstract provided.

The Exchange Rate Mechanism And The Ruble Devaluation Of 1998, Philip Porter

University Avenue Undergraduate Journal of Economics

I will first examine what I see as the common sense fundamentals of the exchange rate mechanism, noting as I go, the relationship with the current Russian crisis. In my examination, I will take the simplest approach, assuming free trade, unrestricted capital movements and negligible transaction costs. Concluding, I will delve into the quagmire of the Russian situation.

Central Bank Of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin, December 1998, Central Bank Of Nigeria

CBN Statistical Bulletin

The explanatory notes outline the methods for compiling financial, public finance, national accounts, and international trade statistics in Nigeria. Financial statistics are compiled from balance sheets and financial statements, covering lending and deposit interest rates, bank liquidity, and clearing house statistics. Public finance statistics include government revenue, expenditure, and debt, as well as debt conversion programs and promissory notes. National accounts are based on the System of National Accounts and include data on GDP, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, consumption expenditure, and Gross National Savings. International trade statistics measure the value and quantity of imports and exports, presented in the Standard …

Evaluating Density Forecasts With Applications To Financial Risk Management, Francis X. Diebold, Todd A. Gunther, Anthony S. Tay

Research Collection School Of Economics

We propose methods for evaluating density forecasts. We focus primarily on methods that are applicable regardless of the particular user’s loss function. We illustrate the methods with a detailed simulation example, and then we present an application to density forecasting of daily stock market returns. We discuss extensions for improving suboptimal density forecasts, multi-step-ahead density forecast evaluation, multivariate density forecast evaluation, monitoring for structural change and its relationship to density forecasting, and density forecast evaluation with known loss function.

A Political Model Of Monetary Policy With Application To The Real Fed Funds Rate, Tony Caporale, Kevin B. Grier

Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

We construct an empirical model of U.S. monetary policy assuming that the Federal Reserve is an ordinary federal bureaucracy. We use the real Federal Funds rate as our policy measure and show the existence of significant executive, legislative, and bureaucratic influence on the real rate of interest from 1961 to 1996. We find that presidential party is an adequate statistical measure of executive influence and that the voting scores of the Senate Banking Committee leadership best represent legislative influence. We argue that political changes cause systematic and predictable changes in monetary policy.

Exchange-Rate Policies In Central Europe And Monetary Union, Lucjan Orlowski

WCBT Faculty Publications

Looks at the relationship between exchange-rate and monetary policies in transition economies (TEs) in central Europe bent on becoming part of the European Union. Review of practiced targets of monetary policy in response to the requirements of monetary union; Question of whether or not candidates will resort to a final currency devaluation; Suggestions for adjustments in short- and long-term monetary policy.

A Cross-Sectional Analysis Of The Determinants Of Corporate Share Repurchases, Kenneth M. Washer

Doctoral Dissertations

The objective of this study is to determine which motives play a significant role in determining the extent of a firm's repurchasing activity. For firms repurchasing through the open market, the motives include taking advantage of perceived undervaluation, increasing financial leverage, distributing cash to shareholders, and reducing agency costs. For firms using a tender offer, the motives include taking advantage of perceived undervaluation and having the ability to significantly increase financial leverage. Also, the hypothesis that the perceived undervaluation motive is stronger for smaller firms is tested. Three censored regression models are employed, and each model's explanatory variables represent commonly …

Public Issues In Parks And Recreation Activity In The 105th Congress, Barry S. Tindall

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

3 pages.

The New Challenge Of Outdoor Recreation, Roz Mcclellan

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

5 pages.

Outdoor Recreation And Water Development: The National Recreation Lakes Study, Bruce R. Brown

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

12 pages.

Recreation Management By The Blm: A Local Perspective, Ann Morgan

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

10 pages.

One State’S Response To Outdoor Recreation Pressures, Laurie Mathews

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

5 pages.

Response: Drawbacks To The Teaming With Wildlife Proposal [Outline], David Secunda

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

4 pages.

Market Solutions To Public Recreation Finance: Creating User-Supported Parks, Donald R. Leal

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

11 pages.

Contains 1 page of references.

Market Solutions To Public Recreation Finance: The Texas State Parks Example, Donald R. Leal

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

11 pages.

Contains 1 page of references.

Fish And Wildlife Funding—Past And Future [Abstract], R. Max Peterson

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

1 page.

Tourism, Recreation, And The Fate Of Local Communities: A Mixed Bag, Hal K. Rothman

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

14 pages.

Contains 6 pages of references.

Field Level Conflict Management In Outdoor Recreation, Arden Anderson

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

16 pages.

Contains references.

The User Fee Approach To Hunting And Fishing Finance: The “Teaming With Wildlife” Proposal, R. Max Peterson

Outdoor Recreation: Promise and Peril in the New West (Summer Conference, June 8-10)

18 pages (includes color illustrations).

Contains footnotes.