Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons^™

Evacuation Behavior Of Households Facing Compound Hurricane-Pandemic Threats, Juita-Elena (Wie) Yusuf, Jennifer L. Whytlaw, Nicole Hutton, Taiwo Olanrewaju-Lasisi, Bridget Giles, Kaleen Lawsure, Joshua Behr, Rafael Diaz, George Mcleod

School of Public Service Faculty Publications

This study examines households' prospective evacuation behavior during a hurricane-pandemic compound threat. Data from a 2020 survey of coastal Virginia households help answer two questions: (1) What factors associated with the threat and impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and hurricanes influence prospective evacuation behavior of households during a compound hurricane-pandemic event? (2) What are the equity implications for emergency management policies and practices to support evacuation and sheltering during a compound hurricane-pandemic event? Households in the sample were split between those who stated they would evacuate away from the at-risk region and who would stay. Greater household vulnerability to hurricanes …

Assessing Spurious Correlations In Big Search Data, Jesse T. Richman, Ryan J. Roberts

Political Science & Geography Faculty Publications

Big search data offers the opportunity to identify new and potentially real-time measures and predictors of important political, geographic, social, cultural, economic, and epidemiological phenomena, measures that might serve an important role as leading indicators in forecasts and nowcasts. However, it also presents vast new risks that scientists or the public will identify meaningless and totally spurious ‘relationships’ between variables. This study is the first to quantify that risk in the context of search data. We find that spurious correlations arise at exceptionally high frequencies among probability distributions examined for random variables based upon gamma (1, 1) and Gaussian random …

S-400s, Disinformation, And Anti-American Sentiment In Turkey, Russell "Alex" Korb, Saltuk Karahan, Gowri Prathap, Ekrem Kaya, Luke Palmieri, Hamdi Kavak, Richard L. Wilson (Ed.), Major Brendan Curran (Ed.)

Political Science & Geography Faculty Publications

As social and political discourse in most countries becomes more polarized, anti-Americanism has risen not only in the Middle East and Latin America but also among the U.S. allies in Europe. Social media is one platform used to disseminate anti-American views in NATO countries, and its effectiveness can be magnified when mass media, public officials, and popular figures adopt these views. Disinformation, in particular, has gained recognition as a cybersecurity issue from 2016 onward, but disinformation can be manufactured domestically in addition to being part of a foreign influence campaign. In this paper, we analyze Turkish tweets using sentiment analysis …

A Model Of Build Back Better Utilization: Long-Term Recovery Groups And Post-Disaster Housing Recovery, Eduardo Landaeta, Jesse Richman

Political Science & Geography Faculty Publications

Housing recovery, especially for vulnerable populations, can be a challenging process. Questions regarding whether to rebuild damaged housing and whether to restore it to its previous state or to build back better must be answered. In the United States, Long-Term Recovery Groups (LTRGs) play a crucial role in channeling assistance to vulnerable community members as they embark on housing recovery. However, the experiences of LTRGs have been understudied. To address this gap, the study utilizes interviews with a diverse range of LTRG members and develops an agent-based model following the Overview, Design concepts, and Details (ODD) protocol. The results highlight …

Racialization And International Security, Richard W. Maass

Political Science & Geography Faculty Publications

Racialization—the processes that infuse social and political phenomena with racial identities and implications—is an assertion of power, a claim of purportedly inherent differences that has saturated modern diplomacy, order, and violence. Despite the field's consistent interest in power, international security studies in the United States largely omitted racial dynamics from decades of debates about international conflict and cooperation, nuclear proliferation, power transitions, unipolarity, civil wars, terrorism, international order, grand strategy, and other subjects. A new framework lays conceptual bedrock, links relevant literatures to major research agendas in international security, cultivates interdisciplinary dialogues, and charts promising paths to consider how overt …

China’S Global Strategy As Science Fiction, William A. Callahan

Research Collection School of Social Sciences

Xi Jinping is leading China in a new direction, but how are we to understand the PRC’s global strategy? To understand domestic and international politics in most countries, we would look for clues in authoritative sources—leaders’ speeches, official documents and statistics, elite interviews and essays, and public opinion surveys. In the 2000s this method worked well to probe Chinese politics. But since civil society and independent thought have been severely restricted over the past decade under Xi, it’s necessary to go beyond such “factual” sources. To understand China’s global strategy, it’s best to read fiction, especially Chinese science fiction.

The Persistence Of Ethnopopulist Support: The Case Of Rodrigo Duterte's Philippines, Dean C. Dulay, Allen Hicken, Ronald Holmes

Research Collection School of Social Sciences

The past few years have seen an emergence of populist leaders around the world, who have not only accrued but also maintained support despite rampant criticism, governance failures, and the ongoing COVID pandemic. The Philippines' Rodrigo Duterte is the best illustration of this trend, with approval ratings rarely dipping below 80 percent. What explains his high levels of robust public support? We argue that Duterte is an ethnopopulist who uses ethnic appeals in combination with insider vs. outsider rhetoric to garner and maintain public support. Moreover, we argue that ethnic affiliation is a main driver of support for Duterte, and …

The Political Consequences Of Racialized Ethnic Identities, Kimberly Cardenas, Heather Silber Mohamed, Melissa R. Michelson

Political Science

Racial classifications are a social construct with no basis in biology; yet, race is an omnipresent and powerful factor in U.S. politics, shaping electoral boundaries, disbursement of resources, and political alliances (Omi and Winant 1994, Haney López 1994). Race, then, is a malleable construct wielded by varying interests, with racial definitions changing in response to social and political battles. Some new immigrant groups initially classified as not white have been reclassified as white over time, thereby benefitting from associated legal, economic, and sociopolitical privileges. More recently, however, some Latinos have sought recognition as a distinct non-white racial group, in acknowledgment …

Marginalization Of Fezzan Region In Libya, Amad Abukhzaam

CGU Theses & Dissertations

The Fezzan region of Libya experiences instability, conflict, and reduced quality of life. This qualitative case study aimed to understand and compare the positionality and marginalization of Fezzan relative to the other Libyan regions of Cyrenaica and Tripolitania and how this positionality had shaped Fezzan through the Constitutional Monarchy era (1952 to 1969), Gaddafi era (1969 to 2011), and February Revolution era (2011 to 2021). Data came from elite written interviews with former Libyan government members and secondary data from the academic and professional/international literature about Libya and archival information, such as demographics and budgetary data. The conceptual framework contained …

Odd Bedfellows & Marriage Of Necessity: Public Health And Politics In American Federalism, Gabriella Victoria Chianese

Honors Theses and Capstones

In the wake of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, while the public disagrees over mask mandates, required vaccinations, and social distancing, it seems like one common sentiment exists – a distaste for the odd bedfellows of politics and public health. There are those who cry for the compartmentalization of the science of public health and the art of politics to rectify this situation. In the wake of so much confusion and chaos, it is not unjustified to demand the depoliticization of public health; however, this response is unrealistic given the modern political climate, demonstrates a narrow understanding of the …

Russia, Ukraine, And U.S. Policy In The Middle East, Daniel Kurtzer

Faculty Journal Articles

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has influenced U.S. policy in the Middle East, the future of which depends on the outcome of the war, as well as Washington’s commitment to the region.

The Ukraine War: The View From Iran, Hamidreza Azizi

Faculty Journal Articles

Why has Iran chosen to clandestinely have closer ties with Russia in the Ukraine War?

Ukraine’S Economic Shocks In Egypt, Amr Adly, Omar Auf

Faculty Journal Articles

No abstract provided.

What Losing The Iran Deal Could Mean For The Region, Seyed Hossein Mousavian

Faculty Journal Articles

If President Joe Biden is seeking to restore sustainable peace and security in the region, he has to start with reviving the JCPOA.

Democratizing International Relations, Antonio De Aguiar Patriota

Faculty Journal Articles

Former UN Secretary-General Boutros Boutros-Ghali deserves to be remembered for his defense of the application of democratic principles to the international order. Today, the multipolarity of the contemporary world can help further Botrous-Ghali’s vision.

Strategic Survival In Syria, Omar Abu Layla

Faculty Journal Articles

How Russia and Iran maintain their grip in Syria under the shadows of the Ukraine war.

The West’S Stigma, And Why It Loses Global Support By Its Own Actions, Ayman Zaineldine

Faculty Journal Articles

The Ukraine war has exposed, yet again, the deep skepticism of Western intentions across the Global South, undermining efforts to strengthen the rules-based liberal global order. But this is not inevitable as it is a result of policies the West has been pursuing for a long time, which it now must change if it wants to fix its credibility.

Do We Want Them To Understand Each Other? Perceptions Of Political Perspective-Takers, Ian Beatty

Dissertations and Theses @ UNI

America has been more divided along partisan lines in recent years (Pew Research Center, 2019). One major factor contributing to this polarization is a lack of understanding regarding why members of political out-groups maintain their beliefs. The simple act of perspective-taking may help to counter the negative effects of this ideological division. Although the benefits of perspective-taking are well documented (Batson, Polycarpou et al., 1997), less is known regarding perceived perspective-taking or perceptions of perspective-takers. In this study, I explore whether the benefits of perspective-taking can be achieved by witnessing a member of the political in-group take the perspective of …

Let Us Be The Fish Who Grow Legs: A Curriculum Guide For Linking Prison Industrial Complex Abolition, Environmental Justice, And State Power, Tess Gibbs

Scripps Senior Theses

This curriculum guide is designed to connect students’ understandings of environmental problems and injustices to their understandings of prison industrial complex (PIC) abolition, with the ultimate intention of cultivating the knowledge and imaginative practices to develop abolitionist-aligned solutions to environmental justice (EJ) problems outside of frameworks that rely upon state sanction. Students will connect the mutual causal forces of environmental injustices and the carceral state; explore intersections of environmental and carceral politics; and finish the course with broadened understandings of humans’ real and unrealized relationships with each other and the more-than-human world. The guide is intended to be worked through …

A Forgotten Wave: Socialist Women’S Activism And The Struggle For Gender Equality, Sevgi Adak

Book Chapters / Conference Papers

No abstract provided.

Fortune And Hazard For Algeria, Zine Labidine Ghebouli

Faculty Journal Articles

War in Ukraine has brought new cash flow to Algiers, but the state must walk an ever-narrowing path to maintain its non-alignment.

Navigating R2p Between Norm And Practice, Omar Auf

Faculty Journal Articles

The idea that states are responsible for the protection of their own people is a powerful normative and transformative one, but is far from complete or conclusive.

Issue Brief (The Cairo Review Of Global Affairs, 47), Noha El-Mikawy

Faculty Journal Articles

No abstract provided.

System For Scanning And Monitoring Science And Technology Policy Texts Of Us And Eu, Dahai Yu, Aofei Chang, Bolin Hua, Hongguang Wang, Wenjiao Zheng

Journal of Scientific Information Research

[Purpose/significance]Science and technology policy plays a guiding role in the development of science and technology. Whether science and technology policies are efficient and reasonable has an important impact on the rapid development of science and technology. In order to help decision-makers grasp the latest international scientific and technological layout, planning and policy guidance more quickly, especially to track and analyze the scientific, and technological policies of major developed countries in Europe and the United States, grab analyze and mine the corresponding scientific and technological policy texts in real time, has of great significance in the current international environment.[Method/process]This research designed …

Economic Values, Social Values And Cultural Animal Theory, Kevin Smith

Department of Political Science: Faculty Publications

Baumeister and Bushman (this issue: Psychological Inquiry 2023, vol. 34, no. 1) offer a cultural animal theory of partisan hostility (hereafter CAT) with the specific aim of explaining the root drivers of political conflict. CAT posits that competition for power revolves around oppositional worldviews reflecting preferences attached to the two primary objectives of all successful societies: amassing and distributing resources. Based on this premise CAT seeks not only to help explain the persistence of the themes motivating political conflict, but also to shed light on the underlying causes of growing levels affective polarization widely documented in the United States and …

Investigating Perceptions Of Out-Groups In Sport And United States Politics, Cody T. Havard, Elizabeth Theiss-Morse

Department of Political Science: Faculty Publications

The current study investigated how fans and supporters of sport teams and political parties in the United States viewed relevant out-groups and out-group members. Specifically, perceptions of rival sport teams and political parties were compared to determine how fans and supporters differed in their views and likely behaviors toward out-groups. Findings showed that sport fans reported more positive attitudes toward their favorite teams and more negative attitudes of the rival team than in politics. However, political supporters reported more negative perceptions and likely behaviors toward the out-group than fans of sport. Additional analysis revealed that the common in-group influenced perceptions. …

บทบาทของรัฐในการเปลี่ยนผ่านสู่เศรษฐกิจหมุนเวียน: เปรียบเทียบการพัฒนาเศรษฐกิจหมุนเวียนของเยอรมัน ฟินแลนด์ และลักซ์เซมเบิร์ก ในช่วงปี ค.ศ. 2015 – 2022, ชาราวดี พูลคล้าย

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

งานวิจัยชิ้นนี้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อศึกษาบทบาทของรัฐด้านการขับเคลื่อนเศรษฐกิจหมุนเวียนในประเทศเยอรมัน ฟินแลนด์ และลักซ์เซมเบิร์ก ในช่วงค.ศ. 2015 – 2022 โดยวิเคราะห์พัฒนาการและรูปแบบการพัฒนาของทั้งสามประเทศ พบว่าทั้งเยอรมนี ฟินแลนด์ และลักเซมเบิร์กต่างประสบความสำเร็จในการขับเคลื่อนระบบเศรษฐกิจแห่งความยั่งยืนนี้ โดยมีจุดร่วมคือรัฐเป็นผู้อยู่เบื้องหลังความสำเร็จทั้งหมดผ่านการทำงานของกลไกราชการ (Bureaucratic Capacity) ที่มีความเป็นอิสระที่ฝังรากลึก (Embedded Autonomy) ระดับสูง ได้แก่ CEID ของเยอรมนี Sitra ของฟินแลนด์ และกระทรวง MEA, MECO และ MECDD ของลักเซมเบิร์ก นอกจากนี้ โครงสร้างและบทบาทและหน่วยงานหลักที่รับผิดชอบด้านการพัฒนาเศรษฐกิจหมุนเวียนเหล่านี้ยังสะท้อนภาพความเป็นรัฐที่นำการพัฒนาที่มีลักษณะเฉพาะของแต่ละประเทศ คือ เยอรมนีในฐานะรัฐที่นำการพัฒนาที่เน้นการมีส่วนร่วม ฟินแลนด์ในฐานะรัฐที่นำการพัฒนาที่เน้นการชี้นำด้วยความสมัครใจ และลักเซมเบิร์กในฐานะรัฐที่นำการพัฒนาที่เน้นการแบ่งงานกันทำ ซึ่งหมายความว่าการเป็นรัฐที่นำการพัฒนานั้นไม่ได้มีรูปแบบเดียวเสมอไป แต่สามารถมีได้หลายเส้นทางขึ้นอยู่กับบริบทที่เหมาะสมของแต่ละประเทศ

บทบาทของญี่ปุ่นในประเด็นการเปลี่ยนแปลงสภาพภูมิอากาศโลก, นนทิยุต ชัยพงศ์พณิชย์

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

ญี่ปุ่นเป็นหนึ่งในประเทศที่มีความสำคัญต่อระบบสังคมระหว่างประเทศและปัญหาสภาพภูมิอากาศโลกเปลี่ยนแปลงเป็นปัญหาฉุกเฉินที่กำลังทวีความรุนแรงมากขึ้นเรื่อย ๆ ในปัจจุบัน อย่างไรก็ตามการที่จะสามารถแก้ไขปัญหาดังกล่าวได้อย่างมีประสิทธิภาพจำเป็นอย่างยิ่งที่ต้องได้รับความร่วมมือจากประเทศต่าง ๆ ในโลก องค์การระหว่างประเทศโดยเฉพาะอย่างยิ่งสหประชาชาติเป็นปัจจัยที่มีบทบาทสำคัญในการทำให้การแก้ไขปัญหาสภาพภูมิอากาศโลกเปลี่ยนแปลงสามารถประสบความสำเร็จภายใต้ความร่วมมือในระดับนานาชาติ สหประชาชาติได้มีการแพร่ขยายบรรทัดฐานที่จะนำไปสู่การดำเนินนโยบายของตัวรัฐคือบรรทัดฐาน "ความรับผิดชอบของผู้มีสถานะ" และ "การคำนึงถึงระบบองค์รวม" แต่การที่ญี่ปุ่นได้รับนำเอาบรรทัดฐานเหล่านี้มาดำเนินนโยบายนั้น ญี่ปุ่นไม่ได้รับเอาบรรทัดฐานมาโดยไม่เปลี่ยนแปลงให้เหมาะสมกับบรรทัดฐานภายใน ญี่ปุ่นได้ดำเนินกระบวนการที่เรียกว่า "การทำให้เป็นท้องถิ่นของบรรทัดฐาน" ซึ่งเป็นกระบวนการที่ทำให้บรรทัดฐานภายนอกสามารถเชื่อมโยงกับบรรทัดฐานที่ได้รับการยอมอยู่แล้วเป็นวงกว้างในสังคมภายใน ทำให้การดำเนินนโยบายของตัวรัฐซึ่งเป็นนโยบายที่ได้รับอิทธิพลมาจากบรรทัดฐานภายนอกเหล่านี้สามารถดำเนินได้อย่างราบรื่นและปราศจากแรงต่อต้านจากสังคมภายใน

Party-Movement Interactions In A Contested Democracy: The Philippine Experience, Arjan P. Aguirre

Political Science Department Faculty Publications

No abstract provided.

Finnish Response To Nato - Views From The Evangelical Lutheran Church And Christians In Finnish Politics, Miro Leporanta

Occasional Papers on Religion in Eastern Europe

Excerpt:

Finland placed an application for NATO in May of 2022, together with Sweden, with whom Finland’s foreign policy goals had been aligned for years.

Finnish Christianity and Finnish Churches have offered a variety of responses to the end of Finland’s non-military alignment. Of historical institutions in Finland, the Finnish Evangelical Lutheran Church (hereafter FELC) has a prominent social influence and is regarded as an institution that represents that country's values. This applies to Finnish defense policy as well. The church is a prominent player in the Finnish army and conscript service. On the FELC website, the Church states that: …