Urban Studies and Planning Commons^™

North Clackamas School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 To 2021-22, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Jason R. Jurjevich, Kevin Rancik, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The District enrolled 17,280 students in Fall 2011, a decrease of 68 students (‐0.4 percent) from Fall 2010. Following the recent economic recession, which began in late 2008, enrollment has declined for NCSD in each of the last three consecutive years. This period of decline in …

Ashland School District: Population And Enrollment Forecasts 2012-13 To 2021-22, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Bimal Rajbhandary, Kevin Rancik

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Ashland School District (ASD) in recent years, "baseline" forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years and "baseline" forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The forecasts are characterized as baseline because they do not include additional residents of other districts who may enroll in ASD schools as a result of the new open enrollment policy. Fall 2011 K‐12 …

Oregon Trail School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 To 2021-22, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Bimal Rajbhandary, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. Fall 2011 enrollment in all OTSD schools was 4,089. In the twelve years since 1999‐2000, total K‐ 12 enrollment in the Oregon Trail School District has been relatively stable, never exceeding 4,220 …

Gresham-Barlow School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2012-13 To 2021-22, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Vivian Siu, Charles Rynerson, Ryan Dann

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on Gresham‐Barlow School District (GBSD) enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years.

Estimates Of Population Age Groups (Ages Under 18 Yrs., 18-64 Yrs., And 65 Yrs. And Over) For Oregon And Its Counties, July 1, 2011, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa Proehl

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

Estimates of population age groups for Oregon and its counties.

Certified 2011 Population Estimates For Oregon And Counties, Portland State University. Population Research Center

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

Certified Population Estimates for Oregon and Its Counties. This item also contains estimates for Incorporated Cities/Towns.

Population Forecasts For The Tri-City Servicedistrict, Clackamas County Service District #1, Clackamas County Service District #1 With All Damascus, And The City Of Milwaukie 2010-2040, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Kanhaiya Vaidya, Bimal Rajbhandary, Kevin Rancik

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

The Tri-City Service District (TCSD) and Clackamas County Service District #1 (CCSD #1), both of Clackamas County, requested that the Population Research Center (PRC) at Portland State University produce long-term population forecasts for each of the two sewer service districts. In addition, CCSD#1 requested that forecasts also be developed to include the entire city of Damascus to account for possible future annexation into its district; and the city of Milwaukie, as CCSD#1 leases services to Milwaukie. The forecast horizon extends 30 years from 2010 to 2040, and projections are produced in 5-year intervals. For the 2010-2015 interval, forecast numbers for …

Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2012-13 To 2021-22, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, Ryan Dann

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,366 students in Fall 2011, a decrease of 27 students (0.2 percent) from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of K‐12 enrollment loss, but the change was small compared with the loss …

Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 To 2020-21, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, David West

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2011‐12 to 2020‐21 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2011‐12 to 2015‐16 school years. The District’s K‐12 enrollment of 7,751 in 2010‐11 was nearly unchanged from 2009‐10, having declined by just 13 students (0.2 percent). In each of the six years between 2004‐05 and 2010‐ 11, …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 To 2025-26, Based On October 2010 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, David West

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

In Fall 2011, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 46,206 students in grades K-12, an increase of 465 students from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of enrollment growth, following 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses that occurred between 1996- 97 and 2008-09. For the three year period since 2008-09, PPS K-12 enrollment has grown by 1,182 students, or 2.6 percent. In seven of the past eight years, actual K-12 enrollment in the first year of the forecast has been within 300 students of the medium scenario characterized as the “most likely” Enrollment Forecast in reports similar to this …

North Santiam School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 To 2025-26, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the North Santiam School District (NSSD). The three district‐wide Enrollment Forecast scenarios for the period 2011‐12 to 2025‐26 describe a long‐range in which enrollment is either relatively stable (LOW series), growing moderately (MIDDLE series), or growing rapidly (HIGH series). They differ due in their assumptions about migration levels as well as the share of District school‐age residents attending NSSD schools. Assumptions for migration rates by age and sex incorporate observations from the 1990s and 2000s, and population growth levels in …

North Clackamas School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 To 2020-21, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, David West

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2011-12 to 2020-21 school years. The District enrolled 17,368 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 210 students (1.2 percent) from Fall 2009. This was the second consecutive year of decline in enrollment following 22 consecutive years of K-12 enrollment growth between 1986-87 and 2008- 09. This year, for the first …

2000-2009 County Intercensal Estimates, Portland State University. Population Research Center

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

This item only contains Oregon population tables, by county, comparing 2000 and 2009 census data.

2010 Annual Population Report (April 22, 2011), Portland State University. Population Research Center

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

This item contains Oregon population tables. The certified July 1, 2010 Population estimates were prepared by the Population Research Center prior to the release of the April 1, 2010 Census data.

The 2010 Population Estimates in the included table are based on the Population Research Center data certified as of December 31, 2010.

Central Oregon, Metropolitan Portland Are State’S Fastest-Growing Areas, Jason R. Jurjevich

Publications, Reports and Presentations

Population grew in all regions of Oregon between 2000 and 2010, and the proportion of Oregonians living in the three-county metropolitan Portland region inched up to nearly 43 percent, according to newly released U.S. Census Bureau data. Central Oregon grew by 30.5 percent during the decade — the fastest growth rate of any region of the state. By 2010, about 5.2 percent of Oregon residents, or just over 200,000 people, lived in the area composed of Crook, Deschutes and Jefferson counties (Table 1). The three-county Portland metro region grew 13.6 percent during the decade, the second-fastest rate of growth in …

2010 Oregon Revised Population Estimates, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa Proehl

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

This item contains Oregon population estimates, revised and newly certified to incorporate Census 2010, as of March 31, 2011. This file includes the Quarter 1 and Quarter 2 Annexations Supplement to the revised 2010 Estimates.

Mcminnville School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 To 2015-16, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, David West, Megan Robertson

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The McMinnville School District (MSD) enrolled 6,411 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 156 students (2.4 percent) from Fall 2009. The decrease occurred at all levels, including losses of 98 students (3.2 percent) in elementary grades K-5, seven students (0.5 percent) in middle school grades 6-8, and 51 students (2.5 percent) in high school grades 9-12. In spite of this year’s enrollment decline, district-wide K-12 enrollment in Fall 2010 was 381 students (6.3 percent) larger than in Fall 2005. During the five year period, all levels shared the growth, with increases of 5.7 percent at the elementary and middle …

Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2011-12 To 2020-21, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, David West

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past five years. This study includes forecasts of district-wide enrollment for the 10 years from 2011-12 to 2020-21 and forecasts for individual schools for the five years from 2011-12 to 2015-16. The 10 year horizon of the district-wide forecast enhances opportunities for school districts to coordinate long range planning with city and county comprehensive plans, which may extend for 20 or more years. After many years of growth, K-12 enrollment in the Canby School District reached about 5,300 …

The American Community Survey And The 2010 Census, Robert Lycan, Charles Rynerson

Publications, Reports and Presentations

A presentation focusing on the 2010 Census redistricting data, the American Community Survey (ACS), analysis and use of census data. Describes the differences between the ACS and the census, and explains where and how this information may be accessed. The presentation also discusses imputation errors present in the census.

Demography As Destiny?: Socioeconomic Trends In The Portland Metropolitan Region, Sheila A. Martin, Jason R. Jurjevich

Institute of Metropolitan Studies Publications

A .pdf version of a PowerPoint presentation to the Multnomah County Library Advisory Board, February 8, 2011. Focuses on a wide range of issues surrounding demographic changes, migration, educational attainment, and population trends.

Corvallis School District: Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 To 2020-21, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, David West, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing, employment, and school enrollment trends affecting the Corvallis School District (CSD) in recent years, estimates of the average number of CSD students living in single family homes, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2011‐12 to 2020‐21 school years.

Estimates Of Population Age Groups (Ages Under 18 Yrs., 18-64 Yrs., And 65 Yrs. And Over) For Oregon And Its Counties, July 1, 2010, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa Proehl

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

Estimates of population age groups for Oregon and its counties.

Estimates For Population Ages 4-20 Years For Oregon And Its Counties, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa Proehl

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

Estimates for population ages 4-20 years for Oregon and its counties.

Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2011-12 To 2020-21, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, David West, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of districtwide and individual school enrollments for the 2011-12 to 2020-21 school years. The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,393 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 74 students (0.6 percent) from Fall 2009. The loss occurred at both the elementary and middle school levels, with decreases of 41 students (0.7 percent) in …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2010-11 To 2020-21, Based On October 2009 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 45,592 K-12 students in Fall 2009, an increase of 568 students (1.3 percent) from Fall 2008. This growth breaks the string of 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses and represents the District’s biggest growth since 1992. Growth was concentrated at the elementary level (K-5th grade), which added 577 students (2.6 percent). District-wide secondary levels experienced relatively stable enrollments, with a loss of 55 students (0.6 percent) in middle school grades (6th-8th), and growth of 46 students (0.4 percent) in high school grades (9th-12th). The medium growth scenario forecast prepared last year, based on …

Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2010-11 To 2019-20, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, David West

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district-wide enrollment by grade level for the 2010-11 to 2019-20 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2010-11 to 2014-15 school years. The District’s K-12 enrollment of 7,764 in 2009-10 was 232 students (2.9 percent) below its 2004-05 peak enrollment of 7,796 students. The 2008-09 to 2009-10 loss of 114 students (1.4 percent) was …

Sherwood School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2010-11 To 2014-15, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, Megan Robertson

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Sherwood School District (SSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2010-11 to 2014-15 school years. Total K-12 enrollment in the District increased by 215 students (4.7 percent) between Fall 2008 and Fall 2009, reaching 4,748 students. For the fourth consecutive year, percentage gains were greater at both of the secondary levels than at the elementary level, as the students who contributed to …

Population Dynamics Of The Portland-Vancouver Msa, Webb Sprague, Emily Picha

Institute of Metropolitan Studies Publications

This article offers a descriptive overview of population dynamics in the Portland-Vancouver Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). The MSA includes five of Oregon’s 36 counties–Clackamas, Columbia, Multnomah, Washington, and Yamhill, as well as Clark and Skamania counties in the state of Washington (see Figure 1). (In 2007, the Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton MSA was redefined to include Skamania County in Washington. For the sake of comparability, we have therefore derived all historical data as if this definition has always applied. Because of this change, many of our historical numbers may have shifted since the last report on Oregon demography in the 2007 Metropolitan Briefing …

Population Characteristics Within The Portland-Vancouver Msa, Webb Sprague, Emily Picha, Sheila A. Martin

Institute of Metropolitan Studies Publications

In this article, we will explore population characteristics in different parts of the Portland MSA using Census Public Use Microsample (PUMS) data from 2005-2007. For the spatial component, we will use a Census-defined small area geography called Public Use Microsample Area (PUMA), designed to follow existing county boundaries and contain around 100,000 people. (The Census reports the one-year and three-year ACS data only to the detail of this geography in order to maintain the privacy of survey respondents and to improve the precision of the estimates.)

We will sometimes focus on a couple of example PUMAs to show the interesting …

Bend-La Pine School District: Population And Enrollment Forecasts 2010-11 To 2030-31, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, Richard Lycan, David West

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Bend-La Pine School District (BLPSD) enrolled 15,898 students in Fall 2009, an increase of 61 students from Fall 2008. This followed a loss of 13 students between Fall 2007 and Fall 2008. These two most recent years are in sharp contrast with the previous 19 years of uninterrupted gains of more than 200 students each year. K-12 enrollment growth averaged about 350 students per year from 1990 to 2000, and about 400 students per year from 2000 to 2007. The enrollment trends align closely with the housing and employment trends described in this report. Housing growth began to slow …