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Articles 361 - 390 of 849
Full-Text Articles in Economics
Limit Theory For Explosively Cointegrated Systems, Peter C.B. Phillips, Tassos Magdalinos
Limit Theory For Explosively Cointegrated Systems, Peter C.B. Phillips, Tassos Magdalinos
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
A limit theory is developed for multivariate regression in an explosive cointegrated system. The asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimator of the cointegrating coefficients is found to depend upon the precise relationship between the explosive regressors. When the eigenvalues of the autoregressive matrix are distinct, the centered least squares estimator has an exponential rate of convergence and a mixed normal limit distribution. No central limit theory is applicable here and Gaussian innovations are assumed. On the other hand, when some regressors exhibit common explosive behavior, a different mixed normal limiting distribution is derived with rate of convergence reduced to …
Strategic Distinguishability With An Application To Robust Virtual Implementation, Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris
Strategic Distinguishability With An Application To Robust Virtual Implementation, Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
In a general interdependent preference environment, we characterize when two payoff types can be distinguished by their rationalizable strategic choices without any prior knowledge of their beliefs and higher order beliefs. We show that two types are strategically distinguishable if and only if they satisfy a separability condition. The separability condition for each agent essentially requires that there is not too much interdependence in preferences across agents. A social choice function — mapping payoff type profiles to outcomes — can be robustly virtually implemented if there exists a mechanism such that every equilibrium on every type space achieves an outcome …
Strategic Distinguishability And Robust Virtual Implementation, Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris
Strategic Distinguishability And Robust Virtual Implementation, Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
In a general interdependent preference environment, we characterize when two payoff types can be distinguished by their rationalizable strategic choices without any prior knowledge of their beliefs and higher order beliefs. We show that two types are strategically distinguishable if and only if they satisfy a separability condition. The separability condition for each agent essentially requires that there is not too much interdependence in preferences across agents. A social choice function — mapping payoff type profiles to outcomes — can be robustly virtually implemented if there exists a mechanism such that every equilibrium on every type space achieves an outcome …
Historic Turning Points In Real Estate, Robert J. Shiller
Historic Turning Points In Real Estate, Robert J. Shiller
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
This paper looks for markers of ends of real estate booms or busts. The changes in market psychology and related indicators that occurred at real estate market turning points in the United States since the 1980s are compared with changes at turning points in the more distant past. In all these episodes changes in an atmosphere of optimism about the future course of home prices, changes in public interpretation of the boom, as well as evidence of supply response to the high prices of a boom, are noted.
Long Run Covariance Matrices For Fractionally Integrated Processes, Peter C.B. Phillips, Chang Sik Kim
Long Run Covariance Matrices For Fractionally Integrated Processes, Peter C.B. Phillips, Chang Sik Kim
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
An asymptotic expansion is given for the autocovariance matrix of a vector of stationary long-memory processes with memory parameters d satisfying 0 < d < 1/2. The theory is then applied to deliver formulae for the long run covariance matrices of multivariate time series with long memory.
Effect Of Financial Globalization On Developing Countries: Some Empirical Evidence By Eswar S. Prasad Et Al - A Review., Margaret Johnson-Hilili
Effect Of Financial Globalization On Developing Countries: Some Empirical Evidence By Eswar S. Prasad Et Al - A Review., Margaret Johnson-Hilili
Economic and Financial Review
A review of the paper "Effect of Financial Globalization on Developing Countries: Some Empirical Evidence" by Eswar S. Prasad. This paper provides an assessment of empirical evidence on the effect of financial globalization on developing economies. The authors used dejure restrictions on capital flows and actual capital flows across national borders in measuring the extent of a country's financial integration with the global economy.
The Rise Of Asian-Owned Businesses In Massachusetts: Data From The 2002 Economic Census Survey Of Business Owners, Michael Liu, Paul Watanabe
The Rise Of Asian-Owned Businesses In Massachusetts: Data From The 2002 Economic Census Survey Of Business Owners, Michael Liu, Paul Watanabe
Institute for Asian American Studies Publications
Asian-owned businesses are following a very rapid growth trajectory in Massachusetts. In fact, Asian-owned firms increased by 44 percent in Massachusetts from 1997 to 2002. This growth is nearly double the national gain of 24 percent for all Asian-owned firms in the United States. Moreover, during the same time period, the number of all firms in the state expanded by only five percent. Similar comparisons can be made when looking at sales and receipts and number of paid employees. From 1997-2002, Asian-owned businesses in Massachusetts experienced an increase in sales and receipts of 20 percent. This was over three times …
Displacement, Asymmetric Information, And Heterogeneous Human Capital, Luojia Hu, Christopher Taber
Displacement, Asymmetric Information, And Heterogeneous Human Capital, Luojia Hu, Christopher Taber
Upjohn Institute Working Papers
In a seminal paper, Gibbons and Katz (1991) develop and empirically test an asymmetric information model of the labor market. The model predicts that wage losses following displacement should be larger for layoffs than for plant closings, which was borne out by data from the Displaced Workers Survey (DWS). In this paper, we take advantage of many more years of DWS data to examine how the difference in wage losses across plant closings and layoffs varies with race and gender. We find that the differences between white males and the other groups are striking and complex. The "lemons effect" of …
Issues In Nigeria's Transport Data For Planning And International Comparison, G.T. Arosanyin
Issues In Nigeria's Transport Data For Planning And International Comparison, G.T. Arosanyin
Economic and Financial Review
This paper examines the types, sources and shortcomings of transport data required for planning and international comparison in Nigeria. The paper found that transport data as published in Nigeria are deficient in terms of transport development indicators, projections, comprehensiveness, consistency, adequacy and classification accuracy, among others. For Nigeria's transport data to be very useful for planning and international comparison there is the need for the government to adequately fund transport surveys regularly; harmonize the functions of the various agencies responsible for transport data collection and publication and; computerize the data storage and retrieval system.
Tariff And Factor Allocation In A Small Open Economy: Nigeria, T. B. Dipo, Elias A. Udeaja
Tariff And Factor Allocation In A Small Open Economy: Nigeria, T. B. Dipo, Elias A. Udeaja
Economic and Financial Review
This paper examines the likely impact of import tax reduction and its subsequent elimination on factor re-allocation under alternative exchange rate regimes in Nigeria. The study observed that the patterns of reallocation are quite qualitatively similar under alternative exchange rate regimes. Particular findings suggest that, under both exchange rate regimes, as import tariff is reduced progressively, the services industry loses labour employment to the manufacturing and agricultural sectors while the agricultural sector loses capital to both the manufacturing and service sectors. Under the different exchange rate regimes, the manufacturing sector is a net employer of labour and capital. The study …
The Industry Effects Of Monetary Policy In The Euro Area By Gert Peersman And Frank Smets: A Review, Ade O. Adenuga
The Industry Effects Of Monetary Policy In The Euro Area By Gert Peersman And Frank Smets: A Review, Ade O. Adenuga
Economic and Financial Review
The article sheds some light on the question of whether monetary policy has stronger effects on economic activity in recessions than in expansions. It analyzed which industries are relatively more affected in downturns. The estimation was done by examining eleven manufacturing industries in seven countries of the euro area. The article is related to the works of Garcia and Schaller,1995; Kakes, 1998; Dolado and Maria-Dolores, 1999; and Peersman and Smets, 2001.
The Informal Sector And Employment Generation In Nigeria, A. S. Atoloye
The Informal Sector And Employment Generation In Nigeria, A. S. Atoloye
Economic and Financial Review
What this paper attempts to do is to bring the issues of employment generation in the NEEDS programme and the informal sector into sharper focus. The objective of the paper, therefore, is to assess how far the NEEDS programme has positioned the informal sector of the Nigerian economy, which constitutes the larger segment of the economy in playing the catalytic role of poverty eradication in Nigeria, and to explore the possibility of repositioning the sector to benefit more from the target employment under the programme.
Water Stress And Water Wars, Frederic L. Pryor
Water Stress And Water Wars, Frederic L. Pryor
Economics Faculty Works
This essay argues three propositions: (1) by 2025 roughly one third of the world's population will be living in countries which are water-stressed, at least by conventional criteria; (2) nevertheless, macro evidence does not portend that the world will be unable to feed its growing population at that time; (3) interstate armed conflicts over water, which were not very important in the last quarter of the twentieth century, seem unlikely to become more intense in the coming decades, especially since most countries have not utilized the enormous possibilities for saving scarce water.
Monetary Policy And Inflation In The European Monetary Union – Perspectives And Lessons, Lucjan T. Orlowski
Monetary Policy And Inflation In The European Monetary Union – Perspectives And Lessons, Lucjan T. Orlowski
WCBT Faculty Publications
The paper examines systemic changes in monetary policies in Europe that have played a pivotal role in containing inflation. It emphasizes the connection between the systemic evolution of monetary policies and the precepts of the original as well as the new generation policy models prescribed by the ‘Washington Consensus’. It further underscores the importance of key criteria of optimum currency area (labor mobility, trade openness, symmetric consumer preferences and political integration) for viability and further future enlargement of the euro area. For the candidates to the euro flexible inflation targeting policies that encompass the euro-convergence parameters are suggested.
Middle Class Star, John Yinger
Middle Class Star, John Yinger
Center for Policy Research
It’s Elementary is a series of essays on topics in education and education policy. The main focus is on education finance in New York State, but general research findings in education and education policy issues in several other states are also discussed. John Yinger, Professor of Economics and Public Administration at the Maxwell School, Syracuse University is the author of most of these essays, although a few are written by or co-authored with other scholars.
Postmodernism And The Individual As A Process: Comment On Ruccio And Amariglio, John B. Davis
Postmodernism And The Individual As A Process: Comment On Ruccio And Amariglio, John B. Davis
Economics Faculty Research and Publications
No abstract provided.
Globalization, Immigration And The Welfare State: A Cross-National Comparison, Qingwen Xu
Globalization, Immigration And The Welfare State: A Cross-National Comparison, Qingwen Xu
The Journal of Sociology & Social Welfare
Over the past decades, the forces of globalization have helped created a huge wave of immigration. The relationship between globalization and immigration has been intensely examined in the last decade with a focus not only on whether and how much globalization has caused international immigration but also how to promote and sustain a just global system for the growing number of immigrants. This study selects three developed countries with different welfare state philosophies and traditions-Australia, Sweden and the United States-and compares how they cope with the growing number of immigrants and their various needs. This paper reflects thinking about states' …
A Structuralist Model Of The Small Open Economy In The Short, Medium And Long Run, Hian Teck Hoon, Edmund S. Phelps
A Structuralist Model Of The Small Open Economy In The Short, Medium And Long Run, Hian Teck Hoon, Edmund S. Phelps
Research Collection School Of Economics
Open-economy macroeconomics contains a monetary model in the Keynesian tradition that is deemed serviceable for analyzing the short run and a nonmonetary neoclassical model thought capable of handling the long run. But do the Keynesian and neoclassical models meet the challenges thrown out by the main events of the past few decades? We first indicate that the effects of these shocks on the open economy are not well captured by either the standard Keynesian model or the standard neoclassical theory. Next we provide a careful development of a nonmonetary model of the equilibrium path of the real exchange rate, share …
Nonlinear Filters Based On Taylor Series Expansions, Hisashi Tanizaki, Roberto S. Mariano
Nonlinear Filters Based On Taylor Series Expansions, Hisashi Tanizaki, Roberto S. Mariano
Research Collection School Of Economics
The nonlinear filters based on Taylor series approximation are broadly used for computational simplicity, even though their filtering estimates are clearly biased. In this paper, first, we analyze what is approximated when we apply the expanded nonlinear functions to the standard linear recursive Kalman filter algorithm. Next, since the state variable αt and αt-t are approximated as a conditional normal distribution given information up to time t - 1 (i.e., It-1) in approximation of the Taylor series expansion, it might be appropriate to evaluate each expectation by generating normal random numbers of αt and α …
Autarkic Indeterminacy And Trade Determinacy, Kong Weng Ho, Nicholas Sim
Autarkic Indeterminacy And Trade Determinacy, Kong Weng Ho, Nicholas Sim
Research Collection School Of Economics
No abstract provided.
A Structuralist Model Of The Small Open Economy In The Short, Medium And Long Run, Hian Teck Hoon, Edmund S. Phelps
A Structuralist Model Of The Small Open Economy In The Short, Medium And Long Run, Hian Teck Hoon, Edmund S. Phelps
Research Collection School Of Economics
Open-economy macroeconomics contains a monetary model in the Keynesian tradition that is deemed serviceable for analyzing the short run and a nonmonetary neoclassical model thought capable of handling the long run. But do the Keynesian and neoclassical models meet the challenges thrown out by the main events of the past few decades—the ’80s shock to Europe from the sharp increase of external real interest rates; the kind of speculative shock experienced in the U.S. and parts of northern Europe in the second half of the ’90s: the prospect of new industries emerging in the future with needs for new capital; …
A Structuralist Model Of The Small Open Economy In The Short, Medium And Long Run, Hian Teck Hoon, Edmund S. Phelps
A Structuralist Model Of The Small Open Economy In The Short, Medium And Long Run, Hian Teck Hoon, Edmund S. Phelps
Research Collection School Of Economics
In open-economy macroeconomics there is a monetary model in the Keynesian tradition that is deemed serviceable for analyzing the short run and there is a nonmonetary neoclassical theory thought capable of handling the long run. But do the Keynesian and neoclassical models meet the challenges thrown out by the main events of the past few decades¡ªthe '80s shock to Europe taking the form of an external jump in real interest rates; the sort of shock experienced in the U.S. and parts of northern Europe in the second half of the '90s: the emerging prospect of new industries in the future …
Characterizing Exchange Rate Policy In East Asia: A Reconsideration, Hwee Kwan Chow, Yoonbai Kim, Wei Sun
Characterizing Exchange Rate Policy In East Asia: A Reconsideration, Hwee Kwan Chow, Yoonbai Kim, Wei Sun
Research Collection School Of Economics
Frankel and Wei (1994) developed and popularized a method for uncovering the implicit weights assigned to major international currencies constituting a currency basket. We extend the methodology in two dimensions: include regional competitive pressure and employ a vector autoregressive (VAR) model to overcome simultaneity bias. With these modifications, we confirm the prominent role of the US dollar in the exchange rate policy of East Asian economies beyond the short run. However, despite the high degree of commitment to nominal exchange rate stability prior to the crisis, fluctuations in most East Asian currencies are also significantly influenced by country specific shocks. …
Distance To Frontier And The Big Swings Of The Unemployment Rate: What Room Is Left For Monetary Policy?, Hian Teck Hoon, Kong Weng Ho
Distance To Frontier And The Big Swings Of The Unemployment Rate: What Room Is Left For Monetary Policy?, Hian Teck Hoon, Kong Weng Ho
Research Collection School Of Economics
This paper builds upon Hoon and Phelps (1992, 1997) to ask how much of the evolution of the unemployment rate over several decades in country can be explained by real factors in an equilibrium model of the natural rate where country's productivity growth depends upon its distance from the world's technological leader. One motivating contemporary example includes the evolution of unemployment rates in Europe as it recovered from the second world war and caught up technologically to the US. Another example that may be less familiar to many people is Singapore (the second fastest growing economy from 1960 to 2000 …
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Value-Based Purchasing Newsletter
No abstract provided.
Health Of The Nation = Health Of The National Work Force, Janice L. Clarke
Health Of The Nation = Health Of The National Work Force, Janice L. Clarke
Value-Based Purchasing Newsletter
No abstract provided.
Letter From A Graduate Of Camhb, Karin Grinstad
Letter From A Graduate Of Camhb, Karin Grinstad
Value-Based Purchasing Newsletter
No abstract provided.
Vbp Interview With Debra Ness, Dale Shaller
Vbp Interview With Debra Ness, Dale Shaller
Value-Based Purchasing Newsletter
No abstract provided.
“Consumer Engagement”: Great Expectations For Employees -- And Their Employers, Dale Shaller
“Consumer Engagement”: Great Expectations For Employees -- And Their Employers, Dale Shaller
Value-Based Purchasing Newsletter
No abstract provided.