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Portland State University

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

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Hermiston School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 To 2016-17, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu Jun 2007

Hermiston School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 To 2016-17, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Hermiston School District (HSD) has experienced increases in overall K-12 enrollment in each of the past 11 years. In the past five years, enrollments have increased by an average of 119 annually, reaching a total of 4,776 students in Fall 2006. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario is for continued enrollment growth in the HSD during the next 10 years until 2016-17.


Forest Grove School District: Enrollment Forecasts 2007-08 To 2011-12, Portland State University. Population Research Center May 2007

Forest Grove School District: Enrollment Forecasts 2007-08 To 2011-12, Portland State University. Population Research Center

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Forest Grove School District (FGSD) enrolled 6,102 students in Fall 2006, an increase of 175 students (3.0 percent) from Fall 2005. Growth was concentrated in the high school grades (9-12), which grew by 101 students (5.5 percent), and elementary grades, which gained 66 students (2.9 percent) between Fall 2005 and Fall 2006. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on FGSD enrollment, and …


Oregon Trail School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 To 2016-17, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu Mar 2007

Oregon Trail School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 To 2016-17, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

Since the Oregon Trail School District (OTSD) was formed in 1997, overall K-12 enrollment has changed very little, with very small increases or decreases in most years. The K-12 total of 4,164 in 2006-07 is 164 students (3 percent) below the 1998-99 peak, but nearly identical to the total seven years ago in 1999-2000. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future OTSD enrollment is for continued stability in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2011-12, and modest growth in …


Junction City School District: Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 To 2011-12, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu Feb 2007

Junction City School District: Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 To 2011-12, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

After a period of sustained enrollment growth from the late 1980s through the 1997-98 school year, total enrollment in the Junction City School District (JCSD) has fallen in eight of the past nine years. During the period, all schools have lost enrollment, and the K-12 total has decreased by 248 students, from 2,083 in 1997-98 to 1,835 in 2006-07. This report presents Enrollment Forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) exploring three possible scenarios for JCSD enrollment during the next five years, each with a unique assumption about the pace of expected housing development.


North Marion School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 To 2016-17, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu Feb 2007

North Marion School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 To 2016-17, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

After a period of slow growth in the late 1990s, total enrollment in the North Marion School District (NMSD) has grown by an average of 2.5 percent annually over the most recent six years from 2000-01 to 2006-07. During the period, all schools have added enrollment, and the K-12 total has increased by 270 students, from 1,670 to 1,940. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that overall NMSD enrollment will continue to increase during the next 10 years, with the greatest initial (five year) growth in primary …


Canby School District: Enrollment Forecasts 2007-08 To 2011-12, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu Jan 2007

Canby School District: Enrollment Forecasts 2007-08 To 2011-12, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Canby School District (CSD) enrolled 5,075 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 171 students (3.3 percent) from Fall 2005. Much of the K-12 decrease was due to a relatively small kindergarten class entering and a record large 12th grade class graduating. Also, unlike most previous years, the District did not have a net gain of students due to migration of families with children. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years …


Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2007-08 To 2011-12, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu Dec 2006

Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2007-08 To 2011-12, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,300 students in Fall 2006, an increase of 167 students (1.4 percent) from Fall 2005. Growth was concentrated in the elementary grades (K-5), which grew by 195 students (3.6 percent) between Fall 2005 and Fall 2006. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2007-08 to …


Three Rivers School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 To 2016-17, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu Nov 2006

Three Rivers School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 To 2016-17, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The area served by the Three Rivers School District (TRSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment in 2006-07 is 17 percent lower than its 1995-96 peak. Total K-12 enrollment has fallen in each of the past 11 years and is now lower than in any of the past 30 years. Losses have been greatest in the elementary grades (K-5), which enroll 27 percent fewer students than in 1996-97. The middle grades (6-8) have lost 20 percent in enrollment during the same period, while the high school grades (9-12) have lost only …


Scappoose School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 To 2020-21, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu Oct 2006

Scappoose School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 To 2020-21, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Scappoose School District (SSD) in northwestern Oregon serves the City of Scappoose and the southeastern portion of Columbia County, as well as the extreme northwestern portion of Multnomah County and a small piece of Washington County. The area served by the District has experienced population growth in recent years, but overall school enrollment losses in two of the past five years have negated the gains in the other three years. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that SSD enrollment will increase during the next fifteen years, …


Centennial School District: Enrollment Forecast, 2004 To 2015, Portland State University. Population Research Center, George C. Hough Jr. Jun 2006

Centennial School District: Enrollment Forecast, 2004 To 2015, Portland State University. Population Research Center, George C. Hough Jr.

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Population Research Center at Portland State University was asked by Centennial School District to provide Enrollment Forecasts for the District by grade level for the years 2004 to 2015. This report presents Enrollment Forecasts for the school district, as well as background information on the District, and the methods used for the forecast.


Gresham-Barlow School District 10j: Enrollment Forecasts For Elementary And Middle Schools And School Attendance Areas, 2006 To 2015, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Irina V. Sharkova, Kenneth Radin Jun 2006

Gresham-Barlow School District 10j: Enrollment Forecasts For Elementary And Middle Schools And School Attendance Areas, 2006 To 2015, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Irina V. Sharkova, Kenneth Radin

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address the long-range planning needs of the Gresham-Barlow School District (“District”). It provides annual enrollment projections by grade for the District's eleven elementary and five middle school attendance areas from 2006 to 2015. It also provides annual enrollment projections by grade for elementary and middle schools. The projections correspond to the medium growth District-wide scenario developed by PRC in the 2004 study. The report begins with an overview of recent population and housing trends in the District's elementary and middle school attendance areas as …


North Santiam School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 To 2025-26, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, Risa S. Proehl May 2006

North Santiam School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 To 2025-26, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, Risa S. Proehl

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The North Santiam School District (NSSD) covers about 100 square miles of Marion and Linn Counties in Western Oregon, and includes the communities of Lyons, Mehama, Stayton, and Sublimity. The area served by the District has experienced sustained growth in population, housing, and public school enrollment in recent years. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that NSSD enrollment will continue to grow during the next twenty years. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. Population and housing are closely related to access to jobs. …


Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based On October 2005 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Vicky Buelow, Kenneth Radin, George C. Hough Jr., Charles Rynerson Apr 2006

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based On October 2005 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Vicky Buelow, Kenneth Radin, George C. Hough Jr., Charles Rynerson

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2005 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual …


Hillsboro School District: Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 To 2015-16, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu Apr 2006

Hillsboro School District: Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 To 2015-16, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Hillsboro School District (HSD) has experienced enrollment growth throughout the 1990s and 2000s. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that HSD enrollment will continue to grow during the next ten years. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with population dynamics and housing development. Population and housing are closely related to employment levels. By itself, the District’s past growth is no guarantee of future long-term growth, but in the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to continue to increase at all grade levels. …


Enrollment Forecast (2006-2015) For Klamath Falls City Schools, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Vicky Buelow, George C. Hough Jr. Dec 2005

Enrollment Forecast (2006-2015) For Klamath Falls City Schools, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Vicky Buelow, George C. Hough Jr.

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report, prepared by the Population Research Center (PRC) provides a district-wide Enrollment Forecast, Enrollment Forecasts for individual schools, and demographic information for Klamath Falls City Schools (KFCS). The Enrollment Forecasts are developed for each grade for both the district-wide forecast and for the individual schools. KFCS offers education for students in grades kindergarten through 12. However, there is an area within its geographic boundary where not all public school students attend schools in KFCS. This area is referred to as the ‘overlap’ area. Students residing in the overlap area in grades 9-12 attend school in KFCS and those in …


Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2005-2015, Based On October 2004 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston, Risa S. Proehl, Sonoko Endo, Richard Lycan Aug 2005

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2005-2015, Based On October 2004 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston, Risa S. Proehl, Sonoko Endo, Richard Lycan

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 6 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2004 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2004 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual …


Medford School District 549: School Enrollment Forecast, 2005 To 2015, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Irina V. Sharkova, Kenneth Radin, Richard Lycan Jul 2005

Medford School District 549: School Enrollment Forecast, 2005 To 2015, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Irina V. Sharkova, Kenneth Radin, Richard Lycan

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Population Research Center at Portland State University was asked by Medford School District to prepare an Enrollment Forecast for the 2005-2015 period. The District asked the Center to develop forecasts by grade for the District as a whole, as well as for its elementary, middle, and high schools. This report presents these forecasts, including a discussion of the data and methods used and an overview of population and housing trends and patterns.


Enrollment Forecast (2006-2015) For Greater Albany Public School District, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Sonoko Endo, Renee Ramey Mar 2005

Enrollment Forecast (2006-2015) For Greater Albany Public School District, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Sonoko Endo, Renee Ramey

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report, prepared by the Population Research Center (PRC) provides a district-wide Enrollment Forecast, Enrollment Forecasts for individual schools, and demographic information for Greater Albany Public School District (GAPSD). The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2004 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. For the district-wide forecast, three scenarios of population, housing, and enrollment changes were developed to account for different probabilities of demographic events. Forecasts were prepared for the District by grade …


Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2004-2015, Based On October 2003 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Sonoko Endo, Chen Chen, Richard Lycan Mar 2004

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2004-2015, Based On October 2003 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Sonoko Endo, Chen Chen, Richard Lycan

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This is the fourth annual report prepared by the Population Research Center (PRC) forecasting future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools (PPS). Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, 2000, 2001, and 2002 enrollments; this report considers October 2003 PPS enrollments. This report provides a district-wide Enrollment Forecast, Enrollment Forecasts for individual schools, and demographic information for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2003 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the …


Enrollment Forecast (2004-2010) For Lake Oswego School District, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Sonoko Endo, Chen Chen Feb 2004

Enrollment Forecast (2004-2010) For Lake Oswego School District, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Sonoko Endo, Chen Chen

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report, prepared by the Population Research Center provides a medium-range school Enrollment Forecast, including background demographic information and analysis, for Lake Oswego School District (LOSD) and for its nine elementary schools, two junior high schools, and two high schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the District’s enrollment between 2004 and 2010 and examines elementary attendance areas within the District. The most likely scenario indicates that there will be a slight decrease in enrollments between 2003 and 2010. For the district-wide forecasting, three scenarios of population, housing, and enrollment changes were developed to account for …


The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2002-2010, Based On October 2002 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston, Richard Lycan, Risa S. Proehl Jan 2003

The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2002-2010, Based On October 2002 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston, Richard Lycan, Risa S. Proehl

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, 2000, and 2001 enrollments; this report relies on October 2002 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this …


The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2001-2010, Based On October 2001 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center Jul 2002

The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2001-2010, Based On October 2001 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999 and October 2000 enrollments; this report relies on October 2001 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this …


The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010, Based On October 2000 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston, Richard Lycan, Risa Proehl Dec 2000

The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010, Based On October 2000 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston, Richard Lycan, Risa Proehl

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the second report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. The first report (dated July 2000) was based on October 1999 enrollments; this report relies on October 2000 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report …


Enrollment Forecast For Horizon Christian School 2005-2015, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl Oct 2000

Enrollment Forecast For Horizon Christian School 2005-2015, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report provides a 2005-2015 school Enrollment Forecast for Horizon Christian School by grade level, and includes background demographic information and analysis for Horizon Christian School’s market area. The market area for this study consists of Northern Wasco County and Hood River County School Districts in Oregon, and White Salmon School District in Washington. Horizon Christian School, offering grades pre-kindergarten through 12, is located in the city of Hood River and its classrooms are located in rented spaces at three different sites throughout the city. Plans to construct a new facility to house Horizon on one campus have been made. …


Changing Times, Changing Enrollments: How Recent Demographic Trends Are Affecting Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston Jul 2000

Changing Times, Changing Enrollments: How Recent Demographic Trends Are Affecting Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The purpose of this report is to provide an analysis of the demographic factors affecting recent enrollment changes in Portland Public Schools. Toward this goal, the report discusses how trends in births, migration, and international migration have affected public school enrollments in Portland. This report reaches four main conclusions: * First and foremost, public school enrollments have declined in recent years primarily because there have been sizeable decreases in the number of students entering kindergarten and the early elementary school grades. Smaller numbers of entering students are, in turn, the result of substantial reductions in the number of births--reductions that …


The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston Jul 2000

The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes five different scenarios of housing, population, and enrollment changes for the ten years between 2000 to 2010.


Eagle Point School District School Enrollment Forecast, 2000 To 2010, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl Nov 1999

Eagle Point School District School Enrollment Forecast, 2000 To 2010, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including background demographic information and analysis, for the Eagle Point School District (Jackson County School District #9). Several factors that are likely to affect the District’s enrollment between 2000 and 2010 are considered and the geographical areas within the District (the cities of Eagle Point and Shady Cove, the unincorporated urban area of White City, and the rural unincorporated area) are examined. To account for different probabilities of demographic events, three scenarios of population, housing, and enrollment changes were developed. Forecasts are made for the total District, by grade level, for the years …