Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering Commons

Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Articles 1 - 28 of 28

Full-Text Articles in Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering

A Confidence Paradigm For Classification Systems, Nathan J. Leap Sep 2008

A Confidence Paradigm For Classification Systems, Nathan J. Leap

Theses and Dissertations

There is no universally accepted methodology to determine how much confidence one should have in a classifier output. This research proposes a framework to determine the level of confidence in an indication from a classifier system where the output is or can be transformed into a posterior probability estimate. This is a theoretical framework that attempts to unite the viewpoints of the classification system developer (or engineer) and the classification system user (or war-fighter). The paradigm is based on the assumptions that the system confidence acts like, or can be modeled as a value and that indication confidence can be …


Combat Identification Using Multiple Tuav Swarm, Younin Kang Sep 2008

Combat Identification Using Multiple Tuav Swarm, Younin Kang

Theses and Dissertations

In modern warfare, Tactical Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (TUAVs) are rapidly taking on a leading role in traditional and non-traditional ISR, to include Automatic Target Recognition (ATR). However, additional advancements in processors and sensors on TUAVs are still needed before they can be widely employed as a primary source for positive identification in the Combat Identification (CID) process. Cost is a driving factor for operating an ATR system using multiple TUAVs. The cost of high quality sensors appropriate for a single TUAV can be significantly higher than less sophisticated sensors suitable for deployment on a group, or swarm, of coordinated TUAVs. …


Interoperability Measurement, Thomas C. Ford Aug 2008

Interoperability Measurement, Thomas C. Ford

Theses and Dissertations

This research presents an inaugural general method of measuring the collaborative and confrontational interoperability of a heterogeneous set of systems in the context of an operational process. The method is holistic, fundamental, flexible, and mathematical in nature and accommodates all types of systems and interoperations. The method relates the interoperability measurement to measures of operational effectiveness for confrontational operational processes. Extant leveling methods of describing interoperability are shown to be a special case of the more general method given in this research and the general interoperability measurement method is demonstrated through the presentation of coalition interoperability, suppression of enemy air …


Metamodeling Techniques To Aid In The Aggregation Process Of Large Hierarchical Simulation Models, June F.D. Rodriguez Aug 2008

Metamodeling Techniques To Aid In The Aggregation Process Of Large Hierarchical Simulation Models, June F.D. Rodriguez

Theses and Dissertations

This research investigates how aggregation is currently conducted for simulation of large systems. The purpose is to examine how to achieve suitable aggregation in the simulation of large systems. More specifically, investigating how to accurately aggregate hierarchical lower-level (higher resolution) models into the next higher-level in order to reduce the complexity of the overall simulation model. The focus is on the exploration of the different aggregation techniques for hierarchical lower-level (higher resolution) models into the next higher-level. We develop aggregation procedures between two simulation levels (e.g., aggregation of engagement level models into a mission level model) to address how much …


Developing A Decision Model For Joint Improvised Explosive Device Defeat Organization (Jieddo) Proposal Selection, Lyle M. Dawley, Lenore A. Marentee, Alice Marie Long Jun 2008

Developing A Decision Model For Joint Improvised Explosive Device Defeat Organization (Jieddo) Proposal Selection, Lyle M. Dawley, Lenore A. Marentee, Alice Marie Long

Theses and Dissertations

This research uses decision analysis to develop a structured, repeatable and most importantly defensible decision model for the evaluation of proposed IED defeat solutions submitted to the Joint IED Defeat Organization (JIEDDO). Additive value models using Value-Focused Thinking (VFT) and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) are examined as possible methodologies. VFT is determined to be the "best fit" for JIEDDO's decision situation in which proposals are submitted continuously and must be scored independently of previous proposals. VFT is first used to determine desirable qualities in IED defeat options, and then to generate a hierarchal value model to evaluate these qualities …


Forecasting Flying Hour Costs Of The B-1, B-2, And B-52 Bomber Aircraft, Stefanie L. Van Dyk Jun 2008

Forecasting Flying Hour Costs Of The B-1, B-2, And B-52 Bomber Aircraft, Stefanie L. Van Dyk

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis both evaluates, and presents improvements to, the current method of forecasting flying costs of Air Force aircraft. It uses depot level repairable (DLR) and consumable (CONS) data for the Air Force's bomber platforms: B-1B, B-2, and B-52H. The current forecasting method assumes a proportional relationship between costs and flying hours such that 1) when no hours are flown costs are zero, and 2) a 1% increase in flying hours will increase costs by 1%. The findings of this research indicate that applying log-linear ordinary least squares regression techniques may be an improved fit of flying cost data over …


Analyzing Individual Decision Making Versus Group Decision Making For Alternative Selection, Alper Gezeravci Jun 2008

Analyzing Individual Decision Making Versus Group Decision Making For Alternative Selection, Alper Gezeravci

Theses and Dissertations

Many "real world" decisions are made by groups. It is rare that the responsi- bility for a very important decision is given to a single decision maker with complete authority. Group decision making adds both advantages to the process as well as disadvantages. This research examines the question: "Are decisions made by groups really that much different from the decisions made by individuals in the group?" A specific case study involving the selection of the best primary training aircraft type for military pilot training is used to examine this question. Fifteen military pilots with various backgrounds and experience levels participate …


Operationally Responsive Space (Ors): An Architecture And Enterprise Model For Adaptive Integration, Test And Logistics, Jeff A. Alexander, Martha Charles-Vickers, Talbot L. Smith, Michael L. Vickers Jun 2008

Operationally Responsive Space (Ors): An Architecture And Enterprise Model For Adaptive Integration, Test And Logistics, Jeff A. Alexander, Martha Charles-Vickers, Talbot L. Smith, Michael L. Vickers

Theses and Dissertations

The capability to rapidly deploy tactical satellites to meet a Joint Force Commander's immediate battlespace requirements is a well-documented joint capability need. Key U.S. strategic documentation cites the need for the capability to maintain persistent surveillance or an "unblinking eye" over battlespace and to rapidly reconstitute critical space capabilities to preserve situational awareness. The warfighter requires a tactical space-based deployment capability which employs a request to launch and operational deployment window of 90 to 120 days. This master's thesis executed two (2) major areas of work: apply, and reinforce the Operationally Responsive Space (ORS) mission tasks using the Joint Capabilities …


Multi-Objective Optimization Of Mixed-Variable, Stochastic Systems Using Single-Objective Formulations, Todd J. Paciencia Mar 2008

Multi-Objective Optimization Of Mixed-Variable, Stochastic Systems Using Single-Objective Formulations, Todd J. Paciencia

Theses and Dissertations

Many problems exist where one desires to optimize systems with multiple, often competing, objectives. Further, these problems may not have a closed form representation, and may also have stochastic responses. Recently, a method expanded mixed variable generalized pattern search/ranking and selection (MVPS-RS) and Mesh Adaptive Direct Search (MADS) developed for single-objective, stochastic problems to the multi-objective case by using aspiration and reservation levels. However, the success of this method in approximating the true Pareto solution set can be dependent upon several factors. These factors include the experimental design and ranges of the aspiration and reservation levels, and the approximation quality …


Improved Feature Extraction, Feature Selection, And Identification Techniques That Create A Fast Unsupervised Hyperspectral Target Detection Algorithm, Robert J. Johnson Mar 2008

Improved Feature Extraction, Feature Selection, And Identification Techniques That Create A Fast Unsupervised Hyperspectral Target Detection Algorithm, Robert J. Johnson

Theses and Dissertations

This research extends the emerging field of hyperspectral image (HSI) target detectors that assume a global linear mixture model (LMM) of HSI and employ independent component analysis (ICA) to unmix HSI images. Via new techniques to fully automate feature extraction, feature selection, and target pixel identification, an autonomous global anomaly detector, AutoGAD, has been developed for potential employment in an operational environment for real-time processing of HSI targets. For dimensionality reduction (initial feature extraction prior to ICA), a geometric solution that effectively approximates the number of distinct spectral signals is presented. The solution is based on the theory of the …


A System Dynamic Model Of Leader Emergence, Paul S. Wever Mar 2008

A System Dynamic Model Of Leader Emergence, Paul S. Wever

Theses and Dissertations

The purpose of this thesis is to develop a system dynamics model of leader emergence. Longitudinal social network and personality data were collected in a class of enlisted military professionals attending a 6-week leadership development course. Findings support known relationships in existing leadership research. The thesis demonstrates the applicability of system dynamics toward the complex social phenomena of leader emergence.


Improving Mixed Variable Optimization Of Computational And Model Parameters Using Multiple Surrogate Functions, David Bethea Mar 2008

Improving Mixed Variable Optimization Of Computational And Model Parameters Using Multiple Surrogate Functions, David Bethea

Theses and Dissertations

This research focuses on reducing computational time in parameter optimization by using multiple surrogates and subprocess CPU times without compromising the quality of the results. This is motivated by applications that have objective functions with expensive computational times at high fidelity solutions. Applying, matching, and tuning optimization techniques at an algorithm level can reduce the time spent on unprofitable computations for parameter optimization. The objective is to recover known parameters of a flow property reference image by comparing to a template image that comes from a computational fluid dynamics simulation, followed by a numerical image registration and comparison process. Mixed …


A Multi-Objective Linear Program Model To Test Hub-And-Spoke Networks As A Potential Air Force Deployment Alternative, Andrew J. Cullen Mar 2008

A Multi-Objective Linear Program Model To Test Hub-And-Spoke Networks As A Potential Air Force Deployment Alternative, Andrew J. Cullen

Theses and Dissertations

The purpose of this research is to develop a multiple-objective mixed-integer linear programming model that determines the feasibility of a new deployment paradigm, which offers greater flexibility to home station and deployed location civil engineers (CE) by applying hub-and-spoke networking. The research covers the histories of CE and Air and Space Expeditionary Force (AEF), current CE deployment needs, multiple-objective decision analysis, hub-and-spoke networking, and organizational behavior benefits of the new paradigm. The methodology section provides details on each objective, explains the model, defines weights, and explains the objective function’s calculation. Next, an analysis of the model’s resulting scenarios helps determine …


Understanding The Emergence Of Disruptive Innovation In The Air Force Science And Technology Organizations, David E. Shahady Mar 2008

Understanding The Emergence Of Disruptive Innovation In The Air Force Science And Technology Organizations, David E. Shahady

Theses and Dissertations

Although innovation is widely discussed in both military and industry venues, many organizations continue to struggle with what it means to be creative as well as maintain a competitive advantage. The United States Air Force has specifically struggled with the balance between improving existing technologies and employing revolutionary technologies. The purpose of this thesis was to study the motivation, focus, barriers, and culture needed to foster disruptive innovation in Air Force Science and Technology (S&T) and to investigate how industry innovation strategies could improve breakthrough Air Force technology emergence. The Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL), the primary organization responsible for …


Determining The Surface-To-Air Missile Requirement For Western And Southern Part Of The Turkish Air Defense System, Omer Alkanat Mar 2008

Determining The Surface-To-Air Missile Requirement For Western And Southern Part Of The Turkish Air Defense System, Omer Alkanat

Theses and Dissertations

An air defense system is vital for countries to protect their homelands. Today, air defense systems consist of integrated systems such as early warning radars, fighter aircraft, airborne early warning aircraft and surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems. The Turkish air defense system does not have long range SAM systems. Turkey plans to procure SAM systems to protect her borders. This research develops two location optimization models to optimally locate SAM sites to defend specified areas of the nation. One of the models finds the minimum number of SAM sites to cover the specified area; the other finds the maximum coverage for …


Simulation Modeling And Analysis Of F-16 Pilot Training Squadron, Adem Okal Mar 2008

Simulation Modeling And Analysis Of F-16 Pilot Training Squadron, Adem Okal

Theses and Dissertations

The need for fighter pilots in the Turkish Air Force is expected to increase with the planned acquisition of Joint Strike Fighters, ongoing new F-16 purchases, and other upgrades to the Turkish Air Force fighter inventory. This increased demand will affect the current fighter training squadron curriculum and scheduling. This study focuses on issues related to 143rd Oncel squadron F-16 Pilot Training with this projected increase in number of student pilots (SP). Completing the training periods on time is an important issue along with maintaining effective training performance. In our study the Total Time of the training period serves …


Robust Sensitivity Analysis Of Courses Of Action Using An Additive Value Model, Hunter A. Marks Mar 2008

Robust Sensitivity Analysis Of Courses Of Action Using An Additive Value Model, Hunter A. Marks

Theses and Dissertations

The Department of Defense (DoD) requires the ability to quantifiably measure progress in arenas that are complex and difficult to measure, such as the stability of a region. Therefore, the DoD works diligently to predict the effect of operations and sponsors research to improve prediction and analysis. They desire a repeatable, systematic methodology to aid in the selection of courses of action (COA) that efficiently meet stated objectives and quantitatively measure the degree of accomplishment of these objectives. The author proposes a value-focused thinking (VFT) decision analysis (DA) approach to this problem. This methodology not only aids in selection of …


Assessing Capabilities Of The High Energy Liquid Laser Area Defense System Through Combat Simulations, Ryan S. Ponack Mar 2008

Assessing Capabilities Of The High Energy Liquid Laser Area Defense System Through Combat Simulations, Ryan S. Ponack

Theses and Dissertations

High Energy Laser (HEL) technology continues to improve and its place in the battlefield is ever evolving. By combining the high energy delivery of solid state laser technology with the efficient thermal management of liquid laser technology, HELLADS has two main advantages over any HEL predecessors. One, the configuration is small and light enough to be carried on more tactical aircraft such as fighters. Two, the thermal management greatly increases HEL fire power by increasing dwell time on target. To assess HELLADS operational capabilities the test community has been challenged with how to effectively examine the advantages and limitations through …


Simulation Of National Intelligence Process With Fusion, Joseph S. Lupa Mar 2008

Simulation Of National Intelligence Process With Fusion, Joseph S. Lupa

Theses and Dissertations

This work is a follow on effort of two previous Master's theses. The first was Modeling and Simulation of the Military Intelligence Process by Captain Carl Pawling in 2004. The other was A Knowledge Matrix Modeling of the Intelligence Cycle by Captain Kevin Whaley in 2005. Both of these were done to facilitate the study and analysis of the intelligence process for the National Security Space Organization (NSSO). Here, modifications are made the Pawling model to include tasking multiple intelligence sources for data collection to fulfill Requests for Information (RFIs) and fusing the collected data into one new piece of …


Discrete Event Simulation Of A Suppression Of Enemy Air Defenses (Sead) Mission, Ahmet Aydin Candir Mar 2008

Discrete Event Simulation Of A Suppression Of Enemy Air Defenses (Sead) Mission, Ahmet Aydin Candir

Theses and Dissertations

Contemporary military campaigns increasingly count on the use of air power. Suppression of enemy air defenses (SEAD) operations have been a crucial element of military air power for 50 years. Several developments and evolution in both air defense and attack systems suggest that SEAD missions will continue to have growing importance to air forces. Since SEAD operations have a significant impact on air campaigns, it is important to examine their efficiency and identify improvement opportunities. This study explores factors that influence SEAD operations through use of a discrete event simulation built in Arena and subsequent statistical analysis of the results.


Developing An Excel Decision Support System Using In-Transit Visibility To Decrease Dod Transportation Delays, Brian B. Stone Mar 2008

Developing An Excel Decision Support System Using In-Transit Visibility To Decrease Dod Transportation Delays, Brian B. Stone

Theses and Dissertations

The United States Air Force's Air Mobility Command (AMC) is responsible for efficiently transporting military personnel and cargo throughout the world. Organizations throughout the transportation system search for ways to decrease cargo transportation time as part of their ongoing mission to provide timely airlift services to the DoD. As cargo is transported through the transportation system it is in one of two states; waiting at an air base for transportation or in some phase of the loading, transportation, or unloading process. The loading and unloading process has been streamlined throughout the transportation system to a point which leaves little room …


A Decision Tool To Evaluate Budgeting Methodologies For Estimating Facility Recapitalization Requirements, Krista M. Hickman Mar 2008

A Decision Tool To Evaluate Budgeting Methodologies For Estimating Facility Recapitalization Requirements, Krista M. Hickman

Theses and Dissertations

The purpose of this research was to develop a decision tool to assist in the evaluation of facility recapitalization budget estimation models to determine which model was best suited for a particular organization. Specifically, this thesis sought to answer an overarching research question addressing the importance of recapitalization and the best method to estimate the facility recapitalization budget using the Department of Defense (DoD) as the subject of the research. A comprehensive literature review revealed ten existing recapitalization model alternatives to consider for implementation. The methodology used to develop a decision tool was based on the Value Focused Thinking (VFT) …


Forecasting Instability Indicators In The Horn Of Africa Region, Bryan R. Tannehill Mar 2008

Forecasting Instability Indicators In The Horn Of Africa Region, Bryan R. Tannehill

Theses and Dissertations

The forecasting of state failure and the associated indicators has been a topic of great interest to a number of different agencies. USAID, CENTCOM, the World Bank, the Center for Army Analyses, and others have all examined the subject based on their own specific objectives. Whether the goal is denying terrorists space in which to operate, deciding how to pre-position materials in anticipation of unrest, stabilizing foreign markets and trade, or preventing or mitigating humanitarian disasters, man made or otherwise, this topic has been of interest for over a decade. The Horn of Africa has been one of the least …


Intelligence Surveillance And Reconnaissance Asset Assignment For Optimal Mission Effectiveness, Ryan D. Kappedal Mar 2008

Intelligence Surveillance And Reconnaissance Asset Assignment For Optimal Mission Effectiveness, Ryan D. Kappedal

Theses and Dissertations

This research develops mathematical programming techniques to solve an intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance sensor assignment problem for USSTRATCOM. The problem as specified is hypothesized to be difficult (i.e. np-hard). With the smallest test cases, the true optimal solution is found using simple optimization techniques, but, due to intractability, the optimal solutions for larger test cases are not found using these same techniques. Instead, heuristic techniques are applied to several test cases in order to determine the best, robust methodologies to find true or near optimal solutions. Specifically, simulated annealing (SA) is tested for convergence properties across several different parameter settings. …


Combat Identification Modeling Using Robust Optimization Techniques, Taeho Kim Mar 2008

Combat Identification Modeling Using Robust Optimization Techniques, Taeho Kim

Theses and Dissertations

The purposes of this research were: (1) the modeling of a CID situation and (2) the search for robust and controllable input variable settings. The inputs were defined as controllable and noise variables and the confusion matrices in ROC theory were adapted to act as controllable factors. In this research a simple virtual battlespace representation is employed. The experimental results of the CID system are summarized by a posterior confusion matrix and throughout the confusion matrix analysis we can obtain all various types of data such as accuracy, error cost, error rates, and so forth. To find the optimal parameters …


A Simulation Optimization Approach To The Design Of Unmanned Aircraft Systems, Emily C. Evans Mar 2008

A Simulation Optimization Approach To The Design Of Unmanned Aircraft Systems, Emily C. Evans

Theses and Dissertations

Military strategy and operations have evolved significantly over the past decade. This evolution has led to a change in the military resources required to carry out missions successfully. In line with these requirements, demand has increased for unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) with enhanced capability to perform surveillance and to strike targets of interest. This research effort aids in the design of a next generation UAV by employing a simulation optimization approach. The goal of this research is to maximize the number of targets destroyed in a conflict scenario by a newly designed UAV that is subject to size, weight, and …


The Impact Of Operations Tempo (Optempo) On Intentions To Depart The Military. Does The Increase Of Optempo Cause Action, Nathan P. Olsen Mar 2008

The Impact Of Operations Tempo (Optempo) On Intentions To Depart The Military. Does The Increase Of Optempo Cause Action, Nathan P. Olsen

Theses and Dissertations

Recent information in the field of Operations Tempo (OPTEMPO) has resulted in conflicting information on its effect on turnover intentions. This study evaluated the August 2004 Status of Forces Survey to determine if the sample demonstrated OPTEMPO had a curvilinear effect on turnover intentions when accounting for the moderators job satisfaction and organizational commitment while controlling for rank and gender. Linear regressions were used to determine if the relationship between OPTEMPO and turnover intentions were significant. When accounting for job satisfaction and organizational commitment the relationship between OPTEMPO and turnover intentions is not significant, this indicated that OPTEMPO and turnover …


An Analysis Of Methodologies & Best Practices For Rapidly Acquiring Technologies To Meet Urgent Warfighter Needs, Charles D. Solomon Mar 2008

An Analysis Of Methodologies & Best Practices For Rapidly Acquiring Technologies To Meet Urgent Warfighter Needs, Charles D. Solomon

Theses and Dissertations

The rapidly changing global security environment that today's military operates within requires an ever-increasing ability to quickly adapt to non-traditional threats. This has forced the United States to re-examine the traditional means of equipping its forces to ensure more agile acquisition practices are available to the Science and Technology (S&T) and acquisition communities. While there have been significant efforts to look towards industry for potential solutions to this problem, the heavily bureaucratic and restrictive government environment has made applying commercial lessons learned difficult. To effectively implement rapid fielding approaches within the government context, research into organizations facing the same or …