Public Economics Commons^™

The Challenge Of Administration By Regulation: Preliminary Findings Regarding The U.S. Government's Venture Capital Funds, Jonathan G.S. Koppell

Publications from President Jonathan G.S. Koppell

This article assesses the ability of elected officials to control public policy as implemented by public/private hybrid organizations, specifically, government venture capital funds. The study reveals greater control over OPIC investment funds than Enterprise Funds despite the existence of more traditional administrative tools of control for Enterprise Funds. This finding suggests that the regulatory infrastructure for hybrid organizations is more determinative of control than the existence (or lack) of traditional administrative control tools. Thus the challenge of hybrid government centers on the development of regulation as a substitute for administration.

How Useful Are Forecasts Of Corporate Profits, Dean D. Croushore

Economics Faculty Publications

If forecasters predict higher earnings for corporations, the stock market will rise. Stock prices will drop with a forecast of lower earnings. But are such forecasts on the money? Dean Croushore uses data from the Survey of Professional Forecasters to check the accuracy of forecasts of corporate profits. The results show that, despite the volatility of corporate profits, the forecasts are rational.

Mosler, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1999, March 2). XR’s citing Mosler on government intervention in foreign currency [Unpublished handwritten notes].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). Mosler [Unpublished handwritten notes on government deficits, taxes, unemployment, and the base wage].

Low Inflation: The Surprise Of The 1990s, Dean D. Croushore

Economics Faculty Publications

For most of the 1990s, forecasters have been predicting an upturn in inflation. Yet, over that same period, the United States has experienced stable or declining inflation. Why have forecasts been at odds with reality? And why does it matter? In this article, Dean Croushore considers some answers to these questions and explains why inflation is the economic surprise of the decade.

Inflation Forecasts: How Good Are They?, Dean D. Croushore

Economics Faculty Publications

Forecasts of inflation affect decision-making in many segments of the economy. But in the early 1980s, economists found that forecasts in surveys taken over the past 20 years systematically underpredicted inflation. As a result, many economists stopped paying attention to forecasts. However, they may have abandoned them too quickly. In this article, Dean Croushore takes a closer look at survey forecasts and, after considering some relevant factors, concludes that inflation forecasts may not be as bad as you think.

The Balanced Budget Amendment: A Time Bomb To Subvert American Prosperity, Hyman P. Minsky Ph.D.

Hyman P. Minsky Archive

Paper dated Feb. 13, 1995.

Summary of a Report: ’A Time Bomb to Subvert American Prosperity’.

Introducing: The Survey Of Professional Forecasters, Dean D. Croushore

Economics Faculty Publications

Forecasts play a crucial role in the economy. Businesses won't hire workers as readily if they think the economy may go into a recession soon. Long-term interest rates will rise if people in the financial markets expect inflation to increase. And firms are less likely to borrow money for new investment spending today if they think interest rates will soon decline.

Forecasts are important for many decisions, but not many people have the knowledge and experience to forecast economic variables well. It makes sense, therefore, for people to rely on the forecasts of experts. One easy way to get these …

Reconstituting The Financial Structure: The United States, Hyman P. Minsky Ph.D.

Hyman P. Minsky Archive

This is a paper originally prepared for a Conference on "‘Issues on Banking Structure and Competition in a Changing World,"held at the Hotel Ramada Renaissance, Antalya Turkey, Sept. 18-20, 1991.

The main download here is the revision dated 13 May 1992.

Also included here are:

The paper with handwritten notes;

A Preliminary version of the paper;

A handwritten copy;

Comments on the paper prepared by Deniz Gökçe;

A schedule for the Conference;

A second copy of the May revision that was on a separate computer disk in Minsky's papers.

What Are The Costs Of Disinflation?, Dean D. Croushore

Economics Faculty Publications

The Federal Reserve can use monetary policy to reduce the inflation rate, a process known as disinflation. Are the benefits of disinflation worth the costs? Proponents of disinflation argue that the long-run benefits of price stability, including lower interest rates, increased economic efficiency, and perhaps faster economic growth, greatly exceed the short-run costs. Opponents, of course, claim the opposite, usually arguing that the short-run costs in terms of higher unemployment and lost output would be immense.

Social Wage Us Paper, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A., PhD., & Tonak, E. A. (1987). The welfare state and the myth of the social wage. In The imperiled economy, Book I: Macroeconomics from a left perspective. Publisher details not identified.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1989, September 11). Revisions for OECD studies [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1989, September 13). Revisions to Shaikh/Tonak paper [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1989, September 11). Country studies [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). Labor benefit, tax rates, unemployment rate, and real wages [Printed graphs]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1989, December 22). Social …

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Inflation Budget Deficits, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Gowland, D. (1991). Debt management and government finance. In Money, inflation and unemployment: The role of money in the economy (2nd ed.). New York, NY: Harvester Wheatsheaf.

• Congdon, T. G. (1987). The link between budget deficits and inflation: Some contrasts between developed and developing countries. In M. J. Boskin, J. S. Flemming, & S. Gorini (Eds.), Private saving and public debt (pp. 40–71). Oxford, England: Basil Blackwell.

• Boskin, M. J., Flemming, J. S., & Gorini, S. (Eds.). (1987). Private saving and public debt [Book front matter: title pages, table of contents, and preface]. Oxford, …

How Big Is Your Share Of Government Debt?, Dean D. Croushore

Economics Faculty Publications

In evaluating the government's financial position, taxpayers need to account not only for its debt, but also for its ownership of tangible assets. Each taxpayer has a share of the government's net worth that is positive; however, the share was larger 10 years ago. While the real net debt tripled, this huge rise in government indebtedness generated no similar gain in government assets. Taxpayers will be paying interest on this debt with little hope of higher future returns from government assets to help pay it off. It is recommended that the government adopt a capital-budgeting system. This system would change …

An Appraisal Of Public Sector Financing Of Agricultural Development In Africa With Particular Reference To Nigeria, J. O. Osakwe, M. O. Ojo

Economic and Financial Review

The paper discusses, largely using Nigeria as a case study, three sets of issues relating to public sector role in agricultural financing. First, it takes an overview of the agricultural situation in African countries in general and in Nigeria in particular in the last twenty years and suggests the critical factors that should guide government activities for agricultural financing in the light of the general structure of agricultural production. Second, it identifies the types and magnitudes of government assistance in agricultural financing in Nigeria and finally it discusses some of the main problems surrounding the efforts of the government in …

Limitations Of Monetary (And Fiscal) Policy In An Age Of Financial Instability, Hyman P. Minsky Ph.D.

Hyman P. Minsky Archive

Prepared for the Conference on Streams of Economic Thought, held in Trieste, Udine, Italy, 1-3 September, 1984. The main paper is the published work, the second paper here is the original with Minsky's extensive editorial rewritings.

Recent Developments In Nigeria's Oil Industry And Their Implications For Government Finance, Petroleum Studies Office Research Department

Economic and Financial Review

This brief review has focused on the movements of oil prices, production and exports in the 1979-82 period, highlighting the implications of such movements for Federal Government revenue and expenditure.

Statistical Section (March 1983), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn

Economic and Financial Review

This is a statistical representation of economic activities in Nigeria during the first quarter of 1983

Nigeria's Economic Outlook, B. U. Ekong

Bullion

The immediate post-war era brought into the Nigerian economy some of the most significant structural transformations ever imagined. From a position of dominant dependence on agriculture, the Nigerian economy swang over to that of dominant dependence on crude petroleum production for foreign exchange earnings, for government revenues and as the main source of incomes for investment, trade and general economic development. The article therefore reviews the post war policies covering 1973 to 1977. The paper further discusses Nigeria's economic outlook while focusing on fiscal outlook, exchange control measures, petroleum export, private sector investment, income policy, monetary and fiscal policy measures.

The Roots Of Current Economic Problems, Hyman P. Minsky Ph.D.

Hyman P. Minsky Archive

No abstract provided.

External Diseconomies In Competitive Supply: Comment, George A. Hay, John J. Mcgowan

Cornell Law Faculty Publications

In a recent article in this Review, Charles Goetz and James Buchanan (G-B) assert that " . . . the standard description of misallocation in the presence of external production diseconomies is misleading . . . " because these externalities produce a ". . . combination of exchange-inefficiency with production-inefficiency [which ] renders the construction of correction devices much more difficult" (p. 889). Stated otherwise their contention is that with external diseconomies that are internal to an industry, i.e., those that each firm in an industry inflicts on other firms in the same industry, a competitive regime in the presence …

Import Controls On Foreign Oil: Tariff Or Quota?, George A. Hay

Cornell Law Faculty Publications

During the recent deliberation of the Cabinet Task Force on Oil Import Controls, considerable attention was devoted to the question whether, regardless of the level of imports which should be allowed, the control should take the form of a quota or a tariff. Occasionally reference was made to a well-known equivalence theorem which holds that when there is perfect competition in the product market a tariff will generate a volume of imports which, if alternatively set as a quota, produces an identical discrepancy between foreign and domestic prices. Therefore, other than the transfer of revenues from quota holders to the …

Central Bank Of Nigeria Annual Report And Statement Of Accounts For The Year Ended 31st December 1965, Central Bank Of Nigeria

CBN Annual Report

CBN Annual Report and Statement of Accounts for 1965 discussed the economic performance of Nigeria with emphasis on inflation rate, GDP growth, exchange rate stability, banking sector performance, monetary policy, financial stability, fiscal policy, and regulatory updates. Two major developments dominated the world economic scene in 1965. One was the overall slowdown of economic expansion in most industrialized countries. The other was the overall contraction in the growth rate of world trade and in the flow of international capital. Due to the problem of balance of payment disequilibrium, the industrialized countries intensified economic measures to achieve internal stability and equilibrium …