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2006

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Full-Text Articles in Macroeconomics

Currency Restructuring: The Role Of The Media., Festus O. Odoko Dec 2006

Currency Restructuring: The Role Of The Media., Festus O. Odoko

Bullion

One of the mandates of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) as provided in the CBN Act of 1991 (as amended) is the issuance of legal tender currency. This paper examines the rationale for currency restructuring so as to elicit the buy-in and support of the media and in that way enhance the acceptability of the currency in economic transactions in Nigeria. The rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 outlines the major elements of currency restructuring, while section 3 discusses the critical success factors. In section 4 the role of the media is enunciated while section …


Understanding The Pension Reform Act(Pra) 2004, Adesina Balogun Sep 2006

Understanding The Pension Reform Act(Pra) 2004, Adesina Balogun

Bullion

Pension schemes exit to provide post-retirement I benefits to employees. Pension scheme was introduced into Nigeria during the Colonial era to provide old age income and security to British citizens working in the country upon retirement. This paper discussed the conceptual framework of Pension Reform Act 2004, the dynamics of Pension Reform Act of 2004, the implications and challenges of Pension Act of 2004 as well as feasible options for future developments. The study concluded that, The roles and functions of PFAs and PFCs are Pivotal to the success of the new defined contributory scheme. It behoves on them therefore, …


Overview Of Exchange Rate Management In Nigeria., Mike I. Obadan Sep 2006

Overview Of Exchange Rate Management In Nigeria., Mike I. Obadan

Bullion

The exchange rate is a key macroeconomic variable in the context of general economic policy making, and of economic reform programmes, in particular. It is a very important price which governments take very active interest in. However, two concepts of exchange rate are commonly distinguished: nominal exchange rate and real exchange rate. - The nominal exchange rate (NER) is a monetary concept which measures the relative price of two moneys or currencies, e.g., Naira in relation to the U. S dollar. - But the real exchange rate (RER), as the name implies, is a real concept that measures the relative …


Economics Of Exchange Rate Management, Ayodele Odusola Sep 2006

Economics Of Exchange Rate Management, Ayodele Odusola

Bullion

Exchange rate policy plays an important role in national economic development management. If well managed, it could facilitate the achievement of macroeconomic objectives of rapid economic growth, low rate of inflation, high employment generation, buoyant balance of payment condition, and progressive income distribution. Of all economic policies, it is the most suitable policy for ensuring internal and external balances. This paper examine the economics of exchange rate management; the conceptual issues in exchange rate management in view of attaining the macroeconomic objectives for rapid economic growth and development. One of the critical issues in the management of foreign exchange is …


Recent Reforms In The Nigerian Banking Industry: Issues And Challenges., U. Kama Sep 2006

Recent Reforms In The Nigerian Banking Industry: Issues And Challenges., U. Kama

Bullion

The banking industry around the world has witnessed remarkable changes in recent decades, given t h e i n c r e a s i n g w a v e o f globalization, structural and technological changes, and integration of financial markets. As McKinnon and Shaw (1973) observed in their seminar work on the key roles of banks as propel lands of growth and development in developing economies, a feeble banking system is repressive, distortionary and dis-connect the intermediation process thereby precipitating macroeconomic instability. The paper reviews the various reforms in Nigerian banking industry since 1986 particularly the complementary …


Overview Of Currency Management In Nigeria., K. S. Adeyemi Sep 2006

Overview Of Currency Management In Nigeria., K. S. Adeyemi

Bullion

This paper seeks to highlight the issues in currency management, identify the challenges of currency management in Nigeria, and situate the currency management reforms of the Central Bank of Nigeria in proper context. The paper is structured into six sections. Following the introduction, the key dimensions of the currency management function is highlighted in section 2. Section 3 reviews the major currency episodes in Nigeria while section 4 examines the shortcomings of the existing currency arrangements. Nigeria's reform effort in currency management is discussed in Section 5 and the paper is concluded in section 6 by observing that: as inflation …


Promoting The Use Of Coins In Nigeria., A O. Ikuseedun Sep 2006

Promoting The Use Of Coins In Nigeria., A O. Ikuseedun

Bullion

The main purpose of currency in any nation is to facilitate transactions and serves as a store of value. Currency is made up of banknotes and coins. While banknotes are expected to be used for relatively large value payments, coins are for low value ones. The paper examines the factors responsible for low usage of coins in Nigeria and suggest possible remedial measures. The paper observes that there had been a general low use of coins for retail transactions in Nigeria. This was reflected in the relative value of coins in circulation as against the value of currency which was …


Financial Liberalization And Savings Mobilisation In Nigeria., Emmanuel A. Onwoduokit Sep 2006

Financial Liberalization And Savings Mobilisation In Nigeria., Emmanuel A. Onwoduokit

Bullion

Financial liberation involves the elimination of credit, controls, deregulation of interest rates, easing of entry into the financial services industry, development of capital markets, increased prudential regulation and supervision, and liberalization of international capital flows. This paper assess the impact of financial sector reforms in Nigeria, especially on the development of the financial sector. Accordingly, the paper dwells on theoretical issues and brief review of literature and presented a brief analysis of financial sector reforms in Nigeria. Attempt is also made to assess the impact of the reforms. Furthermore, the paper analyzes the roles of the indicators that are studied …


Exchange Rate Stability And Poverty Reduction In Nigeria, Greg Nzekwu Sep 2006

Exchange Rate Stability And Poverty Reduction In Nigeria, Greg Nzekwu

Bullion

The paper discusses the role of macroeconomic policy in achieving social as well as macroeconomic objectives in attaining poverty reduction in Nigeria. Nigeria's economy is growing at an impressive rate compared to the historical. This reflects in part increased investor confidence due t o the improvement in macroeconomic management and positive dividends of the new found economic direction and general political stability. However, the renewed optimism is unlikely to be sustained if appreciable progress is not made to advance growth, general macroeconomic stability and poverty reduction. The reveals that, In order for growth to be poverty reducing, the link between …


Challenges Of Exchange Rate Volatility In Economic Management In Nigeria., Charles N.O Mordi Sep 2006

Challenges Of Exchange Rate Volatility In Economic Management In Nigeria., Charles N.O Mordi

Bullion

The motive behind initiating an exchange rate policy, an integral element of monetary policy, is to preserve the value of the domestic currency, maintain favorable external reserves and ensure the realization of price stability in the domestic economy. The pursuance of these goals is to ensure external balance without compromising the need for internal balance and macroeconomic stability. It is important that the monetary authority, in its bid to designing an appropriate and sustainable exchange rate policy framework, addresses issues that are fundamental to the introduction of the policy itself. This paper discussed the challenges of exchange rate volatility management …


The Achievement Of Convergence In The Nigeria Foreign Exchange Market, O. O. Akanji Sep 2006

The Achievement Of Convergence In The Nigeria Foreign Exchange Market, O. O. Akanji

Bullion

The fact that Naira is floating is not a panacea for effective monetary policy management learning from the Argentina experience. Also with volatile capital flows, there are associated over - and undershooting of exchange rates that the economy would encounter. This paper discuss the achievement of convergence in the Nigerian foreign exchange market and monetary policy, the liberalization of the foreign exchange market and the process of foreign exchange convergence. It was observed that there were supply shortage and so the supply side of resource allocation was deployed. It was also observed that the harmony between the money market and …


Effective Reserve Management In Nigeria: Issues, Challenges And Prospects., M. Nda Sep 2006

Effective Reserve Management In Nigeria: Issues, Challenges And Prospects., M. Nda

Bullion

Effective management of foreign exchange reserves is one of the major macroeconomic objectives of countries like Nigeria. This is against the background of rapid rise and accumulated challenges currently facing many emerging economies especially oil producing countries. In Nigeria, the reserves has risen from USD4.99 billion in May 1999 to USD38.07 billion as at July 31, 2006 (see table 1). The paper examines the key issues, challenges and prospects of effective management of external reserves in Nigeria and how the Central Bank of Nigeria has fared in coping with these challenges. The recent accumulation of foreign reserves is not peculiar …


Promoting The Use Of Non-Cash Payment Alternatives In Nigeria., Aigboje Aig-Imoukhuede Sep 2006

Promoting The Use Of Non-Cash Payment Alternatives In Nigeria., Aigboje Aig-Imoukhuede

Bullion

The payments and settlement system represents the plat-form upon which financial resources is exchanged for goods and services. This paper discussed the different alternatives of non-cash payment methods as well as the advantages, modes of payments and challenges. The study concluded that, there is need not only to further the laudable reforms of the Federal Government of Nigeria, but also to ensure that business and non-business financial transactions are accessible and convenient for the average Nigerian. These reforms in the payment system can only fast track the integration of Nigeria into the international financial system with attendant benefits for the …


The Legal Framework For Currency Management In Nigeria., Anthony Olatujoye Sep 2006

The Legal Framework For Currency Management In Nigeria., Anthony Olatujoye

Bullion

This paper reviews the adequacy of the existing legal framework for Currency Management in Nigeria. The paper is structured into three parts. Part I is an introduction to the paper. The legal provisions governing currency management in Nigeria and some of the legal challenges for the CBN are highlighted and examined in part II. Part III concludes the paper: that a major legal challenge facing the CBN is the absence of specific provisions of the law criminalizing such acts as tampering, deliberate mutilation, spraying and marching of currency.


Consumer Confidence Surveys: Can They Help Us Forecast Consumer Spending In Real Time?, Dean D. Croushore Jul 2006

Consumer Confidence Surveys: Can They Help Us Forecast Consumer Spending In Real Time?, Dean D. Croushore

Economics Faculty Publications

In 1993, the Philadelphia Fed undertook a project to develop a real-time data set for macroeconomists, who can use these data in many ways — for example, when analyzing indexes of consumer confidence. existing research indicates that consumer-confidence measures, though highly correlated with future spending, do not improve forecasts of future spending. but these studies used revised data that were not available to forecasters at the time they made their forecasts. In this article, Dean Croushore uses the real-time data set to investigate an important question: Does using data available to forecasters at the time — that is, real-time data …


Contributory Pension Scheme: The Case Of Brazil., Mbatomon R. Ako Jun 2006

Contributory Pension Scheme: The Case Of Brazil., Mbatomon R. Ako

Bullion

The reform of the pension industry in Nigeria was necessitated by many problems confronting both the public and private sectors pension schemes. The public sector operated largely the Defined Benefit - Pay As You Go (PAYG) scheme, which depended on budgetary provisions from various tiers of governments for funding. This paper discuss the conceptual issues of Contributory pension scheme in Brazil, the structure of the pension system and the features of the pension scheme as well as some other pension reforms in Brazil. The study concluded that. the pension systems were introduced into the country by the colonial administrators. The …


Financial Sector Outcomes In Nigeria: A Quantitative Evaluation., Abeng M. Okoi Jun 2006

Financial Sector Outcomes In Nigeria: A Quantitative Evaluation., Abeng M. Okoi

Bullion

Prior to the adoption of the economic reforms measures of the 1980's, most African economies were predominantly characterised by extensive public ownership, management and control of productive and social infrastructures and institutions. This paper discuss the trend of investments and pension schemes with its risks and challenges in Nigeria. The study however confirmed the non applicability of the financial reform theory hypothesized by McKinnon and Shaw in Nigeria 'This Paper quantitatively examine the outcomes of financial sector reforms in Nigeria with a view to validating the applicability of the Mckinnon Shaw hypothesis of financial liberalization. The impact of reforms on …


Investments And Risk Management Under The New Pension Scheme., Luka A. Dalang Jun 2006

Investments And Risk Management Under The New Pension Scheme., Luka A. Dalang

Bullion

Pension today, has become a topical issue. one that has engaged the commitment of government, attention of employers and workers not only in Nigeria but also in many developing and emerging economies of Africa, Asia and Latin America This paper discuss the trend of investments and pension schemes with its risks and challenges in Nigeria. The study however confirmed the non applicability of the financial reform theory hypothesized by McKinnon and Shaw in Nigeria.' . The National pension Commission guidelines as mentioned earlier, are designed to ensure transparency, integrity and objectivity in the vestment process. and to ensure that the …


Non-Fundamental Expectations And Economic Fluctuations: Evidence From Professional Forecasts, Keen Meng Choy, Kenneth Leong, Anthony S. Tay Jun 2006

Non-Fundamental Expectations And Economic Fluctuations: Evidence From Professional Forecasts, Keen Meng Choy, Kenneth Leong, Anthony S. Tay

Research Collection School Of Economics

It is theoretically possible that non-fundamental idiosyncratic shocks to agents’ rational expectations are a source of economic fluctuations. Studies using data on consumer and investor sentiment suggest that this is indeed an important source of fluctuations. We present the results of a study that uses forecasts from professional forecasters to extract non-fundamental shocks to expectations. In contrast to previous studies, we show that non-fundamental expectations are not a significant source of output fluctuations, although such shocks contributed to inflation.


Growth Accounting For A Follower-Economy In A World Of Ideas: The Example Of Singapore, Kong Weng Ho, Hian Teck Hoon Jun 2006

Growth Accounting For A Follower-Economy In A World Of Ideas: The Example Of Singapore, Kong Weng Ho, Hian Teck Hoon

Research Collection School Of Economics

In this paper, we take another approach to accounting for the sources of Singapore’s economic growth by being explicit about the channels through which Singapore, as a technological follower, benefits from international R&D spillovers. Taking into account the channels through which technology developed in the G5 countries diffuses to technological followers, we show that 57.5 percent of Singapore’s real GDP per worker growth rate over the 1970-2002 period is due to multifactor productivity growth. In particular, about 52 percent of the growth is accounted for by an increase in the effectiveness of accessing ideas developed by the technology leaders through …


Review Essay On The Politically Incorrect Guide To American History By Thomas E. Woods, Jr., Jeffrey Rogers Hummel Apr 2006

Review Essay On The Politically Incorrect Guide To American History By Thomas E. Woods, Jr., Jeffrey Rogers Hummel

Faculty Publications

No abstract provided.


Nigeria's External Trade And The New Perspectives For Its Enhancement, G. K. Sanni Mar 2006

Nigeria's External Trade And The New Perspectives For Its Enhancement, G. K. Sanni

Bullion

Trade has been universally acknowledged as indispensable tool to rapid economic growth and development. This is because increased participation in trade is associated with higher inflows of foreign investment and new technologies which can be adopted to transform the economy through appropriate policy. This paper analyses Nigeria's foreign trade with a view to examining the composition and direction as well as impediments to the growth of trade, and proffer suggestions for enhancing Nigeria's foreign trade. The paper is divided into five sections. Following the introduction are the theoretical issues. This is followed by the analysis in section three of the …


Central Asia: Mapping Future Prospects, Malcolm Dowling, Ganeshan Wignaraja Feb 2006

Central Asia: Mapping Future Prospects, Malcolm Dowling, Ganeshan Wignaraja

Research Collection School Of Economics

Central Asia has emerged as one of the world’s fastest growing regions since the late 1990s and has shown notable development potential. This is significant for a region comprising largely of small landlocked economies with no access to the sea for trade. Among the advantages, of the region are its high- priced commodities (oil, gas, cotton and gold), reasonable infrastructure and human capital as legacies of Soviet rule; and a strategic location between Asia and Europe. Furthermore, many Central Asian Republics (CARs) have embarked on market-oriented economic reforms to boost economic performance and private sector competitiveness. Central Asia: Mapping Future …


Central Asia's Transition After Fifteen Years: Growth And Policy Choices, Malcolm Dowling, Ganeshan Vignaraja Feb 2006

Central Asia's Transition After Fifteen Years: Growth And Policy Choices, Malcolm Dowling, Ganeshan Vignaraja

Research Collection School Of Economics

This paper presents a coherent and systematic analysis of the collapse and subsequent revival of the Central Asian Republics (CARs) since 1990. The focus is on the pattern of growth and structural change during the cycle of decline and subsequent revival in the CARs which have been inadequately analyzed in the literature on transition. The paper relates economic performance to initial conditions, country characteristics and policies. Within this framework, it proposes a simple typology of policies (including a new Type III set of policies on regional cooperation and industrial competitiveness) and relates them to the cycle of decline and revival …


Reform In Lieu Of Change: Tastes Great, Less Filling, Jonathan G.S. Koppell Jan 2006

Reform In Lieu Of Change: Tastes Great, Less Filling, Jonathan G.S. Koppell

Publications from President Jonathan G.S. Koppell

In this response to Light, Koppell argues that the increasing frequency of reform may reflect Congress's inability to make significant changes to the substance of entrenched government programs. Moreover, he observes that the more profound evolution in government has been the movement toward the market-based provision of services, which has created a demand for new competencies in the public sector.


The Macroeconomy And Long-Term Interest Rates: An Examination Of Recent Treasury Yields, Hans W. Hardisty Jan 2006

The Macroeconomy And Long-Term Interest Rates: An Examination Of Recent Treasury Yields, Hans W. Hardisty

Gettysburg Economic Review

From 2001 to 2006, U.S. long-term interest rates have remained steady while the federal funds rate has both declined and increased, as Figure 1 shows. Historically, long term interest rates tend to respond to changes in short term rates, but recently this does not appear to be the case. Former chairman of the Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan, recently dubbed this occurrence a “conundrum,” because no one can provide a distinct explanation concerning this phenomenon. There are several noteworthy incentives for why long-term yields should have increased from 2004 to 2006, but they have remained constant during this time period. According …


The Gettysburg Economic Review, Volume 1, Spring 2006 Jan 2006

The Gettysburg Economic Review, Volume 1, Spring 2006

Gettysburg Economic Review

No abstract provided.


Interest Rates Articles, Anwar Shaikh Phd Jan 2006

Interest Rates Articles, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Tymoigne, É. (2006, November). Fisher’s theory of interest rates and the notion of “real”: A critique (Working Paper No. 483). Annandale-on-Hudson, NY: Levy Economics Institute of Bard College.

• Hannsgen, G. (2004, July). Gibson’s paradox, monetary policy, and the emergence of cycles (Working Paper No. 410). Annandale-on-Hudson, NY: Levy Economics Institute of Bard College.

• Tsiang, S. C. (1989). Loanable funds [Excerpt]. In J. Eatwell, M. Milgate, & P. Newman (Eds.), Money: The New Palgrave (pp. xxx–xxx). London, England: Palgrave Macmillan.

• Cagan, P. (1989). Monetarism [Excerpt]. In J. Eatwell, M. Milgate, & P. Newman (Eds.), …


Capital Stock Reading, Anwar Shaikh Phd Jan 2006

Capital Stock Reading, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

  • Capital stock reading: chain index readings — Shaikh, A., PhD. October 2006. Unpublished manuscript.
  • OECD data series in K stock — Shaikh, A., PhD. October 20, 2006. Unpublished manuscript.
  • Whelan, K. June 2000. A guide to the use of chain aggregated NIPA data. Finance and Economics Discussion Series No. 2000-35. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Division of Research and Statistics, Washington, DC.
  • Marginal annotations and derivations on "a guide to the use of chain aggregated NIPA data" — Shaikh, A., PhD. No date given. Unpublished manuscript.
  • Liu, Y., Hamalainen, N., & Wong, B.-S. 2003. …


Capacity Utilization Paper, Anwar Shaikh Phd Jan 2006

Capacity Utilization Paper, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (2006, January). Capacity utilization paper [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Reference list for a paper on capacity utilization [Reference list]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Morin, N., & Stevens, J. (2004, August). Estimating capacity utilization from survey data (Finance and Economics Discussion Series) [Working paper]. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

• U.S. Census Bureau. (2005, November). Instructions for the survey of plant capacity utilization during the fourth quarter 2005 [Instructional document]. U.S. Department of Commerce.

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). R and r and capacity utilization rates for various countries [Printed …