International Economics Commons^™

Far-Flung Europe: What Is The Economic Impact Of Geography?, John Luke Gallup

Economics Faculty Publications and Presentations

Several Western European countries have integral territory thousands of miles from continental Europe. The economic performance in these "outermost" regions tests the impact of geographical isolation in a high income, institutionally uniform setting quite different from the geographical challenges of poor, agriculturally dependent developing countries. The European regional data used have different starting years by country. This required the derivation of a new non-linear estimation model for cross-regional growth. The outermost regions converge to national income levels of continental Europe at least as fast as other poor continental regions, showing no special impact of geography on economic growth. Looking at …

Why Brazil Has Not Grown: A Comparative Analysis Of Brazilian, Indian, And Chinese Economic Management, Fernando Ferrari-Filho, Anthony Petros Spanakos

Department of Political Science and Law Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

This paper does not aim to dispute that Brazil would benefit from reforms in any or all of these areas. Rather, the paper offers a skeptical perspective on reform menus and proposes an alternative explanation for the faster growth of Brazil’s peers India and China2. The paper begins by introducing (section 1) the idea of the BRICs countries, to establish the basis for comparisons of most similar cases. It then surveys the results of a generation of Washington Consensus era growth (section 2). Although there is a considerable amount of divergence over what causes growth, it seems that something approaching …

The Gettysburg Economic Review, Volume 2, Spring 2008

Gettysburg Economic Review

No abstract provided.

Eco108 World Political Eco Lecture I&Ii, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection contains:

• Intermediate economics: growth, unemployment and inflation [Sample exam questions]. (2008, Spring).

• Keynesian model with government [Manuscript]. (2008, March 11).

• Shaikh, A. (1998, February 19). Unemployment [Handwritten notes for LANG 6061]. Anwar Shaikh, PhD.

• Shaikh, A. (2005, January). Outline [Handwritten notes for LANG 6061]. Anwar Shaikh, PhD.

• Shaikh, A. (1985, October 2). Productive/unproductive labor [Handwritten notes]. Anwar Shaikh, PhD.

• Shaikh, A. (2005, February). Finish long waves [Handwritten notes for economics, international economics]. Anwar Shaikh, PhD.

• Shaikh, A. (2001, April 17). Growth [Handwritten notes for ECO 105]. Anwar Shaikh, PhD.

• Shaikh, …

Cultural Advantages In China: Tale Of Six Cities, Florentin Smarandache, Fu Yuhua, Victor Christianto

Branch Mathematics and Statistics Faculty and Staff Publications

Nowadays, plenty of factories from Europe and other developed countries have been relocated to this country, considering its tremendous economic scale and rapid growth rate during the past three decades. But most of what happens inside the China nowadays is deeply hidden from the outside world (“the foreigners” as China people would call). This fact is partly because most reports on China were written by the so‐called fly‐high experts who are busy completing their reports despite a busy schedule. Very few books or reports were written by people inside, or at least “foreigners” who spent a few years in China. …

Monetary And Fiscal Policy In Poland During The Eu Accession, Lucjan Orlowski

WCBT Faculty Publications

The main objective of this chapter is to review the fiscal and monetary policies of Poland for EU accession and to extract their guiding precepts. Only the most essential aspects of fiscal and monetary convergence are examined, with some attention to institutional convergence. An in-depth analysis of institutional convergence falls beyond the boundaries of this study, as its main focus is on the systemic foundations of macroeconomic stabilization policies during the economic transition and in the course of preparations for EU accession. The chapter also examines policy options for the post-accession macroeconomic policy strategy which will focus on preparations for …

The Gettysburg Economic Review, Volume 1, Spring 2006

Gettysburg Economic Review

No abstract provided.

China's Changing Economic Structures And Its Implications For Regional Patterns Of Trade Production And Integration, Kim Song Tan, Hoe Ee Khor

Research Collection School Of Economics

There is tremendous momentum for economic and financial integration in East Asia today. Partly inspired by the formation of the European Union and partly as a response to the 1997/98 Asia financial crisis, many East Asian countries are showing greater commitment to regional economic cooperation. A number of bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs) have either been concluded or are being negotiated.1 At a less formal level, the ASEAN+3 grouping has brought the whole region together in regular consultations over trade, investment, as well as monetary and exchange rate policy matters.

Bond Yield Compression In The Countries Converging To The Euro, Lucjan T. Orlowski, Kirsten Lommatzsch

WCBT Faculty Publications

We demonstrate that bond yield compression is under way in the countries converging to the euro and that German yields are significant drivers of local currency yields. Based on the evidence from Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic, we conclude that these new ...Member States of the European Union are ready to adopt the euro without risking a disruptive shock to their financial stability. This message transpires from investigating the daily volatility dynamics of local bond yields as a function of German yields, conditional on changes in local term spreads, exchange rates and adjustments to central bank reference rates. Similar …

Export-Led Growth In Bangladesh: A Time Series Analysis, Hiranya K. Nath, Khawaja Mamun

WCBT Faculty Publications

This article examines time series evidence to investigate the link between exports and economic growth in Bangladesh. Using quarterly data for a period from 1976 to 2003 the article finds that industrial production and exports are cointegrated. The results of an error correction model (ECM) suggest that there is a long-run unidirectional causality from exports to growth in Bangladesh.

Targeting Relative Inflation Forecast As Monetary Policy Framework For Adopting The Euro, Lucjan T. Orlowski

WCBT Faculty Publications

This study proposes relative inflation forecast targeting as an operational framework of monetary policy for adopting the euro by the EU new Member States. This strategy assumes containing differentials between the domestic and the eurozone inflation forecasts as an operational target. A model prescribing the RIFT framework is presented along with a set of appropriate policy indicator variables and instrument rules. The proposed framework advances the strategy based on relatively strict inflation targeting that is currently pursued by some NMS. Several ARCHclass tests in various functional forms are employed for providing preliminary empirical evidence on convergence of inflation differentials relative …

Monetary Convergence And Risk Premiums In The Eu Accession Countries, Lucjan Orlowski

WCBT Faculty Publications

This study examines the impact of various monetary policy regimes on the ability to lower inflation and exchange rate risk premiums in the EU accession countries as they undergo monetary convergence to the eurozone. It proposes a monetary policy framework of flexible targeting of relative inflation risk premium that is believed to be credible and useful for managing these two categories of risk. A model of inflation and exchange rate risk premiums within the context of inflation targeting is developed. Recent trends in these risk premiums in Hungary, the Czech Republic and Poland are tested by employing the threshold ARCH …

Levy Trade Model, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Some notes on the U.S. current account deficits. (n.d.). Unpublished manuscript.

• Outline of the trade sector report. (n.d.). Unpublished outline [Manuscript].

• Export models. (2003, May 3). Unpublished document.

• Handwritten notes titled “trade sector model.” (2003, January 31). Unpublished handwritten notes [Manuscript]. (A. Shaikh, PhD, author).

• Trading partner price index. (n.d.). Unpublished graph [Figure].

• Econometrics of trade. (n.d.). Unpublished manuscript.

• Handwritten notes on the U.S. import function. (2003, May 1). Unpublished handwritten notes [Manuscript]. (A. Shaikh, PhD, author).

Economic Crisis In South East Asia : A Study Of Implications For Global Economy By Surendra S Yadav And P K Jain, Hindustan Publishing Corporation, Delhi, 2000., Pradeep Banerjee

IIMB Management Review

No abstract provided.

The New Basel Capital Accord: Making It Effective With Stronger Market Discipline, Harald Benink, Clas Wihlborg

Business Faculty Articles and Research

In January 2001 the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision proposed a new capital adequacy framework to respond to deficiencies in the 1988 Capital Accord on credit risk. The main elements or ‘pillars’ of the proposal are capital requirements based on the internal risk-ratings of individual banks, expanded and active supervision, and information disclosure requirements to enhance market discipline. We discuss the incentive effects of the proposed regulation. In particular, we argue that it provides incentives for banks to develop new ways to evade the intended consequences of the proposed regulation. Supervision alone cannot prevent banks from ‘gaming and manipulation’ of …

Estimation Of The Equilibrium Exchange Rate In Malaysia, Ying Foong Yoong

Student Works (2000-2009)

In this study, we examine the long-nm relationships of the exchange rate of ringgit Malaysia through three difference methods. Firstly, we estimate the ringgit Malaysia with a simple Big Mac index. The results show that the ringgit Malaysia is undervalued since 1993. Secondly, we used the co-integrating techniques to examine the long-run relationship of the exchange rate of ringgit Malaysia against United States dollar vis-a-vis other Asian currencies, namely Japanese yen and Singapore dollar against United States dollar. The short-term impact of these variables are also estimated by an error-correction model. Our results show that the Purchasing Power Parity does …

Determinants Of Inflows Of Foreign Direct Investment In Selected Southeast Asian Countries, Rajapaksa Pathirannahelage Rathanasiri Rajapaksa

Student Works (2000-2009)

Southeast Asian countries experienced high growth of inflows of foreign direct investments in the past three decades. This study attempts to find the key factors that determine these inflows. In addition to that, the importance of such factors was investigated. Based on such findings, the future trend of FDI inflows to this region was also examined by forecasting. In many studies on this subject, the significance of various factors determinants of FDI was evaluated using econometric models. Results of such studies are often varied. Differences depend on the characteristics of the economies and the time examined. Using FDI inflows of …

The Implications Of The Financial Crisis For Malaysian Economy, Amir Raslan Abu Bakar

Student Works (2000-2009)

Malaysia had been blessed by rapid economic growth for the past 10 years prior to 1997. In fact, the success of the Malaysian economy had caught the eyes of developed and developing countries to study how Malaysia managed to achieve such growth. However, when the currency speculators attacked the Thai bath in July, 1997, things started to change. That was the beginning point to the 'nightmare' that the Malaysian economy was about to suffer. Later, more and more firms had to cease operations due to financial difficulties. The unemployment rate and interest rate were increasing. The Malaysian government came up …

Krisis Minsky Dan Kerapuhan Sistem Kewangan Di Indonesia, Irfan Sungkar

Student Works (2000-2009)

Berbagai keterangan dan jawapan telah diberikan oleh para pakar ekonomi dalam menjelaskan mengapa krisis kewangan boleh berlaku, termasuk dalam kes yang terjadi di Indonesia. Akan tetapi, secara amnya jawapan yang diberikan tersebut masih belum meyakinkan dan boleh dipertikaikan. Kertas kerja ini membahas apakah hipotesa dan hujah Minsky berkenaan dengan ketak-stabilan kewangan boleh diterapkan dalam memberikan penjelasan yang menyeluruh mengenai terjadinya krisis kewangan di Indonesia. Hujah Minsky berkenaan dengan terdapatnya suatu anjakan yang secara endogenous menyebabkan sistem kewangan menjadi tak stabil akan dikaji kesesuruannya di Indonesia. Hasil analisa dan dapatan kajian adalah membuktikan bahawa sememangnya telah terjadi suatu anjakan menuju ketak­stabilan …

Dirty Money, Gabriele Camera

Economics Faculty Articles and Research

An inter-governmental body is encouraging the replacement of currency with the objective of discouraging illegal economic activities. This policy is analyzed in a search-theoretic model where individuals choose legal or illegal production, settle trades via monetary or costly intermediated exchange, and where the government imperfectly monitors monetary transactions. Stationary monetary equilibria with both legal and illegal production exist, in which case the over-provision of currency may increment the extent of illegal production. This result holds also in the presence of intermediated exchange of legal goods. Equilibria with differing transaction patterns and degrees of illicit activities coexist.

Xr Theory And Data Eco 204, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• WTO: History and theory. (1999, December 17). [Unpublished typed document]. Manuscript.

• International competition and the theory of exchange rates. (2001, January 20). [Unpublished typed course document for ECO 204]. Course handout.

• World political economy (GECO 5108, Spring 2002). (2002). [Unpublished course syllabus]. Syllabus.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1997, September 19). Ankara: XR theory and evidence [Unpublished handwritten note]. Manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1992, November 20). Talk: Exchange rate theory and data [Unpublished handwritten notes]. Manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1999, November 1). Theory of int rates [Unpublished handwritten notes]. Manuscript. …

Euro, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Canzoneri, M. B., Cumby, R. E., & Diba, B. (1996, July). Relative labor productivity and the real exchange rate in the long run: Evidence for a panel of OECD countries (Working Paper No. 5676). National Bureau of Economic Research.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2000, June 1). Euro XR instability [Unpublished handwritten notes].

• Arestis, P., Biefang-Frisancho Mariscal, I., Brown, A., & Sawyer, M. (n.d.). The causes of euro instability [Unpublished paper].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). CPI [Unpublished spreadsheet].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). ULC [Unpublished spreadsheet].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). Output per hour in …

Thirwall Project, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2001, July 30). Handwritten notes titled “Thirwall project” [Unpublished handwritten notes].

• Contri, A., & Shaikh, A., PhD. (2001, January 10). Actual and B-o-P equilibrium growth rates, Bairam (1988) [Unpublished chart].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2001, April 4). Rates of growth of exports (tables and graphs) [Unpublished tables and graphs].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). Handwritten notes titled “questions: Thirwall project” [Unpublished handwritten notes].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2001, April 24). Handwritten notes titled “Thirwall project” [Unpublished handwritten notes].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2001, April 13). Handwritten notes on cointegration for import function …

An Analysis Of A Monetary Approach To The Balance Of Payments And Exchange Rates : The Case Of Malaysia 1986-1997, Siti Ayu Jalil

Student Works (2000-2009)

The research paper attempts to investigate the empirical analysis of the monetary approach to the balance of payments and exchange rates in the Malaysian environment. Through assessing the balance of payments and exchange rate position In Malaysia, the objective is to determine whether the monetary phenomenon could be the reason for the 1997 financial crisis that resulted Its government to opt for a fixed exchange rate and capital controls policies in September 1997. The time period of the study was 12 years from 1986 to 1997 and in all cases the annually data was used. The central proposition of the …

Nationalism In The People's Republic Of China: A Consequential Chameleon, Ibpp Editor

International Bulletin of Political Psychology

This article describes how nationalism among political leaders in the People's Republic of China (PRC) can be the linchpin of divergent views on the desirability of the PRC's future in a globalized economy.

One Year Of Euro: How Has It Fared?, Ateev Chadda

IIMB Management Review

No abstract provided.

Xr Discussions, Anwar Shaikh Phd2

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). XR discussions [Unpublished handwritten notes]. Manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1998, September 12). Rel prices and rel ULC’s in classical and neoclassical theory [Unpublished handwritten notes]. Manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2000, March 2). XR projects [Unpublished handwritten notes]. Manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). Handwritten notes on data and projects [Unpublished handwritten notes]. Manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1997, January 17). Structure of trade theory [Unpublished handwritten notes]. Manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). Handwritten notes on arbitrage and Ricardo [Unpublished handwritten notes]. Manuscript.

• Mejorado, A. (1998, August). New data …

The Effects Of Financial Liberalization On Monetary Policy : The Malaysian Experience, Valliammai R. M. Raghavan

Student Works (2000-2009)

Along with the scope of financial liberalization, various aspects of reform processes emerged and they include financial sector reform, deregulation, re-regulation and financial innovation. These reforms have changed the types of monetary instruments and targets used and consequently changed the mechanism of monetary transmission. Moreover, in the light of financial liberalization, the relationship between income and money has become increasingly unstable. All this posed a major challenge in the formulation and implementation of monetary policy because the basic framework within which monetary policy operates has changed. This research attempts to investigate the role of financial variables (monetary aggregates, credit aggregates …

The Challenge Of Administration By Regulation: Preliminary Findings Regarding The U.S. Government's Venture Capital Funds, Jonathan G.S. Koppell

Publications from President Jonathan G.S. Koppell

This article assesses the ability of elected officials to control public policy as implemented by public/private hybrid organizations, specifically, government venture capital funds. The study reveals greater control over OPIC investment funds than Enterprise Funds despite the existence of more traditional administrative tools of control for Enterprise Funds. This finding suggests that the regulatory infrastructure for hybrid organizations is more determinative of control than the existence (or lack) of traditional administrative control tools. Thus the challenge of hybrid government centers on the development of regulation as a substitute for administration.

Real Exchange Rates And The International Mobility Of Capital Inbox Shane Wray—Bard College, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1999, February 2). Real exchange rates and the international mobility of capital [Unpublished paper].