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2018

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Articles 61 - 90 of 195

Full-Text Articles in Finance

The Relationship Of Vat Rate And Revenues In The Case Of Informality, Riatu M. Qibthiyyah Aug 2018

The Relationship Of Vat Rate And Revenues In The Case Of Informality, Riatu M. Qibthiyyah

Economics and Finance in Indonesia

This study explored relationship between tax rate and revenues in the case of VAT, one of few type of consumption taxes that is considered to be a broad-based tax. Based on a larger set of countries - in comparison to previous studies, this study shows VAT rate has an inverted U-shaped relationship to VATÂ revenues, confirming the Laffer Curve theory. Exploring further on the effect of informality to maximum VAT rate, we found that higher informality will reduce government flexibility in its effort to increase tax rate. Furthermore, openness has significant and positive effect on VAT revenues performance, and tax …


Income Inequality Between Formal-Informal Employees Based On Education Group, Dias Satria Aug 2018

Income Inequality Between Formal-Informal Employees Based On Education Group, Dias Satria

Economics and Finance in Indonesia

Integrally, the informal sector deals with the formal sector with pro-cyclical nature or as a complementary sector. Such conditions allow for wage disparity between sectors even in the same education group. Thus, this study seeks to determine the determinants of wage inequality between formal and informal employees in skilled and unskilled workers in Indonesia in 2017 using Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition. The results showed that the discrimination factor had a greater influence than the endowment factor on wage inequality and the endowment factors that contributed to the increase in wage inequality between the two groups were age squared, experience, and job training.


Recent Developments In Indonesia's Macro-Economy And Trade, Q1-2018, Febrio Kacaribu Aug 2018

Recent Developments In Indonesia's Macro-Economy And Trade, Q1-2018, Febrio Kacaribu

Economics and Finance in Indonesia

This paper discusses Indonesia's macroeconomic and trade development in the first quarter of 2018. The macroeconomic data shows that the industrial growth was inhibited by regulatory regime inconsistency, while consumption growth still lagged overall GDP growth, and investment growth tended to rise. The trade data shows that the non-oil-and-gas commodities dominated its export, although the commodities terms-of-trade declined. Indonesia's imports were mostly used as raw and auxiliary materials for the input of domestic production. The data also reveals that the larger the firms, the stronger tendency that they have comparative advantage in capital-intensive commodities, and vice versa.


Modification Of The Regulatory Impact Assessment On Indonesia's Economic Policies, Kiki Verico Aug 2018

Modification Of The Regulatory Impact Assessment On Indonesia's Economic Policies, Kiki Verico

Economics and Finance in Indonesia

This paper modifies the Regulatory Impact Assessment (RIA) method in Indonesia's trade, investment, and industrial incentive policies. First, it analyses the Indonesian Bilateral Trade Agreements of Indonesia - Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (IJEPA) and Indonesia - Pakistan Preferential Trade Agreement (IP-PTA) This paper found if the trading partner has GNI per capita higher than Indonesia's then the expected outcome was the increasing FDI inflows and if its GNI per capita lower therefore the most top foreseeable result was the rising net trade balance of Indonesia. Second, it analyses industrial sector incentive analysis and found that firms prefer supply-side than fiscal …


Research On Risk Control Of Ship Financial Leasing, Junyi Xu Aug 2018

Research On Risk Control Of Ship Financial Leasing, Junyi Xu

World Maritime University Dissertations

No abstract provided.


Gdp And Refugees: An Economic Argument For Accepting Refugees, Michael Jarman Aug 2018

Gdp And Refugees: An Economic Argument For Accepting Refugees, Michael Jarman

Marriott Student Review

This paper examines both the costs and benefits associated with accepting refugees and purports to show that accepting refugees is economically beneficial; increasing GDP in the long run. There is a substantial cost associated with accepting and sustaining refugees, both in providing necessities and in the impact that refugees have on local job markets. However, longitudinal data pulled from Denmark, Germany, and Turkey has shown that local markets do recover from the initial shock. Over time as refugees integrate into their host communities, they provide dividends in the form of increasing demand, greater mobility and wage increases for locals, and …


Downside Risk And Stock Returns In The G7 Countries: An Empirical Analysis Of Their Long-Run And Short-Run Dynamics, Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen, Thomas C. Chiang, Wolfgang Karl Härdle Aug 2018

Downside Risk And Stock Returns In The G7 Countries: An Empirical Analysis Of Their Long-Run And Short-Run Dynamics, Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen, Thomas C. Chiang, Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics

Any risk-return tradeoff analysis in aggregate equity markets relies on appropriate measures of risk, in most studies based on (co-)variance relations. Consequently, in integrated global markets, country-specific expected return is priced with a world price of covariance risk. This study relates domestic excess stock returns to the world downside risk. Evidence shows that downside tail risk (as a multiplier of volatility) has long memory cointegration properties; hence, the underlying risk aversion behavior in an integrated market is associated with the conditional quantile ratio, the correlation of stock returns, and the cointegrating coefficient of downside risk. Our empirical results based on …


Do Fomc Actions Speak Loudly? Evidence From Corporate Bond Credit Spreads, Siamak Javadi, Ali Nejadmalayeri, Tim Krehbiel Aug 2018

Do Fomc Actions Speak Loudly? Evidence From Corporate Bond Credit Spreads, Siamak Javadi, Ali Nejadmalayeri, Tim Krehbiel

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

We find that Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) actions (especially rate cuts) narrowed corporate credit spreads during the pre-crisis period of 2002-2007. During the 2008 crisis period, we find that both conventional cuts and quantitative easing decreased spreads. But FOMC inactions caused significant widening of spreads. The effects are especially large for speculative-grade and short-maturity bonds. Overall, the policy uncertainty during the crisis and macroeconomic theories during the pre-crisis period help to explain why FOMC announcements impacted credit spreads. The Fed’s actions targeted at promoting growth and/or providing systemic liquidity were especially noted by the corporate bond market. Keywords:


Disentangling The Impacts Of Industrial And Global Diversification On Firm Risk, Mohammad Jafarinejad, Thanh Ngo, Diego Escobari Aug 2018

Disentangling The Impacts Of Industrial And Global Diversification On Firm Risk, Mohammad Jafarinejad, Thanh Ngo, Diego Escobari

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

We examine the impact of corporate diversification on firm risk exposure from 1998 to 2016. We find that both global and industrial diversification mitigate idiosyncratic and world market risk while having a negligible impact on U.S. market risk, but the effects vary before, during, and after the financial crisis of 2007–2009. Before the crisis, only global diversification mitigates idiosyncratic risk, but it increases firms' exposure to world market risk. During the crisis, industrial diversification increases idiosyncratic risk, but both types of diversification increase exposure to U.S. market risk. After the crisis, both types of diversification increase firms' exposure to U.S. …


Essays In Leveraged Capital Markets, Kenneth D. Ford Aug 2018

Essays In Leveraged Capital Markets, Kenneth D. Ford

Graduate Theses and Dissertations

The debt capital markets for leveraged borrowers are ripe with information asymmetry, lender specialization, and borrower segmentation. In this dissertation, I explore how these factors manifest themselves and the economic consequences thereof. Essay 1 shows that adverse selection and moral hazard concerns are inherent in underwriting syndicates that differ in size and number of lead underwriters. Using a nested double selection probit model of syndicate choice, I examine the matching of issuers and underwriters and find that matches of issuer quality and underwriter reputation are positive assortative. Further, switching regressions show that yield spreads reflect uncertainty about the intrinsic values …


Essays In Networks Of Finance And Experimental Finance: A Behavioral View, Weineng Xu Aug 2018

Essays In Networks Of Finance And Experimental Finance: A Behavioral View, Weineng Xu

Graduate Theses and Dissertations

Behavioral and managerial biases can occur among corporate executives that lead to suboptimal decision making and outcomes for the shareholders. In the first essay, I study how the personal networks of CEO affect the performance of the firm in the context of IPO. I find that CEOs at higher social hierarchical positions can allow managerial entrenchment and prevent dismissal. The findings show that influential CEOs are associated with higher IPO underpricing, lower likelihood of positive offer price revision, and lower likelihood of wealth creation for the pre-IPO shareholders. In the second essay, I explore how the social connections between bidder …


Marking To Market And Inefficient Investment Decisions, Clemens A. Otto, Paolo F. Volpin Aug 2018

Marking To Market And Inefficient Investment Decisions, Clemens A. Otto, Paolo F. Volpin

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

We examine how mark-to-market accounting affects the investment decisions of managers with reputation concerns. Reporting the current market value of a firm’s assets can help mitigate agency problems because it provides outsiders (e.g., shareholders) with new information against which the management’s decisions can be evaluated. However, the fact that the assets’ market value is informative can also have a negative side effect: managers may shy away from investments that indicate conflicting private information and would damage their reputation. This effect can lead to inefficient investment decisions and make marking to market less desirable when market prices are more informative.


Financial Bubble Implosion And Reverse Regression, Peter C. B. Phillips, Shu-Ping Shi Aug 2018

Financial Bubble Implosion And Reverse Regression, Peter C. B. Phillips, Shu-Ping Shi

Research Collection School Of Economics

Expansion and collapse are two key features of a financial asset bubble. Bubble expansionmay be modeled using a mildly explosive process. Bubble implosion may take several differentforms depending on the nature of the collapse and therefore requires some flexibility in modeling.This paper first strengthens the theoretical foundation of the real time bubble monitoringstrategy proposed in Phillips, Shi and Yu (2015a,b, PSY) by developing analytics and studyingthe performance characteristics of the testing algorithm under alternative forms of bubbleimplosion which capture various return paths to market normalcy. Second, we propose a newreverse sample use of the PSY procedure for detecting crises and …


Changes In Sentiment On Reit Industry Excess Returns And Volatility, Daniel Huerta-Sanchez, Diego Escobari Aug 2018

Changes In Sentiment On Reit Industry Excess Returns And Volatility, Daniel Huerta-Sanchez, Diego Escobari

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

REIT characteristics pose unique risks and benefits to investors who seek liquid diversification and hedging vehicles to complement their portfolios. This paper tests for the asymmetric effect of individual and institutional investor sentiment on REIT industry returns and conditional volatility. We simultaneously model the impact of two markedly different groups of investors on the return generating process of the REIT industry. Our findings suggest that noise trading imposes significant systemic risk on the realization of REIT industry returns. Interestingly, corrections in institutional investor expectations have a larger effect on REIT industry returns and volatility than changes in individual investor expectations. …


Do Congressmen Really Drive Cars?, Tyler Brown Aug 2018

Do Congressmen Really Drive Cars?, Tyler Brown

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

My research focuses on stock returns around term elections. I will be looking at the 50 most held stocks of congressmen, and taking the returns of these stocks against the market average during election season. I examine if there are Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CARs) that can be realized as a result of information about the elections. I want to find any possible trading strategy that investors could use to obtain returns that are in excess of the market average. I am attempting to discover how the market behaves when election season is occurring. This information could prove to be very …


The Effects Of Economic Policy Uncertainty On Common Stock And American Depository Receipts, Bradley David Zynda Ii Aug 2018

The Effects Of Economic Policy Uncertainty On Common Stock And American Depository Receipts, Bradley David Zynda Ii

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

Uncertainty can have profound implications on both firms and individuals who hope to optimally make decisions in their best interest. In this research, I seek to examine the impact that economic policy uncertainty has on domestic and foreign stock. In particular, I take a market microstructure perspective focused on stock liquidity and volatility measures in response to changes in economic policy uncertainty. Understanding the directional flow of economic policy uncertainty and the magnitude of the consequences at home and abroad can both help prepare agents to make good decisions about the future and exhort policy makers to be more efficient …


An Empirical Study Of The Impact Of The Change In Real Effective Exchange Rate On China's Inflow Of Foreign Direct Investment, Mingyu Niu Aug 2018

An Empirical Study Of The Impact Of The Change In Real Effective Exchange Rate On China's Inflow Of Foreign Direct Investment, Mingyu Niu

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

With the development of worldwide economic and globalization, China plays an important role in international trade. Since the "reform and openness" and "five years' plan", China’s economy became the second largest in the world. During the period of economic development, Foreign Direct Investment became an important part of improving market socialism in China. In this paper, I use monthly data on foreign direct investment (FDI) in China and the index of real effective exchange rate (REER) of the Chinese RMB for the period from Jan 2008 to Nov 2017. I develop a statistical model to test the causality between FDI …


Local Investors’ Preferences And Capital Structure, Binay K. Adhikari, David C. Cicero, Johan Sulaeman Jul 2018

Local Investors’ Preferences And Capital Structure, Binay K. Adhikari, David C. Cicero, Johan Sulaeman

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

We provide evidence that publicly listed firms respond to capital supply conditions shaped by local investing preferences. The local supply of credit is higher and more stable in areas where demographics suggest that local investors prefer safer portfolios. We find that firms headquartered in these areas use more debt financing. The demographics-leverage relation is more pronounced for non-investment-grade and unrated firms that cannot easily tap public markets (about two-thirds of U.S. public companies). Analyses of firms’ financing activities around exogenous shocks to credit supplies – including interstate banking deregulation and the 2008-2009 financial crisis – support the capital supply effect. …


Household Debt, Expected Economic Conditions, And Income Inequality, Edmond Berisha, John Meszaros Jul 2018

Household Debt, Expected Economic Conditions, And Income Inequality, Edmond Berisha, John Meszaros

Department of Economics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

The high level of debt among households outside the top end of the income distribution has led many economists to assert that household debt has been an important component of the increase in income inequality in the United States. In addition, the yield spread provides information about the overall condition of the economy and may also be tied into the distribution of income. The paper's results show that increases in the yield spread and household debt correspond with increases in top income shares, resulting in increases in income inequality. However, as household debt and income inequality increase, the yield spread …


Microfinance, Msmes And The Macro Economy: Evidence From India, Monica Casabona Jul 2018

Microfinance, Msmes And The Macro Economy: Evidence From India, Monica Casabona

Honors College Theses

Much of prior literature on the relationship between microfinance and the macro-economy has focused on the effect of the latter in determining the success of microfinance institutions (MFIs). However, the microfinance industry has been underserved in studies evaluating microfinance as a legitimate contributor toward macro-economic growth. Researching this connection would provide a clearer direction for policymakers to support microfinance, and the institutions that foster such activities. This paper investigates the hypothesis that microfinance is not only important to the people at the bottom of the socio-economic pyramid, but for the overall health of a national economy. We explore different mechanisms …


Examining Moral Hazard In The Healthcare Insurance Market, Samuel Ashby Jul 2018

Examining Moral Hazard In The Healthcare Insurance Market, Samuel Ashby

Honors College Theses

This study aims to examine the effect of insurance coverage on medical expenditure in the United States. The data was gathered from the Household Component Medical Expenditure Panel Survey and is a cross-sectional data set with a sample size of approximately 1500 observations. The study also distinguishes between public and private insurance coverage to compare the potential moral hazard in the two separate markets. The results of this study suggest that insurance status, specifically public, has a strong positive effect on healthcare expenditure. This result, combined with a negative relationship between household income and healthcare expenditure, suggests that the source …


Institutional Development And Foreign Banks In Chile, Brian Du, Alejandro Serrano, Andre Vianna Jul 2018

Institutional Development And Foreign Banks In Chile, Brian Du, Alejandro Serrano, Andre Vianna

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

This paper analyzes the effects of foreign banks on developing countries’ bank performance. We study this relationship from a different perspective by focusing on Chile, an emerging market with strong institutions. The results from dynamic panel regressions on hand-collected financial statement data from 2005 to 2014 indicate that foreign banks improve banking sector competitiveness, reduce the volatility of returns, and increase commercial and consumption loans. The overall evidence suggests that, in the presence of solid institutions, foreign banks improve the banking sector in developing countries. Therefore, public policies on foreign banks should be more effective when accompanied by advances in …


Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 21, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Esmeralda Muñiz Jul 2018

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 21, Number 3, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Esmeralda Muñiz

Border Region Modeling Project

No abstract provided.


Three Essays On Empirical Asset Pricing, Ming Zeng Jul 2018

Three Essays On Empirical Asset Pricing, Ming Zeng

Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)

This thesis consists of three chapters. In Chapter1, I show that returns to currency carry and momentum strategies are compensations for the risk of US monetary policy uncertainty (MPU), with risk exposures explaining 96% of their cross-sectional return variations. The findings are consistent with an intermediary-based exchange rate model. Higher MPU triggers position unwinding by the intermediary, which decreases there turns of currency with high-interest rate or appreciation, while that with low-interest rate or depreciation earns positive returns. Different responses stem from the long and short behavior of the intermediary. The explanatory power of US MPU risk is robust and …


Do Hedge Funds Exploit Rare Disaster Concerns?, George P. Gao, Pengjie Gao, Zhaogang Song Jul 2018

Do Hedge Funds Exploit Rare Disaster Concerns?, George P. Gao, Pengjie Gao, Zhaogang Song

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

We find hedge funds that have higher return covariation with a disaster concern index, which we develop through out-of-the-money puts on various economic sector indices, earn significantly higher returns in the cross-section. We provide evidence that these funds’ managers are more skilled at exploiting the market’s ex ante rare disaster concerns (SEDs), which may not be associated with disaster risk. In particular, high-SED funds, on average, outperform low-SED funds by 0.96% per month, but have less exposure to disaster risk. They continue to deliver superior future performance when SEDs are estimated using the disaster concern index purged of disaster risk …


Real Estate Risk, Corporate Investment And Financing Choice, Xiaoying Deng, Seow Eng Ong, Meijun Qian Jul 2018

Real Estate Risk, Corporate Investment And Financing Choice, Xiaoying Deng, Seow Eng Ong, Meijun Qian

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

This paper empirically examines how real estate risk impacts corporate investment and financing decisions. Using a panel of United States firms from 1985 to 2013, we document that real estate risk is negatively associated with firms’ long-term investments and long-term external financing in equity and debt. The results are robust to different risk measurements and in particular salient during the financial crisis period when the endogeneity between risk and investment is less of a concern. The effect on firm leverage, however, depends on risk measures. Overall, in contrast to previously documented positive effects of the real estate value, real estate …


The Real Effects Of Exchange Traded Funds, Frank Weikai Li, Xuewen Liu, Chengzhu Sun Jul 2018

The Real Effects Of Exchange Traded Funds, Frank Weikai Li, Xuewen Liu, Chengzhu Sun

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

This paper investigates the effects of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on the real efficiency of the underlying securities. We document strong evidence that being held by ETFs increases the sensitivity of a firm's investment to its own stock price. This is consistent with the model prediction on the managerial learning channel. Higher ownership by ETFs increases the firm's stock price informativeness about systematic shocks but may decrease the informativeness about firm-specific shocks; however, the firm manager cares most and wants to learn from the stock price mainly about systematic shocks in making investment decisions as he already has precise private information …


مدى استخدام بطاقة الأداء المتوازن في تحسين جودة المعلومات المحاسبية دراسة تطبيقية في معمل اسمن الكوفة, شيماء نهرو جبل Jun 2018

مدى استخدام بطاقة الأداء المتوازن في تحسين جودة المعلومات المحاسبية دراسة تطبيقية في معمل اسمن الكوفة, شيماء نهرو جبل

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

يهدف هذا البحث الى بيان امكانية استخدام بطاقة الاداء المتوازن كأداة تساعد الشركة بتوفير معلومات محاسبية ذات جودة ودقة عالية للأطراف ذات العلاقة , وتضمن البحث فرضيتين رئيسيتين, الاولى لعلاقات الارتباط والثانية لعلاقات التأثير بين متغيرات البحث, تم اختيار عينة من السادة أفراد الادارة العليا ورؤساء الاقسام والشعب في معمل اسمنت الكوفة والبالغ عددهم (150) فرد, باعتماد الاستبانة التي اشتملت (36) فقرة, وتم استخراج النتائج باستخدام البرنامج الاحصائي (SPSS), وقد أشارت النتائج الى وجود علاقة واثر ايجابي لأبعاد بطاقة الاداء المتوازن في جودة المعلومات المحاسبية , وقدمت مجموعة من التوصيات كان أهمها التركيز على بعد التعلم والنمو عن طريق تشجيع …


أثر بعض مؤشرات سوق العراق للأوراق المالية في تشجيع الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر (رؤية تحليلية), حيدر جواد كاظم Jun 2018

أثر بعض مؤشرات سوق العراق للأوراق المالية في تشجيع الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر (رؤية تحليلية), حيدر جواد كاظم

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

تهدف الدراسة إلى قياس مدى تأثيرا مؤشرات سوق العراق للأوراق المالية في الاستثمار الاجنبي المباشر , بناءً على الفرضية التي تفيد بوجود علاقة ارتباط وتأثير إيجابية ومعنوية بين مؤشرات سوق العراق للأوراق المالية والاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر, وقد بيّنت هذه الدراسة أثر العلاقة باستخدام الأسلوب الوصفي لعرض مفاهيم المتغيرات, بالإضافة إلى الأسلوب القياسي باستخدام معادلة الانحدار الخطي حيث تم تقديرها بطريقة المربعات الصغرى العادية, وتوصلت نتائج الاختبار القياسي إلى وجود علاقة طردية معنوية بين الاستثمار الاجنبي وبعض مؤشرات سوق العراق الأوراق المالية وهي مؤشرات (عدد الأسهم المتداولة، حجم التداول، القيمة السوقية ,مؤشر الأسعار، عدد الشركات المتداولة)، مقابل عدم معنوية النماذج المتبقية.


توظيف مؤشرات تمويل النمو المستدام في الحد من الهشاشة المالية دراسة مقارنة بين شركات التامين العراقية والاماراتية, مهند حميد ياسر العطوي Jun 2018

توظيف مؤشرات تمويل النمو المستدام في الحد من الهشاشة المالية دراسة مقارنة بين شركات التامين العراقية والاماراتية, مهند حميد ياسر العطوي

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

يهدف البحث الى التعرف على دور مؤشرات تمويل النمو المستدام (معدل النمو الفعلي ومعدل النمو المستدام) في التقليل من الهشاشة المالية في شركات التامين العراقية والاماراتية, حددت مشكلة البحث في عدد من التساؤلات تمحورت حول التعرف على مدى تأثير معدل النمو الفعلي والمستدام في الهشاشة المالية, وتم وضع مخطط فرضي يوضح علاقات التأثير بين مؤشرات البحث وعبر عنها بفرضيتين تأثير وثلاث فرضيات تبحث عن الفروق بين الشركات المبحوثة, وتم جمع المعلومات من خلال المواقع الإلكترونية الرسمية لسوق العراق ودبي للأوراق المالية, وتم استخدام اسلوب الانحدار البسيط في ايجاد علاقة التأثير بين متغيرات البحث والتحليل التميزي للتعرف على معنوية الفروق, باستخدام …