Finance Commons^™

The Impact Of Real Interest Rate On Real Exchange Rate: Empirical Evidence From Japan, Tomiwa Shodipe

2018 Awards for Excellence in Student Research and Creative Activity – Documents

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of real interest rate on the real exchange rate in Japan using Two Stage Least Square econometric techniques. The two instruments used are money supply and gross domestic product growth rates. The result provides support for the theoretical and empirical evidences of positive relationship between real interest rate and real exchange rate in Japan. The estimation also shows that there is positive relation between trade and Japanese Yen over the period considered in the study. In light of these findings, the study suggests the adoption of fiscal macroeconomic policy instruments that are capable of …

Can Risk Models Extract Inflation Expectations From Financial Market Data? Evidence From The Inflation Protected Securities Of Six Countries, Arben Kita, Daniel L. Tortorice

Economics Department Working Papers

We consider an arbitrage strategy which exactly replicates the cash of a sovereign inflation-indexed bond using inflation swaps and nominal sovereign bonds. The strategy reveals a violation of the law of one price in the G7 countries which is largest for the eurozone. Testing the strategy's exposure to deflation, volatility, liquidity, economic and policy risks suggests that the observed pricing differential is an economic tail risk premium which is more pronounced in the eurozone. We conclude that inflation expectations implied by models that view this pricing differential as compensation for risk are likely to be accurate and useful for policy-making.

Explaining Excess Stock Return Through Options Market Sentiment, Michael Gough

Honors Projects in Finance

Option markets are a fascinating area of study and in recent years research has indicated that information obtained from the options market can be used to explain price returns in the underlying stock market. Building on existing asset pricing models such as the Fama-French Three Factor, Carhart Four Factor, and Fama-French Five Factor Models, this research tests if the put to call ratio can be used as an additional factor in explaining excess returns. Ordinary least squares models are run on all Dow Jones 30 stocks using more than ten years of data and the model results are compared. The …

Airbnb's Effect On The Hospitality Industry, Eric A. Douglas

Student Publications

I examined the effect that Airbnb’s entrance into and disruption of the hospitality market in 2011 had on hotel room rates across the world by 2017. Hotel room rates were taken from published data tables rather than my own analysis because of an unavailability of raw hotel pricing data. Price comparisons between current Airbnb and hotel room rates were researched to see if one method of accommodation would be better than the other. Twenty-seven cities’ hotel rate averages and Airbnb entire-home prices were averaged and compared. There was a significant difference in hotel room rates between 2011 and 2017, during …

Looming Consumer Debt: A Comparison To The Great Recession, Andrew Jenks

Honors Projects

A look into the current outstanding debt in the United States and comparison to conditions prior to the financial crisis of 2007-2008.

Lending Club’S Note Trading Platform Facade: An Examination Of Peer-To-Peer (P2p) Lending Secondary Market Inefficiency, Stephen Harvey

Honors Theses

The original objective of the study was to monitor and analyze the inefficiencies in Lending Club’s Peer-toPeer (P2P) secondary market, in order to exploit these inefficiencies for a risk-free return. Upon a threemonth examination and analysis of the secondary market, the findings indicate that arbitrage conditions do not exist as a result of the observed volume of the marketplace being vastly lower than initially believed. Only 0.44% of note listing instances on Lending Club’s secondary market over the three-month period resulted in successful trades. As a consequence, investors assume a purported level of liquidity that is never met, thus they …

Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast, Volume 21, Number 2, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Adam G. Walke

Border Region Modeling Project

No abstract provided.

The Path To Mainstream Finance: Exploring Complementary Currencies And Interest-Free Lending, Ema Di Fruscia

Independent Study Project (ISP) Collection

This paper explores elements of alternative finance including complementary currencies, credit clearing systems, and Islamic Banking practices. I begin first by outlining the issues created by the mainstream western banking model, including wealth inequality, socioeconomic discrimination, environmental degradation, and the collapse of small businesses and local economies. I go on to introduce and define the concepts of complementary currencies, Local Exchange Trading Systems, and credit clearing systems; I argue that these systems challenge the popularly held perceptions that currencies and mainstream banking practices in general are immutable, given, or ideal. To support this assertion, I transition into my research findings …

Inflation Expectations In Singapore: A Behavioural Approach, Alexander Clark, Aurobindo Ghosh, Samuel Hanes

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

The expectations of economic agents have significant impact on their decisions and are key determinants of macroeconomic outcomes such as inflation, economic growth and unemployment. For example, if a worker believes that consumer prices will rise sharply next year, she would demand a wage increase. Similarly, a homeowner with a fixed interest mortgage might make an early repayment if she expects price levels to fall, knowing that the real value of her mortgage debt will increase. In these cases, expectations about inflation could lead to changes in behaviour and in the aggregate, influence prices and become self-fulfilling.

Quantitative Easing Auctions Of Treasury Bonds, Zhaogang Song, Haoxiang Zhu

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

The Federal Reserve uses (reverse) auctions to implement its purchases of Treasury bonds in quantitative easing (QE). To evaluate dealers’ offers across multiple bonds, the Fed relies on its internal yield curve model, fitted to secondary market bond prices. From November 2010 to September 2011, a one standard deviation increase in the cheapness of a Treasury bond (how much the market price of the bond is below a model-implied value) increases the Fed’s purchase quantity of that bond by 276 million and increases the auction costs on that bond by 2.6 cents per $100 par value, controlling for standard covariates. …

Investment And The Long Swings Of Unemployment, Hian Teck Hoon, Katsimi Margarita, Gylfi Zoega

Research Collection School Of Economics

We estimate the relationship between investment and unemployment over the time period 1960-2015 in 20 OECD countries. While neoclassical growth theory typically assumes full employment – with no effect of investment on unemployment – we find that over our sample period covering more than five decades, a statistically significant negative relationship does exist: when investment fell, unemployment increased. When the time period is broken down into two sub-periods to take account of the Great Recession, we find that the estimated coefficient of investment is slightly smaller when the period 2001-2015 is added to the 1960-2000 period. We also find a …

تفعيل عملية تدقيق ورقابة الاداء على مؤسسات البلديات لتحقيق التنمية المستدامة بحث تطبيقي في مديرية بلديات محافظة المثنى, وعد هادي عبد الحساني

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

يهدف البحث الى معرفة ماهية التنمية المستدامة وعملية تدقيق ورقابة الاداء على المؤسسات العامة ومعايير التدقيق والرقابة التي تناولت الموضوع ، كما يهدف الى تطبيق عملية تدقيق ورقابة الاداء على عينة البحث لتحقيق التنمية المستدامة من خلال قياس اثر انشطة مؤسسات البلديات على ابعاد واهداف التنمية المستدامة ، ولقد توصل البحث الى اهم الاستنتاجات وهي عدم قيام المدقق الداخلي والمدقق الخارجي لمؤسسات البلديات في تفعيل عملية تدقيق ورقابة الاداء على انشطة البلديات لتحقيق التنمية المستدامة ، وضعف مؤسسات البلديات في اعداد وتنفيذ خطة لتحصيل ايراداتها السنوية اثر سلبا على نصيب الفرد من ( سكان الحضر ) الذي يمكن ان يحصل …

أثر عناصر المزيج الترويجي للخدمة التأمينية في تحقيق رضا الزبون دراسة تحليلية لآراء عينه من زبائن شركة التامين الوطنية / فرع الديوانية, لقاء ميري حبيب ميري حبيب

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

لقد تناول البحث الحالي احد العناصر الاساسية والحيوية في العمل التسويقي لشركات التأمين من خلال استعراض احد الانشطة المهمة والمؤثرة في تحقيق اهدافها التسويقية والمتمثل بالمزيج الترويجي الذي يشمل على اربعه عناصر هي (العلاقات العامة ،البيع الشخصي ، تنشيط المبيعات ،الاعلان ) يهدف البحث الى دراسة واقع المزيج الترويجي في شركات التأمين واعتمد البحث جمع البيانات من عينه زبائن شركة التامين الوطنية / فرع الديوانية ولتحقيق هدف البحث قامت الباحثة بتوزيع استبانه أعدت لهذا الغرض على مجتمع البحث المكون من الزبون وفي ضوء ذلك جرى تحليل البيانات واختبار الفرضيات باستخدام الاساليب الاحصائية الملائمة (الاوساط الحسابية والانحرافات المعيارية والارتباط (بيرسون والانحدار) …

توظيف سلوكيات القيادة البارعة لتعزيز سلوك العمل الابداعي دراسة استطلاعية لآراء عينة من أعضاء الهيئة التدريسية في كليات جامعة القادسية, صالح عبد الرضا رشيد

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى التعرف على مدى تأثير سلوكيات القيادة البارعة لرؤساء الاقسام العلمية على السلوك الابداعي لأعضاء الهيأة التدريسية في كليات جامعة القادسية . وقد تم اختبار سلوكيات القيادة البارعة من خلال نوعين من السلوكيات هما السلوكيات المنفتحة والسلوكيات المنغلقة ، فيما تم اختبار السلوك الابداعي من خلال نوعين من السلوك أيضا هما السلوك الابداعي الاستكشافي ببعديه الفرعيين استكشاف الفرصة وتوليد الفكرة ، والسلوك الابداعي الاستثماري ببعديه الفرعيين الترويج للفكرة وتنفيذ الفكرة . وقد تم استطلاع آراء عينة من أعضاء الهيئة التدريسية في كليات الجامعة بلغ عدد أعضاءها (287 ) تدريسيا وتدريسية واعتمدت الدراسة الاستبانة أداة رئيسة للحصول على …

دور مراقب الحسابات في تقويم اداء المصارف الخاصة وبيان مدى تعرضها للتعثر المالي من خلال تطبيق نظام Sherrod دراسة تطبيقية في عينه من المصارف الأهلية العراقية, عقيل دخيل كريم

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

تتعلم الأمم من تجاربها ومن تجارب الآخرين ومن أي عثرات تواجهها فمن هذه التجارب ينكون لديها خبرات للمستقبل ويعد تجاوز تلك العثرات منطلقاً للتقدم للأمام بكل قوة. لذا يقع على عاتق مراقبي الحسابات مسؤولية الافصاح عن مدى قدرة الوحدة الاقتصادية عن الاستمرار بمزاولة نشاطها ، والتنبؤ باحتمالات الفشل المالي للوحدة والابلاغ عن الشكوك في عدم قدرة تلك الوحدات تحت التدقيق على الاستمرار في نشاطها ، وهذا ما ركزت عليه معايير التدقيق المهنية ولهذا جاء هذا البحث متناولاً مشكلة القصور الواضح لدى مراقبي الحسابات وادارات الوحدات الاقتصادية في التزام بمسؤولياتهم اتجاه بيان قدرة الوحدة على الاستمرار وكذلك تحديد مسؤوليات مراقبي الحسابات …

التمكين النفسي وتأثيره على السلوك الابداعي دراسة تطبيقية في مديرية بيئة القادسية, خيريه عبد فضل الخالدي

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

تناول هذا البحث التمكين النفسي وتأثيره على السلوك الابداعي لعينة من العاملين في مديرية بيئة القادسية . اذ يضم متغير التمكين النفسي اربعه ابعاد متمثلة بـ (المعنى , المقدرة, الاستقلالية, التأثير) ,اما متغير السلوك الابداعي فتمثل أبعاده ( توليد الافكار , ترويج الافكار , تنفيذ الافكار) , وقد اعتمد هذا البحث على المنهج التحليلي للبيانات التي جمعت من آراء عينة مكونه من (124) موظف في مديرية بيئة القادسية واختبرت فرضيات البحث باستخدام معامل الارتباط البسيط و تحليل الانحدار المتعدد وعدد من الادوات الاحصائية الاخرى الملائمة لتحقيق اهداف البحث الحالي باستخدام برنامج SPSS.v.24)). وقد أثبتت النتائج التطبيقية للبحث صحة الفرضيات التي …

تحليل السيولة ، الربحية ، الرفع المالي في ضوء ادارة المخاطر المصرفية المصرف التجاري العراقي حالة دراسية 2005 – 2015, غسان طارق ظاهر

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

تعد موضوعة السيولة والربحية والرفع المالي في ظل ادارة المخاطر المصرفية من الموضوعات التي تحظى باهتمام الاقتصاديين، من خلال البحث في طبيعة العلاقة بين تلك المتغيرات لتحقيق التوازن والموائمة في ادارة السيولة لجانبي الموجودات والمطلوبات للبنوك، فضلا عن تحقيق عنصر الأمان، وبالتالي تشكل تلك المتغيرات الأقطاب الثلاثة، والتي لا يمكن لأي بنك الاستغناء عنها، وتتلخص فكرة البحث في تحليل ادارة السيولة لجانبي الموجودات ومكوناتها فضلا عن ادارة جانب المطلوبات والذي تمثل بإجمالي القروض قصيرة الاجل، فضلا عن تحليل اثر الرفع المالي في ربحية البنك التجاري العراقي، للمدة 2005-2015، من خلال بناء نماذج قياسية للمدة موضوعة البحث، وخلصت الدراسة الى تطابق …

إدارة المصارف الإسلامية ودورها في تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية بعض المصارف الإسلامية العربية إنموذجاً للمدة 2006- 2013, صباح رحيم مهدي الاسدي

Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economics Sciences

ان الغاية من انشاء المصارف الاسلامية، هي مواجهة التحديات التي تواجه المسلمون من خلال تعاملاتهم المالية والاستثمارية، وما لها من علاقة بالمصارف التجارية، لان اغلب المعاملات التجارية تحتاج الى ايداع وسحب وأتمان مصرفي، وخوفا من الوقوع بدائرة الحرام من خلال التعاملات الربوية (التعامل بالفائدة). فجاءت فكرة انشاء المصارف الاسلامية ترسيخا لمبادئ التعاليم الاسلامية وادراكا لحجم التحديات التي تعاني منها الامة الاسلامية في مجالها الاقتصادي، لذا كان من الضروري ايجاد آلية فاعلة للتصدي لتلك التحديات، من خلال تكوين مؤسسات مصرفية تنموية هدفها الابتعاد عن التعامل بالفائدة، وفي الوقت نفسه العمل على دعم التنمية الاقتصادية والتقدم الاجتماعي للشعوب والمجتمعات الاسلامية وفقا لمبادئ …

Estimation Of Cost Efficiency Without Cost Data, Levent Kutlu, Ran Wang

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

One of the advantages of conduct parameter games is that they enable estimation of market power without total cost data. In line with this, we develop a conduct parameter based model to estimate the firm specific “marginal cost efficiency” and conduct without using total cost data. The marginal cost efficiency is an alternative measure of efficiency that is based on deadweight loss. We illustrate our methodology by estimating firm-route-quarter specific conducts and marginal cost efficiencies of U.S. airlines for Chicago based routes without using route-level total cost data.

What Do Outside Directors Actually Do? Evidence From Their Voting Activities, Wonseok Choi, Monika K. Rabarison

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

Prior studies on the monitoring role of outside directors tend to be based on the assumption of interest differences between agents and principals and adhere to arbitrary definitions of board independence or quality. Using a unique dataset of individual outside directors’ voting activities on items proposed by managers of Korean public firms between FY2010 and FY2014, we investigate whether outside directors play an effective role in mitigating agency problems, without such assumption and arbitrary definitions. We find that outside directors can provide effective monitoring by expressing strong dissension, such as disagreeing, withdrawing their votes, or holding their votes on managers’ …

Managerial Incentives And Changes In Corporate Investments Following The Inception Of Credit Default Swap Trade, Hyun A. Hong, Ji Woo Ryou, Anup Srivastava

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

A credit default swap (CDS) enables a lender to hedge its risk exposure on a loan given to reference client. The lender then reduces the monitoring of the client’s activities as well as aiding the distressed client. Two contrasting predictions can be made about how the borrower would respond to the altered lender-borrower relationship. (1) The borrower reduces risky investments to lower its vulnerability to financial distress. (2) The borrower pursues volatility-enhancing projects to increase the value of call options built into its shareholder investments. We find that a borrower shifts to a more conservative policy when its managers have …

Empirical Evidence On The Relationship Between Audit Probability And Internal Revenue Service Budget Levels, Akinloye Akindayomi, Gideon T. Akileye, Adeduro A. Ogunmakin

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

Despite a large literature on tax avoidance strategies by individuals and the IRS ability to curb them, how the agency’s audit/examination activities respond to tax expenditures within the individual taxation context is not well understood. We hypothesize that IRS audit probability of individual tax returns will positively respond to the magnitude of different tax expenditure drivers if the agency has a shot at curtailing them. We find that while the probability of IRS audit increases as the agency’s budget on enforcement activities increases, tax expenditures do not appear to prompt IRS enforcement activities in many of the tax expenditures drivers.

Are Volatility Expectations In Different Countries Interdependent? A Data-Driven Solution To Structural Var Identification For Implied Equity Volatility Indices, Timothy De Silva

Undergraduate Economic Review

Over the past couple of decades, the number of volatility indices has increased rapidly. Although the dynamics of realized volatility spillover have been studied extensively, very few studies exist that examine the spillover between these implied volatility indices. By using DAG-based structural vector autoregression, this paper provides evidence that implied volatility spillover differs from realized volatility spillover. Through solving the well-known VAR identification problem for these indices, this paper finds that Asia, more specifically Hong Kong, plays a central role in implied volatility spillover during and after the 2008 financial crisis.

Entrepreneurship Education Empowers Youth To Change Their Lives, Marianna Brashear, Jason Riddle

National Youth Advocacy & Resilience Conference

The Foundation for Economic Education (FEE) aims at equipping Title 1 schools with free, hands-on, engaging materials that any teacher can facilitate either individually or in a classroom setting with no background in entrepreneurship necessary. These versatile lessons, courses, and workshops teach the entrepreneurial mindset optimizing opportunities for grades 8-12 students no matter which life/career path they choose.

Tests Of Racial Discrimination In A Simple Financial Market: Managers In Major League Baseball, Rodney Paul, Andrew Weinbach, Justin Mattingly

Finance and Economics

This study tests for racial discrimination against minority managers in Major League Baseball using financial-market imbalances as it relates to the wagering marketplace for the sport. Using detailed betting data on the percentage bet on the favorite from Sports Insights, we test for prejudice against minority mangers using an ordinary least squares multiple regression model. The results reveal that bettors have a clear preference for the favored team as the percentage bet on the favorite increases with the odds on the favorite. In addition, they prefer road favorites by an even greater margin. In terms of minority managers, there is …

Institutions: Key Variable For Economic Development In Latin America, Andre Vianna, André Varella Mollick

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

This article examines economic development from 1996 to 2015 for 192 countries and specifically Latin America. Evidence shows that each 0.1-point increase in institutions impacts a 3.9% improvement in Latin American per capita output versus a 2.6% effect on world development. This new evidence from Latin America shows a missing opportunity to develop at higher annual pace than the 2.14% average, mainly due to the deterioration in rule of law. We conjecture the efficiency of monetary/fiscal policies will improve if policymakers emphasize projects that foster improvements to institutional quality, such as transparency, public spending quality and fiscal responsibility.

The Plough, Gender Roles, And Corruption, Gautam Hazarika

School of Economics and Finance Faculty Publications

Cross-country empirical studies of corruption using ordinary least squares commonly find that nations in which women play a greater role in economic and public life suffer less corruption. This has been a controversial finding since measures of women’s participation in the economy and politics are likely endogenous. This study uses an aspect of national ancestral geography as a novel instrumental variable in the estimation of the true causal effects of gender upon corruption. It thereby finds that ordinary least squares estimates of the effects of gender upon corruption are biased. This conclusion is upheld in time-series fixed-effects estimation.

Microfinance And The Decision To Invest In Children’S Education, P.V. Viswanath

Faculty Working Papers and Articles

Although one of the primary objectives of microfinance has been the reduction of poverty through the provision of credit for income-generating purposes, evidence of its impact on poverty has been mixed. Even if there is no direct impact of microfinance, there may be an indirect positive impact through the effect of microcredit availability on families’ decisions to invest in their children’s education. In this paper, I describe a study undertaken to gauge the impact of microcredit availability on education expenditures for children of clients of a South Indian microfinance institution. I first look at some determinants of the demand for …

Bayesian State Space Representation Model: Applications To Macroeconomics And International Finance, Hiroshi Morita

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

This dissertation develops three new econometric models using Bayesian state space representation model in order to apply to macroeconomics and international finance. It consists of 3 chapters. Chapter 1 develops a Markov mixture model of macroeconomic fundamentals to analyze the short-run dynamics of foreign exchange rates. In our model, foreign exchange rates are simultaneously determined by three parities: the interest rate parity, the inflation rate parity, and the equity return rate parity. Using four exchange rates: the U.S. dollar price of the British pound, the German mark, the Japanese yen, and the Canadian dollar, the findings are: (1) Our model …

What Factors Determine Thesubsidiary Mode Of Overseas R&D By Developing-Country Mnes? Empirical Evidence From Chinese Subsidiaries Abroad, Yanyu Wang, Wei Xie, Jizhen Li, Chenxi Liu

PhD Student’s Publications Collection

This study examines the determinants of the subsidiary modes of overseas research anddevelopment (R&D) by Chinese multinational enterprises (MNEs). Based on resource-based view and absorptive capabilities, we propose that financial resources and technologi-cal resources have different effects on the selection of overseas R&D subsidiary modes,which are competence-exploiting mode or competence-creating mode. This is supportedby the empirical results in this paper using data from a survey of 40 Chinese overseasR&D subsidiaries. The results demonstrate that the parent firms with richer financialresources and more R&D expenses prefer the competence-exploiting mode, while the par-ent firms with more R&D personnel favor the competence-creating mode. …