Economics Commons^™

Social Security, Savings, And Labor Supply Of The Elderly In Japan, Tetsuji Yamada

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

The study examines the controversial, inconsistent empirical results of the effect of social security on personal savings and analyzes the interdependency in the context of social security between the personal savings and labor supply behavior of elderly workers.

Very few studies in this field have been done, and it has not theoretically and empirically been accomplished yet in Japan. Time-series data are used for 1946-1982, and the methods of technique are ordinary least squares and a simultaneous-equation model in the life cycle framework.

The study finds that social security affects personal savings and that the benefit effect dominates the retirement …

Analyzing Country Risk: Estimating The Probability Of External Debt Repudiation In The Post-Oil-Embargo Decade, Thomas Joseph Webster

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

This dissertation examines the use of logit analysis as a tool for assessing the likelihood that a sovereign risk cannot, or will not, adhere to the terms of its foreign debt obligations as a result of adverse political, social, economic, or financial disruptions. The discussion is divided into two parts. Part one is devoted to a review of the topic of assessing the likelihood of debt servicing difficulties by borrower nations by first tracing the growth of international bank lending activities by U.S. commercial banks, followed by a general discussion of the international debt crisis and a brief survey of …

The Economics Of Corrections: An Exposition, Gail S. Funke

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

The purpose of this dissertation is to present an exposition of the applications of economics to corrections. The approach includes a synthesis of knowledge in the area, suggestions on how economics might be further brought to bear on correctional issues, and recommendations for future research. The overall framework is one of policy analysis, in which objective, scientifically-based information is used in the action setting of public programs.

A review of the history of corrections is included to provide an appreciation for the multiple, conflicting goals under which corrections functions today. A review of the state-of-the-art in corrections provides a sense …

Money, The Dynamics Of Inflation And The Balance Of Payments In Latin America, 1947-1976, Anthony Cassese

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

The main focus of this dissertation is to empirically test a number of assumptions of simple monetary models of the balance of payments using annual data on sixteen Latin American countries. The usual assumption of rapid price arbitrage is shown not to hold for most of these countries. Moreover, by using the technique developed by Granger, it is shown that the domestic rate of inflation is not an exogenous determinant of the respective official settlements balance of payments for most of these countries. Therefore, single equation models of the balance of payments which use the domestic rate of inflation as …

How Bad Can Good Data Really Be?, William (Bill) H. Williams

Publications and Research

Bias has different sources. Measurement errors create "bad" data and biased estimates. But selection biases occur even with "good" data and can be both subtle and large in magnitude.

The Effects Of Apprehension, Conviction And Incarceration On Crime In New York State, Hope Corman

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

No abstract provided.

Experience With Pregnancy, The Demand For Prenatal Care And The Production Of Surviving Infants, Eugene M. Lewit

Dissertations, Theses, and Capstone Projects

The object of this research is to develop a model of household demand for prenatal care and attempt to measure the productive value of prenatal care per se on infant health as measured by survival. Traditionally, infant mortality rates have been used as indices of a nation's health status. Since the U.S. has lagged significantly behind other developed nations in reducing infant mortality since the mid-1950's, there have been charges of a malfunction in the U.S. health delivery system. Particularly in the area of infant health, critics have charged that more prenatal care Inputs are needed and that they should …

Aggregate Versus Subaggregate Models In Local Area Forecasting, D. M. Dunn, William (Bill) H. Williams, T. L. Dechaine

Publications and Research

Should statistical forecasts be constructed by aggregating data to each level for which forecasts are required or aggregating the forecasts from the lower levels? The relevant literature suggest no general answer. In this study using actual data, forecasts aggregated form lower-level forecasts were found best.

Systematic Biases In Panel Surveys Due To Differential Nonresponse., William (Bill) H. Williams, Colin L. Mallows Phd

Publications and Research

Panel surveys involve repeated observations on the same sample units of the population. In some of these studies, systematic biases have appeared. It is shown that these systematic biases can also be he result of the characteristics of the response probabilities.

The Systematic Bias Effects Of Incomplete Responses In Rotation Samples, William (Bill) H. Williams

Publications and Research

Rotation samples are frequently used in continuing surveys in order to obtain estimates of changes in a characteristic over time as well as separate estimates of the characteristic at specific points in time. Rotation designs involve the retention of some sampling units and the replacement of others. It has been observed in some studies that there are systematic changes in the estimate of a characteristic, depending on the frequency of appearance of a rotation group in the sample. It is shown in this paper that these systematic changes must occur provided (1) the probability of a selected unit actually appearing …

Sample Selection And The Choice Of Estimator In Two-Way Stratified Populations, William (Bill) H. Williams

Publications and Research

No abstract provided.

The Variance Of An Estimator With Post-Stratified Weighting.Pdf, William (Bill) H. Williams

Publications and Research

A straight forward procedure for the estimation of the variance of a post-stratified estimator.

Life Insurance?, William (Bill) H. Williams

Publications and Research

Should a student buy whole life insurance or term insurance?