Economics Commons^™

Inflation Nairu, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Galbraith, J. K. (2004, July/August). Fed ache: A review of A term at the Fed: An insider’s view: The people and policies of the world’s most powerful institution, by L. H. Meyer. The Washington Monthly, 36(7–8), 56–59.

• Espinosa-Vega, M. A., & Russell, S. (1997). History and theory of the NAIRU: A critical review. Economic Review (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta), 82(2), 4–25.

Circuit Theory + Paradox Of Profit, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (2004, March 17). Reproduction in Marx and circuitist tradition [Handwritten notes addressed to Gennaro Zezza]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (2004, March 17). More on circuitists and bank credit [Letter to Gennaro Zezza, including embedded email from Zezza]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (2004, March 12). Comments on circuitist models [Comments addressed to Gennaro Zezza]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Zezza, G. (n.d.). Some simple, consistent models of the monetary circuit [Unpublished paper]. Unpublished manuscript.

Local Initiatives And Imf Policies In Quito, Ecuador, Dionissi Aliprantis

University Avenue Undergraduate Journal of Economics

If we are to define development as an increase in the freedoms people enjoy, then we may move beyond structural adjustments and foreign investment as means to create wealth in Ecuador and Latin America. Although not conclusively documented one way or the other [13], microlending is a promising path towards development from this perspective. At the very least, microlending offers hope to a segment of the population that would otherwise be disenfranchised. In Quito, Ecuador, microlending programs are creating wealth and expanding freedoms in a manner consistent with capitalism, while a good deal of IMF policies extract wealth from the …

Classical Accumulation Analysis, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Classical accumulation analysis [Title page]. (1987, August).

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Classical model [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (1988, February 23). Slow adjustment with limit cycle [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (1988, February 28). Shape of cost curves and profit margin [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., & Milberg, W. (2000, Spring). Lectures on growth theory for Economics 105 [Course lectures]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (2004, May 18). Simple dynamic Keynesian model [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (2003, October 18). RAL and FROP connection [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript. …

Dynamics Of Growth With Endogenous Savings, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Dynamics of growth with endogenous savings [Folder]. Includes “Pollin’s point.”

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2003, November 21). Firm’s budget constraint [Handwritten notes].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2003, November 19). The problem of SR equil in a growing eco [Handwritten notes].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2003, November 21). Household & business savings rates [Handwritten notes].

• Shaikh, A. (2003, December). Business savings and the business cycle [Typed graphs].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2004, January 16). Notes on private expenditure, income, and the Ruggles and Godley hypotheses [Handwritten notes].

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). The …

Stock Market Talk, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2004, January 1). Keynes’ own rates of interest citing Panico (1988) [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). U.S.: Relative gold price of producer goods (WPI/gold price) [Graph]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). Real ratio [Graph with note citing Mankiw]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Definition of bond. (2004, October 17). Printout from WordIQ. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (1997, August 25). Predicting stock prices [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). Rates of return: Stock market & corporate business [Graphs]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (n.d.). Real profits [Graph]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, …

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Production, Prices, And Profits, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (2004). Production, prices and profit (Unpublished manuscript).
• Shaikh, A. (2004). Wageprices (Unpublished manuscript).
• Shaikh, A. (2004). Foreign profits (Unpublished manuscript).

Two Routes To Effective Demand Comment On Kregel, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Garegnani, P.. (2024). Two routes to effective demand: comment on Kregel. In Capital Theory, the Surplus Approach, and Effective Demand: An Alternative Framework for the Analysis of Value, Distribution and Output Levels (pp. 435-444). Cham: Springer International Publishing.

• Harcourt, G. C. (n.d.). Keynes’s college bursar view of investment: Comment on Kregel [Unpublished manuscript].

Modern Macro, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Taylor, J. B. (2000). Teaching modern macroeconomics at the principles level. The American Economic Review, 90(2), 90–94. American Economic Association (22-28_Mode... pp. 2, 7).
• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Notes on Alvaro Cencini and macro school models (Handwritten notes) (22-28_Mode... p. 8).
• De Vroey, M., & Hoover, K. D. (2004). Introduction: Seven decades of the IS-LM model. History of Political Economy, 36(Suppl. 1), 1–11. Duke University Press (22-28_Mode... pp. 9-10).
• Cencini, A. (n.d.). Neoclassical, new classical and new business cycle economics: A critical survey (Unpublished manuscript) (22-28_Mode... p. 21).

Forecasting The Global Electronics Cycle With Leading Indicators: A Var Approach, Hwee Kwan Chow, Keen Meng Choy

Research Collection School Of Economics

Developments in the global electronics industry are typically monitored by tracking indicators that span a whole spectrum of activities in the sector. However, these indicators invariably give mixed signals at each point in time, thereby hampering attempts at prediction. In this paper, we propose a unified framework for forecasting the global electronics cycle by constructing a VAR model that captures the economic interactions between putative leading indicators representing expectations, orders, inventories and prices. The ability of the indicators to presage world semiconductor sales is first examined by Granger causality tests. Subsequently, an impulse response analysis confirms the leading qualities of …

The Structuralist Perspective On Real Exchange Rate, Share Price Level And Employment Path: What Room Is Left For Money?, Edmund S. Phelps, Hian Teck Hoon, Gylfi Zoega

Research Collection School Of Economics

The current sluggish performance of the US economy follows one of the more remarkable booms in modern history. The late 1990s was a period of simultaneous output and productivity growth,1 low unemployment and stable inflation, culminating in an unemployment rate of only 3.9% in the fourth quarter of the year 2000. The absence of rising inflation during this period came as a surprise to many since the level of the natural rate of unemployment was commonly estimated to be in the range of 5-6% by the mid 1990s. The non-inflationary boom, however, reminds one of another episode where non-monetary forces …

Optimum Currency Area In Europe: An Alternative Evaluation, Yoonbai Kim, Hwee Kwan Chow

Research Collection School Of Economics

In this paper we explore an alternative scheme to assess the suitability of adopting a common currency by Western European countries. It is based on the role of common regional shocks in the determination of output. The results show that the OCA theory well explains and predicts participation decisions in EMU. We also find that our OCA index is highly consistent with two popular schemes that have been introduced by Bayoumi and Eichengreen.

A Comment On 'Does The Aggregate Demand Curve Suffer From The Fallacy Of Composition', Ben L. Kyer, Gary E. Maggs

Economics Faculty/Staff Publications

Commentary on "Does the Aggregate Demand Curve Suffer From the Fallacy of Composition," by Ira Saltz, Pat Cantrell, and Joseph Horton, is provided.

Foreign Private Investment In Nigeria - 2002, Division Research Statistics Department

Economic and Financial Review

This report presents the results of the survey on foreign private investment in Nigeria in 2002. The survey covered 254 establishments that are either fully foreign owned or are in partnership with Nigerian agencies or enterprises doing business in Nigeria. The net flow of foreign investment into the Nigerian economy rose by 143 per cent from N3,377.0 million in 2001 to N8,206.8 million in 2002. The analyses of the survey returns are presented in eight parts.

Monetary Convergence And Risk Premiums In The Eu Accession Countries, Lucjan Orlowski

WCBT Faculty Publications

This study examines the impact of various monetary policy regimes on the ability to lower inflation and exchange rate risk premiums in the EU accession countries as they undergo monetary convergence to the eurozone. It proposes a monetary policy framework of flexible targeting of relative inflation risk premium that is believed to be credible and useful for managing these two categories of risk. A model of inflation and exchange rate risk premiums within the context of inflation targeting is developed. Recent trends in these risk premiums in Hungary, the Czech Republic and Poland are tested by employing the threshold ARCH …

Foreign Private Investment In Nigeria 2001, Statistical Survey Office

Economic and Financial Review

The netflow of foreign investment into the Nigerian economy rose by 0.9

per cent from N3,347.0 million in 2000 to N3,376.4 million in 2001.

Companies of United Kingdom origin accounted/or the bulk of the flow in the

review period. The cumulative level of foreign direct investment in the country,

mainly in Mining and Quarrying as well as Manufacturing and Processing

sub-sectors was N160,882.2 million. The proportion of paid-up capital plus

reserves in total investment in the Manufacturing and processing sub-sectors

was 91 per cent in the review period. The value of total stock of fixed assets in

the review period …

Recognizing Macroeconomic Fluctuations In Value Based Management, Lars Oxelheim, Clas Wihlborg

Business Faculty Articles and Research

Value Based Management (VBM) has become a common tool for evaluating corporate strategies and projects from the perspective of shareholder value maximization, and can be an important input for corporate compensation systems. But traditional VBM frameworks make no systematic effort to distinguish between changes in performance attributable to macroeconomic fluctuations beyond management's control and changes in performance that reflect the intrinsic competitive position of the firm.

The authors have developed an approach for “filtering out” the impact of macroeconomic fluctuations on cash flows for purposes of performance evaluation. Such fluctuations are captured by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and …

Econ 205 New Stock Flow, Budget Restraints, Walra's Law, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (1990, April 12). Keynes and Kalecki on finance and investment [Unpublished manuscript with attached post-it note from Ramesh to Anwar Shaikh]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (1985, December 17). Money and commodity circulation in simple reproduction [Handwritten diagram for Eco 204]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (2003, December 15). Structure of Godley’s basic ex ante model [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (1990, April 6). Banks, credit, and currency (citing Moore, 1988) [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (2002, March 5). Ex ante and ex post stock-flow accounts [Typed course notes for …

Levy Trade Model, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Some notes on the U.S. current account deficits. (n.d.). Unpublished manuscript.

• Outline of the trade sector report. (n.d.). Unpublished outline [Manuscript].

• Export models. (2003, May 3). Unpublished document.

• Handwritten notes titled “trade sector model.” (2003, January 31). Unpublished handwritten notes [Manuscript]. (A. Shaikh, PhD, author).

• Trading partner price index. (n.d.). Unpublished graph [Figure].

• Econometrics of trade. (n.d.). Unpublished manuscript.

• Handwritten notes on the U.S. import function. (2003, May 1). Unpublished handwritten notes [Manuscript]. (A. Shaikh, PhD, author).

Interest Rates + Prices, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes.

• Woodford, M. (2003). The return of monetary rules (Chap. 1) [Excerpt; photocopy]. In Interest and prices: Foundations of a theory of monetary policy (pp. xxx–xxx). Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

A New (And Old) Macroeconomic Policy Framework, Lok Sang Ho

Centre for Public Policy Studies : CPPS Working Paper Series

This paper proposes a framework built on the simple Keynesian Cross but recommends a non-Keynesian fiscal monetary policy mix. A fiscal policy conditions index and a monetary conditions index are proposed, to be compared to the full employment compatible fiscal and monetary conditions. Fiscal policy should be inert throughout the different phases of the business cycle while monetary policy should adjust to the changing conditions in order to maintain full employment without overheating. The slightly different policy considerations for bigger and for smaller economies are discussed.

On The Macroeconomic Effects Of Establishing Tradability In Weak Property Rights, Gunnar Eliasson, Clas Wihlborg

Business Faculty Articles and Research

The New Economy is closely associated with computing & communications technology, notably the Internet. We discuss property rights to, and trade in, the difficult-to-define intangible assets increasingly dominating the New Economy, and the possibility of under-investment in these assets. For a realistic analysis we introduce a Schumpeterian market environment (the experimentally organized economy). Weak property rights prevail when the rights to access, use, andtrade in intangible assets cannot be fully exercised. The trade-off between the benefits of open access on the Internet, and the incentive effects of strengthened property rights, depend both on the particular strategy a firm employs to …

Growth, Expectation, Stability, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Shaikh, A. (n.d.). Growth, expectation, stability [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (2003, December 1). Excess demand, profit, and retained earning measures [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (2003, December 30). Definition of excess demand [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A. (2003, October 29). Problem of stability in the classical model [Unpublished notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Chapter 16: Instability in the private economy: Investment (pp. 522–543) [Textbook chapter pages]. (n.d.).

• Gordon, R. A. (1955, February). Investment behavior and business cycles. The Review of Economics and Statistics.

• Shaikh, A. (2003, November …

New Stock Market Paper, Anwar Shaikh Phd

Archives of Anwar Shaikh

This collection includes:

• Godley, W., & Levy, J. (2003, March). Short-term interest rates [Page from report with chart]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Sarich, J., & Hecht, J. (2003, September). Classical competition and international equity returns: The financial-profitability nexus [Paper for the Economics for the Future Conference, with handwritten annotations by Shaikh]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2003, October 13). Comments on the Sarich and Hecht paper [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2003, February). Quarterly (Ravi): Interpolating data [Handwritten notes]. Unpublished manuscript.

• Shaikh, A., PhD. (2003, February 20). Real stock return [Two charts]. Unpublished manuscript.

• NIPA tables. (n.d.). Unpublished manuscript. …

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Education, Technological Progress And Economic Growth, Winston T. H. Koh, Hing-Man Leung

Research Collection School Of Economics

An important role of education – and the resultant accumulation of human capital – for a less-developed economy is to facilitate technology diffusion in order for it to catch up with developed economies. This paper presents a model linking education, the accumulation of physical capital and technological progress. In the model, investment in education and the accumulation of physical capital are complementary, and intertwine with the technology progress through related effects on technology diffusion and the expansion of the technology frontier. The allocation of effort to education, the optimal savings rate and the technology gap are endogenously determined in the …

The Elasticity Of Substitution And Endogenous Growth, Hing-Man Leung

Research Collection School Of Economics

The endogenous growth literature focuses exclusively on Cobb-Douglas. Elasticities other than unity are ignored. A recent paper by Klump and Grandville (2000) examined other elasticities but assumed an exogenous saving rate. By contrast, this paper studies elasticity and endogenous growth. Endogeneity is important since elasticity preserves capital’s productivity and encourages saving. Two models are presented. The first assumes exogenous technological change. We find elasticity to have a positive level effect on income. No rate of growth effect is found. The second model allows learning by doing from capital accumulation. In addition to the level effect, rate of growth effects are …

Tax Cuts, Employment And Asset Prices: A Real Intertemporal Model, Hian Teck Hoon, Edmund S. Phelps

Research Collection School Of Economics

We determine the effects of a delayed or immediate tax cut with or without a sunset feature in a real customer-market, nonRicardian economy. Our model incorporates both the supply-sider channel, through which reduced wage income taxes stimulate work effort, as well as the Feldstein-Rubin-Summers channel, through which cuts in income tax, in widening the deficit and thus driving up future short real interest rates, has a chilling effect on present and future investment, so reducing growth and employment on that account. After establishing conditions under which fiscal policy is sustainable, we first show that a delayed tax cut may depress …

Competitiveness : Perceptions, Reflections And Directions, D K Banwet, Kirankumar Momaya, Himanshu Kumar Shee

IIMB Management Review

Competitiveness has gained importance as a subject of study during the last decade or so. The initial stimulus came during the eighties when the US experienced an economic decline. As American firms started losing ground all over the world in significantly important industries such as automobile, shipbuilding, electronics and steel, researchers began focussing attention on country and industry level competitiveness. Given India’s low and declining ranking in the Global Competitiveness Report and the World Competitiveness Yearbook, it is imperative that academics, industrialists and policy makers make a serious study of the factors that drive competitiveness at all levels, and take …

Financial Markets : The Way Ahead Interview With Naina Lal Kidwai, P G Apte

IIMB Management Review

No abstract provided.

Growth And Volatility, Hing-Man Leung

Research Collection School Of Economics

This paper has two objectives. First, to establish empirically a U-shaped relation between GDP growth rate and income volatility. The backward as well as the fast-growing countries have had extensive volatility; but developed nations by contrast have enjoyed much more stable income. Second, to present a macroeconomic model to study how growth and volatility evolve together. The twin endogenous variables are financial liberalization interacting with liquidity constraints. Opening LDC financial markets could raise or lower their long-term income and growth rates, depending on the severity of existing liquidity constraints. Financial liberalization and removing financial market imperfections unambiguously worsen income volatility.