Statistical Theory Commons^™

Testing Point Null Hypothesis Of A Normal Mean And The Truth: 21st Century Perspective, Calyampudi Radhakrishna Rao, Miodrag M. Lovric

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Testing a point (sharp) null hypothesis is arguably the most widely used statistical inferential procedure in many fields of scientific research, nevertheless, the most controversial, and misapprehended. Since 1935 when Buchanan-Wollaston raised the first criticism against hypothesis testing, this foundational field of statistics has drawn increasingly active and stronger opposition, including draconian suggestions that statistical significance testing should be abandoned or even banned. Statisticians should stop ignoring these accumulated and significant anomalies within the current point-null hypotheses paradigm and rebuild healthy foundations of statistical science. The foundation for a paradigm shift in testing statistical hypotheses is suggested, which is testing …

Study Of The Left Censored Data From The Gumbel Type Ii Distribution Under A Bayesian Approach, Tabassum Naz Sindhu, Navid Feroze, Muhammad Aslam

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Based on left type II censored samples from a Gumbel type II distribution, the Bayes estimators and corresponding risks of the unknown parameter were obtained under different asymmetric loss functions, assuming different informative and non-informative priors. Elicitation of hyper-parameters through prior predictive approach has also been discussed. The expressions for the credible intervals and posterior predictive distributions have been derived. Comparisons of these estimators are made through simulation study using numerical and graphical methods.

Some Tests For Seasonality In Time Series Data, Eleazar Chukwunenye Nwogu, Iheanyi Sylvester Iwueze, Valentine Uchenna Nlebedim

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This paper presents some tests for seasonality in a time series data which considers the model structure and the nature of trending curve. The tests were applied to the row variances of the Buys Ballot table. The student t-test and Wilcoxon Signed-Ranks test have been recommended for detection of seasonality.

Hierarchical Bayes Estimation Of Reliability Indexes Of Cold Standby Series System Under General Progressive Type Ii Censoring Scheme, D. R. Barot, M. N. Patel

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In this paper, hierarchical Bayes approach is presented for estimation and prediction of reliability indexes and remaining lifetimes of a cold standby series system under general progressive Type II censoring scheme. A simulation study has been carried out for comparison purpose. The study will help reliability engineers in various industrial series system setups.

A New Estimator Of The Population Mean: An Application To Bioleaching Studies, Amer I. Al-Omari, Carlos N. Bouza, Dante Covarrubias, Roma Pal

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The multistage balanced groups ranked set samples (MBGRSS) method is considered for estimating the population mean for samples of size m = 3k where k is a positive real integer. It is compared with the simple random sampling (SRS) and ranked set sampling (RSS) schemes. For the symmetric distributions considered in this study, the MBGRSS estimator is an unbiased estimator of the population mean and it is more efficient than SRS and RSS methods based on the same number of measured units. Its efficiency is increasing in s for fixed value of the sample size, where s is the …

A New Exponential Type Estimator For The Population Mean In Simple Random Sampling, Gamze Özel Kadilar

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This paper provides a new exponential type estimator in simple random sampling for population mean. It is shown that proposed exponential type estimator is always more efficient than estimators considered by Bahl and Tuteja (1991) and Singh, Chauhan, Sawan, and Smarandache (2009). From numerical examples it is also observed that proposed modified ratio estimator performs better than existing estimators.

Bayesian Analysis Of Generalized Exponential Distribution, Saima Naqash, S. P. Ahmad, Aquil Ahmed

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Bayesian estimators of unknown parameters of a two parameter generalized exponential distribution are obtained based on non-informative priors using different loss functions.

Regularized Neural Network To Identify Potential Breast Cancer: A Bayesian Approach, Hansapani S. Rodrigo, Chris P. Tsokos, Taysseer Sharaf

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In the current study, we have exemplified the use of Bayesian neural networks for breast cancer classification using the evidence procedure. The optimal Bayesian network has 81% overall accuracy in correctly classifying the true status of breast cancer patients, 59% sensitivity in correctly detecting the malignancy and 83% specificity in correctly detecting the non-malignancy. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.7940) shows that this is a moderate classification model.

Efficient And Unbiased Estimation Procedure Of Population Mean In Two-Phase Sampling, Reba Maji, Arnab Bandyopadhyay, G. N. Singh

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In this paper, an unbiased regression-ratio type estimator has been developed for estimating the population mean using two auxiliary variables in double sampling. Its properties are studied under two different cases. Empirical studies and graphical simulation have been done to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed estimator over other estimators.

A Generalization Of The Weibull Distribution With Applications, Maalee Almheidat, Carl Lee, Felix Famoye

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The Lomax-Weibull distribution, a generalization of the Weibull distribution, is characterized by four parameters that describe the shape and scale properties. The distribution is found to be unimodal or bimodal and it can be skewed to the right or left. Results for the non-central moments, limiting behavior, mean deviations, quantile function, and the mode(s) are obtained. The relationships between the parameters and the mean, variance, skewness, and kurtosis are provided. The method of maximum likelihood is proposed for estimating the distribution parameters. The applicability of this distribution to modeling real life data is illustrated by three examples and the results …

Front Matter, Jmasm Editors

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

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Rao-Lovric And The Triwizard Point Null Hypothesis Tournament, Shlomo Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The debate if the point null hypothesis is ever literally true cannot be resolved, because there are three competing statistical systems claiming ownership of the construct. The local resolution depends on personal acclimatization to a Fisherian, Frequentist, or Bayesian orientation (or an unexpected fourth champion if decision theory is allowed to compete). Implications of Rao and Lovric’s proposed Hodges-Lehman paradigm are discussed in the Appendix.

Estimation Of Population Mean On Recent Occasion Under Non-Response In H-Occasion Successive Sampling, Anup Kumar Sharma, Garib Nath Singh

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In this article, an attempt has been made to study on general estimation procedures of population mean on recent occasion when non-response occurs in h-occasion successive sampling. Suggested estimators have advantageously influenced the estimation procedures in the presence of non-response. Detailed properties of the suggested estimation procedures have been examined and compared with the estimation process of the same circumstances but in the absence of non-response. Empirical studies have been carried out to demonstrate the performances of the estimates and suitable recommendations have been made.

Vol. 15, No. 2 (Full Issue), Jmasm Editors

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

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An Improved Generalized Estimation Procedure Of Current Population Mean In Two-Occasion Successive Sampling, G. N. Singh, Alok Kumar Singh, Anup Kumar Sharma

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The present work is an attempt to make use of several auxiliary variables on both occasions for improving the precision of estimates for the current population mean in two-occasion successive sampling. A generalized exponential-cum-regression type estimator of the current population mean is proposed and its optimum replacement strategy has been discussed. Empirical studies are carried out to show the dominance of the proposed estimation procedure over the sample mean estimator and natural successive sampling estimator. Empirical results have been interpreted and suitable recommendations are put forward to survey practitioners.

A Comprehensive Review Of The Two-Sample Independent Or Paired Binary Data, With Or Without Stratum Effects, Dewi Rahardja, Ying Yang, Zhiwei Zhang

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Various statistical hypotheses testing for discrete or categorical or binary data have been extensively discussed in the literature. A comprehensive review is given for the two-sample binary or categorical data testing methods on data with or without Stratum Effects. The review includes traditional methods such as Fisher’s Exact, Pearson’s Chi-Square, McNemar, Bowker, Stuart-Maxwell, Breslow-Day and, Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel, as well as newly developed ones. We also provide the roadmap, in a figure or diagram format to which methods are available in the literature. In addition, the implementation of these methods in popular statistical software packages such as SAS and/or R is also …

Evaluation Of The Addition Of Firth’S Penalty Term To The Bradley-Terry Likelihood, Paul Meyvisch

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A major shortcoming of the Bradley-Terry model is that the maximum likelihood estimates are infinite-valued in the presence of separation and may be unreliable when data are nearly separated. A well-known solution consists of the addition of Firth' s penalty term to the log-likelihood function, and solve this penalized likelihood through logistic regression.The maximum likelihood estimates with and without Firth's penalty are compared in a large and heterogeneous population of table-tennis players. We additionally show that exact penalized maximum likelihood estimates can be reasonably approximated using a well-chosen Minorization-Maximization (MM) algorithm.

Optimal Estimation And Sampling Allocation In Survey Sampling Under A General Correlated Superpopulation Model, Ioulia Papageorgiou

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Sampling from a finite population with correlated units is addressed. The proposed methodology applies to any type of correlation function and provides the sample allocation that ensures optimal efficiency of the population parameters estimates. The expressions of the estimate and its MSE are also provided.

An Adjusted Network Information Criterion For Model Selection In Statistical Neural Network Models, Christopher Godwin Udomboso, Godwin Nwazu Amahia, Isaac Kwame Dontwi

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In this paper, we derived and investigated the Adjusted Network Information Criterion (ANIC) criterion, based on Kullback’s symmetric divergence, which has been designed to be an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the expected Kullback-Leibler information of a fitted model. The ANIC improves model selection in more sample sizes than does the NIC.

Monte Carlo Simulation Design For Evaluating Normal-Based Control Chart Properties, John N. Dyer

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The advent of more complicated control charting schemes has necessitated the use of Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) methods. Unfortunately, few sources exist to study effective design and validation of MCS methods related to control charting. This paper describes the design, issues, considerations and limitations for conducting normal-based control chart MCS studies, including choice of random number generator, simulation size requirements, and accuracy/error in simulation estimation. This paper also describes two design strategies for MCS for control chart evaluations and provides the programming code. As a result, this paper hopes to establish de facto MCS schemes aimed at guiding researchers and …

Latent Variable Model For Weight Gain Prevention Data With Informative Intermittent Missingness, Li Qin, Lisa Weissfeld, Michele Levine, Marsha Marcus, Feng Dai

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Missing data is a common problem in longitudinal studies because of the characteristics of repeated measurements. Herein is proposed a latent variable model for nonignorable intermittent missing data in which the latent variables are used as random effects in modeling and link longitudinal responses and missingness process. In this methodology, the latent variables are assumed to be normally distributed with zero-mean, and the values of variance-covariance are calculated through maximum likelihood estimations. Parameter estimates and standard errors of the proposed method are compared with the mixed model and the complete-case analysis in the simulations and the application to the weight …

E-Bayesian Estimation Of The Parameter Of The Logarithmic Series Distribution, Parviz Nasiri, Hassan Esfandyarifar

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

E-Bayesian estimation is introduced to estimate the parameter of logarithmic series distribution. In addition, E-Bayesian, Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimation with through applying mean squared error.

Jmasm41: An Alternative Method For Multiple Linear Model Regression Modeling, A Technical Combining Of Robust, Bootstrap And Fuzzy Approach (Sas), Wan Muhamad Amir W Ahmad, Mohamad Arif Awang Nawi, Nor Azlida Aleng, Mohamad Shafiq

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Research on modeling is becoming popular nowadays, there are several of analyses used in research for modeling and one of them is known as applied multiple linear regressions (MLR). To obtain a bootstrap, robust and fuzzy multiple linear regressions, an experienced researchers should be aware the correct method of statistical analysis in order to get a better improved result. The main idea of bootstrapping is to approximate the entire sampling distribution of some estimator. To achieve this is by resampling from our original sample. In this paper, we emphasized on combining and modeling using bootstrapping, robust and fuzzy regression methodology. …

Misspecification Of Variants Of Autoregressive Garch Models And Effect On In-Sample Forecasting, Olusanya E. Olubusoye, Olaoluwa S. Yaya, Oluwadare O. Ojo

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Generally, in empirical financial studies, the determination of the true conditional variance in GARCH modelling is largely subjective. In this paper, we investigate the consequences of choosing a wrong conditional variance specification. The methodology involves specifying a true conditional variance and then simulating data to conform to the true specification. The estimation is then carried out using the true specification and other plausible specification that are appealing to the researcher, using model and forecast evaluation criteria for assessing performance. The results show that GARCH model could serve as better alternative to other asymmetric volatility models.

Improved Ridge Estimator In Linear Regression With Multicollinearity, Heteroscedastic Errors And Outliers, Ashok Vithoba Dorugade

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This paper introduces a new estimator, of ridge parameter k for ridge regression and then evaluated by Monte Carlo simulation. We examine the performance of the proposed estimators compared with other well-known estimators for the model with heteroscedastics and/or correlated errors, outlier observations, non-normal errors and suffer from the problem of multicollinearity. It is shown that proposed estimators have a smaller MSE than the ordinary least squared estimator (LS), Hoerl and Kennard (1970) estimator (RR), jackknifed modified ridge (JMR) estimator, and Jackknifed Ridge M‑estimator (JRM).

Multicollinearity And A Ridge Parameter Estimation Approach, Ghadban Khalaf, Mohamed Iguernane

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

One of the main goals of the multiple linear regression model, Y = Xβ + u, is to assess the importance of independent variables in determining their predictive ability. However, in practical applications, inference about the coefficients of regression can be difficult because the independent variables are correlated and multicollinearity causes instability in the coefficients. A new estimator of ridge regression parameter is proposed and evaluated by simulation techniques in terms of mean squares error (MSE). Results of the simulation study indicate that the suggested estimator dominates ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator and other ridge estimators with respect to …

Estimation Of Parameters Of Misclassified Size Biased Borel Distribution, Bhaktida S. Trivedi, M. N. Patel

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A misclassified size-biased Borel Distribution (MSBBD), where some of the observations corresponding to x = c + 1 are wrongly reported as x = c with probability α, is defined. Various estimation methods like the method of maximum likelihood (ML), method of moments, and the Bayes estimation for the parameters of the MSBB distribution are used. The performance of the estimators are studied using simulated bias and simulated risk. Simulation studies are carried out for different values of the parameters and sample size.

Developing Bayesian-Based Confidence Bounds For Non-Identically Distributed Observations Using The Lyapunov Condition, Garry M. Jacyna, Scott L. Rosen

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The purpose of this paper is to establish a direct method for assessing the confidence in the detection and identification probabilities for segmented observations that are not identically distributed across assigned segments within a region. This paper arrives at easily computable confidence intervals by showing through mathematical analysis that:

I. The probability of successful detection within each test segment can be characterized by a Beta distribution;
II. The distribution of a weighted sum of independent but non-identically distributed sample means is asymptotically Normally distributed by the Lyapunov variant of the Central Limit Theorem, i.e., the approximation improves as the number …

Jmasm40: Monte Carlo Simulations For Structural Equation Modelling (Revolution R), Sarah A. Rose, Barry Markman

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Revolution R code is presented to setup Structural Equation Model (SEM) for a Monte Carlo study. The example is a comparison of different fit indices.

Reflections Concerning Recent Ban On Nhst And Confidence Intervals, Grayson L. Baird, Sunny R. Duerr

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This letter addresses some of the immediate consequences of Basic and Applied Social Psychology’s (BASP) ban on null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) and confidence intervals. The letter concludes with three suggestions to improve research in general.