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Full-Text Articles in Statistical Theory

Homogeneous Markov Processes For Breast Cancer Analysis, Ricardo Ocaña-Rilola, Emilio Sanchez-Cantalejo, Carmen Martinez-Garcia May 2003

Homogeneous Markov Processes For Breast Cancer Analysis, Ricardo Ocaña-Rilola, Emilio Sanchez-Cantalejo, Carmen Martinez-Garcia

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Sometimes, the introduction of covariates in stochastic processes is required to study their effect on disease history events. However these types of models increase the complexity of analysis, even for simpler processes, and standard software to analyse stochastic processes is limited. In this paper, a method for fitting homogeneous Markov models with covariates is proposed for analysing breast cancer data. Specific software for this purpose has been implemented.


Incorporating Sampling Weights Into The Generalizability Theory For Large-Scale Analyses, Christopher W. T. Chiu, Ronald S. Fesco May 2003

Incorporating Sampling Weights Into The Generalizability Theory For Large-Scale Analyses, Christopher W. T. Chiu, Ronald S. Fesco

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Large scale studies frequently use complex sampling procedures, disproportionate sampling weights, and adjustment techniques to account for potential bias due to nonresponses and to ensure that results from the sample can be generalized to a larger population. Survey researchers are concerned about measurement error and the use of weights in developing models. Consequently, multiple weighting factors are used and these weighting factors are manifested as a final survey (composite) weight available for analysis. We developed a method to incorporate an external weighting factor like this for analyses of measurement errors in the theory of generalizability to provide researchers with a …


Using Multinomial Logistic Models To Predict Adolescent Behavioral Risk, Chao-Ying Joanne Peng, Rebecca Naegle Nichols May 2003

Using Multinomial Logistic Models To Predict Adolescent Behavioral Risk, Chao-Ying Joanne Peng, Rebecca Naegle Nichols

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Multinomial logistic regression was applied to data comprising 432 adolescents’ self reports of engagement in risky behaviors. Results showed that gender, intention to drop from the school, family structure, self-esteem, and emotional risk were effective predictors collectively. Three methodological issues were highlighted: (1) the use of odds ratio, (2) the absence of an extension of the Hosmer and Lemeshow test for multinomial logistic models, and (3) the missing data problem. Psychologists and educators can utilize findings to plan prevention programs, as well as to apply the versatile and effective logistic technique in psychological, educational, and health research concerning adolescents.


Was Monte Carlo Necessary?, Thomas R. Knapp May 2003

Was Monte Carlo Necessary?, Thomas R. Knapp

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In the critique that follows, I have attempted to summarize the principal disagreements between Sawilowsky and Roberts & Henson regarding the reporting and interpreting of statistically non-significant effect sizes, and to provide my own personal evaluations of their respective arguments.


Trivials: The Birth, Sale, And Final Production Of Meta-Analysis, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky May 2003

Trivials: The Birth, Sale, And Final Production Of Meta-Analysis, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The structure of the first invited debate in JMASM is to present a target article (Sawilowsky, 2003), provide an opportunity for a response (Roberts & Henson, 2003), and to follow with independent comments from noted scholars in the field (Knapp, 2003; Levin & Robinson, 2003). In this rejoinder, I provide a correction and a clarification in an effort to bring some closure to the debate. The intension, however, is not to rehash previously made points, even where I disagree with the response of Roberts & Henson (2003).


The Importance Of Fortran In The 21st Century, Walt Brainerd May 2003

The Importance Of Fortran In The 21st Century, Walt Brainerd

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A brief discussion on the history and purpose of Fortran for scientific and engineering computing is given. This leads to the role Fortran, in its various environments, will likely play well into the 21st century.


A Parametric Bootstrap Version Of Hedges’ Homogeneity Test, Wim Van Den Noortgate, Patrick Onghena May 2003

A Parametric Bootstrap Version Of Hedges’ Homogeneity Test, Wim Van Den Noortgate, Patrick Onghena

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Hedges’ Q-test is frequently used in meta-analyses to evaluate the homogeneity of effect sizes, but for several kinds of effect size measures it does not always appropriately control the Type 1 error probability. Therefore we propose a parametric bootstrap version, which shows Type 1 error control under a broad set of circumstances. This is confirmed in a small simulation study.


Fast Permutation Tests That Maximize Power Under Conventional Monte Carlo Sampling For Pairwise And Multiple Comparisons, J. D. Opdyke May 2003

Fast Permutation Tests That Maximize Power Under Conventional Monte Carlo Sampling For Pairwise And Multiple Comparisons, J. D. Opdyke

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

While the distribution-free nature of permutation tests makes them the most appropriate method for hypothesis testing under a wide range of conditions, their computational demands can be runtime prohibitive, especially if samples are not very small and/or many tests must be conducted (e.g. all pairwise comparisons). This paper presents statistical code that performs continuous-data permutation tests under such conditions very quickly – often more than an order of magnitude faster than widely available commercial alternatives when many tests must be performed and some of the sample pairs contain a large sample. Also presented is an efficient method for obtaining a …


Screening Properties And Design Selection Of Certain Two-Level Designs, H. Evangelaras, Christos Koukouvinos May 2003

Screening Properties And Design Selection Of Certain Two-Level Designs, H. Evangelaras, Christos Koukouvinos

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Screening designs are useful for situations where a large number of factors (q) is examined but only few (k) of these are expected to be important. It is of practical interest for a given k to know all the inequivalent projections of the design into the k dimensions. In this paper we give all the inequivalent projections of inequivalent Hadamard matrices of order 28 into k=3 and 4 dimensions and furthermore, we give partial results for k=5. Then, we sort these projections according to their generalized resolution and their generalized aberration.


Analyzing Group By Time Effects In Longitudinal Two-Group Randomized Trial Designs With Missing Data, James Algina, H. J. Keselman, Abdul R. Othman May 2003

Analyzing Group By Time Effects In Longitudinal Two-Group Randomized Trial Designs With Missing Data, James Algina, H. J. Keselman, Abdul R. Othman

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

We investigated bias, sampling variability, Type I error and power of nine approaches for testing the group by time interaction in a repeated measures design under three types of missing data mechanisms. One procedure due to Overall, Ahn, Shivakumar, and Kalburgi (1999) performed reasonably well over a range of conditions.


A More Efficient Way Of Obtaining A Unique Median Estimate For Circular Data, B. Sango Otieno, Christine M. Anderson-Cook May 2003

A More Efficient Way Of Obtaining A Unique Median Estimate For Circular Data, B. Sango Otieno, Christine M. Anderson-Cook

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The procedure for computing the sample circular median occasionally leads to a non-unique estimate of the population circular median, since there can sometimes be two or more diameters that divide data equally and have the same circular mean deviation. A modification in the computation of the sample median is suggested, which not only eliminates this non-uniqueness problem, but is computationally easier and faster to work with than the existing alternative.


You Think You’Ve Got Trivials?, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky May 2003

You Think You’Ve Got Trivials?, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Effect sizes are important for power analysis and meta-analysis. This has led to a debate on reporting effect sizes for studies that are not statistically significant. Contrary and supportive evidence has been offered on the basis of Monte Carlo methods. In this article, clarifications are given regarding what should be simulated to determine the possible effects of piecemeal publishing trivial effect sizes.


A Semiparametric Regression Model For Oligonucleotide Arrays, Jianhua Hu, Guosheng Yin May 2003

A Semiparametric Regression Model For Oligonucleotide Arrays, Jianhua Hu, Guosheng Yin

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A semiparametric model incorporating the spline smoothing technique is proposed to study oligonucleotide gene expression data. No specific parametric functional form is assumed for mismatch probe intensities, which allows much more flexibility in the fitted model. The new approach improves the model fitting, hence the estimation of expression indexes. The method is applied to a data set of 18 HuGeneFL arrays.


Jmasm6: An Algorithm For Generating Exact Critical Values For The Kruskal-Wallis One-Way Anova, Todd C. Headrick May 2003

Jmasm6: An Algorithm For Generating Exact Critical Values For The Kruskal-Wallis One-Way Anova, Todd C. Headrick

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A Fortran 77 subroutine is provided for computing exact critical values for the Kruskal-Wallis test on k independent groups with equal or unequal samples sizes. The subroutine requires the user to provide sorting and ranking routines and a uniform pseudo-random number generator. The program is available from the author on request.


Randomization Technique, Allocation Concealment, Masking, And Susceptibility Of Trials To Selection Bias, Vance W. Berger, Costas A. Christophi May 2003

Randomization Technique, Allocation Concealment, Masking, And Susceptibility Of Trials To Selection Bias, Vance W. Berger, Costas A. Christophi

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

It is widely believed that baseline imbalances in randomized clinical trials must necessarily be random. Yet even among masked randomized trials conducted with allocation concealment, there are mechanisms by which patients with specific covariates may be selected for inclusion into a particular treatment group. This selection bias would force imbalance in those covariates, measured or unmeasured, that are used for the patient selection. Unfortunately, few trials provide adequate information to determine even if there was allocation concealment, how the randomization was conducted, and how successful the masking may have been, let alone if selection bias was adequately controlle d. In …


Improved Multiple Comparisons With The Best In Response Surface Methodology, Laura K. Miller, Ping Sa May 2003

Improved Multiple Comparisons With The Best In Response Surface Methodology, Laura K. Miller, Ping Sa

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A method to construct simultaneous confidence intervals about the difference in mean responses at the stationary point and at x for all x within a sphere with radius I R is proposed. Results of an efficiency study to compare the new method and the existing method by Moore and Sa (1999) are provided.


On The Misuse Of Confidence Intervals For Two Means In Testing For The Significance Of The Difference Between The Means, George W. Ryan, Steven D. Leadbetter Nov 2002

On The Misuse Of Confidence Intervals For Two Means In Testing For The Significance Of The Difference Between The Means, George W. Ryan, Steven D. Leadbetter

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Comparing individual confidence intervals of two population means is an incorrect procedure for determining the statistical significance of the difference between the means. We show conditions where confidence intervals for the means from two independent samples overlap and the difference between the means is in fact significant.


Constructive Criticism, Ronald C. Serlin Nov 2002

Constructive Criticism, Ronald C. Serlin

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Attempts to attain knowledge as certified true belief have failed to circumvent Hume’s injunction against induction. Theories must be viewed as unprovable, improbable, and undisprovable. The empirical basis is fallible, and yet the method of conjectures and refutations is untouched by Hume’s insights. The implications for statistical methodology is that the requisite severity of testing is achieved through the use of robust procedures, whose assumptions have not been shown to be substantially violated, to test predesignated range null hypotheses. Nonparametric range null hypothesis tests need to be developed to examine whether or not effect sizes or measures of association, as …


Extensions Of The Concept Of Exchangeability And Their Applications, Phillip I. Good Nov 2002

Extensions Of The Concept Of Exchangeability And Their Applications, Phillip I. Good

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Permutation tests provide exact p-values in a wide variety of practical testing situations. But permutation tests rely on the assumption of exchangeability, that is, under the hypothesis, the joint distribution of the observations is invariant under permutations of the subscripts. Observations are exchangeable if they are independent, identically distributed (i.i.d.), or if they are jointly normal with identical covariances. The range of applications of these exact, powerful, distribution-free tests can be enlarged through exchangeability- preserving transforms, asymptotic exchangeability, partial exchangeability, and weak exchangeability. Original exact tests for comparing the slopes of two regression lines and for the analysis of …


A Test Of Symmetry, Abdul R. Othman, H. J. Keselman, Rand R. Wilcox, Katherine Fradette, A. R. Padmanabhan Nov 2002

A Test Of Symmetry, Abdul R. Othman, H. J. Keselman, Rand R. Wilcox, Katherine Fradette, A. R. Padmanabhan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

When data are nonnormal in form classical procedures for assessing treatment group equality are prone to distortions in rates of Type I error and power to detect effects. Replacing the usual means with trimmed means reduces rates of Type I error and increases sensitivity to detect effects. If data are skewed, say to the right, then it has been postulated that asymmetric trimming, to the right, should be better at controlling rates of Type I error and power to detect effects than symmetric trimming from both tails of the data distribution. Keselman, Wilcox, Othman and Fradette (2002) found that Babu, …


Best Regression Model Using Information Criteria, Phill Gagné, C. Mitchell Dayton Nov 2002

Best Regression Model Using Information Criteria, Phill Gagné, C. Mitchell Dayton

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The accuracy of AIC and BIC is evaluated under simulated multiple regression conditions, varying number of total and valid predictors, R2, and n. AIC and BIC were increasingly accurate as n increased and as total predictors decreased. Interactions of the ratio of valid/total predictors affected accuracy.


The Statistical Modeling Of The Fertility Of Chinese Women, Dudley L. Poston Jr. Nov 2002

The Statistical Modeling Of The Fertility Of Chinese Women, Dudley L. Poston Jr.

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This article is concerned with the statistical modeling of children ever born (CEB) fertility data. It is shown that in a low fertility population, such as China, the use of linear regression approaches to model CEB is statistically inappropriate because the distribution of the CEB variable is often heavily skewed with a long right tail. For five sub-groups of Chinese women, their fertility is modeled using Poisson, negative binomial, and ordinary least squares (OLS) regression models. It is shown that in almost all instances there would have been major errors of statistical inference had the interpretations of the results been …


Fermat, Schubert, Einstein, And Behrens-Fisher: The Probable Difference Between Two Means When Σ_1^2≠Σ_2^2, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky Nov 2002

Fermat, Schubert, Einstein, And Behrens-Fisher: The Probable Difference Between Two Means When Σ_1^2≠Σ_2^2, Shlomo S. Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The history of the Behrens-Fisher problem and some approximate solutions are reviewed. In outlining relevant statistical hypotheses on the probable difference between two means, the importance of the Behrens- Fisher problem from a theoretical perspective is acknowledged, but it is concluded that this problem is irrelevant for applied research in psychology, education, and related disciplines. The focus is better placed on “shift in location” and, more importantly, “shift in location and change in scale” treatment alternatives.


Double Median Ranked Set Sample: Comparing To Other Double Ranked Samples For Mean And Ratio Estimators, Hani M. Samawi, Eman M. Tawalbeh Nov 2002

Double Median Ranked Set Sample: Comparing To Other Double Ranked Samples For Mean And Ratio Estimators, Hani M. Samawi, Eman M. Tawalbeh

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Double median ranked set sample (DMRSS) and its properties for estimating the population mean, when the underlying distribution is assumed to be symmetric about its mean, are introduced. Also, the performance of DMRSS with respect to other ranked set samples and double ranked set samples, for estimating the population mean and ratio, is considered. Real data that consist of heights and diameters of 399 trees are used to illustrate the procedure. The analysis and simulation indicate that using DMRSS for estimating the population mean is more efficient than using the other ranked samples and double ranked samples schemes except in …


Robust Estimation Of Multivariate Failure Data With Time-Modulated Frailty, Pingfu Fu, J. Sunil Rao, Jiming Jiang Nov 2002

Robust Estimation Of Multivariate Failure Data With Time-Modulated Frailty, Pingfu Fu, J. Sunil Rao, Jiming Jiang

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A time-modulated frailty model is proposed for analyzing multivariate failure data. The effect of frailties, which may not be constant over time, is discussed. We assume a parametric model for the baseline hazard, but avoid the parametric assumption for the frailty distribution. The well-known connection between survival times and Poisson regression model is used. The parameters of interest are estimated by generalized estimating equations (GEE) or by penalized GEE. Simulation studies show that the procedure is successful to detect the effect of time-modulated frailty. The method is also applied to a placebo controlled randomized clinical trial of gamma interferon, a …


Some Reflections On Significance Testing, Thomas R. Knapp Nov 2002

Some Reflections On Significance Testing, Thomas R. Knapp

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This essay presents a variation on a theme from my article “The use of tests of statistical significance”, which appeared in the Spring, 1999, issue of Mid-Western Educational Researcher.


Null Distribution Of The Likelihood Ratio Statistic For Feed-Forward Neural Networks, Douglas Landsittel, Harshinder Singh, Vincent C. Arena, Stewart J. Anderson Nov 2002

Null Distribution Of The Likelihood Ratio Statistic For Feed-Forward Neural Networks, Douglas Landsittel, Harshinder Singh, Vincent C. Arena, Stewart J. Anderson

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Despite recent publications exploring model complexity with modern regression methods, their dimensionality is rarely quantified in practice and the distributions of related test statistics are not well characterized. Through a simulation study, we describe the null distribution of the likelihood ratio statistic for several different feed-forward neural network models.


Combining Quantum Mechanical Calculations And A Χ^2 Fit In A Potential Energy Function For The Co_2 + O^+ Reaction, Ellen F. Sawilowsky Nov 2002

Combining Quantum Mechanical Calculations And A Χ^2 Fit In A Potential Energy Function For The Co_2 + O^+ Reaction, Ellen F. Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

In order to compute a highly accurate statistical rate constant for the CO2 + O+ reaction, it is necessary to first calculate the potential energy of the system at many different geometric configurations. Quantum mechanical calculations are very time-consuming, making it difficult to obtain a sufficient number to allow for accurate interpolation. The number of quantum mechanical calculations required can be significantly reduced by using known relations in classical physics to calculate energy for configurations where the oxygen is relatively far from the CO2. A chi-squared fit to quantum mechanical points is obtained for these configurations, and the resulting …


Type I Error Rates For Rank-Based Tests Of Homogeneity Of Slopes, Alan J. Klockars, Tim P. Moses Nov 2002

Type I Error Rates For Rank-Based Tests Of Homogeneity Of Slopes, Alan J. Klockars, Tim P. Moses

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The purpose of this study was to explicate two issues concerning the standard and rank based test of homogeneity of slopes. Two alternative ranking methods intended to address nonnormality and additive treatment effect patterns were developed and compared in terms of their ability to control Type I error. The results replicated previous findings of inflated Type I error rates with leptokurtic curves and with rank based tests with some patterns of additive treatment effects. The new nonparametric procedures generally control Type I error although they were slightly inflated with skewed distributions.


Exploration Of Distributions Of Ratio Of Partial Sum Of Sample Eigenvalues When All Population Eigenvalues Are The Same, Moonseong Heo Nov 2002

Exploration Of Distributions Of Ratio Of Partial Sum Of Sample Eigenvalues When All Population Eigenvalues Are The Same, Moonseong Heo

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

This paper explores empirically the first two moments of ratio of the partial sum of the first two sample eigenvalues to the sum of all eigenvalues when the population eigenvalues of a covariance matrix are all the same. Estimation of the first two moments can be practically crucial in assessing non-randomness of observed patterns on planar graphical displays based on lower rank approximations of data matrices. For derivation of the moments, exact and large sample asymptotic distributions of the sample ratios are reviewed but neither can be applicable to derivation of the moments. Therefore, I rely on simulations, where data …