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Full-Text Articles in Statistical Models

Stochastic Convergence Among European Economies, Mauro Costantini, Claudio Lupi Jan 2005

Stochastic Convergence Among European Economies, Mauro Costantini, Claudio Lupi

Claudio Lupi

The aim of this paper is to test the stochastic convergence in real per capita GDP for 15 European countries using non−stationary panel data approaches over the period 1950−2003. Cross−sectional dependence is assumed due to the existence of strong linkages among European economies. However, tests derived under the assumption of cross−sectional independence are also carried out for completeness and comparison. We also split the whole sample into two sub−periods (1950−1976, 1977−2003) in order to take into account the effects of the first oil crisis (1973−1974) and to evaluate the robustness of the statistical analysis. Our results offer little support to …


Are Credit Constraints In Italy Really More Binding In The South?, Claudio Lupi Dec 2004

Are Credit Constraints In Italy Really More Binding In The South?, Claudio Lupi

Claudio Lupi

This paper is motivated by a very practical question: are there significant geographical differences in the accessibility to the credit market on the part of Italian households? The investigation is carried using robust probit model. Estimation is carried out in a Bayesian framework. The results are somewhat surprising, showing that the area where households are more likely to be credit constrained is not the South, as could be easily imagined, but rather the highly developed and industrialized North-West.


Unemployment Scarring In High Unemployment Regions, Claudio Lupi, Patrizia Ordine Jan 2002

Unemployment Scarring In High Unemployment Regions, Claudio Lupi, Patrizia Ordine

Claudio Lupi

This paper investigates the effect of individual unemployment experiences on re-employment wages. The empirical analysis is carried out on a panel of Italian individuals. The main result is that while in the northern regions the effect is similar to the one estimated for the UK, in the southern area of the country the impact is not significant. We link this result to the particular socio-economic environment in which the unemployment spells are experienced. We argue that this might be due to the fact that in a high unemployment environment individual unemployment experiences are perceived as "normal" and do not necessarily …