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Articles 1 - 10 of 10
Full-Text Articles in Statistical Models
Allocative Poisson Factorization For Computational Social Science, Aaron Schein
Allocative Poisson Factorization For Computational Social Science, Aaron Schein
Doctoral Dissertations
Social science data often comes in the form of high-dimensional discrete data such as categorical survey responses, social interaction records, or text. These data sets exhibit high degrees of sparsity, missingness, overdispersion, and burstiness, all of which present challenges to traditional statistical modeling techniques. The framework of Poisson factorization (PF) has emerged in recent years as a natural way to model high-dimensional discrete data sets. This framework assumes that each observed count in a data set is a Poisson random variable $y ~ Pois(\mu)$ whose rate parameter $\mu$ is a function of shared model parameters. This thesis examines a specific …
Distribution Of A Sum Of Random Variables When The Sample Size Is A Poisson Distribution, Mark Pfister
Distribution Of A Sum Of Random Variables When The Sample Size Is A Poisson Distribution, Mark Pfister
Electronic Theses and Dissertations
A probability distribution is a statistical function that describes the probability of possible outcomes in an experiment or occurrence. There are many different probability distributions that give the probability of an event happening, given some sample size n. An important question in statistics is to determine the distribution of the sum of independent random variables when the sample size n is fixed. For example, it is known that the sum of n independent Bernoulli random variables with success probability p is a Binomial distribution with parameters n and p: However, this is not true when the sample size …
Analysis Of 2016-17 Major League Soccer Season Data Using Poisson Regression With R, Ian D. Campbell
Analysis Of 2016-17 Major League Soccer Season Data Using Poisson Regression With R, Ian D. Campbell
Undergraduate Theses and Capstone Projects
To the outside observer, soccer is chaotic with no given pattern or scheme to follow, a random conglomeration of passes and shots that go on for 90 minutes. Yet, what if there was a pattern to the chaos, or a way to describe the events that occur in the game quantifiably. Sports statistics is a critical part of baseball and a variety of other of today’s sports, but we see very little statistics and data analysis done on soccer. Of this research, there has been looks into the effect of possession time on the outcome of a game, the difference …
On The Performance Of Some Poisson Ridge Regression Estimators, Cynthia Zaldivar
On The Performance Of Some Poisson Ridge Regression Estimators, Cynthia Zaldivar
FIU Electronic Theses and Dissertations
Multiple regression models play an important role in analyzing and making predictions about data. Prediction accuracy becomes lower when two or more explanatory variables in the model are highly correlated. One solution is to use ridge regression. The purpose of this thesis is to study the performance of available ridge regression estimators for Poisson regression models in the presence of moderately to highly correlated variables. As performance criteria, we use mean square error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and percentage of times the maximum likelihood (ML) estimator produces a higher MSE than the ridge regression estimator. A Monte Carlo …
Statistical Analysis Of Momentum In Basketball, Mackenzi Stump
Statistical Analysis Of Momentum In Basketball, Mackenzi Stump
Honors Projects
The “hot hand” in sports has been debated for as long as sports have been around. The debate involves whether streaks and slumps in sports are true phenomena or just simply perceptions in the mind of the human viewer. This statistical analysis of momentum in basketball analyzes the distribution of time between scoring events for the BGSU Women’s Basketball team from 2011-2017. We discuss how the distribution of time between scoring events changes with normal game factors such as location of the game, game outcome, and several other factors. If scoring events during a game were always randomly distributed, or …
Models For Hsv Shedding Must Account For Two Levels Of Overdispersion, Amalia Magaret
Models For Hsv Shedding Must Account For Two Levels Of Overdispersion, Amalia Magaret
UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series
We have frequently implemented crossover studies to evaluate new therapeutic interventions for genital herpes simplex virus infection. The outcome measured to assess the efficacy of interventions on herpes disease severity is the viral shedding rate, defined as the frequency of detection of HSV on the genital skin and mucosa. We performed a simulation study to ascertain whether our standard model, which we have used previously, was appropriately considering all the necessary features of the shedding data to provide correct inference. We simulated shedding data under our standard, validated assumptions and assessed the ability of 5 different models to reproduce the …
An Economic Alternative To The C Chart, Ryan William Black
An Economic Alternative To The C Chart, Ryan William Black
Graduate Theses and Dissertations
Because the probability of Type I error is not evenly distributed beyond upper and lower three-sigma limits the c chart is theoretically inappropriate for a monitor of Poisson distributed phenomena. Furthermore, the normal approximation to the Poisson is of little use when c is small. These practical and theoretical concerns should motivate the computation of true error rates associated with individuals control assuming the Poisson distribution. An economic alternative to the c chart is described as a statistical model of upward shift from c0 to c1 and the two charts are compared in theory. For a range of c chart …
Using R To Create Synthetic Discrete Response Regression Models, Joseph Hilbe
Using R To Create Synthetic Discrete Response Regression Models, Joseph Hilbe
Joseph M Hilbe
The creation of synthetic models allows a researcher to better understand models as well as the bias that can occur when the assumptions upon which a model is based is violated. This article provides R code that can be used or amended to create a variety of discrete response regression models.
Creation Of Synthetic Discrete Response Regression Models, Joseph Hilbe
Creation Of Synthetic Discrete Response Regression Models, Joseph Hilbe
Joseph M Hilbe
The development and use of synthetic regression models has proven to assist statisticians in better understanding bias in data, as well as how to best interpret various statistics associated with a modeling situation. In this article I present code that can be easily amended for the creation of synthetic binomial, count, and categorical response models. Parameters may be assigned to any number of predictors (which are shown as continuous, binary, or categorical), negative binomial heterogeneity parameters may be assigned, and the number of levels or cut points and values may be specified for ordered and unordered categorical response models. I …
Log-Negative Binomial Regression As A Generalized Linear Model, Joseph Hilbe
Log-Negative Binomial Regression As A Generalized Linear Model, Joseph Hilbe
Joseph M Hilbe
The negative binomial (NB) is a member of the exponential family of discrete probability distributions. The nature of the distribution is itself well understood, but its contribution to regression modeling, in particular as a generalized linear model (GLM), has not been appreciated. The mathematical properties of the negative binomial are derived and GLM algorithms are developed for both the canonical and log form. Geometric regression is seen as an instance of the NB. The log forms of both may be effectively used to model types of POisson-overdispersed count data. A GLM-type algorithm is created for a general log-negative binomial regression …