Statistics and Probability Commons^™

A Modern Analytical Method To Forecast Cerebrovascular Diseases (Cd), And Heart Diseases (Hd) Using Multivariate Time Series Model Utilizing The Cdc Provisional Mortality Data, Aditya Chakraborty, Mohan Pant

Cardiovascular Research Symposium

Background: In this study, a new analytical approach was introduced to answer specific questions related to mortalities due to cerebrovascular diseases, heart diseases, and the association of these mortalities with twelve other causes of death (COD).

Methods: A multivariate time series forecasting model was developed utilizing each of the CODs by taking the weekly and yearly seasonality into account, and the mortality counts were forecasted using the most recent CDC weekly mortality count data. A new COD data matrix was structured for all CODs as a function of weeks by combining the observed and predicted values of the mortality counts. …

Nba Player Types And Salaries: Assessing The Disparities In Pay, Nick Riccardi, Rodney J. Paul

Sport Management - All Scholarship

The purpose of this study was to identify player types that exist in the modern National Basketball Association (NBA), test whether player types are paid differently controlling for performance and other factors and construct successful rosters with cheaper payrolls.
We collected performance statistics and salary data for players and teams across five seasons (2018-19 to 2022-23). Cluster analysis is leveraged to group together player-seasons to identify the player types that exist in the NBA. Linear regression models are run to test for differences in pay by cluster membership while controlling for performance, age, and contractual details. Linear programming simulation models …

Indifferentiability Analysis Of Symmetric Key Ciphers, Sayantan Paul

Doctoral Theses

The thesis presented here analyses the security of certain selected symmetric key ciphers - The ciphers analyzed are the 2 and 3-round Confusion-Diffusion Network, the 3-round Cascade Cipher with two independent keys, and the Feistel Construction with 7 and 8 rounds. Substitution Permutation Networks (SPNs) are widely used in the design of modern symmetric cryptographic building blocks. Attacks against the 2-round Confusion-Diffusion Network construction have been exhibited by Dodis et al. (2016a) in their Eurocrypt 2016 paper titled ‘Indifferentiability of Confusion-Diffusion Networks’, and by Da, Xu and Guo (2021b) in their paper ‘Sequential Indifferentiability of Confusion-Diffusion Networks’. Both attacks mentioned …

Comparing Ordinary Least Squares And Quantile Regression: A Causal-Comparative Approach To Modeling Conditional Relationships, Samuel Nnorom

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression has traditionally been the preferred quantitative method for estimating linear relationships. However, it assumes that the effect of a predictor variable remains constant across the entire outcome distribution, which can miss important insights when data are heterogeneous. Quantile Regression (QR), on the other hand, offers a more detailed analysis by focusing on the full response variable distribution, thereby revealing different relationship patterns at various quantiles within the outcome. This study compares how OLS and QR perform in modeling conditional relationships within a causal-comparative framework based on ex post facto research. Using the mortality data from …

Machine Learning Research On Time Series Data, Zeyi Fan

Lingnan Theses (MPhil & PhD)

Time series generated by complex systems, such as industrial IoT and user behavior systems, confront two core challenges: structured missingness (e.g., continuous or periodic gaps) that disrupt temporal dependencies, and the difficulty in effectively modeling dynamic long- and short-term temporal dependencies inherent in evolving patterns (e.g., user interests). Traditional approaches struggle to balance the preservation of local dependency continuity and the rational association of global long-range dependencies in structured missing scenarios, often incurring high computational costs. In temporal pattern modeling, the lack of adaptive mechanisms to fuse evolving long- and recent behavior trends (e.g., stable interest inertia vs. short-term preference …

Spatial Patterns In Electronic Health Record Data-Based Predictive Modeling: A Case Study Of Prenatal Care And Preeclampsia, Abigail Lewis

McKelvey School of Engineering Graduate Student Theses & Dissertations

The electronic health record (EHR) documents interactions between patients and healthcare systems and is widely used for secondary research on health outcomes due to broad adoption. While EHR data support efficient clinical informatics research, they are subject to biases stemming from healthcare seeking behavior, health system attributes, and individual or environmental characteristics. Place-based characteristics, in particular, strongly influence when and how patients access care and shape health outcomes. These biases in EHR data can affect predictive modeling pipelines which leverage them, contributing to variation in model performance across groups. In healthcare, where predictive models are increasingly used to guide care, …

Educational Opportunities Of Participatory Gis For Accessibility On A College Campus, Shiya Cao, Heather Rosenfeld, Sarah Susnea

Statistical and Data Sciences: Faculty Publications

The educational benefits of Participatory GIS (PGIS) in geographic higher education have received limited direct attention, often because of the complexities of integrating PGIS into university curricula. While a few exceptions found important educational benefits of PGIS, extant studies focused primarily on the educational benefits for students who worked in the research teams, instead of participants who contributed their local knowledge and perspectives to mapping. Our research aims to understand the educational benefits of PGIS for participants in a campus accessibility mapping project using the modes of experiential learning, positionality, and service learning. Through this, we also provide strategies for …

A Review On Connection Forms Between Bridge Guardrails And Bridge Decks, Li Wei, Li Rutao, Jia Ning, Lu Jian

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In recent years,with the continuous expansion of highway bridge construction in China,there has been a growing public demand to enhance road safety and the protective capabilities of highway bridges.To meet the engineering application requirements of various bridge forms and bridge guardrails,diverse connection structures between bridge guardrails and bridge decks have been studied both domestically and internationally.However,in current engineering practice,the selection of these connection forms remains challenging,lacking clear reference criteria.Using the analytic hierarchy process and supported by experimental data,this paper comprehensively analyzed the advantages and disadvantages of these connection forms by considering factors such as guardrail protection effectiveness,load-bearing reliability,construction convenience,and ease …

Effect Of Granite Machine-Made Sand Properties On Concrete Performance, Wang Jiliang, Wei Xinyuan, Yu Bo

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

As an important stone resource in China,granite is widely used in the preparation of machine-made sand and other building materials due to its stable physical properties and favorable mechanical performance.In order to promote the better application of granite in machine-made sand for cement concrete,this paper analyzed the mineral composition,particle grading,and mica content of granite machine-made sand.It systematically summarized the influence of these characteristics on the mechanical properties,durability,and volumetric stability of concrete.The results show that the concrete performance declines with increasing mica and stone powder content in granite machine-made sand.Properly limiting their content can improve the mechanical properties and durability of …

Wind Tunnel Test Study On Vortex-Induced Vibration Performance Of Cable-Stayed Bridge With Double-Side Box Open Section Composite Main Girder, Zhou Guohua, Du Guoqiang, Pei Shan, Ding Wangxing, Zhu Zhiwen

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to evaluate the vortex-induced vibration (VIV ) performance of a single-tower ground-anchored cable-stayed bridge with a double-side box open section composite main girder,sectional model wind tunnel tests were conducted under different wind angles of attack and wind speeds.The results show that the torsional stiffness of the π-shaped open section main girder is significantly higher than its vertical bending stiffness.The dominant vibration mode of the main girder is the obvious vibration of the main span,while the ground-anchored abutment effectively stabilizes the cable tower through the back stays.At the damping ratio level specified in the code,within the range of prevailing …

Research On Crack Identification Technology Based On Sobel + Matched Filter Joint Algorithm, Wen Yan, Guo Xiaoqian, Tang Youzhi, Yang Enhui, Qiu Yanjun

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To address the problems of hollow recognition results,high noise,and poor crack continuity in pavement crack identification using the Sobel algorithm,this paper proposed a joint algorithm combining the Sobel algorithm and matched filter for three-dimensional crack recognition of asphalt pavement.A matched filter in the form of a sine function was designed,and the matched filter was used to extract crack features from the results of the Sobel algorithm.The matched filter results were subjected to threshold filtering and connected domain analysis to effectively solve the hollow recognition problem,while also reducing noise and improving crack continuity.The test results show that the Sobel + matched …

Research On Prefabrication Scheme Of Concrete Barrier Based On Anchorage In Cast-In-Situ Layer, Liang Xiaochong, Kang Hanjing, Luo Yongchuan, Wen Zhiquan, Deng Bao

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to improve the on-site construction efficiency of bridge concrete barriers,a prefabrication scheme for bridge concrete barrier installation was proposed.A structure scheme was developed by anchoring transverse steel bars at the bottom of prefabricated wall panels into the integrated cast-in-situ layer,adopting tongue-and-groove connections between adjacent wall panels,and optimizing the structural configuration and reinforcement of the panels.According to the requirements of the Level VI protection standard,full-scale impact tests using a large bus and a large truck were organized in turn.The results show that the prefabricated concrete bridge barrier can effectively withstand continuous impacts from both large buses and trucks.Its structural …

Application Of Grouted Steel Pipe Micropile Composite Structure In Highway Landslide Treatment, Wu Bing, Liang Yao, Li Jie, Zhao Honghu

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To optimize the calculation methods and application schemes for reinforcing landslides using grouted steel pipe micropile composite structures,the composition of single-pile composite structures and the combination forms of pile group structures were described.By taking the Bishop method as an example,a stability analysis method and the anti-sliding principle of side (sliding ) slopes reinforced with grouted steel pipe micropile composite structures were proposed,and a calculation formula for the allowable shear resistance of the composite pile was derived.By taking a landslide case from a section of Lijiang‒Panzhihua Expressway as an example,landslide stability analysis and landslide thrust calculation were carried out.The grouted steel …

Settlement Calculation Method For Composite Foundations Reinforced With Geo-Encased Stone Columns, Long Jun, Tan Jingpeng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Geo-encased stone columns (GESCs ),known for their cost-effectiveness and simple construction,are widely employed in the reinforcement of soft soil foundations in practical engineering,and the analysis of their settlement serves as a crucial foundation for the design process.However,existing research mainly focuses on experimental and numerical methods,with relatively limited progress in theoretical calculations.Based on the load transfer mechanism of GESC-reinforced composite foundations and the bulging deformation of the pile body within a certain depth of the pile top under vertical loading,the reinforced zone was divided into a bulging section and a non-bulging section,and the total settlement of the pile was regarded as …

Study On Deformation Characteristics Induced By Deep Foundation Pit Excavation Sharing Diaphragm Wall With Existing Subway Station, Ling Tonghua, Zou Nanwei, Zhou Kun, Feng Wei, Wu Xing, Zhang Liang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To investigate the deformation induced by deep foundation pit excavation sharing a diaphragm wall with an existing subway station,this study took the foundation pit project of Gongming Square Station of Shenzhen Metro as an example.A three-dimensional numerical model was established by FLAC3D software to analyze the deformation characteristics of the surrounding ground surface,retaining structures,and the subway station during the excavation process.In addition,field monitoring was conducted to measure the vertical and horizontal displacements of the pit sidewall and the subway station sharing the diaphragm wall.The results show that after excavation,the ground surface settlement behind the retaining wall exhibits an approximately elliptical …

Study On Chloride Ion Diffusion Behavior In Cracked Cement Mortar With High Fly Ash Content, Liu Yang, Mao Shengzhe, Lu Naiwei

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to explore the diffusion behavior of chloride ions in cracked cement mortar with high fly ash (FA) content,this study fabricated cement mortar specimens with different FA contents and crack widths by artificially prefabricating cracks.The chloride ion content in cracks was measured after natural soaking for 30 days and 60 days.The results show that the cracks accelerate the diffusion of chloride ions in cement mortar.The increase in the diffusion coefficient caused by 0.05 mm and 0.1 mm cracks is similar,while that caused by a 0.2 mm crack is significantly higher.After 30 days of soaking,the chloride ion content of the …

Relationship Between Fractal Characteristics And Shear Strength Of Highway Spoil Site Materials, Luo Shixin, Luo Hongming, Zou Fei, Cai Lei

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Highway spoil features a wide range of particle sizes and poor gradation,and their strength characteristics serve as key factors affecting the stability of spoil slopes.To explore the relationship between fractal characteristics of particle size and strength,this study examined 21 spoil sites along the Guizhou section of the Duyun ‒ Shangri-La Expressway.Based on the field investigation,particle size analysis tests,and laboratory shear tests,the particle composition and shear strength parameters of spoil were obtained.Based on fractal theory,the fractal characteristics of particle size under different gradation scaling methods were analyzed,and the relationship between shear strength parameters and the fractal dimensions of particle size was …

Research On Improvement Of Adhesive Properties Of Asphalt And Granite Gravel, Li Yu, Zhang Yingxue, Qiu Chao, Wang Mo, Liu Li

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In view of the poor adhesion of acidic granite gravel and asphalt and the shortage of alkaline stone in asphalt pavement in China ’s expressway construction,this study evaluated the improvement effects of schemes,including single use of amine anti-stripping agent DRD-K 1,single use of non-amine anti-stripping agent AMR- 3,single use of cement,and combined use of anti-stripping agent and cement,on the asphalt-aggregate adhesion properties.Through the tests of three major indexes before and after asphalt aging,aggregate adhesion test,and improved water immersion method,the adhesion of asphalt was evaluated,and the optimal amount for use was proposed.The results show that the non-amine anti-stripping agent AMR- 3 …

Factors Influencing Fatigue Damage In Manufactured Sand-Based Ecological Self-Compacting Concrete Pavement, Fu Suanzi, Li Hongyan

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Ecological-self-compacting concrete (Eco-SCC ) pavements offer advantages such as reduced cement consumption,lower carbon emissions,and improved economic performance.However,their durability has not been sufficiently studied.Based on the literature review and fatigue test data,the fatigue parameters of Eco-SCC were determined using the Chaboche damage evolution model.A finite element model of fatigue damage in Eco-SCC pavement structures was established to compare the fatigue damage distribution under different loading positions,identify the unfavorable loading positions,and analyze the influence of slab thickness and modulus on the durability of Eco-SCC pavements.SCC plate thickness and modulus on the durability of Eco-SCC pavement.The results show that fatigue damage under different …

Adhesion Mechanism Of Geopolymer-Modified Emulsified Asphalt Slurry At Interface With Aggregate, Zhong Chao, Yang Hao, Lin Juntao, Xiao Yue

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to investigate the adhesion mechanism at the interface between geopolymer-modified emulsified asphalt slurry and aggregate,the interfacial adhesion performance was studied by the molecular dynamics method and compared with that of cement-modified emulsified asphalt slurry.In addition,macro-scale splitting strength tests were performed for verification.The results indicate that van der Waals forces play a major role in the adhesion at the slurry-aggregate interface.Under equivalent mix ratios,the interfacial binding energy between the geopolymer-modified emulsified asphalt slurry and aggregate is 6.84% ‒19.99% higher than that of the cement system.The adhesion performance is closely related to the diffusion properties and atomic distribution of the …

Experimental Study On Workability Of Alkali-Activated Red Mud-Based Controlled Low-Strength Materials, Wu Yun, Fang Mingjing², Lin Zhiyang², Liu Zhengwei³, Beng Jianping³

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

This study aims to optimize the mix design of alkali-activated red mud-based controlled low-strength materials (CLSMs ) to enhance their applicability in road engineering backfilling.The effects of red mud content (20% ‒ 50%),water-to-solid ratio (0.30‒0.36),sand-to-soil ratio (7∶3‒4∶6),polycarboxylate superplasticizer (PEC ) dosage (0%‒2.1%),and fly ash to mineral powder ratio (5∶1‒0.5∶1) on the flowability and bleeding resistance of the materials were systematically investigated.The results are as follows:① The water-to-solid ratio significantly influences flowability.Increasing it to 0.32‒0.34 improves flowability by 39%‒78%,but when the ratio exceeds 0.34,the bleeding rate increases significantly (up to 4.89%);② When the red mud content is 30%‒40%,the high specific surface …

Damage Localization Of Simp Ly Supported Beams Based On Deflection Influence Surfaces Calculated By Three-Dimensional Boundary Face Method, Yin Xinfeng, Luo Zonghao, Yan Wanli, Kaiersaer ∙Tuerdi

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

The deflection influence surface (DIS) of a spatial structure is difficult to calculate using the existing two-dimensional boundary element method.To address this issue,a damage localization method based on DIS calculated using the three-dimensional boundary face method (BFM ) was proposed.A custom BFM program with an internal loop was developed,and the internal forces and deformations of a square plate and a supported T-beam structure were calculated using the static method.By specifying the domain of the order of a bivariate polynomial function (BPF ),a secondary optimization program for influence surfaces was established,and the DIS with the minimum mean square error was obtained.The …

Research On Construction Monitoring Of Continuous Rigid Frame Bridge Based On Knn Algorithm, Liu Jianlin, Pan Kai, Yang Gang, Wang Junming

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To address common issues in bridge construction monitoring,such as sensor damage and failure in strain and displacement measurements,this study took the Nanliu Jialing River Bridge as a case and proposed a method based on the K-nearest neighbor (KNN ) algorithm to reconstruct missing construction monitoring data.ANSYS Workbench was used to establish a finite element model (FEM ) of the bridge construction process to verify the effectiveness of the KNN algorithm in the presence of missing bridge construction monitoring data.The results show:① KNN algorithm can assist in filling short-term data gaps caused by damage to strain and displacement sensors during bridge …

Shear Strength Test Of Uhpc-Nc Bonding Surface, Zhang Shichang, Yan Donghuang, Liu Yun, Yuan Sheng, Wang Shuo

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

As a cement-based composite material with excellent mechanical properties,ultra-high performance concrete (UHPC ) demonstrates outstanding performance in tensile and compressive strength,durability,and impermeability.This material is suitable for the reinforcement and repair of normal concrete (NC) bridge structures.To study the shear behavior of the UHPC-NC bonding interface and its reinforcement effect,this paper conducted interface shear tests using Z-shaped specimens and designed a total of six sets of comparative specimens.The influence of parameters such as the planted bar ratio,implantation depth,and bonding surface size on the shear strength was explored.Through experiments,the load –slip curve and the shear strength data were obtained.The results show that:① …

Field Measurement And Analysis Of Wind Characteristics At Xuefenghu Bridge Site, Yu Wenhao, Yi Lu

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Wind field parameters at bridge sites serve as an important basis for wind-resistant bridge design.The terrain surrounding the Xuefenghu Bridge is unique-mountains flank both sides in the bridge-aligned direction,and the bridge spans the wide surface of the Zhexi Reservoir.In order to investigate the wind field characteristics under such complex topographic conditions,an observation,acquisition,and wireless data transmission system was established at the bridge site.A one-year in-situ wind measurement campaign was conducted,and the characteristics of average wind and fluctuating wind were deeply analyzed.The results show that the average wind speed at the bridge site generally follows a Weibull distribution,and the average wind direction …

Experimental Study On Shear Resistance Of Existing Prestressed Concrete Hollow Slabs, Lu Youfu, Di Jin, Qin Fengjiang, Sun Yifei

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Prestressed concrete hollow slabs are widely used in small- and medium-sized span highway bridges in China.With the increase in load ratings,many hollow slab bridges built in early periods fail to meet the current specifications for shear bearing capacity.Nevertheless,these hollow slabs continue to function adequately under existing vehicle loads,making it essential to conduct an in-depth investigation into their shear bearing capacity.Shear bearing capacity tests were conducted on five 16 m-span hollow slabs dismantled from a renovation and expansion project,including three top slabs with a 15 cm cast-in-place concrete structural layer.Various parameters,such as load-displacement curves,web concrete strain,cracking loads,crack development patterns,failure modes,and ultimate …

Analysis Of Flexural Bearin G Ca Pacity Of Concrete Box Girders Reinforced With, Cfrp Mesh End Anchorshu Guihua

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

Carb on fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP ) composite s have significant advantages in the reinforcement of concrete structures.It is worth systematically studying the effect and mechanism of applying this material in embedded end-anchored reinforcement of concrete box girders on improving the load-bearing capacity of the component.Based on the Abaqus finite element analysis (FEA ) platform,two numerical analysis models considering slip contact and full bonding contact between CFRP mesh and polymer mortar were established.A full-scale concrete box girder model test was conducted for validation.The results show that the FEA results are in good agreement with the experimental results.The FEA model that …

Wind Tunnel Test On Wind-Resistant Performance Of Suspended Monorail Cable-Stayed Bridge, Chen Yujiang

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

To investigate the wind-induced vibration of a suspended monorail bridge,a full-bridge aeroelastic model at a 1∶40 scale was designed and fabricated according to the geometrical parameters and dynamic characteristics of the real bridge.Wind tunnel tests on the bridge in both the completed state and the maximum cantilever state were conducted under different conditions,including uniform flow and turbulent flow,yaw angles of ± 45°,±30°,±15°,and 0°,and wind attack angles of ‒ 3°,0°,and + 3°.Both vertical and torsional displacements of the structure under different wind speeds were measured.The test results show that the vertical displacements and torsional responses of the cable-stayed bridge increase when …

Research On Autonomous Deviation Correction Of Tunnel Boring Machines And Parameters Based On Machine Learning, Zhang Jun, Li Maopeng

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

In order to solve the problem of realizing the autonomous deviation correction of tunnel boring machines (TBMs ), a TBM deviation correction control method that integrated the random forest (RF) algorithm with the genetic algorithm (GA) was proposed based on actual engineering data.The method combined a prediction model with an optimization model,using target deviation values as input to invert and output the required TBM deviation correction parameter values,thereby further improving the automation level of TBM deviation correction.By comparing it with the actual data,the feasibility of the model was verified.The results show that the RF algorithm-based prediction model achieves an R2 …

Study On Mechanical Effect Of Backfill Construction In Orthogonal Underpass Section Of An Open-Cut Interchange Tunnel, Li Qingda, Li Dexing, Yu Tingshun, Han Xi, Liu Jiansong

Journal of China & Foreign Highway

This study investigated the mechanical effects of backfill construction in the orthogonal underpass section of a full-section complex open-cut interchange tunnel.The research was based on the small-clear-distance interchange tunnel project at the extension section of Jinzhou Avenue and Xingguang Avenue in Chongqing.A combined approach of numerical simulation and on-site in-situ test measurement was adopted to analyze the influence of different backfill materials,tunnel cross-section types,and complex construction procedures on the mechanical behavior of the underpass tunnel.The mechanical effects of backfill construction in the orthogonal underpass section were determined.The following findings are revealed:During the backfill construction process,the displacement and internal force of …