Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Fisheries Occasional Publication No. 6 - Anglers Guide To Assessing Reproductive Stage In Fish, Kim Smith, Mike Mackie, Department Of Fisheries Western Australia

Fisheries Occasional Publications

What is a gonad?

"Gonad" is a general term for a reproductive organ, and is used to describe both ovaries and testes. In male and female fish, the gonad is an elongated organ lying along the upper wall of the gut cavity (i.e. running immediately under the vertebral column). The gonad gonad has 2 lobes. Both lobes are attached to the body near the anus and extend forward inside the gut cavity.

As fish gonads ripen, they become larger, heavier and change colour. Immature and undeveloped adult gonads are very small, strap-like in shape, pinkish in colour and translucent (i.e. …

On Leverage In A Stochastic Volatility Model, Jun Yu

Research Collection School Of Economics

This paper is concerned with specification for modelling financial leverage effect in the context of stochastic volatility (SV) models. Two alternative specifications co-exist in the literature. One is the Euler approximation to the well known continuous time SV model with leverage effect and the other is the discrete time SV model of Jacquier, Polson and Rossi (2004, Journal of Econometrics, forthcoming). Using a Gaussian nonlinear state space form with uncorrelated measurement and transition errors, I show that it is easy to interpret the leverage effect in the conventional model whereas it is not clear how to obtain the leverage effect …

Regulatory Motif Finding By Logic Regression, Sunduz Keles, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Chris Vulpe

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Multiple transcription factors coordinately control transcriptional regulation of genes in eukaryotes. Although multiple computational methods consider the identification of individual transcription factor binding sites (TFBSs), very few focus on the interactions between these sites. We consider finding transcription factor binding sites and their context specific interactions using microarray gene expression data. We devise a hybrid approach called LogicMotif composed of a TFBS identification method combined with the new regression methodology logic regression of Ruczinski et al. (2003). LogicMotif has two steps: First potential binding sites are identified from transcription control regions of genes of interest. Various available methods can be …

Latest Tools For Viewing And Quality Checking Arm Data, S. Moore, Gary B. Hughes

Statistics

The DOE Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program has acquired an incredibly large quantity of data over its period of operation, all of which must be reviewed in some manner in order to ensure that the data is of “known and reasonable” quality (ARM Science Plan). To accomplish this, Mission Research Corporation (MRC) coordinates with the ARM Data Quality Office to develop software tools that quality-check data products in a timely and continuous fashion. These tools work with the Data Quality Health and Status (DQ HandS) Explorer (Peppler et al. 2004) by analyzing ARM data streams, providing assessments of data quality …

A Statistical Method For Constructing Transcriptional Regulatory Networks Using Gene Expression And Sequence Data , Biao Xing, Mark J. Van Der Laan

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Transcriptional regulation is one of the most important means of gene regulation. Uncovering transcriptional regulatory network helps us to understand the complex cellular process. In this paper, we describe a comprehensive statistical approach for constructing the transcriptional regulatory network using data of gene expression, promoter sequence, and transcription factor binding sites. Our simulation studies show that the overall and false positive error rates in the estimated transcriptional regulatory network are expected to be small if the systematic noise in the constructed feature matrix is small. Our analysis based on 658 microarray experiments on yeast gene expression programs and 46 transcription …

Causal Inference In Hybrid Intervention Trials Involving Treatment Choice, Qi Long, Rod Little, Xihong Lin

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Randomized allocation of treatments is a cornerstone of experimental design, but has drawbacks when a limited set of individuals are willing to be randomized, or the act of randomization undermines the success of the treatment. Choice-based experimental designs allow a subset of the participants to choose their treatments. We discuss here causal inferences for experimental designs where some participants are randomly allocated to treatments and others receive their treatment preference. This paper was motivated by the “Women Take Pride” (WTP) study (Janevic et al., 2001), a doubly randomized preference trail (DRPT) to assess behavioral interventions for women with heart disease. …

Error Models For Microarray Intensities, Wolfgang Huber, Anja Von Heydebreck, Martin Vingron

Bioconductor Project Working Papers

We derive the additive-multiplicative error model for microarray intensities, and describe two applications. For the detection of differentially expressed genes, we obtain a statistic whose variance is approximately independent of the mean intensity. For the post hoc calibration (normalization) of data with respect to experimental factors, we describe a method for parameter estimation.

A Bayesian Hierarchical Approach To Multirater Correlated Roc Analysis, Tim Johnson, Valen Johnson

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

In a common ROC study design, several readers are asked to rate diagnostics of the same cases processed under different modalities. We describe a Bayesian hierarchical model that facilitates the analysis of this study design by explicitly modeling the three sources of variation inherent to it. In so doing, we achieve substantial reductions in the posterior uncertainty associated with estimates of the differences in areas under the estimated ROC curves and corresponding reductions in the mean squared error (MSE) of these estimates. Based on simulation studies, both the widths of confidence intervals and MSE of estimates of differences in the …

Loss-Based Cross-Validated Deletion/Substitution/Addition Algorithms In Estimation, Sandra E. Sinisi, Mark J. Van Der Laan

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

In van der Laan and Dudoit (2003) we propose and theoretically study a unified loss function based statistical methodology, which provides a road map for estimation and performance assessment. Given a parameter of interest which can be described as the minimizer of the population mean of a loss function, the road map involves as important ingredients cross-validation for estimator selection and minimizing over subsets of basis functions the empirical risk of the subset-specific estimator of the parameter of interest, where the basis functions correspond to a parameterization of a specified subspace of the complete parameter space. In this article we …

Explaining Death Row's Population And Racial Composition, John H. Blume, Theodore Eisenberg, Martin T. Wells

Cornell Law Faculty Publications

Twenty-three years of murder and death sentence data show how murder demographics help explain death row populations. Nevada and Oklahoma are the most death-prone states; Texas's death sentence rate is below the national mean. Accounting for the race of murderers establishes that black representation on death row is lower than black representation in the population of murder offenders. This disproportion results from reluctance to seek or impose death in black defendant-black victim cases, which more than offsets eagerness to seek and impose death in black defendant-white victim cases. Death sentence rates in black defendant-white victim cases far exceed those in …

Attorney Fees In Class Action Settlements: An Empirical Study, Theodore Eisenberg, Geoffrey P. Miller

Cornell Law Faculty Publications

Study of two comprehensive class action case data sets covering 1993-2002 shows that the amount of client recovery is overwhelmingly the most important determinant of the attorney fee award. Even in cases in which the courts engage in the lodestar calculation (the product of reasonable hours and a reasonable hourly rate), the client's recovery generally explains the pattern of awards better than the lodestar. Thus, the time and expense of a lodestar calculation may be wasteful. We also find no robust evidence that either recoveries for plaintiffs or fees of their attorneys increased overtime. The mean fee award in common …

An Investigation Of The Effects Of Correlation, Autocorrelation, And Sample Size In Classifier Fusion, Nathan J. Leap

Theses and Dissertations

This thesis extends the research found in Storm, Bauer, and Oxley, 2003. Data correlation effects and sample size effects on three classifier fusion techniques and one data fusion technique were investigated. Identification System Operating Characteristic Fusion (Haspert, 2000), the Receiver Operating Characteristic Within Fusion method (Oxley and Bauer, 2002), and a Probabilistic Neural Network were the three classifier fusion techniques; a Generalized Regression Neural Network was the data fusion technique. Correlation was injected into the data set both within a feature set (autocorrelation) and across feature sets for a variety of classification problems, and sample size was varied throughout. Total …

The Cross-Validated Adaptive Epsilon-Net Estimator, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit, Aad W. Van Der Vaart

U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Suppose that we observe a sample of independent and identically distributed realizations of a random variable. Assume that the parameter of interest can be defined as the minimizer, over a suitably defined parameter space, of the expectation (with respect to the distribution of the random variable) of a particular (loss) function of a candidate parameter value and the random variable. Examples of commonly used loss functions are the squared error loss function in regression and the negative log-density loss function in density estimation. Minimizing the empirical risk (i.e., the empirical mean of the loss function) over the entire parameter space …

A Bayesian Chi-Squared Test For Goodness Of Fit, Valen Johnson

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

This article describes an extension of classical x 2 goodness-of-fit tests to Bayesian model assessment. The extension, which essentially involvesevaluating Pearson's goodness-of-fit statistic at a parameter value drawn from its posterior distribution, has the important property that it is asymptoti-cally distributed as a x2 random variable on K-1 degrees of freedom, indepen-dently of the dimension of the underlying parameter vector. By averaging over the posterior distribution of this statistic, a global goodness-of-fit diagnostic is obtained. Advantages of this diagnostic{which may be interpreted as the area under an ROC curve{include ease of interpretation, computational conve-nience, and favorable power properties. The proposed …

Individualized Predictions Of Disease Progression Following Radiation Therapy For Prostate Cancer., Jeremy Taylor, Menggang Yu, Howard M. Sandler

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Background: Following treatment for localized prostate cancer, men are monitored with serial PSA measurements. Refining the predictive value of post-treatment PSA determinations may add to clinical management and we have developed a model that predicts for an individual patient future PSA values and estimates the time to future clinical recurrence.

Methods: Data from 934 patients treated for prostate cancer between 1987 and 2000 were used to develop a comprehensive statistical model to fit the clinical recurrence events and pattern of PSA data. A logistic regression model was used for the probability of cure, non-linear hierarchical mixed models were used for …

Multiple Imputation For Interval Censored Data With Auxiliary Variables, Chiu-Hsieh Hsu, Jeremy Taylor, Susan Murray

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

We propose a nonparametric multiple imputation scheme, NPMLE imputation, for the analysis of interval censored survival data. Features of the method are that it converts interval-censored data problems to complete data or right censored data problems to which many standard approaches can be used, and the measures of uncertainty are easily obtained. In addition to the event time of primary interest, there are frequently other auxiliary variables that are associated with the event time. For the goal of estimating the marginal survival distribution, these auxiliary variables may provide some additional information about the event time for the interval censored observations. …

Piecewise Constant Cross-Ratio Estimation For Association In Bivariate Survival Data With Application To Studying Markers Of Menopausal Transition, Bin Nan, Xihong Lin, Lynda D. Lisabet, Sioban Harlow

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

A question of significant interest in female reproductive aging is to identify bleeding criteria for the menopausal transition. Although various bleeding criteria, or markers, have been proposed for the menopausal transition, their validity has not been adequately examined. The Tremin Trust data are collected from a long-term cohort study that followed a group of women throughout their whole reproductive life, and provide a unique opportunity for assessing the association between age at onset of a bleeding marker and age onset of menopause. Formal statistical analysis of this dependence is challenging give the fact that both the marker event and menopause …

Individual Prediction In Prostate Cancer Studies Using A Joint Longitudinal-Survival-Cure Model, Menggang Yu, Jeremy Taylor, Howard M. Sandler

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

For monitoring patients treated for prostate cancer, Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA) is measured periodically after they receive treatment. Increases in PSA are suggestive of recurrence of the cancer and are used in making decisions about possible new treatments. The data from studies of such patients typically consist of longitudinal PSA measurements, censored event times and baseline covariates. Methods for the combined analysis of both longitudinal and survival data have been developed in recent years, with the main emphasis being on modeling and estimation. We analyze data from a prostate cancer study that has been extended by adding a mixture structure …

Mixture Models For Assessing Differential Expression In Complex Tissues Using Microarray Data, Debashis Ghosh

The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series

The use of DNA microarrays has become quite popular in many scientific and medical disciplines, such as in cancer research. One common goal of these studies is to determine which genes are differentially expressed between cancer and healthy tissue, or more generally, between two experimental conditions. A major complication in the molecular profiling of tumors using gene expression data is that the data represent a combination of tumor and normal cells. Much of the methodology developed for assessing differential expression with microarray data has assumed that tissue samples are homogeneous. In this article, we outline a general framework for determining …

Optimal Sample Size For Multiple Testing: The Case Of Gene Expression Microarrays, Peter Muller, Giovanni Parmigiani, Christian Robert, Judith Rousseau

Johns Hopkins University, Dept. of Biostatistics Working Papers

We consider the choice of an optimal sample size for multiple comparison problems. The motivating application is the choice of the number of microarray experiments to be carried out when learning about differential gene expression. However, the approach is valid in any application that involves multiple comparisons in a large number of hypothesis tests. We discuss two decision problems in the context of this setup: the sample size selection and the decision about the multiple comparisons. We adopt a decision theoretic approach,using loss functions that combine the competing goals of discovering as many ifferentially expressed genes as possible, while keeping …

No News Is Bad News: Characteristics Of Adolescents Who Provide Neither Parental Consent Nor Refusal For Participation In School-Based Survey Research, C. Anderson Johnson, Jennifer B. Unger, Peggy E. Gallaher, Paula Palmer, Lourdes Baezconde-Garbanati, Dennis R. Trinidad, Steven Cen

CGU Faculty Publications and Research

Schools offer a convenient setting for research on adolescents.However, obtaining active written parental consent is difficult. In a 6th-grade smoking study, students were recruited with two consent procedures: active consent (parents must provide written consent for their children to participate) and implied consent (children may participate unless their parents provide written refusal). Of 4,427 invited students, 3,358 (76%) provided active parental consent, 420 (9%) provided active parental refusal, and 649 (15%) provided implied consent (parental nonresponse). The implied consent procedure recruited more boys, African Americans, students with poor grades, and smokers. This dual-consent procedure is useful for collecting some limited …

An Analysis Of The Periodicity Of The Cell Cycle And Apoptotic Regulatory Proteins In Prostate Xenografts Using Anova And Cosinor Methods, Aleen Hosdaghian

Theses

Circadian rhythms have been found in both plants and animals, in normal tissues as well as in most tumors and human cancers. By following these rhythms in healthy and cancerous tissue, it has been possible to find optimal times to deliver a dose of drug, such that efficacy is maximized and toxicity to normal tissues is minimized. In this study, the periodicity of several cell cycle and apoptotic regulatory proteins were studied in two prostate cancer models against a dietary therapeutic agent, Selenium. The ALVA-3 1 (androgen-independent) and PC-3 (androgen-independent) prostate cancer cell lines were grown in vivo, as a …

Calibrating Observed Differential Gene Expression For The Multiplicity Of Genes On The Array, Yingye Zheng, Margaret S. Pepe

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

In a gene expression array study, the expression levels of thousands of genes are monitored simultaneously across various biological conditions on a small set of subjects. One goal of such studies is to explore a large pool of genes in order to select a subset of genes that appear to be differently expressed for further investigation. Of particular interest here is how to select the top k genes once genes are ranked based on their evidence for differential expression in two tissue types. We consider statistical methods that provide a more rigorous and intuitively appealing selection process for k. We …

Incorporating Death Into Health-Related Variables In Longitudinal Studies, Paula Diehr, Laura Lee Johnson, Donald L. Patrick, Bruce Psaty

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Background: The aging process can be described as the change in health-related variables over time. Unfortunately, simple graphs of available data may be misleading if some people die, since they may confuse patterns of mortality with patterns of change in health. Methods have been proposed to incorporate death into self-rated health (excellent to poor) and the SF-36 profile scores, but not for other variables.

Objectives: (1) To incorporate death into the following variables: ADLs, IADLs, mini-mental state examination, depressive symptoms, body mass index (BMI), blocks walked per week, bed days, hospitalization, systolic blood pressure, and the timed walk. (2) To …

Overlap Bias In The Case-Crossover Design, With Application To Air Pollution Exposures, Holly Janes, Lianne Sheppard, Thomas Lumley

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

The case-crossover design uses cases only, and compares exposures just prior to the event times to exposures at comparable control, or “referent” times, in order to assess the effect of short-term exposure on the risk of a rare event. It has commonly been used to study the effect of air pollution on the risk of various adverse health events. Proper selection of referents is crucial, especially with air pollution exposures, which are shared, highly seasonal, and often have a long term time trend. Hence, careful referent selection is important to control for time-varying confounders, and in order to ensure that …

Value Orientations And Opinions Of Recently Arrived Cubans In Miami, Andy S. Gomez, Eugenio M. Rothe

Institute for Cuban & Cuban-American Studies Occasional Papers

No abstract provided.

Multiple Solutions For Quasilinear Elliptic Neumann Problems In Orlicz-Sobolev Spaces, Nikolaos Halidias, Vy Khoi Le

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

We investigate the existence of multiple solutions to quasilinear elliptic problems containing Laplace like operators (ϕ-Laplacians). We are interested in Neumann boundary value problems and our main tool is Brézis-Nirenberg's local linking theorem.

Tid And See Testing Results Of Altera Cyclone Field Programmable Gate Array, Stephen L. Clark, K. Avery, R. Parker

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Total ionizing dose (TID) and single event effects testing was performed on Altera Cyclone FPGAs. The devices exhibit slight performance degradation to a TID of 1 Mrad (Si), but also exhibited single event latchup at a low LET.

Hereditarily Unicoherent Continua And Their Absolute Retracts, J. J. Charatonik, W. J. Charatonik, Janusz R. Prajs

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

We investigate absolute retracts for classes of hereditarily unicoherent continua, tree-like continua, λ- dendroids, dendroids and some other related ones. The main results are: (1) the inverse limits of trees with confluent bonding mappings are absolute retracts of hereditarily unicoherent continua; (2) each tree-like continuum is embeddable in a special way in a tree-like absolute retract for the class of hereditarily unicoherent continua; (3) a dendroid is an absolute retract for hereditarily unicoherent continua if and only if it can be embedded as a retract into the Mohler-Nikiel universal smooth dendroid.

Existence And Comparison Results For Quasilinear Evolution Hemivariational Inequalities, Siegfried Carl, Vy Khoi Le, Dumitru Motreanu

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

We generalize the sub-supersolution method known for weak solutions of single and multivalued nonlinear parabolic problems to quasilinear evolution hemivariational inequalities. To this end we first introduce our basic notion of sub- and supersolutions on the basis of which we then prove existence, comparison, compactness and extremality results for the hemivariational inequalities under considerations.