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Articles 61 - 90 of 103
Full-Text Articles in Portfolio and Security Analysis
Two Essays In Finance And Economics: “Investment Opportunities In Commodity And Stock Markets For G7 Countries” And “Global And Local Factors Affecting Sovereign Yield Spreads”, Selma Izadi
LSU New Orleans Theses and Dissertations
In chapter 1, I investigate the return links and dynamic conditional correlations between the equity and commodity returns for G7 countries from 2000:01 to 2014:10. The commodity futures include BCOM Index which contains the futures and spot price of 22 commodities, Brent and Crude oil futures, gold and silver futures, Wheat, Corn and Soybean futures and CRB index. The finding indicates that during the full sample period GOLD, WHEAT and CORN have the smallest dynamic conditional correlations with all the Equity indexes. In addition, the correlations between the GOLD/Equity pairs are negative during the financial crisis. This fact indicates the …
Intraday Value-At-Risk: An Asymmetric Autoregressive Conditional Duration Approach, Shouwei Liu, Yiu Kuen Tse
Intraday Value-At-Risk: An Asymmetric Autoregressive Conditional Duration Approach, Shouwei Liu, Yiu Kuen Tse
Research Collection School Of Economics
We propose to compute the Intraday Value-at-Risk (IVaR) for stocks using real-time transaction data. Tick-by-tick data filtered by price duration are modeled using a two-state asymmetric autoregressive conditional duration (AACD) model, and the IVaR is calculated using Monte Carlo simulation based on the estimated AACD model. Backtesting results for the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) show that the IVaR calculated using the AACD method outperforms those using the Dionne et al. (2009) and Giot (2005) methods.
The Discreet Trader, Seth Wing
The Discreet Trader, Seth Wing
Honors Projects in Finance
This paper examines insider trading, specifically trades by corporate insiders around quarterly earnings announcements. Announcements were broken up into three categories: earnings above analyst expectations, earnings below expectations, and earnings in line with expectations. Trade data was collected from the thirty companies of the Dow Jones Industrial Average from 2012-’13. The trades were sorted by purchases and sales by date and analyzed with the earnings report of which the trades were made. Only trades in the interval from twenty days before the announcement date to twenty days after the announcement date were considered. The prediction was that corporate insiders would …
Market Microstructure And Abnormal Returns: An Analysis Of Nyse And Sgx Securities, Alex Ng
Market Microstructure And Abnormal Returns: An Analysis Of Nyse And Sgx Securities, Alex Ng
Honors Theses
This paper investigates the differences in the abnormal returns of securities in the context of the earnings announcement in both the United States (NYSE) and Singapore (SGX) markets[1]. Despite the similarities between both exchanges, there exist two key market microstructure differences: the free float factor (i.e. the portion of listed share capital that is freely traded on the market) and lot size (i.e. the minimum number of shares that an investor can trade in a single transaction). While the difference in the lot size can be attributed to the intrinsic institutional differences between both exchanges, the involvement of …
Research In Credit Risk Of Shipping Enterprises Based On The Kmv Model, Yannan Wu
Research In Credit Risk Of Shipping Enterprises Based On The Kmv Model, Yannan Wu
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
Real Estate Investment By Bank Holding Companies And Their Risk And Return: Nonparametric And Garch Procedures, Scott Deacle, Elyas Elyasiani
Real Estate Investment By Bank Holding Companies And Their Risk And Return: Nonparametric And Garch Procedures, Scott Deacle, Elyas Elyasiani
Business and Economics Faculty Publications
We investigate the association between real estate investment by US Bank Holding Companies (BHCs) and their return, risk and risk-adjusted returns. Three portfolios are formed of BHCs according to whether they do or do not invest in real estate, strictness of the regulation on real estate investment and the ratio of real estate investment to assets. Wilcoxon tests of differences in portfolio returns, risk, risk-adjusted returns and value at risk between each pair of portfolios are conducted to determine how engagement in real estate, stricter regulation and increased real estate investment affect BHC performance. These effects are also investigated within …
Three Essays On Mutual Fund Ratings, Wee Seng Ng
Three Essays On Mutual Fund Ratings, Wee Seng Ng
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
The incessant growth of the mutual fund industry has made the task of selecting mutual funds an increasingly challenging one. Unsophisticated investors turn to low-cost and readily available ratings to guide their investment decisions. Unsurprisingly, mutual fund ratings are hugely popular and influential. Anecdotal evidence and academic findings both suggest that investors gravitate towards top-rated funds. Rating is a double-edged sword. Although the use of rating simplifies the otherwise onerous job of evaluating mutual fund performance, it can lead to adverse consequences. Investors who invest only in top-rated funds are inadvertently assuming that good ratings indicate good future performance. However, …
Portfolio Company Selection Criteria: Accelerators Vs Venture Capitalists, Cody Chang
Portfolio Company Selection Criteria: Accelerators Vs Venture Capitalists, Cody Chang
CMC Senior Theses
The explosive growth of ‘accelerators’ in the United States has given entrepreneurs and their startups the opportunity to pursue seed-stage financing. While the specific economic role of accelerators remains unclear, a study comparing the selection of portfolio companies between accelerators and venture capitalists was performed. A difference of means was performed on the responses per question between the collected 19 accelerators’ response and the 100 venture capitalists’ response, recorded from a prior study. It is found that venture capitalists place significantly more weight, than accelerators, on the potential of the startup’s product or service to be proprietary, to enter a …
Can Us Economic Variables Predict Chinese Stock Market?, Jeremy Goh, Fuwei Jiang, Jun Tu, Yuchen Wang
Can Us Economic Variables Predict Chinese Stock Market?, Jeremy Goh, Fuwei Jiang, Jun Tu, Yuchen Wang
Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business
In the last few decades, we observed a significant increase in global economic activities and these activities may have an impact on both China's economy and stock market. Given the potential impact, we empirically examine whether US economic variables are leading indicators of the Chinese stock market. Prior to China joining the World Trade Organization (WTO) in the end of 2001, we find no statistical relationship between US economic variables and the Chinese stock market returns. However, we find US economic variables have statistically significant predictive power for periods after China's admission into the WTO. In addition, we show that …
The Labor Supply And Welfare Effects Of Early Access To Medicare Through Social Security Disability Insurance, Kim
Research Collection School Of Economics
Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) beneficiaries receive a cash benefit and become eligible for health insurance from Medicare two years after their enrollment. Disabled workers who leave the labor force typically lose health insurance from their employers, and they face significant medical expenditure risk as a result of their disability. Therefore, access to Medicare makes SSDI an especially attractive alternative to remaining employed for workers with disabilities. My research is the first to analyze the importance of medical expenditure risk and Medicare in analysis of SSDI, and it addresses the following questions: (1) How does access to Medicare via SSDI …
Valuation Of Financial Derivatives Subject To Liquidity Risk, Yanan Jiang
Valuation Of Financial Derivatives Subject To Liquidity Risk, Yanan Jiang
UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones
Valuation of financial derivatives subject to liquidity risk remains an open problem in finance. This dissertation focuses on the valuation of European-style call option under limited market liquidity through the dynamic management of a portfolio of assets. We investigate liquidity from three perspectives: market breadth, depth, and immediacy. We present a general framework of valuation based on the optimal realization of a performance index relative to the set of all feasible portfolio trajectories. Numerical examples are then presented and analyzed that show option price increases as the market transitions from liquid to less liquid state. Furthermore, buying and selling activities, …
Technical Analysis: An Asian Perspective, Siqin Liaw
Technical Analysis: An Asian Perspective, Siqin Liaw
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Technical analysis, namely the moving average rule and the channel rule, is applied to the currency of an Asian managed floating exchange rate regime (USD/SGD) to see if opportunities for profitable trading exist. Instead of using only daily or monthly data, higher frequency time frames of 10, 15, 30 and 60 minutes are analyzed. Profitable strategies (if any) will be broken down and analyzed within smaller time frames to see if the profits are specifically in sample.
Finding Profitability Of Technical Trading Rules In Emerging Market Exchange Traded Funds, Austin P. Hallett
Finding Profitability Of Technical Trading Rules In Emerging Market Exchange Traded Funds, Austin P. Hallett
CMC Senior Theses
This thesis further investigates the effectiveness of 15 variable moving average strategies that mimic the trading rules used in the study by Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992). Instead of applying these strategies to developed markets, unique characteristics of emerging markets offer opportunity to investors that warrant further research. Before transaction costs, all 15 variable moving average strategies outperform the naïve benchmark strategy of buying and holding different emerging market ETF's over the volatile period of 858 trading days. However, the variable moving averages perform poorly in the "bubble" market cycle. In fact, sell signals become more unprofitable than buy signals …
The Initial And Aftermarket Performance Of Ipos In An Emerging Market : The Case Of Malaysian Stock Exchange., Ricky Wong Baan Wahh
The Initial And Aftermarket Performance Of Ipos In An Emerging Market : The Case Of Malaysian Stock Exchange., Ricky Wong Baan Wahh
Student Works (2010-2019)
The study of initial public offering (IPO) underpricing and its post-listing underperformance has been one of those issues that are never laid to rest. The ongoing quest for the reasons behind IPO underpricing and its subsequent poor post-listing returns is what motivates this paper to study these anomalous market behaviours in an emerging market setting such as Malaysia. The primary purpose of this paper is to analyze the existence and magnitude of the underpricing phenomenon and post listing performance of IPOs listed in Bursa Malaysia from 1998 to 2008. Moreover, this study aims to provide an insight primarily into the …
Bayesian Analysis Of Structural Credit Risk Models With Microstructure Noises, Shirley J. Huang, Jun Yu
Bayesian Analysis Of Structural Credit Risk Models With Microstructure Noises, Shirley J. Huang, Jun Yu
Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business
In this paper a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique is developed for the Bayesian analysis of structural credit risk models with microstructure noises. The technique is based on the general Bayesian approach with posterior computations performed by Gibbs sampling. Simulations from the Markov chain, whose stationary distribution converges to the posterior distribution, enable exact finite sample inferences of model parameters. The exact inferences can easily be extended to latent state variables and any nonlinear transformation of state variables and parameters, facilitating practical credit risk applications. In addition, the comparison of alternative models can be based on devian information criterion …
Corporate Transparency, Private Information And Stock Price Synchronicity., Mohammed Sharaf Mohsen Shaiban
Corporate Transparency, Private Information And Stock Price Synchronicity., Mohammed Sharaf Mohsen Shaiban
Student Works (2010-2019)
The issue of stock price synchronicity as a measure of stock price informativeness has recently attracted much research attention. Using cross-country data from 40 countries, this study investigates the relationship between corporate transparency (measured by reporting timeliness, financial analyst following and credibility of disclosures) and stock price synchronicity. In addition, this study investigates the moderating effects of reporting timeliness on the relationship between financial analyst and credibility of disclosures and stock price synchronicity. Specifically, it examines whether the relationship between financial analysts and disclosure credibility and stock price synchronicity is stronger or weaker given the range of timeliness of financial …
Trusts Versus Corporations: An Empirical Analysis Of Competing Organizational Forms, A. Joseph Warburton
Trusts Versus Corporations: An Empirical Analysis Of Competing Organizational Forms, A. Joseph Warburton
College of Law - Faculty Scholarship
This paper studies the effects of organizational form on managerial behavior and firm performance, from an empirical perspective. Managers of trusts are subject to stricter fiduciary responsibilities than managers of corporations. This paper examines the ramifications empirically, by exploiting data generated by a change in British regulations in the 1990s that allowed mutual funds to organize as either a trust or a corporation. I find evidence that trust law is effective in curtailing opportunistic behavior, as trust managers charge significantly lower fees than their observationally equivalent corporate counterparts. Trust managers also incur lower risk. However, evidence suggests that trust managers …
Evaluating The Target Pipeline In A Pharmaceutical Acquisition, Daniel Vass
Evaluating The Target Pipeline In A Pharmaceutical Acquisition, Daniel Vass
Business and Economics Honors Papers
Many firms in the pharmaceutical industry turn to acquisitions when faced with gaps in their drug development pipelines and patent expirations as an alternative to making long-term investments in internal research and development. Investors are generally negative on this strategy, and upon the announcement of a pharmaceutical acquisition the stock of the acquiring firm often drops. This decline in share price creates an opportunity for the investor who can identify the characteristics of a target firm that increase the probability that the transaction will ultimately be a success, as measured by the subsequent appreciation in the acquirer's stock. It is …
A Comparative Study Of The Performance, Macroeconomic Variables, And Firm's Specific Determinants Of Islamic And Non-Islamic Indices : The Malaysian Evidence., Mohamed Shikh Abu Baker Albaity
A Comparative Study Of The Performance, Macroeconomic Variables, And Firm's Specific Determinants Of Islamic And Non-Islamic Indices : The Malaysian Evidence., Mohamed Shikh Abu Baker Albaity
Student Works (2010-2019)
This thesis presents three related empirical studies on the performance and the long and short run dynamics between screened investment portfolio represented by Kuala Lumpur Syariah index (KLSI) and non-screened investment portfolio represented by Kuala Lumpur Composite index (KLCI) in Bursa Malaysia. The KLCI contains the largest 100 companies in Malaysia. This index facilitates as a barometer of the Malaysian economy while, the KLSI is the first Syariah compliant index in Bursa Malaysia. KLSI represents companies abiding to Islamic laws of transactions, which is determined by the scholars in the Shariah supervisory board employed by Bursa Malaysia. The KLCI represents …
Financial Management Practices: Associations With Financial Well-Being And Risky Investment Among Families In Malaysia., Husniyah Abd. Rahim
Financial Management Practices: Associations With Financial Well-Being And Risky Investment Among Families In Malaysia., Husniyah Abd. Rahim
Student Works (2010-2019)
Financial management practices predicting good financial well-being and participation in risky assets among families were identified in this study. It also seeks to find out other factors predicting financial well-being and participation in risky assets. Associations of time horizon with risk preference, and risk preference with financial management practices, differences in financial management practices among the main ethnicities in Malaysia and among families residing in urban and rural areas were also determined. The moderating roles of self-worth between financial management practices and financial well-being of families, and between financial management practices and risky investment by families were explored. Quota sampling …
Offshore Financial Havens: Their Role In International Capital Flows, Zhixiang Sun
Offshore Financial Havens: Their Role In International Capital Flows, Zhixiang Sun
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
The purpose of this paper is to study the role of offshore financial havens in international capital flows. We examine the effects of being a tax haven, a money laundering centre or an offshore financial centre (OFC), which often overlap. We want to see whether these places are used as entrepots (which means temporary storage for funds) or as investment places or both. We mainly use two complementary data sets: bilateral cross-border asset holding and financial intermediation. One is a stock variable and the other one is a flow variable. We apply the gravity model to bilateral cross-border asset holding …
Rolling Adf Tests: Detecting Rational Bubbles In Greater China Stock Markets, Peng Huang
Rolling Adf Tests: Detecting Rational Bubbles In Greater China Stock Markets, Peng Huang
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
Following Phillips, Wu and Yu (2007), this paper extends their bubble detecting work to several Greater China stock markets. Two alternative bubble detecting methods, the forward recursive ADF tests raised by Phillips et al. (2007) and the modified version, forward rolling ADF tests, are implemented and compared. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to determine the critical values of the ADF statistic under different sample size. Empirical results demonstrate that only rolling ADF tests are successful in detecting rational bubbles by overcoming the problem of periodically collapsing bubble. As we have expected, bubbles in China Mainland stock market are detected. Out …
Stock Markets And Income Inequality: A Cross-Country Study, Elizabeth Mathew
Stock Markets And Income Inequality: A Cross-Country Study, Elizabeth Mathew
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
This paper conducts a comprehensive analysis to understand how stock market ratios affect net income inequality. The study of how finance impacts income distribution is relevant as the income distribution of a nation influences savings decisions, resource allocation, innovation incentives and public policy and hence impacts the process of economic development. Using a cross-sectional data set of 68 countries and panel data set of 61 countries from 1975 to 2005, I apply cross-sectional OLS and panel regressions to look at how stock market size, liquidity, and activity impact income inequality. While stock market size is found to strongly impact income …
Flow-Performance Relationship And Tournament Behavior In The Mutual Fund Industry, Baoling Ma
Flow-Performance Relationship And Tournament Behavior In The Mutual Fund Industry, Baoling Ma
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
In this paper, we interpret the flow-performance relationship as an incentive scheme implicitly given to mutual fund managers by mutual fund investors. We show that the flow-performance relationship varies not only with economic activity but also across fund attributes. We provide evidence that the degree of convexity of the flow-performance relationship has a positive effect on the magnitude of tournament behavior. Different from the conventional tournament hypothesis, we show that although the convexity of the flow-performance relationship does produce implicit incentives for fund managers to modify risk-taking behavior as a function of their prior performance, whether or not the mid-year …
Test For Infinite Variance In Stock Returns, Xian Ning Yan
Test For Infinite Variance In Stock Returns, Xian Ning Yan
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
The existence of second order moment or the finite variance is a commonly used assumption in financial time series analysis. We examine the validation of this condition for main stock index return series by applying the extreme value theory. We compare the performances of the adaptive Hill's estimator and the Smith's estimator for the tail index using Monte Carlo simulations for both i.i.d data and dependent data. The simulation results show that the Hill's estimator with adaptive data-based truncation number performs better in both cases. It has not only smaller bias but also smaller MSE when the true tail index …
Periodically Collapsing Bubbles In The Asian Emerging Stock Markets, Ako Doffou
Periodically Collapsing Bubbles In The Asian Emerging Stock Markets, Ako Doffou
WCBT Faculty Publications
This paper investigates empirically the existence of periodically collapsing bubbles in the Asian emerging stock markets using the Enders-Siklos (2001) momentum threshold autoregressive model. As explained in Bohl (2003), this non-linear time series technique can be used to analyze bubble driven run-ups in stock prices followed by a crash in a non- cointegration framework with asymmetric adjustment. This technique offers a more potent insight in the stock prices behavior than can possibly be obtained using conventional non-cointegration tests. The empirical findings for ten Asian emerging stock markets from 1993 to 2005 refute the bubble hypothesis.
Abnormal Trading Volume, Stock Returns And The Momentum Effects, Ying Zheng
Abnormal Trading Volume, Stock Returns And The Momentum Effects, Ying Zheng
Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)
This paper intends to study the intermediate-term momentum and long-term reversal of stock prices by investigating the informational role of unusual trading volume for winner and loser stocks. I argue that unusual trading volume has different implications for winner and loser stocks. Specifically, high trading volume for losers is driven by purchases made by informed investors; while high trade volume for winners could be driven by either information or representativeness bias or both. The arguments are tested in the paper by showing that in the short run, losers/winners with high abnormal trading volume outperform losers/winners with low abnormal trading volume; …
The Impact Of S&P Depository Receipts On The S&P Cash And Futures Market, Andrew J. Economopoulos
The Impact Of S&P Depository Receipts On The S&P Cash And Futures Market, Andrew J. Economopoulos
Business and Economics Faculty Publications
The introduction of the S&P Depository Receipt (SPDR) in 1993 was a financial innovation that produced several ripple effects in the financial markets. Not only did it allow the small investor to purchase a piece of the S&P 500 Cash Index, it would allow the large investor to utilize the security for arbitrage opportunities with the S&P 500 futures. A theoretical model of arbitrage opportunities utilizing SPDR is developed. The theoretical model provides two outcomes. First, the adoption of the SPDR as an arbitrage tool depends on transaction and liquidity costs and second, the innovation could potentially reduce the traditional …
Is Exchange Risk Priced Beyond Intertemporal Risk?, Ines Chaieb, Stefano Mazzoto, Oumar Sy
Is Exchange Risk Priced Beyond Intertemporal Risk?, Ines Chaieb, Stefano Mazzoto, Oumar Sy
Faculty Articles
Recent conditional tests show that exchange risk is priced in integrated international markets. However, these results are typically obtained assuming that intertemporal risk does not matter. We test an intertemporal international asset-pricing model where the investment opportunity set is dynamic. Using a conditional orthogonalization approach, we investigate whether the exchange risk is priced once the market and intertemporal risks are fully taken into account. We find that, in addition to the market and intertemporal risks, the exchange risk is an important determinant of risk premium. We also find that the intertemporal risk, which is often overlooked in the literature, is …
The New Economy And Its Implications To Investors, Elizabeth Misco
The New Economy And Its Implications To Investors, Elizabeth Misco
Honors Capstones
Capstone submitted as a graduation requirement for the BSU Honors Program.