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Lightning Prediction For Space Launch Using Machine Learning Based Off Of Electric Field Mills And Lightning Detection And Ranging Data, Anson Cheng 2020 Air Force Institute of Technology

Lightning Prediction For Space Launch Using Machine Learning Based Off Of Electric Field Mills And Lightning Detection And Ranging Data, Anson Cheng

Theses and Dissertations

Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Station, FL, where the Air Force conducts space launches, are in an area of frequent lightning strikes, which is main obstacle in meeting launch goals. The 45th Weather Squadron (45th WS) ensures that any weather safety requirements are met during pre-launch and actual space launch. Using only summer months from three years’ worth of lightning detection and ranging (LDAR) and electric field mill (EFM) data from KSC, several feedforward neural networks are constructed. Separate models are built for each EFM and trained by adjusting parameters to forecast lightning 30 minutes out in the …


Multivariate Analysis Of Human Performance Strong Lab Data, Kayla N. Tinucci 2020 Air Force Institute of Technology

Multivariate Analysis Of Human Performance Strong Lab Data, Kayla N. Tinucci

Theses and Dissertations

This study uses multivariate analysis methods to find relationships between nutrition and wellness and nutrition and performance. The nutrition, daily wellness, and weight and bodyfat data are from a study performed by the STRONG lab in the 711th Human Performance Wing. Electronically collected nutrition data along with survey data for 19 individuals over a 12-week study period are examined with a focus on health, fitness, and nutrition. Factor analysis and linear regression are performed and inferences are drawn regarding what effects calories and macronutrient intake have on subjects perceived wellness, weight, and body fat percentage. These insights are discussed in …


A Metamodel Recommendation System Using Meta-Learning, Megan K. Woods 2020 Air Force Institute of Technology

A Metamodel Recommendation System Using Meta-Learning, Megan K. Woods

Theses and Dissertations

The importance and value of statistical predictions increase as data grows in availability and quantity. Metamodels, or surrogate models, provide the ability to rapidly approximate and predict information. However, selection of the appropriate metamodel for a given dataset is often arduous, and the choice of the wrong metamodel could lead to considerably inaccurate results. This research proposes and tests the framework for a metamodel recommendation system. The implementation allows for virtually any dataset and preprocesses data, calculates meta-features, evaluates the performance of various metamodels, and learns how the data behaves via meta-learning, thus preparing and bettering itself for future recommendations. …


Database Analysis To Improve U.S. Transportation Command Forecasting Processes, Maxwell C. Thompson 2020 Air Force Institute of Technology

Database Analysis To Improve U.S. Transportation Command Forecasting Processes, Maxwell C. Thompson

Theses and Dissertations

The United States Transportation Command (USTRANSCOM) facilitates air, land, and sea transportation for the DOD. On a periodic basis, a myriad of different agencies within USTRANSCOM project future workload to facilitate resource planning, budgeting, and reimbursable rate identification. Within USTRANSCOM, there are a variety of databases and metrics utilized for workload forecasts; neither a standard nor a preferred technique is prescribed. Currently, USTRANSCOM faces challenges in producing accurate workload forecasts [1]. These challenges can lead to unreliable budget requests and, ultimately, hinder the effectiveness and efficiency of USTRANSCOM [1]. For the purpose of routine aircraft movements of cargo and personnel, …


Mc80: Quantifying Effect Of Fleet Health On Sortie Execution In F-16 Fleet, Kyle R. Gladney 2020 Air Force Institute of Technology

Mc80: Quantifying Effect Of Fleet Health On Sortie Execution In F-16 Fleet, Kyle R. Gladney

Theses and Dissertations

By order of the Secretary of Defense, all of the US Air Force's F-16 units were tasked to improve their fleet health to a Mission Capability (MC) rate of 80 percent, as part of a Department of Defense-wide push to make its Critical Aviation Platforms, and the units that employ them, more ready and lethal. This study uses historical fleet health and sortie execution data captured from LIMS-EV (Weapon System Viewer, 2020) to create a multiple regression model that quantifies the value of increased fleet health, defined as either MC rate or Aircraft Availability (AA) rate, in terms of increasing …


Ground Weather Radar Signal Characterization Through Application Of Convolutional Neural Networks, Stephen M. Lee 2020 Air Force Institute of Technology

Ground Weather Radar Signal Characterization Through Application Of Convolutional Neural Networks, Stephen M. Lee

Theses and Dissertations

The 45th Weather Squadron supports the space launch efforts out of the Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station for the Department of Defense, NASA, and commercial customers through weather assessments. Their assessment of the Lightning Launch Commit Criteria (LLCC) for avoidance of natural and rocket triggered lightning to launch vehicles is critical in approving space shuttle and rocket launches. The LLCC includes standards for cloud formations, which requires proper cloud identification and characterization methods. Accurate reflectivity measurements for ground weather radar are important to meet the LLCC for rocket triggered lightning. Current linear interpolation methods for ground …


System Methodology Of Digital Transformation In Military Manufacturing Industry, Daolin Yu, Wenhai Zhu, Qing Xiao, Guoqiang Shi 2020 1. State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Manufacturing System Technology, Beijing Institute of Electronic System Engineering, Beijing 100854, China;;

System Methodology Of Digital Transformation In Military Manufacturing Industry, Daolin Yu, Wenhai Zhu, Qing Xiao, Guoqiang Shi

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Focusing on the lack of the understanding and the solutions to the digital transformation of the military manufacturing enterprises and service providers, the background of the digital transformation in the military manufacturing industry is analyzed. By studying the advanced manufacturing models, the core competitiveness, the value chains and the production (productivity) factors, the (generalization) goals of the digital transformation in the military manufacturing industry are identified, and some urgent problems and the suggestions to solve the complex system problems are provided. The digital transformation in the military manufacturing industry is a long-term strategic action and should be continuously optimized …


Wind Power Generation Hardware-In-Loop Simulation System Based On Rapid Control Prototype Technology, Aihua Wu, Buhui Zhao, Jingfeng Mao, Haiqun Shen, Xudong Zhang 2020 1. School of Electrical and Information Engineering, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China;;2. School of Electrical Engineering, Nantong University, Nantong 226019, China;

Wind Power Generation Hardware-In-Loop Simulation System Based On Rapid Control Prototype Technology, Aihua Wu, Buhui Zhao, Jingfeng Mao, Haiqun Shen, Xudong Zhang

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: In order to improve the efficiency and effectiveness in the design and testing process of the wind power generation MPPT controller, a rapid control prototype (RCP) system based on the LabVIEW FPGA platform is proposed. The real-time simulation model of wind speed, wind turbine and PMSG, as well as MPPT rapid control prototyping are designed by using PXI-FPGA architecture on the LabVIEW RT real-time operation platform. The power converter, the real-time simulation model and the MPPT rapid control prototyping are connected together to construct a hardware-in-loop (HIL) test system. The simulation results on the gradient wind speed condition and …


Emergency Evacuation Simulation For Dense Passenger Flow In A Rail Transit Transfer Station, Xu Hui, Tian Cheng, Wang Yong 2020 School of Economics and Management, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, China;

Emergency Evacuation Simulation For Dense Passenger Flow In A Rail Transit Transfer Station, Xu Hui, Tian Cheng, Wang Yong

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: The rail transit is one of the important modes of the public transportation, and its safety operation is crucial. Based on the passenger volume and structure features that have been obtained through the field investigation in Chongqing Lianglukou railway station in China, a multi-level rail transit transfer station simulation model is built to analyze the evacuation process of pedestrians in the consideration of explosion and other emergencies by the software AnyLogic. The evacuation routes and evacuation time of passengers during emergency evacuation in a rail transit transfer station are studied. The research aims at verifying the emergency evacuation capacity …


Research On Evolution Model Of Online Public Opinion Based On Temporal Network, Li Feng, Wei Ying 2020 1. School of Business Administration, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China;;

Research On Evolution Model Of Online Public Opinion Based On Temporal Network, Li Feng, Wei Ying

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: With the in-depth study on the social medias, the social networks of online platforms are recognized gradually as the time-varying temporal networks. In order to compare and analyze the information diffusion process and the result, the analysis method of computer simulations is adopted, a temporal network is generated, and the SIR model is used as the online public opinion diffusion model. The simulation results based on multi-agent approach show that the uncertainty of information diffusion on the social platforms comes from the complicated structure of the temporal networks and the SIR model. In addition, the misunderstanding of the social …


Performance Balanced Opportunistic Routing And Simulation Analysis Based On Cooperative Game, Huahong Ma, Honghai Wu, Guoqiang Zheng, Baofeng Ji 2020 School of Information Engineering, Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang 471023, China;

Performance Balanced Opportunistic Routing And Simulation Analysis Based On Cooperative Game, Huahong Ma, Honghai Wu, Guoqiang Zheng, Baofeng Ji

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Opportunistic transmission mode of “store-carry-forward” is usually used to make routing in mobile opportunistic network. Currently, there have been many researches in this area. However, the existing opportunistic routing mechanisms pay much attention to the single index of delivery success ratio, but neglect the constraints on other performance indicators, which may lead to the extreme imbalance of network performance. Aiming at this issue, the diffusion of data packets between multiple nodes are modeled as a cooperative game with the goal of maximal performance balancing, and an opportunistic routing protocol based on the cooperative game for performance balancing is proposed. …


Parallel Computing Of Multi-Agent System In Spatially-Explicit Modeling And Simulation, Hongchun Qu, Xianhui Yao, Yin Li 2020 1. College of Automation, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, China;;

Parallel Computing Of Multi-Agent System In Spatially-Explicit Modeling And Simulation, Hongchun Qu, Xianhui Yao, Yin Li

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming at the synchronization in the spatially-explicit parallel simulations, a limited optimistic synchronization algorithm based on Agent sensing region is proposed. The algorithm inherits the advantages of the optimistic synchronization algorithm and the security-guaranteed conservative synchronization algorithm. The algorithm categories all simulated agents into the security agent region and non-security agent region. The simulation is performed through the collaboration between the dispatch server and the execution servers where simulation tasks are scheduled and executed. The dispatch server determines whether an agent is in a security zone according to the security radius. The execution servers are responsible for performing the …


Visualization Of Tropical Cyclones Based On Digital Earth, Shuoben Bi, Yucheng Gong, Mingyue Lu, Zhou Hao, Tang Zhi 2020 School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China;

Visualization Of Tropical Cyclones Based On Digital Earth, Shuoben Bi, Yucheng Gong, Mingyue Lu, Zhou Hao, Tang Zhi

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Tropical cyclones are often accompanied by heavy rains, storm surges and so on, which have serious impact on the southeast coast of China. Visualization of tropical cyclones can directly demonstrate its motion state, occurrence process and internal structure, and support the research and prediction on it. This paper builds digital earth platform based on Cesium(an open source library),introduces the system architecture, verificates the applicability of point cloud method to the visualization of cloud field data, proposes an improved wind field visualization method based on particle tracking, with includes the calculation of wind field particle properties, the drawing of wind …


Maritime Radar Terrain Echo Simulation Based On Dem And Sar, Yongfeng Suo, Shenhua Yang, Guoquan Chen, Zhuqiang Xiang 2020 Navigation College, Jimei University, Xiamen 361021, China;

Maritime Radar Terrain Echo Simulation Based On Dem And Sar, Yongfeng Suo, Shenhua Yang, Guoquan Chen, Zhuqiang Xiang

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Due to the huge amount of work required for terrain database building, the application of navigation radar simulation on the reflectivity of land object has been greatly limited. A novel radar simulation method is proposed based on the DEM(Digital Elevation Model) data and the same-band SAR(Synthetic Aperture Radar) reflection data. The target reflectance information is obtained, which is used as the basis for the surface radar reflectivity simulation. In combination with the radar equations, the surface reflectivity model of the navigation radar is established. Taking into account the elevation shielding relationship of the radar echo topography, an algorithm of …


Spatial Structure Optimization Of Natural Forest Based On Bee Colony-Particle Swarm Algorithm, Dongsheng Qing, Xiaofang Zhang, Jianjun Li, Guo Rui, Qiaoling Deng 2020 1. Central South University of Forestry and Technology, Changsha 41000, China;;2. Hunan Applied Technology University, Changde 415000, China;

Spatial Structure Optimization Of Natural Forest Based On Bee Colony-Particle Swarm Algorithm, Dongsheng Qing, Xiaofang Zhang, Jianjun Li, Guo Rui, Qiaoling Deng

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: The natural forest spatial structure contains the spatial location information of the forest, which affects the growth, competition and stability of the forest development. Its optimization is a multi-objective programming problem. A bee colony particle swarm optimization (ABC-PSO) hybrid algorithm is proposed, which improves the initial particle generation mechanism, the number of follow bees and the circulation mechanism. The algorithm is applied to the multi-objective optimization of the spatial structure of natural forest. An optimization model which takes account of the tree distribution grid, tree size segmentation and tree competition is established. The simulation results show that the bee …


An Estimation Of Distribution Algorithm Based On Multiple Elites Sampling And Individuals Differential Search, Yu Fei, Ruifeng Wu, Wei Bo, Yinglong Zhang, Xuewen Xia 2020 1. Min Nan Normal University, School of Physics and Information Engineering, Zhangzhou 363000, China;;

An Estimation Of Distribution Algorithm Based On Multiple Elites Sampling And Individuals Differential Search, Yu Fei, Ruifeng Wu, Wei Bo, Yinglong Zhang, Xuewen Xia

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: An estimation distribution algorithm based on the multiple elites sampling and the individuals differential search (EDA-M/D) is proposed. In EDA-M/D, the elites carry out the sampling to generate the offspring independently and enhance the exploration. Meanwhile, the variance of the population distributionis selected to control the sampling radius. Thus, the target of the population can be gradually transited from exploration to exploitation. If the elite population stagnates, the nonentities will choose the mean value of the elites distribution μ and the population historical best solution as the two exemplars to execute a differential search operator, and then help the …


Multi-Uav 3d Formation Path Planning Based On Improved Artificial Potential Field, Haiyun Chen, Huazhou Chen, Liu Qiang 2020 1. Southwest Petroleum University, Nanchong 637001, China;;2. School of Electrical Engineering and Information, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu 610500, China;

Multi-Uav 3d Formation Path Planning Based On Improved Artificial Potential Field, Haiyun Chen, Huazhou Chen, Liu Qiang

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Focusing on the GNRON (goal nonreachable with obstacles nearby), the local minima and chattering of the traditional artificial potential field method, the potential field functions are improved and analyzed to guarantee the goal is the global minimum. In the dynamic potential field, a mechanism of judging whether to fall into local minima is introduced, a method of “moving along the orientation of 90° of goal direction” is used to jump out of the local minima, and the path planning of multi-UAV formation, the synergistic obstacle avoidance and collision prevention are achieved. The path is optimized by applying the regression …


Simulation Analysis On Flexible Track Drilling Machine Based On Adams, Yanchao Zhang, Ting Wang, Danlong Song 2020 School of Mechanical and Precision Instrument Engineering, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an 710048, China;

Simulation Analysis On Flexible Track Drilling Machine Based On Adams, Yanchao Zhang, Ting Wang, Danlong Song

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: The three-dimensional model of the flexible track drilling machine is designed by the virtual prototyping technology. The model is imported into ADAMS (Automatic Dynamic Analysis of Mechanical Systems) software to carry out the kinematics and dynamic simulation analysis of its virtual prototype, and the rationality and feasibility of the system design are evaluated. Through the comparative analysis, the reasonable driving velocity and acceleration parameters of the hole making system are given. According to the analysis of the dynamic characteristics of the systems, the asymmetric driving problems in the system are found and the corresponding improvement scheme is put forward. …


Speech Control Scheme Design And Simulation For Uav Based On Hmm And Rnn, Zhou Nan, Jianliang Ai 2020 Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China;

Speech Control Scheme Design And Simulation For Uav Based On Hmm And Rnn, Zhou Nan, Jianliang Ai

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: In order to simplify the operation and avoid the misoperation of UAVs, Based on Hidden Markov Model and Recurrent Neural Networks, a speech control scheme for UAVs is designed. In this scheme, HMM is used to train and recognize the speech command samples of UAVs. HMM is used to pick out the error commands, RNN is used to train the sets of UAVs commands, and the next command based on the training result is predicted. It is determined whether to execute or not by calculating the correlation between commands recognized by HMM and predicted by RNN. The simulation results …


Model Of Initial Spare Parts Configuration And Ordering Policy Optimization Based On Inventory State, Songshi Shao, Minzhi Ruan, Zhihua Zhang 2020 1. College of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan 430033, China;

Model Of Initial Spare Parts Configuration And Ordering Policy Optimization Based On Inventory State, Songshi Shao, Minzhi Ruan, Zhihua Zhang

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Rational planning of spare parts configuration project is an effective approach to improve the equipment availability and reduce the life cycle cost (LCC). First of all, the spare parts demand rate forecast model is constructed. According to the systemic analysis method, the spare parts support effectiveness evaluation targets system is built, and then, the initial spare parts configuration optimization method is researched. Aim to the consumption for partial repairable spare parts, the expected backorders function of the approximate Laplace demand distribution is given. Combining the (s-1, s) and (R, Q) inventory policy, the ordering model is established under the …


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