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Articles 1 - 24 of 24
Full-Text Articles in Macroeconomics
Constructing A Coincident Index Of Business Cycles Without Assuming A One-Factor Model, Roberto S. Mariano, Yasutomo Murasawa
Constructing A Coincident Index Of Business Cycles Without Assuming A One-Factor Model, Roberto S. Mariano, Yasutomo Murasawa
Research Collection School Of Economics
The Stock-Watson coincident index and its subsequent extensions assume a static linear one-factor structure for the component indicators. Such assumption is restrictive in practice, however, with as few as four indicators. In fact, such assumption is unnecessary if one defines a coincident index as an estimate of latent monthly real GDP. This paper considers VAR and factor models for latent monthly real GDP and other coincident indicators, and estimates the models using the observable mixed-frequency series. For US data, Schwartz’s Bayesian information criterion selects a two-factor model. The smoothed estimate of latent monthly real GDP is the proposed index.
A Var Analysis Of Singapore's Monetary Transmission Mechanism, Hwee Kwan Chow
A Var Analysis Of Singapore's Monetary Transmission Mechanism, Hwee Kwan Chow
Research Collection School Of Economics
The Singapore economy has experienced greater business cycle fluctuations in recent years, being subject to recurrent shocks from the external environment. Given the extreme openness of the economy—Singapore’s export share of GDP is approximately 180%—it is not surprising that the main cause of the increase in economic volatility is a rise in the frequency and magnitude of exogenous shocks. These include the downswing in the global electronics industry in 1996–97, the Asian financial crisis in 1997–98, the burst of the information technology bubble in 2001, and the outbreak of the SARS respiratory disease in 2003. Such a close sequence of …
Political Economy Of Evolution, Howard J. Sherman
Political Economy Of Evolution, Howard J. Sherman
HOWARD J SHERMAN
No abstract provided.
Keynote Address, Sanusi O. Joseph
Keynote Address, Sanusi O. Joseph
Bullion
This is a keynote address delivered at the 5th Annual Finance Correspondents and Business Editors Seminar held in Owerri, lmo State from 26th – 28th January, 2004. It is the fifth in the series of the seminar initiated by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), to enhance the understanding and analytical ability of Finance Correspondents and Business Editors on topical economic issues, particularly monetary and financial sector development. It presents an opportunity for them to appreciate and analyse the Bank's policies and operations better, as well as, facilitate improvement in reporting on those issues. It will help …
An Overview Of The Nigerian Financial System, Aderibigbe J. O.
An Overview Of The Nigerian Financial System, Aderibigbe J. O.
Bullion
Financial systems, the world over, play fundamental roles in the development and growth of the economy. The effectiveness and efficiency in performing these roles, particularly the intermediation between the surplus and deficit units of the economy, depend largely on the level of development of the financial system. It is to ensure its soundness that the financial sector appears to be the most regulated and controlled by the government and its agencies. This paper discusses issues and strategies for enhancing the soundness and stability of the nation's financial system, the roles of the financial system in the promotion of economic growth …
The Role Of The Central Bank In The Nigeria Financial System, Onyido C. Ben
The Role Of The Central Bank In The Nigeria Financial System, Onyido C. Ben
Bullion
The central bank is pivotal in the management of the national economy. lts role is not only to regulate and monitor the financial system, but also to ensure its development, prevent financial distress which could undermine confidence in the system as well as facilitate sustained growth. This paper presents an overview of the Nigerian financial system, the functions of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). It examines the Bank's monetary management, surveillance and promotional roles and the challenges for the CBN. The study concludes that, the enhanced operational autonomy of the CBN has provided a unique opportunity for the Bank …
Institutional Framework For The Regulation And Supervision Of The Financial Sector, Mordi N. Charles
Institutional Framework For The Regulation And Supervision Of The Financial Sector, Mordi N. Charles
Bullion
Since the 1980s, there has been international consensus on the issue of adequate regulation and supervision of the financial sector (and, in particular, banking institutions) and this issue have featured prominently in many international fora where discussions have centred on the operations/health of the financial sector, whether in developed or developing countries. This paper focusses attention on the institutional framework for the regulation and supervision of the financial sector in Nigeria. It attempts to identify the various institutions that make up the financial sector and articulates how they are regulated and supervised and who has responsibility for what, so as …
Macroeconomics/Structural Policies And Financial Sector Stability: The Challenges, Nnanna O. J
Macroeconomics/Structural Policies And Financial Sector Stability: The Challenges, Nnanna O. J
Bullion
The financial system plays an important role in the process of economic growth and development of a country. A financial system consists of various institutions, markets, instruments and operators that interact within an economy to provide financial services. It plays the crucial roles of lubricating the payment mechanism, resource mobilisation and credit allocation. The Nigerian financial sector comprises the regulatory/supervisory authorities, deposit money banks, and other nonbank financial institutions. The objective of this paper is to examine the effect of macroeconomic/ structural policies on the financial sector, as well as the challenges of maintaining financial sector stability in Nigeria. The …
The Impact Of The Operations Of The Non-Bank Financial Institutions On Financial Sector Stability, Bamisile A. Sesan
The Impact Of The Operations Of The Non-Bank Financial Institutions On Financial Sector Stability, Bamisile A. Sesan
Bullion
The Banks and Other Financial institutions Act (BOFIA) defines an NBFI to mean "any individual, body, association or group of persons; whether corporate or unincorporated, other than the banks licenced under the Act which carries on the business of a discount house, finance company and money brokerage and whose principal object include factoring, project financing, equipment leasing, debt administration, fund management, private ledger services, investment management, local purchase order financing, export finance, project consultancy financial consultancy, pension fund management and such other business as the Bank may, from time to time, designate". This paper affords the opportunity to explain and …
The Experience Of Banking Supervision In Financial Sector Surveillance., Imala O. I.
The Experience Of Banking Supervision In Financial Sector Surveillance., Imala O. I.
Bullion
A country's financial sector is the major channel through which funds are mobilized for borrowing and lending transactions. A poorly regulated or managed financial sector or one with insufficient capital for the risks it takes, can increase a country's vulnerability to financial crises. This paper highlights the importance of financial sector regulation and supervision, techniques of supervision, symptoms and causes of distress, measures put in place by the regulatory/supervisory authorities to guard against future systematic distress and the role of multilateral agencies. However, the study concluded that there is no doubt that good corporate governance is a major factor in …
The Role Of Deposit Insurance In Financial Sector Stability, Umoh N. Peter
The Role Of Deposit Insurance In Financial Sector Stability, Umoh N. Peter
Bullion
It might be necessary to start explaining the terms involved in the above topic. A Deposit insurance Scheme (DlS) is an arrangement whereby a designated agency (usually government-owned) guarantees deposits in insured financial institutions This paper discusses the guarantee function and financial sector stability, the supervisory function and financial sector stability, the liquidation function and financial sector stability and the other contributions of Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC). The study concluded that, "Financial Sector Stability: lssues and Challenges" is not only appropriate but quite timely given the rumours making the rounds about unfounded banking distress.
Internationalisation Of Financial Services: Challenges For Financial Sector Stability In Nigeria., Adeola Ade
Internationalisation Of Financial Services: Challenges For Financial Sector Stability In Nigeria., Adeola Ade
Bullion
Internationalisation or Globalisation refers to the increasing integration of "economics around the world, particularly through trade and financial flows. lt is the actual movement, the capacity to move and the potential movement across nations of trade, , investment, technology, finance and labour. lt's also involves the effects of these I forces and the consequent liberalization I of the market. This paper focuses on internationalisation as it relates to the financial sector in Nigeria and its most common manifestation, which is liberalization. It aims to identify ways in which we can benefit from this process while remaining realistic about its potential …
Causes Of Bank Distress And Resolution Options, Donli J. G
Causes Of Bank Distress And Resolution Options, Donli J. G
Bullion
A meaningful analysis of causes of bank distress and the options for resolution would probably need to be preceded by a brief discussion of the role of banks in an economy. This paper examines the meaning of bank distress, it presents a detailed discussion of the main causes of bank distress as they relate to Nigeria in particular, it provides a review of the literature on resolution options as well as an enumeration of resolution options adopted to address bank distress in Nigeria. lt's has been observed in the paper that while the general causes of bank distress appear to …
The New Capital Accord: Challenges For The Central Bank Of Nigeria And Nigerian Banks., Imala O. Ignatius
The New Capital Accord: Challenges For The Central Bank Of Nigeria And Nigerian Banks., Imala O. Ignatius
Bullion
Capital occupies a vital position in the life of a bank, like any other business. It plays the role of a cushion for losses resulting from crystallisation of the various risks a business entity is exposed to. This paper summarises the 1988 Accord and its inadequacies. It introduces the new Accord, the need for it and its structure. It highlights the challenges to both operators and regulators, and It discusses efforts of the supervisory authorities to implement the Accord in Nigeria. The challenges highlighted in this paper are by no means exhaustive but it is believed that the attempt would …
Local Initiatives And Imf Policies In Quito, Ecuador, Dionissi Aliprantis
Local Initiatives And Imf Policies In Quito, Ecuador, Dionissi Aliprantis
University Avenue Undergraduate Journal of Economics
If we are to define development as an increase in the freedoms people enjoy, then we may move beyond structural adjustments and foreign investment as means to create wealth in Ecuador and Latin America. Although not conclusively documented one way or the other [13], microlending is a promising path towards development from this perspective. At the very least, microlending offers hope to a segment of the population that would otherwise be disenfranchised. In Quito, Ecuador, microlending programs are creating wealth and expanding freedoms in a manner consistent with capitalism, while a good deal of IMF policies extract wealth from the …
From Hayek To Keynes: G.L.S. Shackle And Our Ignorance Of The Future, Greg Hill
From Hayek To Keynes: G.L.S. Shackle And Our Ignorance Of The Future, Greg Hill
Greg Hill
G.L.S. Shackle stood at the historic crossroads where the economics of Hayek and Keynes collided. Shackle fused these opposing lines of thought in a macroeconomic theory that draws Keynesian conclusions from Austrian premises. In Shackle’s scheme of thought, the power to imagine alternative courses of action releases decision makers from the web of predictable causation. But the continuous stream of spontaneous and unpredictable choices that originate in the subjective and disparate orientations of individual agents denies us the possibility of rational expectations, and therewith the logical coherence of market equilibrium through time.
Inflationary Performance In A Monetary Union With Large Wage-Setters, Lilia Cavallari
Inflationary Performance In A Monetary Union With Large Wage-Setters, Lilia Cavallari
Lilia Cavallari
No abstract provided.
Bank Lending And The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy Under A Revised Basel Accord, Kevin T. Jacques, David Schirm
Bank Lending And The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy Under A Revised Basel Accord, Kevin T. Jacques, David Schirm
Kevin T Jacques
No abstract provided.
Review Of Northern Naval Superiority And The Economics Of The American Civil War By David G. Surdam, Jeffrey Rogers Hummel
Review Of Northern Naval Superiority And The Economics Of The American Civil War By David G. Surdam, Jeffrey Rogers Hummel
Faculty Publications
No abstract provided.
Export Expansion And The Choice Of Export Mode - Is There Evidence Of Switching Over Time?, Ann Hodgkinson
Export Expansion And The Choice Of Export Mode - Is There Evidence Of Switching Over Time?, Ann Hodgkinson
Faculty of Commerce - Papers (Archive)
Stage theory argues that firms expand exports incrementally and, in the process, pass through a series of increasingly more resource intensive export channels. This paper tests this hypothesis for NSW regional exporters in the period 1996/97 to2000/01. Consistent with other studies, we found general support for incremental export expansion, and that firms added more sophisticated export modes as commitment increased. However, they did not discard earlier modes in this process. One major contradiction to stage theory lay with ‘born global’ firms, which move immediately tohigh export ratios. A second more unexpected one lay with long term, intensiveexporters, which persisted in …
The Structuralist Perspective On Real Exchange Rate, Share Price Level And Employment Path: What Room Is Left For Money?, Edmund S. Phelps, Hian Teck Hoon, Gylfi Zoega
The Structuralist Perspective On Real Exchange Rate, Share Price Level And Employment Path: What Room Is Left For Money?, Edmund S. Phelps, Hian Teck Hoon, Gylfi Zoega
Research Collection School Of Economics
The current sluggish performance of the US economy follows one of the more remarkable booms in modern history. The late 1990s was a period of simultaneous output and productivity growth,1 low unemployment and stable inflation, culminating in an unemployment rate of only 3.9% in the fourth quarter of the year 2000. The absence of rising inflation during this period came as a surprise to many since the level of the natural rate of unemployment was commonly estimated to be in the range of 5-6% by the mid 1990s. The non-inflationary boom, however, reminds one of another episode where non-monetary forces …
Forecasting The Global Electronics Cycle With Leading Indicators: A Var Approach, Hwee Kwan Chow, Keen Meng Choy
Forecasting The Global Electronics Cycle With Leading Indicators: A Var Approach, Hwee Kwan Chow, Keen Meng Choy
Research Collection School Of Economics
Developments in the global electronics industry are typically monitored by tracking indicators that span a whole spectrum of activities in the sector. However, these indicators invariably give mixed signals at each point in time, thereby hampering attempts at prediction. In this paper, we propose a unified framework for forecasting the global electronics cycle by constructing a VAR model that captures the economic interactions between putative leading indicators representing expectations, orders, inventories and prices. The ability of the indicators to presage world semiconductor sales is first examined by Granger causality tests. Subsequently, an impulse response analysis confirms the leading qualities of …
Review Of Northern Naval Superiority And The Economics Of The American Civil War By David G. Surdam, Jeffrey Rogers Hummel
Review Of Northern Naval Superiority And The Economics Of The American Civil War By David G. Surdam, Jeffrey Rogers Hummel
Jeffrey Rogers Hummel
No abstract provided.
Macroeconomic And Financial Sector Comparison With Saarc And Asean Countries, Safdar Khan
Macroeconomic And Financial Sector Comparison With Saarc And Asean Countries, Safdar Khan
Safdar Khan
Extract:
Two distinct regional associations, SAARC and ASEAN, comprise over seventeen different economies of Asia. These economies differ from each other in terms of their age, size and economic performance. However, some comparisons can be drawn between these intra-regional economies on the basis of economic and financial performance for a uniform period of observation, spanning from 1990 to 2003.1 This chapter discusses the financial sector indicators of the SAARC and ASEAN countries under the framework of macroeconomic performance, with the objective of assessing the level of Pakistan’s performance in comparison with these countries.