Urban Studies and Planning Commons^™

Tribal Lands Population Projections: Celilo Village & Grande Ronde, Neal Marquez, Ethan Sharygin, Huda Alkitkat, Suniva Thangaraj, Gilbert Montcho, David Swanson, Joshua Wilde

Oregon Population Forecast Program

To achieve more affordable, fair, and equitable outcomes in the housing planning process, the Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development and Oregon Housing and Community Services developed a plan to address past and ongoing obstacles to access to affordable housing. This plan incorporated population projections with detail by age, race/ethnicity, and disability status, and for American Indian tribal lands with which to make a more detailed assessment of housing access and future housing needs. This report, prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center, includes updates to previously published forecasts for the Grand Ronde Community and Celilo Village.

Coordinated Population Forecast For Clatsop County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2024-2074, Neal Marquez, Ethan Sharygin, Suniva Thangaraj, Huda Alkitkat, Gilbert Montcho, David Swanson, Joshua Wilde

Oregon Population Forecast Program

This report for population forecasts for Clatsop County was made in compliance with Oregon House Bill 2253 relating to population forecasts for land use planning. Portland State University Population Research Center is tasked with creating population projections for all Oregon counties except Multnomah, Clackamas, and Washington as well as population forecasts for all Urban Growth Boundaries (UGBs), except for the Metro area UGB. These population forecasts are generated using standardized demographic methods with input and feedback from county, city, and other local stakeholders.

Coordinated Population Forecast For Columbia County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2024-2074, Neal Marquez, Ethan Sharygin, Suniva Thangaraj, Huda Alkitkat, Gilbert Montcho, David Swanson, Joshua Wilde

Oregon Population Forecast Program

This report for population forecasts for Columbia County was made in compliance with Oregon House Bill 2253 relating to population forecasts for land use planning. Portland State University Population Research Center is tasked with creating population projections for all Oregon counties except Multnomah, Clackamas, and Washington as well as population forecasts for all Urban Growth Boundaries (UGBs), except for the Metro area UGB. These population forecasts are generated using standardized demographic methods with input and feedback from county, city, and other local stakeholders.

Coordinated Population Forecast For Washington County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2024-2074, Neal Marquez, Ethan Sharygin, Suniva Thangaraj, Huda Alkitkat, Gilbert Montcho, David Swanson, Joshua Wilde

Oregon Population Forecast Program

This report for population forecasts for Washington County was made in compliance with Oregon House Bill 2253 relating to population forecasts for land use planning. Portland State University Population Research Center is tasked with creating population projections for all Oregon counties except Multnomah, Clackamas, and Washington as well as population forecasts for all Urban Growth Boundaries (UGBs), except for the Metro area UGB. These population forecasts are generated using standardized demographic methods with input and feedback from county, city, and other local stakeholders.

Coordinated Population Forecast For Wasco County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2024-2074, Neal Marquez, Ethan Sharygin, Suniva Thangaraj, Huda Alkitkat, Gilbert Montcho, David Swanson, Joshua Wilde

Oregon Population Forecast Program

This report for population forecasts for Wasco County was made in compliance with Oregon House Bill 2253 relating to population forecasts for land use planning. Portland State University Population Research Center is tasked with creating population projections for all Oregon counties except Multnomah, Clackamas, and Washington as well as population forecasts for all Urban Growth Boundaries (UGBs), except for the Metro area UGB. These population forecasts are generated using standardized demographic methods with input and feedback from county, city, and other local stakeholders.

Coordinated Population Forecast For Clackamas County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2024-2074, Neal Marquez, Ethan Sharygin, Huda Alkitkat, Suniva Thangaraj, Gilbert Montcho, David Swanson, Joshua Wilde

Oregon Population Forecast Program

This report for population forecasts for Clackamas County was made in compliance with Oregon House Bill 2253 relating to population forecasts for land use planning. Portland State University Population Research Center is tasked with creating population projections for all Oregon counties except Multnomah, Clackamas, and Washington as well as population forecasts for all Urban Growth Boundaries (UGBs), except for the Metro area UGB. These population forecasts are generated using standardized demographic methods with input and feedback from county, city, and other local stakeholders.

Coordinated Population Forecast For Multnomah County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2024-2074, Neal Marquez, Ethan Sharygin, Suniva Thangaraj, Huda Alkitkat, Gilbert Montcho, David Swanson, Joshua Wilde

Oregon Population Forecast Program

This report for population forecasts for Multnomah County was made in compliance with Oregon House Bill 2253 relating to population forecasts for land use planning. Portland State University Population Research Center is tasked with creating population projections for all Oregon counties except Multnomah, Clackamas, and Washington as well as population forecasts for all Urban Growth Boundaries (UGBs), except for the Metro area UGB. These population forecasts are generated using standardized demographic methods with input and feedback from county, city, and other local stakeholders.

Coordinated Population Forecast For Hood River County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2024-2074, Neal Marquez, Ethan Sharygin, Huda Alkitkat, Suniva Thangaraj, Gilbert Montcho, David Swanson, Joshua Wilde

Oregon Population Forecast Program

This report for population forecasts for Columbia County was made in compliance with Oregon House Bill 2253 relating to population forecasts for land use planning. Portland State University Population Research Center is tasked with creating population projections for all Oregon counties except Multnomah, Clackamas, and Washington as well as population forecasts for all Urban Growth Boundaries (UGBs), except for the Metro area UGB. These population forecasts are generated using standardized demographic methods with input and feedback from county, city, and other local stakeholders.

Coordinated Population Forecast For Tillamook County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2024-2074, Neal Marquez, Ethan Sharygin, Huda Alkitkat, Suniva Thangaraj, Gilbert Montcho, David Swanson, Joshua Wilde

Oregon Population Forecast Program

This report for population forecasts for Tillamook County was made in compliance with Oregon House Bill 2253 relating to population forecasts for land use planning. Portland State University Population Research Center is tasked with creating population projections for all Oregon counties except Multnomah, Clackamas, and Washington as well as population forecasts for all Urban Growth Boundaries (UGBs), except for the Metro area UGB. These population forecasts are generated using standardized demographic methods with input and feedback from county, city, and other local stakeholders.

Coordinated Population Forecast For Yamhill County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2024-2074, Neal Marquez, Ethan Sharygin, Huda Alkitkat, Suniva Thangaraj, Gilbert Montcho, David Swanson, Joshua Wilde

Oregon Population Forecast Program

This report for population forecasts for Yamhill County was made in compliance with Oregon House Bill 2253 relating to population forecasts for land use planning. Portland State University Population Research Center is tasked with creating population projections for all Oregon counties except Multnomah, Clackamas, and Washington as well as population forecasts for all Urban Growth Boundaries (UGBs), except for the Metro area UGB. These population forecasts are generated using standardized demographic methods with input and feedback from county, city, and other local stakeholders.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast 2024-25 To 2033-34, Ethan Sharygin, Christina Xi Wei, Population Research Center, Portland State University

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing, and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, and annual enrollment forecasts for the District overall by grade and for students enrolled at each school by grade group. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, middle, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for individual schools are consistent with the district-wide middle series forecast.

2023 Annual Population Report Tables (April 15, 2024), Portland State University. Population Research Center

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

The population data in the 2023 annual report tables were compiled by the Population Research Center, Portland State University, 4/15/2024.

The tables in this workbook present the 2023 population estimates produced by the Population Research Center, Portland State University. The July 1 estimates of total population for counties and cities and towns were certified December 15, 2023.

Some tables include the U.S. Census Bureau's decennial Census counts and historical population estimates produced by our Center, and other tables include calculations of change since Census 2020. Also included are population estimates for broad age groups and 5-year age groups.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast 2023-24 To 2032-33, Based On October 2022 Enrollments, Ethan Sharygin, Christina Xi Wei, Portland State University, Population Research Center

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report summarizes the methodology and results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes an analysis of population dynamics, housing, and enrollment trends affecting PPS, and detailed annual enrollment forecasts for the District overall, for students in each of its high school clusters (HSCLs), and for students enrolled at each school according to grade, as of October 1 of each school year.

2022 Annual Population Report Tables (April 15, 2023), Portland State University. Population Research Center

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

The population data in the 2022 annual report tables were compiled by the Population Research Center, Portland State University, 4/15/2023.

The tables in this workbook present the 2022 population estimates produced by the Population Research Center, Portland State University. The July 1 estimates of total population for counties and cities and towns were certified December 15, 2022.

Some tables include the U.S. Census Bureau's decennial Census counts and historical population estimates produced by our Center, and other tables include calculations of change since Census 2020. Also included are population estimates for broad age groups and 5-year age groups.

Regional Water Providers Consortium: Population, Housing Unit, And Household Estimates 2020 And 2021, Charles Rynerson, Christina Wei, Ethan Sharygin

Publications, Reports and Presentations

Water providers have an ongoing need for estimates and forecasts of the total population and the number of housing units and households within their service areas. The Portland State University (PSU) Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared annual population, housing unit, and household estimates each year since 2014 for the water service areas of the municipalities and water districts in the Regional Water Providers Consortium (RWPC), as well as the wholesale customers of the Portland Water Bureau (PWB) that are not Consortium members. Previous estimates used the 2010 Census as a baseline, with boundaries collected in 2013 and updated in …

Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2022-23 To 2031-32, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Christina Wei

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Oregon City School District (OCSD). The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, discussion of recent and current housing development, and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2022-23 to 2031-32 school years. District-wide high, middle, and low forecasts for 2022-23 differ by how many how many of the students who left OCSD schools during the COVID-19 pandemic will return. Longer-run forecasts differ by expected migration levels and kindergarten …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast 2022-23 To 2036-37, Based On October 2021 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Christina Wei

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing, and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, and annual enrollment forecasts for the District overall, for students residing in each of its high school clusters (HSCLs), for students residing in each school attendance area, and for students enrolled at each school. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, middle, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for HSCLs, attendance areas, and for individual schools are consistent with the …

2021 Annual Population Report Tables (April 15, 2022), Portland State University. Population Research Center

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

The population data in the 2021 annual report tables were compiled by the Population Research Center, Portland State University, 4/15/2022.

The tables in this workbook present the 2021 population estimates produced by the Population Research Center, Portland State University. The July 1 estimates of total population for counties and cities and towns were certified December 15, 2021.

Some tables include the U.S. Census Bureau's decennial Census counts and historical population estimates produced by our Center, and other tables include calculations of change since Census 2020. Also included are population estimates for broad age groups and 5-year age groups; the estimates …

Forest Grove School District Enrollment Forecasts 2022-23 To 2031-32, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Christina Wei

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Forest Grove School District (FGSD). The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, discussion of recent and current housing development, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2022‐23 to 2031‐32 school years. District‐wide high, middle, and low forecasts for 2022‐23 differ by how many how many of the students who left FGSD schools during the COVID‐19 pandemic will return. Longer‐run forecasts differ by expected migration levels and kindergarten …

Salem‐Keizer Public Schools Enrollment Forecast 2022-23 To 2041-42, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Christina Wei

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Salem‐Keizer Public Schools (SKPS). The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, summaries of current and future housing development within SKPS, annual forecasts of district‐wide enrollment for the 20‐year period from 2022‐23 to 2041‐42 and individual school enrollments for the 5‐year period from 2022‐23 to 2026‐ 27 and for 2031‐32. District‐wide high, middle, and low forecasts for 2022‐23 differ by how many how many of the students who left SKPS schools during …

Bend–La Pine Schools Enrollment Forecasts 2022-23 To 2041-42, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Christina Wei

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Bend‐La Pine Schools (BLS). The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, summaries of current and future housing development within BLS, and annual forecasts of district‐wide enrollment for the 20‐year period from 2022‐23 to 2041‐ 42 and individual school enrollments for the 10‐year period from 2022‐23 to 2031‐32. District‐wide high, middle, and low forecasts for 2022‐23 differ by how many how many of the students who left BLS schools during the COVID‐19 …

Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecasts 2022-23 To 2031-32, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Christina Wei

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2022‐23 to 2031‐32 school years. District‐wide high, middle, and low forecasts for 2022‐ 23 differ by how many how many of the students who left TTSD schools during the COVID‐ 19 pandemic will return. Longer‐run forecasts differ by expected …

Centennial School District Enrollment Forecasts 2021-22 To 2030-31, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Christina Wei

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

In August 2021 the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepared high, middle, and low scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Centennial School District (CSD) for the 10‐year period between 2021‐22 and 2030‐31. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. To facilitate the boundary review process, PRC also provided forecasts of CSD students residing within each existing elementary attendance area, consistent with the middle series, to CSD …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Lincoln County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2021 – 2071, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Cindy Chen, Ethan Sharygin, Paul Runge, Kevin Rancik, Deborah Loftus, Charles Rynerson, Huda Alkitkat

Oregon Population Forecast Program

How to Read this Report

This report should be read with reference to the documents listed below, which are downloadable on the Forecast Program website (https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts).

• Methods and Data for Developing Coordinated Population Forecasts: Provides a detailed description and discussion of the forecast methods employed. This document also describes the assumptions that feed into these methods and determine the forecast output.

• Forecast Tables: Provides complete tables of population forecast numbers by county and all sub‐areas within each county for each five‐year interval of the forecast period (2021‐2071).

County Summary:

Lincoln County’s seat, Newport, is Oregon's secondary fishing port …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Lane County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2021 – 2071, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Cindy Chen, Ethan Sharygin, Paul Runge, Kevin Rancik, Deborah Loftus, Charles Rynerson, Huda Alkitkat

Oregon Population Forecast Program

How to Read this Report

This report should be read with reference to the documents listed below, which are downloadable as supplemental files below.

• Methods and Data for Developing Coordinated Population Forecasts: Provides a detailed description and discussion of the forecast methods employed. This document also describes the assumptions that feed into these methods and determine the forecast output.

• Forecast Tables: Provides complete tables of population forecast numbers by county and all sub‐ areas within each county for each five‐year interval of the forecast period (2021‐2071).

County Summary:

Lane County's growth centers around the Eugene/Springfield metropolitan statistical area …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Linn County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2021 – 2071, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Cindy Chen, Ethan Sharygin, Paul Runge, Kevin Rancik, Deborah Loftus, Charles Rynerson, Huda Alkitkat

Oregon Population Forecast Program

How to Read this Report

This report should be read with reference to the documents listed below, which are downloadable on the Forecast Program website (https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts).

• Methods and Data for Developing Coordinated Population Forecasts: Provides a detailed description and discussion of the forecast methods employed. This document also describes the assumptions that feed into these methods and determine the forecast output.

• Forecast Tables: Provides complete tables of population forecast numbers by county and all sub‐areas within each county for each five‐year interval of the forecast period (2021‐2071).

Linn County’s seat is Albany, a 15–20-minute drive from Corvallis and …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Benton County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2021 – 2071, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Cindy Chen, Ethan Sharygin, Paul Runge, Kevin Rancik, Deborah Loftus, Charles Rynerson, Huda Alkitkat

Oregon Population Forecast Program

How to Read this Report

This report should be read with reference to the documents listed below, which are downloadable as supplemental files below.

• Methods and Data for Developing Coordinated Population Forecasts: Provides a detailed description and discussion of the forecast methods employed. This document also describes the assumptions that feed into these methods and determine the forecast output.

• Forecast Tables: Provides complete tables of population forecast numbers by county and all sub‐ areas within each county for each five‐year interval of the forecast period (2021‐2071).

County Summary

Corvallis has a vacancy between 3 and 5%. The city …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Polk County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2021 – 2071, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Cindy Chen, Ethan Sharygin, Paul Runge, Kevin Rancik, Deborah Loftus, Charles Rynerson, Huda Alkitkat

Oregon Population Forecast Program

How to Read this Report

This report should be read with reference to the documents listed below, which are downloadable on the Forecast Program website (https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts).

• Methods and Data for Developing Coordinated Population Forecasts: Provides a detailed description and discussion of the forecast methods employed. This document also describes the assumptions that feed into these methods and determine the forecast output.

• Forecast Tables: Provides complete tables of population forecast numbers by county and all sub‐areas within each county for each five‐year interval of the forecast period (2021‐2071).

Polk County has roughly 84,000 people in 2020. The economic base …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Marion County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2021 – 2071, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Cindy Chen, Ethan Sharygin, Paul Runge, Kevin Rancik, Deborah Loftus, Charles Rynerson, Huda Alkitkat

Oregon Population Forecast Program

How to Read this Report

This report should be read with reference to the documents listed below, which are downloadable on the Forecast Program website (https://www.pdx.edu/population-research/population-forecasts).

• Methods and Data for Developing Coordinated Population Forecasts: Provides a detailed description and discussion of the forecast methods employed. This document also describes the assumptions that feed into these methods and determine the forecast output.

• Forecast Tables: Provides complete tables of population forecast numbers by county and all sub‐areas within each county for each five‐year interval of the forecast period (2021‐2071).

County Summary:

Marion county's economic base is government, agriculture, food processing, …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast 2021-22 To 2035-36, Based On October 2019 And October 2020 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Mac Cunningham

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing, and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, and annual enrollment forecasts for the District overall, for students residing in each of its high school clusters (HSCLs), for students residing in each school attendance area, and for students enrolled at each school. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, middle, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for HSCLs, attendance areas, and for individual schools are consistent with the …